Bettors have patiently waited for UFC 262 and we’re excited for every fight on the card.
Charles Oliveira vs Michael Chandler headlines the Las Vegas-based event and we look at the undercard fights. The biggest undercard fight is Tony Ferguson vs Beneil Dariush, which could steal the limelight.
Also on the cards is Schnell vs Bontorin, Chookagian vs Araujo, and Burgos vs Barboza. Online sports betting markets are available for every fight on the card.
Tony Ferguson vs Beneil Dariush
Ferguson record: 26-5-0
Dariush record: 20-4-1
Most of the early betting money has come for Beneil Dariush, and although we’re not surprised, the value is with Tony Ferguson.
The American has a massive reach advantage and he’s one of the most dangerous fighters in the lightweight division. He wasn’t able to back up a win over Donald Cerrone with wins in 2020, but he took on the very best.
Ferguson lost to Justin Gaethje with a fifth-round knockout before losing to Charles Oliveira in a three-round decision. It will be his first fight since December, but he’s not someone who needs Octagon time.
Tony Ferguson got punched in the face and decided to front flip. pic.twitter.com/hloBcheZGF
— ᴀʀᴛᴏꜰᴡᴀʀ🗿🏝 (@MiracleMMA__) May 9, 2021
Beneil Dariush scored a decision win over Carlos Diego Ferreira and the Iranian looked good in knocking out Scott Holtzman and Drakkar Klose. However, we don’t believe he has fought anyone even close to who Ferguson has faced.
A win would likely give him a title shot against the winner of the main event, but Dariush isn’t in a rush.
“I don’t think this makes me No. 1 contender,” Dariush told MMA Mania. “I know it’s weird to say just because you have a seven-fight win streak but I just don’t think it’s going to make me No. 1 contender. I think Dustin will be ahead of me still.
“I think even if Conor wants it, even if he loses, he’ll be ahead of me. So if Dustin wins, I think he gets the title shot. If Conor wins, I think he gets the title shot. Justin Gaethje is still there. I’m not in a rush. I watched Max Holloway get 10 [wins] in a row before a title shot, so if that’s what it takes, that’s what it takes.”
We don’t believe the hype and UFC betting lines are in our favor. Take Tony Ferguson to score an upset at generous odds.
Pick: Ferguson +150
Matthew Christopher Schnell vs Rogerio Bontorin
Schnell record: 15-5-0
Bontorin record: 16-3-0 (1NC)
We are sniffing out another upset as Rogerio Bontorin represents value at +130.
The Brazillian needs to bounce back after being knocked out by Kai Kara-France, but the 29-year-old still has hope in this division.
He is a former national Jiu-jitsu champion and if he finds the right opponent, he is tough to beat. Schnell could be that opponent and he didn’t look overly impressive in beating Tyson Nam over three rounds.
The American scored consecutive wins in 2019 before getting knocked out by Alexandre Pantoja in just over four minutes. It knocked him out of competition for all of 2020, so he will need time to find his groove.
Taking Schnell at -160 is too risky for our liking, so Bontorin is our pick.
Pick: Rogerio Bontorin +130
Katlyn Chookagian vs Viviane Araujo
Chookagian record: 15-4-0
Araujo record: 10-2-0
It’s not often you get fighters with identical reach, but that’s the case. Katlyn Chookagian comes off a bounce-back win over Cynthia Calvillo, which wasn’t overly inspiring but she got the job done.
She needed to show something after being knocked out in the first round against Jessica Andrade, where she was significantly outclassed. Facing Viviane Araujo should offer some respite, but she shouldn’t be overlooked.
— MMA Junkie (@MMAjunkie) May 12, 2021
Araujo got past veteran Roxanne Modafferi in a decision win, which could have gone either way. We worry about her ring craft and Chookagian should have too many weapons.
Taking a -140 favorite can be risky in MMA, but Chookagian is worth including in parlays.
Pick: Katlyn Chookagian -140
Shane Burgos vs Edson Barboza
Burgos record: 13-2-0
Barboza record: 21-9-0
Experience could be a positive factor for Edson Barboza, who comes off a decision win over Makwan Amirkhani at UFC Fight Night.
The 35-year-old is in the twilight of his career, but with knockout wins over Dan Hooker and Beneil Dariush on his record, bettors shouldn’t underrate him.
He also took Khabib to a decision at UFC 219, and although it was in 2017, class is permanent.
Shane Burgos suffered a loss to Josh Emmett and hasn’t fought in almost a year. He also has a win over Makwan Amirkhani and he also has a win over Cub Swanson.
It’s not striking form and there is value with Barboza, who is currently paying +110.