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Monte-Carlo Masters: Alcaraz, Djokovic Betting Favorites in Monte Carlo

Rublev Eyes Second Straight Title in Monte Carlo

After some entertaining hard-court Masters events in Miami and Indian Wells, the focus turns to the clay-court season and preparation for the French Open. Most of the top players in the world are entered in the Monte-Carlo Masters with Carlos Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic leading the for the 56-player draw.

When looking at the Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters odds, just one top-20 ranked player is missing from the field.

Monte-Carlo Masters: Alcaraz, Djokovic Betting Favorites in Monte Carlo
Monte-Carlo Masters: Alcaraz, Djokovic Betting Favorites in Monte Carlo

One player who won’t be competing is 11-time Monte Carlo singles champion Rafael Nadal after he withdrew from the tournament.

Andrey Rublev topped Holger Rune in the 2023 men’s singles final after two-time defending champion Stefanos Tsitsipas lost in the semifinals.

When looking at the tennis betting lines, Carlos Alcaraz (+180), Novak Djokovic (+250), and Jannik Sinner (+300) are well ahead of the other contenders according to the Monte-Carlo Masters outrights.

No. 13 seed Taylor Fritz is among the players in action as the main draw begins on Sunday with the champion being crowned on April 14.


Alcaraz and Djokovic on Collision Course?

American Ben Shelton is the only top 20 player not in the field so keep that in mind when looking at the Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters Odds.

The tournament announced that 2014 champion Stan Wawrinka and 2016 finalist Gael Monfils are among the players receiving wild cards.

Wawrinka joins two-time champions Djokovic, Stefanos Tsitsipas, and Rublev as former winners of the event in the field.

Djokovic is considered a player to beat in any tournament he enters. However, Alcaraz comes in at +140 in the French Open men’s singles outrights according to the ATP tennis odds followed by Djokovic at +225.

Djokovic and Alcaraz could meet in the semifinals.

Fritz is in Djokovic’s portion of the draw as is Lorenzo Musetti, who upset Djokovic in the 2023 event.

Rublev and Alex de Minaur could be waiting in the quarterfinals.

Casper Ruud, hard-serving Hubert Hurkacz, and Uga Humbert are the seeded players in Alcaraz’s portion of the draw. Keep that in mind when it comes to tennis betting options.

No. 4 seed Daniil Medvedev has Alexander Zverev, Stefanos Tsitsipas, and Karen Khachanov as possible seeded players to contend while the final quarter includes No. 2 seed Jannik Sinner, No. 7 Holger Rune, No. 9 Grigor Dimitrov, and No. 16 Alexander Bublik.

Nadal Still Ailing

Nadal won eight straight titles in Monte Carlo from 2005-2012 and after a three-year title drought at the tournament he has dominated, Nadal won the championships in 2016, 2017, and 2018.

With Nadal taking to social media to announce his decision to withdraw, this will be the third year in a row that he will miss the Monte Carlo tournament. That certainly impacted the Las Vegas odds for the Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters event.

“Unfortunately I have to tell you that I am not going to be playing in Monte-Carlo. My body simply won’t allow me,” he said. “And even if I am working hard and making the maximum effort every day with all the will to play and compete again at tournaments that have been very important for me, the truth is that I can’t play today.

“You have no idea how hard this is for me to not be able to play these events. The only thing I can do is to accept the situation and try to look at the immediate future keeping the excitement and will to play in order to give me a chance for things to get better.”

Nadal has been seen practicing on the clay courts so perhaps he can be ready to return to the French Open, a tournament he has won a record 14 times.

Nadal returned to the tour in Brisbane in January when he won a pair of matches. He was pointing toward a return at the French Open, a tournament he has won 14 times. He currently is third at +400 in the odds to win the French Open but his participation in the next Grand Slam event is very much in question.

A Look Back

Six of the top eight seeds advanced to the quarterfinals in the 2023 Monte Carlo tournament.

Djokovic dropped the final two sets to Musetti in the third round while fourth-seeded Ruud lost in straight sets to qualifier Jan-Lennard Struff.

All four quarterfinals were decided in straight sets with  Rublev eliminating Struff, Rune taking out No. 3 seed Medvedev, seventh-seeded Sinner dropping just two games to oust Musetti, and Fritz knocking out No. 2 seed and two-time defending champion Tsitsipas 6-2, 6-4.

Both Rune and Rublev lost the first set in the semifinals before rallying past Sinner and Fritz with Rublev winning 7-5 in the third set in the title match. Rune fell short in his bid to become the first teenager to win the title in Monte Carlo since Nadal in 2006.

Way Too Early Predictions for Semifinals, Final

  • Top Half Semifinal Prediction: Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz
  • Bottom Half Semifinal Prediction: Vekic vs Jannik Sinner
  • Final: Djokovic vs Sinner



Questions of the Day

Who is favored to win the title in Monte Carlo?

Carlos Alcaraz is priced at +180 followed by Novak Djokovic at +250, and Jannik Sinner at +400 in the odds to win the Monte-Carlo Masters tournament.

How many former champions are in the field in the ATP event in Monte Carlo?

Two-time champions Novak Djokovic and Stefanos Tsitsipas join 2023 champion Andrey Rublev, and Stan Wawrinka are the only players who have won the men’s singles title in Monte Carlo currently a part of the main draw.

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