Saturday, October 27th – 10:00pm ET
Avenir Centre, Moncton, New Brunswick
UFC Fight Night 138 heads to Moncton, New Brunswick on Saturday, October 27th. This is a card that has flown under the radar following the aftermath of UFC 229. #2 ranked UFC light heavyweight Volkan Oezdemir (15-2) is set to face Anthony “Lionheart’ Smith (30-13).
Volkan Oezdemir (-190) vs Anthony Smith (+155)
Volkan is coming off a one-sided beating to UFC Heavyweight and Light Heavyweight Champ Champ Daniel Cormier at UFC 220. Cormier was too much too soon for the Swiss who made just his fourth trip to the octagon the night of January 20th, 2018. Volkan was taken down in the second round and had no answer for the champ’s ground-and-pound.
Despite losing the fight, Oezdemir’s ascent to the title fight was earned. The 6’2” light heavyweight defeated Ovince Saint Preux by split decision before earning first round KO/TKO finishes over Misha Cirkunov and Jimi Manuwa all in less than six months.
Anthony Smith is 5-1 in his last six fights. All five of those wins have come by KO/TKO including back-to-back first round finishes over Rashad Evans and Mauricio “Shogun” Rua. People are putting too much stock into these wins. Evans and Shogun’s careers have taken a fast and steep descend off a cliff. While both former champions are clear Hall of Famers, those wins don’t mean much anymore. Evans’ last win was against Chael Sonnen in 2013. Shogun, who was on a three win streak has received a lifetime of damage in the octagon.
Oezdemir is the favorite in this UFC Fight Night 138 and for good reason. He’ll win the stand-up battle against Anthony Smith on his way to the W.
Michael Johnson (-600) vs Artem Lobov (+400)
Conor McGregor’s primary training partner, Artem Lobov (14-14-1) will face Michael Johnson (19-13) in the co-main event of the evening after his original dance partner was suspended following his role in Team Khabib’s UFC 229 brawl.
This is a huge step up for Lobov who is coming off two straight unanimous decision losses against Cub Swanson (Fight of the Night ) and Andre Fili.
Michael Johnson is coming off a split decision victory of Andre Fili just two months ago. Before that, Johnson had lost five of his previous six fights. Despite his struggles, Johnson is still a talented fighter.
Johnson should win this fight, though I must admit -600 is a steep price to pay.
Misha Cirkunov (-500) vs Patrick Cummins (+350)
There was a big buzz following the arrival of Latvian light heavyweight Misha Cirkunov (13-4) to the UFC. Cirkunov would go on to finish his first four opponents. He earned a first round KO/TKO over Daniel Jolly in his UFC debut, then went on to submit Alex Nicholson, Ion Cutelaba, and Nikita Krylov.
Unfortunately, that success hasn’t held up against tougher competition. Cirkunov is coming off back-to-back first round KO/TKO losses to Volkan Oezdemir and Glover Teixeira.
Cirkunov’s success will depend on his ability to stop the takedown. Cummins won’t finish him standing, but he can smother Misha on the ground. Misha is no slouch on the ground, however as evidenced by his BJJ black belt and his 7 submission victories. Cirkunov needs a win here. I bet that he gets it. Cirkunov by KO/TKO is my pick for this fight.
Visit www.betus.com.pa for betting lines.