The Rolex Paris Masters is set to get underway this week, with the ATP Tour’s best players battling for the ninth and final ATP Masters 1000 title in the City of Love.
World No. 1 Carlos Alcaraz leads the star-studded draw as the top seed, but he’s not the betting favorite as per the sportsbook exchange.
That principality belongs to World No. 7 Novak Djokovic, who is priced at +160 to win a record 39th ATP Masters 1000 title and second Masters of the year after winning the B’NL d’Italia in Rome (clay).
World No. 4 Daniil Medvedev emerges as the second favorite in tennis betting markets at +450, after the Russian augmented his chances for Paris by winning the Erste Bank Open in Austria on Sunday.
Alcaraz, the reigning US Open champion, comes in after this top betting tandem on the board, priced at +600 to clinch his third overall ATP Masters title and first in Paris. Alcaraz won his maiden title in Miami (hard). He then added a second in Madrid.
Top players such as Rafael Nadal (+1000), Stefanos Tsitsipas (+1600), Jannik Sinner (+2000) and Felix Auger-Aliassime (+2000) enter the tournament as legitimate contenders, but with odds priced in the quadruple digits.
Read on for a complete preview of the ATP Paris Masters below, complete with the latest tennis news, injury reports, stats and tennis odds.
ATP Paris Masters Outrights – Top 25
- Novak Djokovic +160
- Daniil Medvedev +450
- Carlos Alcaraz +600
- Rafael Nadal +1000
- Stefanos Tsitsipas +1600
- Jannik Sinner +2000
- Felix Auger Alissime +2000
- Taylor Fritz +2800
- Casper Ruud +3300
- Andrey Rublev +3300
- Hubert Hurkacz +3300
- Borna Coric +3300
- Denis Shapovalov +4000
- Francis Tiafoe +5000
- Holger Rune +5000
- Karen Khachanov +5000
- Cameron Norrie +6600
- Marin Cilic +6600
- Pablo Carreno Busta +6600
- Sebastian Korda +8000
- Jack Draper +8000
- Grigo Dimitrov +8000
- Alex De Minaur +8000
- Roberto Bautista Agut +8000
- Andy Murray +10000
*The above is a list of the Top 25 bets as per the odds. For a complete overview, check out the ATP Paris Masters odds board at BetUS,
First Quarter: Alcaraz and Rublev Top the Section
- Top seeds: (1) Alcaraz, (7) Rublev, (10) Hurkacz, (13) Berrettini
- Dangerous Floaters: Isner, Rune, Dimitrov, Nishioka
The first quarter of the draw features top seeds Alcaraz and seventh seed Andrey Rublev in adjacent corners and slated for a quarterfinal clash if the draw falls in line with the top seeds. Sandwiched in between this pair are a couple of hard court gurus – Hubert Hurkacz and Matteo Berrettini.
Alcaraz is the top favorite in this section to advance, but he’s been vulnerable to the upset of late. Since winning the US Open, Alcaraz has a 3-2 win-loss record. He was a first round casualty at the Astana Open and reached the semifinals in Basel (l.to Auger Aliassime).
The 19-year-old Spaniard gets a bye into the second round where he’ll face the winner of Aslan Karatsev vs. Yoshihito Nakashima. Should he survive either one of these potential R32 challengers, he could see Berrettini in the R16. Other potential opponents in the final 16 include dangerous floater Grigor Dimitrov, Botic Van de Zandeschulp and qualifier Arthur Fils.
CARLOS ALCARAZ IS THE MEN'S US OPEN CHAMPION‼️
HE'S NOW THE YOUNGEST-EVER ATP NO. 1 👏 pic.twitter.com/NmvRXK9sfg
— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) September 11, 2022
Rublev is a player that typically coasts under the radar. He’s one of the most consistent performers on the ATP Tour and a tough competitor to beat. However, Rublev’s campaign begins in the second round where he’ll face one of two potential stumbling blocks – either Otte Oscar or American John Isner.
Should Rublev survive the R32, he could face Hurkacz in the R16. Alternative matchups include veterans Adrian Mannarino and Stanislas Wawrinka or up-and-coming Danish teenager Holger Rune. Rune is the dark horse in this section, having picked up a title in Stockholm and a runner-up finish in Basel (l. to Auger-Aliassime).
Second Quarter: Medvedev and Auger-Aliassime Headline
- Top seeds: (4) Medvedev, (8) Auger-Aliassime, (9) Fritz, (16) Tiafoe
- Dangerous Floaters: Draper, Murray, Korda, Davidovich-Fokina
Last week’s title winners, Medvedev (Erste Bank Open) and Auger Aliassime (Basel Open) fall into a stacked second quarter that is loaded with potential stumbling blocks, including ninth seed Taylor Fritz and 16th seed Frances Tiafoe.
But that’s not all. American Sebastian Korda lurks in this section along with Australia’s Alex De Minaur, Spain’s Alejandro Davidovich-Fokina and a couple of Brits in the form of rising star Jack Draper and veteran Andy Murray.
Medvedev receives a bye into the R32, where he’ll face the winner of Korda and Alex De Minaur. Should the in-form Russian advance into the R16, he could come up against Tiafor. Alternatively, he could face Draper, Arthur Rinderknech or Lorenzo Sonego.
I AM TEARING UP DANIIL MEDVEDEV A HUSBAND A FATHER A CHAMPION
— Krista (@BwehRublev) October 30, 2022
Canada’s Auger-Aliassime is flush off a title win in Basel, beating Alcaraz (semis) and Rune (final) on the way to the title. The Canadian will be eager to carry the momentum into Paris, but his section of the draw is a bit of a minefield.
Auger-Aliassime will open his campaign in the second round where he’ll face the winner Mikael Ymer and Alexander Bublik. In the R16, American Fritz looms as his biggest threat to advance into the quarterfinals. Alternatively, he could face Davidovich-Fokina or one of two veterans Murray and Gilles Simon.
Third Quarter: Djokovic and Ruud Eye Quarters
- Top seeds: (3) Ruud, (6) Djokovic, (11) Sinner (15) Cilic,
- Dangerous Floaters: Cressy, Khachanov, Musetti,
Djokovic and Ruud fall into the third quarter, where they are slated to cross paths in the quarterfinals should this section fall in line with the top seeds.
Djokovic is gunning for his seventh Paris Masters title and record 39th overall Masters title. It’s fair to say, Djokovic’s opening match against the winner of Diego Schwartzmann versus Maxime Cressy looks to be straightforward.
Novak Djokovic is now coming to win Paris Masters 2022🏆.@DjokerNole is the King of Paris Masters because he holds the record of most title won there🙌💖. Nole has won Paris Masters in 2009, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2019 and 2021😍.#Djokovic #GOAT #NoleFam pic.twitter.com/Iwc5RjWLdg
— Shane Gupta (@Shanegupta99) October 29, 2022
In the R16, Djokovic could face a tough test from Jannik Sinner. The Italian had Djokovic on the ropes at the Wimbledon Championships, before Djokovic stormed back from two sets down in their quarterfinal match. Other potential R16 matchups include Sebastian Baez, US Open semifinalist Karen Khachanov and qualifier Marc-Andrea Huesler.
Two-time grand slam finalist Ruud opens his campaign against the winner of Alex Molcan versus wild card Richard Gasquest. In the R16, Ruud could face 15th seed Marin Cilic. He could also face Lorenzo Musetti, Nikoloz Basilashvili or qualifier Quentin Halys.
Fourth Quarter: Nadal and Tsitsipas Lead Charger
- Top seeds: (2) Nadal, (5) Tsitsipas, (12) Norrie, (14) Carreno-Busta
- Dangerous Floaters: Paul, Shapovalov, Coric, Nakashima
The fourth quarter of the draw is stacked with dangerous floaters and stumbling blocks that could shake this section up. Nadal and Tsitsipas lead the charge as the top seeds, but Britain’s Cameron Norrie and Spain’s Pablo Carreno Busta will be looking to advance their bids as well.
And that’s not including the dangerous floaters in this section, such as American Tommy Paul and Canada’s Denis Shapovalov, who is coming off a runner-up finish to Medvedev at the Erste Bank Open in Vienna.
Tsitsipas opens his campaign in the second round where he’ll face the winner of Daniel Evans and Brandon Nakashima. Should the No. 1 Greek overcome this early round, he’s slated to face Norrie in the R16. Alternative options to emerge from this section include Miomir Kecmanovic, qualifier Corentin Moutet and Cincinnati champion Borna Coric.
— FirstSportz Tennis (@FS_Tennis1) October 24, 2022
Nadal’s campaign will begin against the winner of Paul vs Roberto Bautista Agut. Should Nadal overcome the early challenge, he could come up against compatriot Carreno-Busta in the R16. Other potential challengers include Francisco Cerundolo, Albert Ramos Vinolas and Shapovalov.