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Home » Sports Betting News » Tennis Betting » Tennis Picks » US Open Women’s Final Pick: Victoria Azarenka or Naomi Osaka?

US Open Women’s Final Pick: Victoria Azarenka or Naomi Osaka?

September 11, 2020
in Tennis Picks
Naomi Osaka plays a backhand return -US Open Women’s Picks

Photo by Kenzo TRIBOUILLARD / AFP)

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Okay BetUS tennis betting enthusiasts, with the WTA finals set for the 2020 U.S. Open Saturday in New York, it’s time to find out which player is offering the best value. BetUS has the US Open Women’s Picks.  We’re ready to see who will hoist the hardware for the year’s second Grand Slam event.

While world No. 9 and fourth-seeded Naomi Osaka was expected to reach the finals as the prohibitive favorite, world No. 27 and unseeded Victoria Azarenka was a longshot Yet, here we are with Azarenka looking to take down Osaka while both players seek to claim the third Grand Slam of their respective careers.

Now, let’s find out who is going to get the win.

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Victoria Azarenka vs Naomi Osaka

Saturday, Sept. 12 at 3:00  p.m. ET

2020 US Open Women’s Final Odds

Victoria Azarenka +150

Naomi Osaka -170

Total: 21½

While Azarenka is a two-time Australian Open winner, the 31-year-old native of Belarus has not reached a slam final in seven long years and looked to be far closer to the end of her career than either the beginning or her prime. Still, Azarenka has looked nothing short of fantastic in winning the Western & Southern Open two weeks ago – and while reaching the finals of the U.S. Open.

The world No. 27 obliterated Barbara Haas 6-1, 6-2 in her opener before surprising fifth-seeded Aryna Sabalenka 6-1, 6-3 in the second round. Azarenka then dispatched Iga Swiatek 6-4, 6-2 in the third round before going the distance in her 5-7, 6-1, 6-4 round of 16 win over No. 20 seed Karolina Muchova. Azarenka rolled all over Elise Mertens 6-1, 6-0 in the quarterfinal round. Then she took down Serena Williams 1-6, 6-3, 6-3 in the semifinals.

The 22-year-old Osaka has been relatively dominant in winning six straight matches, though she had to go the distance three times this fortnight. Osaka took out Masaki Doi 6-2, 5-7, 6-2 in her opener before stopping diminutive, but hard-hitting Italian Camila Giorgi. The score was 6-1, 6-2 in the second round. She needed three sets to subdue Marta Kostyuk 6-3, 7-6 (7), 6-2 in the third round. That was before shutting down Anne Kontaveit 6-3, 6-4 in the round of 16. Osaka dominated American Shelby Rogers in her 6-3, 6-4 quarterfinal win and backed that up with a thrilling 7-6 (7), 3-6, 6-3 win over surging Jennifer Brady in the semis and now she gets to face Azarenka after pulling out of the final due to a left hamstring injury at the Western & Southern, where she was scheduled to square off against the same foe.

Final Prediction

In three career head-to-head meetings, Osaka is 2-1. Azarenka took their first meetings, 6-1, 6-1 at the Aussie Open in 2016. Osaka got revenge by recording a 6-0, 6-3 win at the 2018 Rome Masters. Then she took out “Vika” 4-6, 7-5, 6-3 in the 2019 French Open. Osaka won a whopping 84% of her first-serve points against Brady in the semis while serving nine aces. By contrast, Azarenka managed to get past Williams despite winning just 68% of her first-serve points. She also won 57% of her second-serve opportunities. While the longer the match against Williams went, the better Azarenka’s chances were with Williams clearly not being in great shape, but that won’t be the case against the youthful legs of Osaka.

In the end, I’m going with my pre-tournament pick of Osaka to get it done one more time. She’ll win her third Grand Slam title. Osaka has the edge in power and I believe she’ll run down many of Azarenka’s shots that Williams couldn’t reach. Not only that, but I’m adamant Osaka has more drive. Her determination in this tournament is more than any other. She’s laced them up as she takes a leading role in the fight against systemic racism. I liked the prohibitive favorite before the US Open began and I’m riding her as a -170 pick.

Pick: Naomi Osaka in 3 Sets

 

Tags: FeaturedNaomi OsakaNaomi Osaka PicksVictoria AzarenkaVictoria Azarenka vs Naomi Osaka
Eric Williams

Eric Williams

A native of hard-knocks Philadelphia, Eric Williams has been working his magic in the sports and sports betting betting industry for nearly two decades. The son of legendary track and field coach George ‘Papa Bear’ Williams, Eric is arguable the world’s biggest Boston Celtics and Miami Dolphins fan whose love of both franchise predates the legendary careers of Larry Bird and Dan Marino. A veteran of the United States Air Force Reserves and former LaSalle University and Penn State University student that lives, eats and breathes sports from sun up to sun down. Eric landed his first professional sports writing job while still just a senior at Martin Luther King high school in Philadelphia and has held various titles in the print, broadcast and online journalism industry since then. In addition to his unrivaled expertise as a sports betting writer and analyst, Eric also doubles as a USPTA-certified tennis instructor and proud owner of Williams’ Sweet Spot Tennis Academy LLC just outside of San Antonio, Texas. In addition to his love for the sports betting industry, Eric is also an avid swimmer, runner, gardener and cook that has a love for feeding the homeless in and around San Antonio.

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