There are five players quoted at single-figure odds at ATP Rio de Janeiro, so we’re expecting an even tennis tournament.
Headlining the betting online field is Casper Ruud, who is fresh off a finals appearance at the Argentina Open.
However, looking to chase him down are the likes of Carlos Alcaraz, Matteo Berrettini and Diego Schwartzman.
Ruud Excelling in South America
Norway’s Casper Ruud has been in stellar form since arriving in South America, which included making the final of the Argentina Open.
The rising star reached the top 10 last year and we don’t see him slowing down anytime soon. The 23-year-old has the game to contest the big events, especially the Rio Open, where he is the current sportsbook favorite.
Despite his success on the ATP circuit, Ruud still believes he needs to improve to beat the best.
“For me, Grand Slams this year will be the tournaments where I feel I have the most to improve, because last year I did well here but the three other ones, I wasn’t able to do as well as I hoped,” Ruud told ATP Tour at the Australian Open.
“I think that even though I was able to break into the Top 10 last year and have my best year on tour, I still feel like I’m a little bit behind the really top guys. … They are a bit on a different level, I think.”
We expect Ruud to make another deep run at the Rio Open and the +275 odds are reflective of his ability.
Teenager Continuing Rise
Carlos Alcaraz made a name for himself when making a deep run in the U.S. Open last year, and he’s playing well enough to win in Rio.
The Spaniard was beaten in the third round of the Australian Open by Berrettini, but he pushed the Italian to a fifth-set tie-breaker.
It was almost a massive comeback from the 18-year-old but, despite the defeat, he should be confident of producing the goods on the clay court.
He made the third round of the 2021 French Open, so he’s accustomed to the surface and he won the ATP Next Gen Finals that same year.
Alcaraz doesn’t model himself after any player, but believes his game is similar to Roger Federer.
“Honestly, I don’t copy any style of players. I just play my game,” Alcaraz said. “But if I have to say one player that is similar to my game, I think it’s Federer. I think it’s similar to my game, trying to be aggressive all the time with the forehand, backhand. I think I have to improve the serve a little bit. But I think it’s similar.”
Tennis odds have Alcaraz on the second line of betting at +400, so he’s the biggest threat to tournament favorite Casper Ruud.
Garin at Value Odds
Cristian Garin is the fifth seed for the Rio Open, but that isn’t reflected in tennis betting markets.
The Chilean is +2500 to win in Rio, which could have something to do with his loss in the Round 16 at the Cordoba Open, but he could bounce back.
Despite winning the first set 6-4, Garin lost 6-4, 1-6, 1-6, to crash out of the tournament.
His best form comes on clay courts, where all five of his ATP Tour wins have come, including the 2020 Rio Open. Having experience winning this tournament is ideal and we can’t believe the odds available.