UFC 245 Betting Preview & Free Picks

UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington
Saturday, December 14 - 10:00PM ET
T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
Network: PPV

The time for talk is over. After months of trash talk, Kamaru Usman (15-1-0) and Colby Covington (15-1-0) will be locked inside the Octagon this Saturday in Las Vegas in the main event of UFC 245. Usman's UFC Welterweight title will be on the line. The fight will cap off a night full of exciting fights, including three title fights.

Max Holloway (21-4-0) will defend his UFC Featherweight championship against the quickly surging Alexander Volkanovski (20-1-0) in the co-main event.

The first title fight of the night will be the third fight on the main card. Amanda Nunes (18-4) will face one of her biggest challengers yet in Germaine de Randamie. The champ champ will defend her UFC Women's Bantamweight title against the Dutchwoman.

Kamaru Usman (-190) vs. Colby Covington (+155)

It's easy to hate on Colby Covington. In fact, it's exactly what he wants. In a recent interview he confessed how his controversial comments about Brazil after defeating Damien Maia essentially saved his career.

Colby is undoubtedly a talented fighter. He's lost just one pro fight and is currently riding a seven-fight win streak. In his last three fights, the American Top Team fighter beaten the likes of Demian Maia, Rafael dos Anjos, and Robbie Lawler. He's done so in dominating fashion.

Kamaru Usman is a different kind of beast. The "Nigerian Nightmare" is a very large and powerful fighter. He's won all 10 of his UFC fights using his strength and wrestling. Usman is coming off wins over Demian Maia, Rafael dos Anjos, and Tyon Woodley.

I don't see how Covington wins this fight. Usman's size and strength combined with his punching power will be the difference in this fight.

Usman will win by TKO and retain his welterweight strap at UFC 245.

Max Holloway (-175) vs. Alexander Volkanovski (+145)

Max Holloway will defend his featherweight title for the fourth time this Saturday against Alexander Volkanovski.

"Blessed" is coming off a unanimous decision victory over Frankie Edgar at UFC 240. He outstruck the smaller Edgar by a large margin and controlled the fight.

Holloway is is a surgeon with his lead jab. He's mastered it over the years. His one-two is devastating as we saw in both Aldo fights and his decimation of Brian Ortega.

Volkanovski is a great fighter. He's won 16 straight fights and is coming off wins over Chad Mendes and Jose Aldo. Volkanovsi KO'd Mendes into retirement and won a three-round mostly one-sided affair against Aldo.

"The Great" will be the shorter man by 5" on Saturday. Against a fighter like Max, that can be catostrophic. Max won't be knocked out. Dustin Poirier tested his chin repeatedly and couldn't take him out...and that was at lightweight.

Max will continue to show his greatness against a very good fighter. This should be a great fight.

Amanda Nunes (-300) vs. Germaine de Randamie (+220)

"The Lioness" will be defending her women's bantamweight title for the fifth time. She's beaten every woman there is to beat at 135lb and 145lb. Nunes has KO/TKO'd Ronda Rousey, Raquel Pennington, Cris Cybord, and most recently Holly Holm. She also holws victories over Miesha Tate (sub) and Valentina Shevchenko (SD).

Still, this fight worries me.

Randamie has big upset potential. She's a big and strong fighter with power in her punches and kicks. She's coming off a 16-second win over Aspen Ladd and holds wins over Raquel Penninghton, Holly Holm, and Julia Kedzie.

She also suffered a first round KO/TKO against Amanda Nunes nine years ago.

Randamie trains at American Kickboxing Academy, home to champions and former champions Daniel Cormier, Khabib Nurmagomedov, Cain Velasquez, Luke Rockhold, and Liam McGeary (Bellator). Randamie herself is a former UFC champion. This team knows how to win.

It's been awhile, but we've seen Nunes struggle before. She's the women's G.O.A.T., but Saturday may not be her night.

Randmie finishes Nunes and sets up the rubber match for Fight Week in July.

Also on this card: Marlon Moraes welcomes Jose Aldo to the bantamweight division. Peter Yan is a huge favorite over Urijah Faber. Matt Brown returns to action after two years.