Rejoice, BetUS tennis sportsbook betting enthusiasts – the first grand slam event of the 2021 calendar year is here. The 2021 Australian Open might be getting underway a couple of weeks after its usual January start date, but the chances to cash in with a potentially winning online betting wager are as ample as ever.
While the legendary Roger Federer is out of this year’s Aussie Open as he recuperates following his latest knee surgery, the field is loaded with potential winners on the men’s ATP Tour side.
World No. 1 Novak Djokovic is the prohibitive favorite. World No. 2 Rafael Nadal, No. 3 Dominic Thiem and No. 4 Daniil Medvedev are right behind as identical co-favorites.
There’s a handful of slightly lesser favorites like world No. 6 Stefanos Tsitsipas, No. 7 Alexander Zverev and eighth-ranked Andrey Rublev. Several middle-of-the-pack players like world No. 47 Nick Kyrgios, world No. 36 Jannik Sinner and young, world No. 21 Felix Auger Aliassime could also challenge for the win.
With the field loaded despite Federer’s absence, it’s time to find out which players have the best chances of hoisting the hardware at this year’s first grand slam event. Let’s take a look at the online tennis odds.
ATP Odds to Win 2021 Australian Open
Novak Djokovic +120
Rafael Nadal +500
Dominic Thiem +500
Daniil Medvedev +500
Stefanos Tsitsipas +1400
Alexander Zverev +1600
Andrey Rublev +2500
Nick Kyrgios +2800
Jannik Sinner +4000
Alex De Minaur +4000
Denis Shapovalov +5000
Milos Raonic +5000
Stan Wawrinka +5000
Karen Kachanov +6600
Felix Auger Aliassime +8000
Roberto Bautista-Agut +8000
Gael Monfils +10000
Diego Schwartzman +10000
Marin Cilic +10000
The world No. 1 went a stellar 41-5 in 2020 with four titles including last year’s Australian Open. Djokovic has won two straight Down Under, four of the last six and seven of the last 10 Australian Opens overall. Djokovic, who has eight Australian Open titles overall, will likely have some added motivation after getting defaulted out of last year’s US Open and that just doesn’t bode well for everyone else in the field.
The 33-year-old is 75-8 all-time in Australia (90%) and took out Dominic Thiem in a five-set thriller in last year’s final. The sweet-swinging Serbian is completely healthy, fully rested and admitted he wants to finish his career as the all-time leader in grand slam victories.
“It does feel like a home for me in Australia, in Melbourne, particularly in Rod Laver,” Djokovic said recently. “That is by far my most successful tennis court in my career. Had some profound memories in the last 15 years, and you know, won my first Grand Slam back in 2008.”
The world No. 4 has never been past the fourth round in Australia, but he’s my top pick to beat out Djokovic for the win this year. The 24-year-old Medvedev went 28-10 last year with two titles and closed out the 2020 campaign by winning both the Paris Masters and the ATP World Tour Finals.
The Russian excels on hard courts (131-56) and gets my nod as the most cerebral player in the game today. Medvedev might be an uninspiring 7-4 in 11 career matches in Australia, but make no mistake about it, the crafty Russian can beat anyone in the world today, including all three members of the Big Three.
Andrey Rublev +2500
23-year-old Russian Andrey Rublev went a stupendous 41-10 in 2020 with an ATP Tour-high five titles. Rublev started off the year with consecutive titles at Doha and Adelaide before bowing out of the Australian Open in the quarterfinals with a straight sets loss against Sascha Zverev. Rublev won in Hamburg, St. Petersburg and Vienna to cap off his breakout season. The still-blossoming Rublev might be a modest 6-4 in 10 career Australian Open matches, but he made his best showing ever last year by reaching the fourth round. I believe Rublev is going to improve on that finish in 2021 while challenging everyone for the outright win.
The smart money is on Novak Djokovic, but something tells me that Daniil Medvedev is not going to be denied of claiming his first grand slam title. Medvedev is 3-4 in seven career matches against Djokovic, but has won three of the last four meetings after losing his first three encounters against the world No. 1. Medvedev took out Djokovic 6-3, 6-3 in last year’s season-ending ATP Finals and I believe he’s the pick to win the 2021 Australian Open.
Pick: Daniil Medvedev
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