MLB Stat Leaders Betting Odds & Lines

Overview

Baseball bettors are blessed with numerous angles to place their wagers. You can bet on teams, players, series, championships, and divisions all in the same place.

One genre of sports bet with popular MLB odds is Stat Leaders. The reason for their popularity is that you can make several different bets on numerous players in one spot.

As the name suggests, MLB Stat Leader props are season-long bets on which player ends the year with the highest totals in specific statistical categories. These include offensive stats such as hits, home runs, stolen bases, and RBIs. On the pitching side of things, BetUS Sportsbook offers wagers for things like wins, strikeouts, and ERA.

Each stat category has up to dozens of players listed, so the MLB odds board can look a bit overwhelming. But once you dig in, the MLB lines are easy to navigate.

If you want to bet on these MLB Stat Leaders props at BetUS Sportsbook, first, you must sign up. This is a great time to do so, as the platform offers two welcome offers to new members. The first is a 125% sign-up bonus of up to $2 500. The second gives you $450 worth of wagers to work with if you make an initial deposit of $200. Both are designed to get you started with some extra coins in your pocket for fun props like MLB Player Projections.

Betting Strategies for MLB Stat Leaders: Embracing the Law of Averages and ZiPS Projections

The betting strategies for these types of props change depending on your choice. The same method can’t be used to predict strikeouts as the one you use to predict home runs. But we can use some of the same principles across the board.

Anytime we see a massive difference between expected results and actual results, we have to assume that the player’s stats will normalize eventually. This doesn’t always happen before the end of the season, but for the most part, players on hot streaks will follow up with a cold streak later afterward. This is the law of averages, and while it’s not an exact science, its effect can be seen in all sports.

That is why when you see guys who are on pace for 85 home runs two weeks into the season never actually get there.

Understanding the law of averages and that hot/cold streaks never last forever is the best time for betting on hitters and pitchers.

We also recommend looking up ZiPS projections before pulling the trigger on any wagers regarding MLB Stat Leaders. No projection systems are perfect, but ZiPS is considered the best for MLB baseball and will be very helpful in choosing the correct players to bet or fade.

Moving on to how to bet on MLB stat leaders’ odds, the process is time-consuming but relatively easy.

The first step is to take some time and choose one or two categories to focus on. For the following guide, we will stick to offensive home runs and strikeouts on the mound. It’s better to choose a statistical category first instead of a player because you can create a bias for yourself. If you go in wanting to wager on Aaron Judge to hit the most home runs, you will probably wager it, even if the stats suggest otherwise.

But, if you let the numbers guide you without any predetermined winner in your head, you may find yourself with a winning wager.

While we’re on the topic of Judge, let’s talk about injury-prone players. One of the first tests any player needs to pass to become a quality MLB futures bet is their long-term health report. Judge is a perfect example of a player with the skills to hit the most home runs every season if he plays more than 150 games. Take 2022, for example when he hit 62 home runs in 157 starts.

But Judge had started 150 games just once before and missed significant time due to injuries in the past. Now, in 2023, he’s already dealt with injury issues and will find it hard to win the home run race.

Late-Season Betting Tips for MLB Stat Leaders: Analyzing Opponents and Matchups

The same goes for pitchers who are injured a lot and fail to start around 22+ games. Even if you average ten strikeouts a game, you’ll never lead the league if half your season is spent wearing a windbreaker in the bullpen.

If you are betting on these props later in the season, there are other tips to find the best bet. Say a few guys are neck and neck heading into August, and you don’t know who to pick. With just one month left in the year, you could take the time to look at the teams your players have to face over the final month of the season.

In the case of home run hitters, find the player who faces the most HR-prone teams, pitchers who match up poorly, or injured rotations. You can do the same for pitchers. This is a very long process, but the work will be worth it when you walk away with a big winner in October.