World No. 3 Stefanos Tsitsipas headlines the ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament draw, but the bookmakers tip World No.12 Daniil Medvedev as the player to beat at the sportsbook exchange.
The Russian enters the tennis betting market as the +350 favorite while Tsitsipas is priced at +450 to win the title. Elsewhere, Montpellier champion Jannik Sinner (+800), teenage sensation Holger Rune (+850), 2021 champion Andrey Rublev (+900) and defending champion Felix Auger-Alissime (+1000) lurk in the mix.
Overall, nine of the Top 20 players have descended on the Dutch port city in the hopes of seizing the coveted ATP 500 title. The quality and talent alone renders this event wide-open, and, arguably, any one of these legitimate contenders has a reasonable shot at the title.
Read on as we preview the ATP Rotterdam odds and draw. We’ll examine the latest tennis news, stats and injuries and provide helpful betting insight for your tennis picks.
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ATP Rotterdam Odds
- Daniil Medvedev +300
- Stefanos Tsitsipas +450
- Jannik Sinner +800
- Holger Rune +850
- Andrey Rublev +900
- Felix Auger-Aliassime +1000
- Alexander Zverev +1000
- Hubert Hurkacz +1600
- Pablo Carreno Busta +2500
- Grigor Dimitrov +2800
- Borna Coric +2800
- Alex De Minaur +3300
- Roberto Bautista Agut +3300
- Maxime Cressy +4000
- Stanislas Wawrinka +5000
- Soonwoo Kwon +5000
- Marc Andrea Huesler +5000
- Tallon Griekspoor +5000
- David Goffin +5000
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina +5000
- Alexander Bublik +5000
- Botic Van De Zandeschulp +6600
- Lorenzo Sonego +6600
- Emil Ruusuvuori +6600
- Benjamin Bonzi +6600
- Tim Van Rijthoven +6600
- Richard Gasquet +8000
- Gijs Brouwer +25000
First Quarter– Tsitsipas and Carreno Busta Headline
- Top Seeds: No. 1 Tsitsipas and No. 7 Carreno Busta
- Dangerous Floater(s): Sinner and Wawrinka
World No. 3 Tsitsipas falls into a formidable quarter that is flanked by No. 7 Pablo Carreno Busta on the opposite end and features dangerous floaters Jannik Sinner and Alexander Bublik in the mix.
Tsitsipas opens his campaign against up-and-coming Emil Ruusuvuori. Should the No. 1 Greek survive the R32, he will take on the winner of Benjamin Bonzi and Sinner.
Sinner ranks inside the Top 20 and is coming off a title-winning run at the Open Sud de France in Montpellier. The Italian’s recent form is ominous and that makes him a legitimate stumbling block in the Greek’s path. That said, Tsitsipas has the 5-1 head-to-head edge over Sinner, which includes a 1-0 edge in 2023 after he defeated the 21-year-old Italian in the Australian Open R16.
Carreno Busta’s path to the last eight appears to be more straightforward with a matchup against veteran Richard Gasquet in the opening round. Gasquet is a tricky prospect. He won the ASB Classic to start the season, but subsequently crashed out of the first round of his next two tournaments, including his home event in Montpellier last week.
Should Carreno Busta overcome Gasquet and advance into the R16, he will face the winner of veteran Stanislas Wawrinka and Alexander Bublik. The Swiss vet has only one match under his belt this season, a five-set marathon at the Australian Open first round. Nevertheless, he’s a three-time Grand Slam champion and that makes him a bit of a wild card as he attempts to reclaim the form of his heyday.
- First Quarter Winner: Sinner
Allez! Merci Montpellier 💪🏼🦊7️⃣
Thanks to my team as always 🙏🏼 pic.twitter.com/EqN0iNAVI2
— Jannik Sinner (@janniksin) February 12, 2023
Second Quarter: Rune and Zverev Highlight
Top Seeds: No. 4 Rune and No. 7 Zverev
Dangerous Floater(s): Griekspoor and Kwon
If the second quarter of the draw falls in line with the seeding, tennis betting fans will be treated to a blockbuster showdown between 18-year-old Holger Rune and Alexander Zverev (hope springs eternal).
Rune is coming off a quarterfinal appearance at the Australian Open, a match that saw him cruelly robbed of a satisfying loss (or win) by the net.
The Danish teenager is appearing in his fourth event of the year. Last week, he was a semifinalist at the Open Sud de France (l. to Maxime Cressy). He is 7-3 on the season and fast climbing the ATP rankings.
Rune begins his tournament against French qualifier Constant Lestienne. In the R16, he’s slated to come up against the winner of Dutch wild card Gijs Brouwer and Marc-Andrea Huesler.
Zverev flanks the opposite corner of this section and looms as a potential quarterfinalist. However, the German faces a tough opener against dangerous floater Soonwoo Kwon. Should he overcome the Korean, he will take on the winner of qualifier Mikael Ymer vs Dutch wild card Tallon Griekspoor.
- Second Quarter Winner: Rune
Andrey Rublev on match point vs Holger Rune:
When I hit it in beginning, I saw how the ball clearly hit the net and was on my side…. I don't know how it went over..pic.twitter.com/DBPkFX0Cb9
— 𝐿𝓁𝒶𝓂𝒶 𝕊𝕒𝕪𝕤☄🌠🚀 (@tennis_lol) January 23, 2023
Third Quarter: Medvedev and Auger-Aliassime On Collision Course
- Top Seeds: No. 3 Auger-Aliassime and No. 6 Medvedev
- Dangerous Floater(s): Davidovich-Fokina, Coric, Goffin, Sonego and Van De Zandeschulp
The third quarter is the proverbial group of death, with defending champion and No. 3 seed Auger-Aliassime headline this section alongside former World No. 1 and tournament betting online favorite Medvedev and Alejandro Davidovich-Fokina, Borna Coric and Botic Van de Zandeschulp all contained within.
Medvedev opens his campaign against Davidovich-Fokina, who is a dogged competitor that can beat just about anybody on a good day. Should the Russian overcome the Spaniard in the first round, he will face the winner of Coric vs Van de Zandschulp in the R16.
Medvedev is making his first appearance since his Australian Open campaign was cut short by Sebastian Korda in the third round. His best run came in Adelaide where he reached the semis (l. to Novak Djokovic). He is 5-2 on the season and still searching for his first title.
Auger-Aliassime proved to be a bit of an indoor hard court guru in 2022. After winning his maiden ATP Tour level title in Rotterdam, the 22-year-old won three consecutive indoor hard court tournaments in the fall.
For the first time in his career, Auger-Aliassime will be defending a title. He has no experience of it or the kind of pressure a title-defense campaign comes with and that might make him vulnerable to the upset.
The Canadian kicks off his campaign against Lorenzo Sonego of Italy. Sonego is a bit of a dark horse, even though he comes into Rotterdam on a losing 3-4 record. After a slow start to the season, the Italian appears to be gaining momentum and is coming off a quarterfinal run in Montpellier.
Should Auger-Aliassime overcome his tricky first-round opponent, he could face the quintessential dangerous floater in David Goffin or qualifier Gregoire Barrere.
- Third Quarter Winner: Medvedev
Auger-Aliassime 🇨🇦 practicing with birthday boy Hurkacz 🇵🇱 to get ready for title defense. #abnamroopen #felixaugeraliassime #huberthurkacz #rotterdam #atp500 pic.twitter.com/GqoJ3GYF4Y
— TennisONE App (@TennisONEApp) February 11, 2023
Fourth Quarter: Rublev and Hurkacz Drawn
- Top Seeds: No. 2. Rublev and No. 5 Hurkacz
- Dangerous Floater(s): De Minaur, Cressy and Van Rijthoven
The fourth quarter of the draw features former champion Andrey Rublev and Poland’s No. Hubert Hurkacz. Interspersed in this section are dangerous floaters Maxime Cressy and Tim Van Rijthoven.
The Russian is making his first appearance since reaching the Australian Open semis (l. to Djokovic). His path to the quarterfinals is challenging to say the least with Australia’s Alex De Minaur slated as his first round opponent. Indeed, the Aussie leads the H2H series 2- to-1.
Should Rublev advance, he will face the winner of Cressy vs Van Rijthoven. The American reached the Open Sud de France final where he lost to Sinner 7-6 (3), 6-3.
Hurkacz is the highest seed in this section and if the draw falls in line with the seeding, he should emerge in the last eight. Hurkacz is playing his first tournament since crashing out of the fourth-round of the Australian Open. He begins his campaign against wily veteran Roberto Bautista Agut.
In the R16, Hurkacz could face veteran Grigor Dimitrov or journeyman player and qualifier Aslan Karatsev. Both of these could prove trickier than the tennis odds would suggest.
- Fourth Quarter Winner: Rublev
Practice videos with Sascha Zverev and Andrey Rublev today in Rotterdam 💥💥
🎞️ gbonfimm ig pic.twitter.com/RRAbNC897h
— sascha zverev gifs (@saschashoulders) February 11, 2023
Tennis Betting Lookahead Predictions:
- Predicted Top Half Semifinal: Sinner vs Rune
- Predicted Bottom Half Semifinal: Medvedev vs Rublev
- Predicted Final: Rune vs Medvedev