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Djokovic Returns, Tops ATP Rome Betting Picks

Novak Djokovic is back in action at the ATP Italian Open in Rome this week, and he’s the current +190 tennis betting favorite.

The Serbian meets a field without Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner, so he’s the clear top pick for this tournament.

Djokovic Returns, Tops ATP Rome Betting Picks
Novak Djokovic of Serbia/JEAN CATUFFE / DPPI via AFP

Looking to cause an upset is Alex Zverev and Casper Ruud, who have attracted attention in betting markets.


Odds Favor Serbian Superstar to Win 99th Title

Djokovic is a 98-time tournament winner, and he’s closing in on the big 100.

Winning in Rome would take him closer, and the pinnacle could come at the French Open later this year.

The +190 favorite deserves to be short in betting markets, and after opening at +250, most of the money has come for him.

He was a beaten semifinalist in Monte Carlo by Ruud, but he has been battling injuries and that’s of great concern.

However, the 36-year-old has been battling ailments over the last few years, and that hasn’t slowed him down too much.

The 2024 season hasn’t quite gone the way he expected, but we’re backing him to win at short odds.



Betting Price is Right for Ruud

Casper Ruud is having a 2024 to remember, including a win in Barcelona when beating Stefanos Tsitsipas in straight sets.

The 25-year-old from Norway has always had the ability to play well consistently, and the clay court season is a good time to strike.

Clay gives you a few extra split seconds to think about where you want to hit the shot. For me the cross is more natura,l but when I have a little more time to set up a shot, it’s a little easier to go down the line if I am on the back foot or on defense,” Ruud said.

He lost in the Round of 16 in Madrid last week to Canadian Felix Auger-Aliassime, who made the final.

It’s a good form guide and getting +1200 is a great price. We rated him around +800 considering his recent form, so take the value available.


Are the Odds Against Nadal?

Every tennis fan would love to see Rafael Nadal return to his best form, and there has been solid betting support.

The Spaniard is embattled by injuries, but this is his final year on the ATP Tour, and the +1400 odds suggests he’s a chance to win.

He was beaten in the Round of 16 last week 7-5, 6-4. It wasn’t his finest performance, but he wasn’t far off beating a top-30 player.

He had already beaten the likes of Alex de Minaur and Pedro Cachin throughout the tournament in Madrid, so he’s still good enough to beat quality players.

Clay season is when he strikes, and we’re rooting for him.


Generous Odds for Rublev Coming Off Win in Madrid

Andrey Rublev won the Madrid Open last week, so we thought he would be shorter than +1600.

The Russian got past Auger-Aliassime in three sets in the final, and it was good to see the 26-year-old fight hard for the win.

It wasn’t an easy tournament for him, facing second seed Alcaraz in the quarters and Taylor Fritz in the semis. He got past those players, and we fancy his chances of winning consecutive tournaments.

We rate him around +1100, so his tennis odds are generous.



Questions Of The Day

Who is the best clay-court player in the tournament?

Novak Djokovic has three French Open titles, so he’s the best clay courter, despite it not being his favorite surface.

Who is the form player of the ATP Italian Open?

Andrey Rublev comes off a win in Madrid, so he’s the form player, and bettors get value odds.

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