Vast NBA knowledge is a huge help when betting on season stat leaders. Knowing virtually nothing about the association would be a recipe for a disaster.
You need to have an idea of who’s best in each category. After all, this is essentially betting on who’s the best in each category. Most of the time, the options are obvious. For example, Curry is the greatest 3-point shooter of all time.
After you narrow each category to a handful of players, consider each option’s workload. On the surface, Harden or Tyrese Haliburton as assist leaders may look like poor choices compared to Paul.
However, Harden has become far less aggressive since leaving the Houston Rockets. In addition, Haliburton will have the ball in his hands a lot since the Indiana Pacers have a poor roster. Haliburton’s assist average jumped to 9.6 after he was traded to Indy.
Clearly, Indiana plans on running its offense through him, which will yield more assists. With scoring, always select a player that will get plenty of shot attempts and is the team’s clear No.1 option.
The same can be said about three-point leaders. Rebounding is also similar. Look for a team that relies on a player for rebounds. The Cleveland Cavaliers’ Jarrett Allen has competition with Evan Mobley on the roster, while the Atlanta Hawks’ Capela is easily the team’s best rebounder.
Most Important Players
For scoring, Embiid, Antetokounmpo, Luka Doncic, Kevin Durant and Trae Young are great options. All get plenty of field-goal attempts in their respective offenses.
Of course, they all have a track record of being talented scorers. As mentioned, scoring leaders usually average 30 points or more.
When selecting a 3-point field goal leader, volume could be the most important key. There are plenty of elite shooters in the NBA, but they need to get plenty of shot attempts. Curry, Lillard, Young, Donovan Mitchell, Fred VanVleet and Buddy Hield are good options.
Assist leaders are always the primary ball handlers of their offense. Plus, you should look for an offense that scores a lot of points. It’s hard to lead the NBA in assists with an inefficient offense.
Players like Harden, Paul, Doncic, Young and Darius Garland fit the mold. They are great playmakers and the primary ball handlers of solid offenses.
Rebounding is pretty straightforward. Look at who’s the best of the best. Jokic, Gobert, Domantas Sabonis, Capela and Embiid are some of the NBA’s elite rebounders.