ATP Paris Masters Picks: Bet Sinner to win the Title

The Italian comes off a win at the Shanghai Masters, and we’re not surprised that he’s the +210 favorite with Carlos Alcaraz to win in France.

It’s not an easy tournament to win, and the likes of Alcaraz. Daniil Medvedevand the American contingent of Tommy Paul, Taylor Fritz, and Ben Shelton are there to strike.

Top 3 Picks to Win ATP Paris Masters

1. Sinner is our Winner

Betting against Sinner hasn’t been a smart strategy in 2024, so we’re not going to jump off his back at the Paris Masters.

Tennis betting odds have Sinner at +210 to win, which is a fair price considering we thought he would be around +150 following a great win in China.

He defeated Novak Djokovic, who will miss this tournament, in straight sets, and he confirmed his No. 1 ranking. Sinner is the best player in the world, and no other player is on his level at the moment.

“I don’t play for money.” 🙅‍♂️

Jannik Sinner reflects on receiving the biggest prize in tennis history at the Six Kings Slam in Riyadh. 💰#RolexParisMasters pic.twitter.com/daLllDeSZj

— Eurosport (@eurosport) October 27, 2024

The 23-year-old is a two-time Grand Slam champion in 2024, and he’s seeking his fifth Masters 1000 victory. It doesn’t get much bigger than the Paris Masters, so we expect another deep run from the Italian.

He doesn’t have an easy draw, but neither does anyone lining up to face him.

“[It is a] very tough draw. A very, very difficult draw, especially here on these courts,” Sinner said. “Big servers are very tough. But we go day by day. Then anything can happen. The draw can open up sometimes, or you never know what’s coming.”

2. Alcaraz Poised to Perform

Betting on world No. 2 Alcaraz is like a roller coaster, but the Spaniard is one of the best players in the draw.

He was beaten in the quarterfinals last week by a No. 30 seed, and although he’s been inconsistent at the best of times, he has also been brilliant at times.

There is also good respect for Alcaraz with tennis odds, and that’s no different for the Paris Masters. He’s on the same line as Sinner, and although we would have priced Alcaraz at +250, we’re happy to recommend backing him at the shorter odds.

If Sinner doesn’t win, it’s likely to be Alcaraz. They are on opposite sides of the draw, so they’ll meet in the final barring an upset. Alcaraz is good enough to beat Sinner in the final, as he did when winning the China Open in what was one of the best tennis matches we’ve seen in years.

Performing at a high level consistently has been his issue, but Alcaraz is only 21 years old, and he can be forgiven for his mishaps.

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3. American Shelton at Value Odds

Our Paris Masters picks aren’t leaving out American Ben Shelton, who is a +3300 chance to win.

The 22-year-old is one of the biggest servers in the game, and for a tall player, he has a silky smooth ground game, which is important at the top level.

Shelton comes off a final loss at the Swiss Indoors, and although an unheralded player beat him in the final, he got past some tough types on his way there. He defeated Stan Wawrinka, Andrey Rublev and Arthur Fils, with Rublev being the top seed in the tournament.

He’s always good for a tournament bet, and the online betting odds make him worth including as an upset chance.

Bet on the ATP Paris Masters Winner

Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.

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