UFC 262 has a packed card that promises plenty of bangers beginning with the main event between Charles Oliveira and Michael Chandler for the vacant UFC Lightweight Championship. We’ve mostly got evenly matched fights judging by the UFC odds but several prop online bets can yield a tidy profit.
- Date: Saturday, May 15, 8 p.m. ET (Prelims); 10 p.m. ET (Main Card)
- Venue: Toyota Center, Houston, TX, United States
- Watch on: ESPN, Pay-per-view
Five UFC 262 Prop Bets To Eye
Oliveira and Chandler Will End Violently
Odds: Michael Chandler +105, Charles Oliveira -135
Weight Class (Rounds): Lightweight (155) Championship (5 Rounds)
Calling the winner between Oliveira and Chandler can be tricky. But one thing that is almost a sure bet here is how this fight will end: violently via a finish. Of Oliveira’s 39 pro fights, only four have gone to a decision. That means that nearly 90% of his fights get finished. There’s a reason Chandler calls him “his scariest opponent.”
While Chandler can’t boast the same metric, 20 finishes in 27 pro fights is still a 75% chance. Only two of his last eight fights have seen the judges’ scorecards. Both he and Oliveira fight aggressively and can finish fights anywhere it goes. They have 25 minutes to get this done. Bet the chalk now while it still has value.
Pick: Will The Fight Go The Distance – No (-350)
On the matter of who finishes who, it’s almost a 50/50 proposition. Chandler is the more powerful striker of the two. He hits hard and fast and Oliveira has the perfect height for him to land his fight-ending overhand.
The all-time submission leader 🇧🇷
— UFC (@ufc) December 2, 2020
Alternatively, Oliveira could also hurt Chandler if he gets too aggressive. The UFC’s all-time leader in submissions has also started to let his hands go and has a few KO victories. It’s a tough call, but 2-1 on Chandler to finish Oliveira has decent value.
Pick: Fight Outcome – M. Chandler To Win By KO, TKO, DQ or Submission (+200)
Shevchenko Follows in Sister’s Path
Odds: Andrea Lee Ev, Antonina Shevchenko -130
Weight Class (Rounds): Flyweight (125) (3 Rounds)
The “other” Shevchenko sister just happens to also be a multiple time Muay Thai world champion and a genuine monster on her feet. But what makes Antonina dangerous is how she’s starting to round out the rest of her MMA game. If you can’t take her down, be prepared to get hurt.
Against Andrea Lee, Shevchenko faces another striker. Though not of her caliber, Lee is durable and hasn’t been finished by strikes despite having lost three straight. Shevchenko will likely win the striking exchange here but Lee will survive to see a decision.
Pick: Fight Outcome – A Shevchenko To Win By Decision or Tech. Decision (+120)
Ferguson and Dariush Go To War
Odds: Tony Ferguson +140, Beneil Dariush -170
Weight Class (Rounds): Lightweight (155) (3 Rounds)
Both Tony Ferguson and Beneil Dariush have rarely been in a boring fight. These lightweights go for the finish. The thing is, they’re also incredibly durable. Ferguson is one of only two UFC fighters Oliveira hasn’t finished in his victories. And despite Dariush having two scary knockout losses, he’s survived plenty of wars in the cage.
Ferguson and Dariush are magicians on the mat and will likely avoid tangling there, making this a stand-up battle. They both have a handful of KO wins but are not exactly knockout artists and are proficient to get into brawls. This one goes a full 15 and could be your Fight of the Night.
Pick: Will The Fight Go The Distance – Yes (-160)
Burgos To Outlast Barboza
Odds: Edson Barboza Ev, Shane Burgos -130
Weight Class (Rounds): Featherweight (145) (3 Rounds)
Edson Barboza was one of the most feared fighters in his heyday. But at 35 and having accumulated years of damage, he’s nearing the twilight of his career. That’s why Shane Burgos is a favorite here as he should use a wrestling-heavy attack to neutralize Barboza and beat him.
Still, a semi-shopworn Barboza can crack even if he hasn’t finished anyone in three years. Burgos is very hittable and Barboza could dust him in the first round. But he has a tendency to fade late in fights and Burgos can get stronger as the fight goes on. He already has a pair of third-round finishes. At 14-1, take a shot that Burgos gets his third.