UFC 238 Free Betting Picks & Betting Preview

UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
Saturday, June 8th - 10:00pm ET
United Center, Chicago, IL

The Ultimate Fighting Championship is returning to Chicago with a bang. UFC 238 is packed with fun fights and fan favorites. The main card is stacked with action fighters and great matchups that should get the Chi-Town crowd and going.

There will be two championship fights taking place in Chicago this Saturday. Henry Cejudo will defend his Bantamweight title against Marlon Moraes in the main event. Before they hit the octagon, Valentina Shevchenko will step into the octagon for her first title defense after beating out Joanna Jędrzejczyk for the vacant Women's Flyweight title in September 2018.

Also on the main card, Tony Ferguson returns to action against Donald "Cowboy" Cerrone. El Cucuy is on an 11-fight win streak. He has been out of action since putting a beating on Anthony Pettis at UFC 229 in October 2018.

Fan favorite Tai Tuivasa will kick off the main card against Bulgarian judoka Blagoy Ivanov. Also on the main card are Jimmie Rivera and Peter Yan.

Henry Cejudo (+105) vs. Marlon Moraes (-135)

Henry Cejudo shocked the world when he not only defeated TJ Dillashaw, but knocked him out in the opening seconds of their superfight. Cejudo, who is not known for his knockout power stormed the former Flyweight champ and put him out before the ref stepped in to stop the fight.

In a promotion full of accomplished wrestlers, Cejudo may have the best claim to being the top wrestler in the UFC. He holds an Olympic gold medal and multiple golds at the Pan American Championships. He also won bronze at the Wrestling World Cup.

Cejudo will look to take the fight to the ground, where he can be more effective while limiting his exposure to Moraes punching power. Cejudo averages 2.3 takedowns per 15 minutes. He takes down his opponents at a 35% clip. Moraes defends 60% of his opponents' attempted takedowns.

When on the ground, Moraes is an active defender. While Cejudo will look to use ground-and-pound to earn a victory, Moraes will use his BJJ to defend and look for the win. Moraes has six submission wins to his name. He is on a four-fight winning streak, finishing each of his four opponents.

This will be a tough fight for the champion due to Moraes' skills both standing and on the ground. But this is the man that dethroned Demetrious Johnson. Cejudo's only losses have been to Johnson and Joseph Benevidez.

Moraes' only loss in the last eight years was a split decision loss to Raphael Assuncao. He submitted Assuncao in a rematch four months ago.

Cejudo has been in big moment before. He fought Mighty Mouse twice and had a superfight against TJ where he was fighting now only for himself, but the fate of the bantamweight decision.

I don't doubt that Moraes can beat Cejudo, but it won't be on this night. Take the champ at +105 to retain his title at UFC 238.

Valentina Shevchenko (-1500) vs. Jessica Eye (+750)

"Bullet" will look to retain her title in her first defense come Saturday night. She will look to use her superior kickboxing skills to outstrike "Evil" Eye. Shevchenko has a solid striking game which employs a combination of punches and kicks. She has a quick right hook on the counter and utilizes combinations well.

Evil Eye is on a three-fight win streak. She's coming off decision victories over Katlyn Chookagian, Jessica Rose-Clark, and Kalindra Faria. This is a big step up in competition for Evil Eye. Shevchenko is a seasoned veteran who had a prosperous kickboxing career before stepping into the octagon. There's a reason she's a huge favorite.

Shevchenko should come away with the victory and her title at UFC 238.

Tony Ferguson (-145) vs. Donald Cerrone (+115)

It's a shame the UFC doesn't budge on their 5-round fight rule for only main events and title bouts. This would be a five-round main event on any card without a title fight. This is the fight I'm looking forward to most.

This may be a fight of the two most "game" fighters on the roster.

El Cucuy returns after what has felt like forever. He put a beating on Anthony Pettis his last time out and has just been on an absolute warpath. Personal issues have sidelined Ferguson until now, however make no mistake about it, when El Cucuy steps into the octagon on Saturday night, he'll be ready.

Cowboy is returning to the octagon for the second time in less than 45 days. Cerrone is on a three-fight winning streak. He put one a hell of a performance his last time out, pummeling Al Iaquinta on his way to a unanimous decision victory.

Both of these fighters have cardio for days. Though, in a three round fight, I don't expect that to be a concern for either man. Cowboy's biggest weakness has been his propensity to fold to body shots. Few men kick as hard as Tony Ferguson. Ferguson is a calculated and well-rounded striker. If he catches Cerrone with the right shot (or shots), he can send Cowboy hurting to the ground.

Frankly, Ferguson should be fighting for a title, but Khabib Nurmagomedov is already scheduled to fight Dustin Poirier.

Ferguson will earn his 12th straight victory and remind us all why they call him El Cucuy.