US Open Men’s Update: Top Seeds Still Top Picks
The top US Open picks remain intact in the US Open men’s draw, including Novak Djokovic, Carlos Alcaraz and Daniil Medvedev.
That means our US Open predictions are alive and well at the third-round stage, and it’s now down to the business end of the tournament.

Our sportsbook has Tennis live betting odds available, where Djokovic is still favored to win and extend his Grand Slam record.
Djokovic Takes Top Ranking
Despite starting the US Open as the No. 2-ranked player, the Serbian star has overtaken Alcaraz as world No. 1.
It hasn’t had much of an effect on sport betting markets. Djokovic is still the short favorite to win after defeating Alexandre Muller and Bernabe Zapata Miralles without dropping a set.
That was expected from the 36-year-old, who despite nearing retirement, is still playing at a high level.
Djokovic hasn’t won the US Open since 2018, for a varying number of reasons. Therefore, he has a point to prove at Flushing Meadows, and he’s off to a flying start.
Djokovic is now a -120 chance to win the US Open, but Alcaraz is on the second line of betting at +150.
Alcaraz wants his top spot back according to US Open news, and we’re surprised by his drifting odds despite playing well so far.
“I said before that we are having a really good battle for the No 1, Novak and I,” Alcaraz said.
“I knew that he was going to recover the No. 1 after US Open. When the tournament is over, I will try to recover as soon as possible. That’s my goal.”
Medvedev Shortens
Medvedev couldn’t have been more impressive in his opening-round victory against Attila Balazs.
The Russian won 6-1, 6-1, 6-0, and although it came against an unheralded opponent, it still takes some effort to win that easily.
The 27-year-old is a former US Open champion, and he’s one of only a few players good enough to beat Djokovic and Alcaraz.
His opening odds of +900 have firmed to +750, which could have something to do with HolgerRune being bounced in the opening round.
Rune, who was the fourth seed, made news by complaining about his court draw prior to losing to Roberto Carbelles Baena.
The shocking loss made the men’s draw much easier as Rune was one of the better value picks of the tournament.
Rune’s defeat shortened Medvedev’s odds with online gambling markets, and he could continue to shorten over the next week.
Daniil Medvedev asked to see the doctor after losing the 3rd set to O’Connell at US Open:
Doctor: “Do you have any symptoms?”
Daniil: “Yeah. I lost the set… give me whatever you gave him.”
Don’t ever change. pic.twitter.com/IMn4TwuOS2
— The Tennis Letter (@TheTennisLetter) September 1, 2023
Americans Making Moves in Oddsboard
There is a group of Americans favored at generous odds to win the US Open, including Taylor Fritz, Frances Tiafoe and Tommy Paul.
Fritz has been best-backed to win at +2000 following a straight-sets win against fellow American Steve Johnson.
He then dispatched Juan Pablo Varillas in straight sets, so he’s on fire, and bettors get value odds.
The top 10 player could be one worth following throughout the tournament, and he could pay value odds in the third and fourth round.
Tiafoe and Paul are also capable of producing the upset. Tiafoe looked better last year, and while his form in 2023 has been mixed, his power forehand is a weapon.
Paul is a mainstay at the ATP 250 and 500 events, and although yet to score a breakthrough win at a higher level, he’s a chance to score an upset at +5000.