Wimbledon Women’s Draw & Odds Analysis
Swiatek Eyes Second Grand Slam in a Row
There will be a new champion in the women’s game crowned at the All England Club, after 2021 Wimbledon champion Ashleigh Barty, called time on her career earlier this year.
World No.1 Iga Swiatek, priced at +150 to win Wimbledon, is the likeliest heir apparent. Why else would the bookmakers tip the 21-year-old as the overwhelming favorite and player to beat?
Swiatek won her second French Open title, is unbeaten in 35 matches, and looks the part of a dominant World No.1. The next best bet after Swiatek on the tennis odds board is Ons Jabeur, albeit priced at a far-flung +800.
To illustrate the difference between them in betting, one needs to look no further than the implied probability of their odds. Swiatek, at +150, has an implied probability of 40%. Jabeur, by contrast, has an implied probably of 11.1% with her +800 odds. Need one say more?
After Swiatek and Jabeur, the rest of the players are priced in quadruple digits, beginning with Coco Gauff at +1000. Followed by Simona Halep (+1400), Jelena Ostapenko (+1600), Petra Kvitova (+1800), and so on.
Below, we look at the top bets as they currently stand at the BetUS sportsbook and examine the Wimbledon draw in the women’s game.
2022 Wimbledon Outrights
- Iga Swiatek +150
- Ons Jabeur +800
- Coco Gauff +1000
- Simona Halep +1400
- Jelena Ostapenko +1600
- Petra Kvitova +1800
- Beatriz Haddad-Maia +1800
- Belinda Bencic +1800
- Serena Williams +2000
- Maria Sakkari +2000
- Bianca Andreescu +2200
- Angelique Kerber +2500
- Amanda Anisimova +3000
- Emma Raducanu +4000
- Anett Kontaveit +5000
Swiatek’s Quarter Loaded With Past Champions
Swiatek spearheads a first quarter that is brimming with championship pedigree. In the seeded corner are No. 13 Barbora Krejcikova (2021 French Open) and No. 9 Garbine Muguruza (2016 French Open and 2017 Wimbledon). In addition, former US Open champions Sloane Stephens and Bianca Andreescu are found in this section, albeit as unseeded threats.
On paper, this is quite the daunting championship circle, and falling into the midst of it can bring its challenges. However, nobody is enjoying the kind of form Swiatek is. Moreover, all the aforementioned former champions have had their ups and downs this season.
In-form players such as Jessica Pegula (seeded eighth), Elena Rybakina (No. 17), and Shelby Rogers (No. 30) are players to watch down the line in this section. In the earlier rounds, No. 18 Jil Teichmann and No. 27 Yulia Putintseva..
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Serena, Badosa, Pliskova Highlight Second Quarter
The second quarter is akin to the proverbial “group of death,” with top players, tennis betting favorites, underdogs, and sleepers all rolled into one section.
Fourth seed Paula Badosa and 2021 Wimbledon finalist, Karolina Pliskova, flank the second quarter as the highest seeds. However, in their midst is literally the GOAT of women’s tennis, Serena Williams.
But that’s not all. Two of the bookmaker’s Top Five contenders — Coco Gauff and Simona Halep — are also drawn into the second quarter, along with two-time Wimbledon champion Petra Kvitova, who is coming off a title victory in Eastbourne.
As well, up-and-coming Amanda Anisimova, outsider Camila Giorgi, and dangerous floater Karolina Muchova are in this section. Which player will emerge from this corner is anybody’s guess because anyone of these players could reach the quarterfinals or beyond..
Jabeur Draws Raducanu, Keys and Kerber
Jabeur has fallen into a relatively wide-open section that includes an interesting smattering of veteran and youthful talent — some of which are made champions already.
Three-time grand slam champion Angelique Kerber is in Jabeur’s path and looms as a potential R16 opponent. The 34-year-old claimed her last championship title at the All England Club in 2018, beating Serena Williams in a surprisingly one-sided final.
Britain’s Emma Raducanu, the winner of the 2021 US Open, is also in this quarter and is a potential quarterfinal opponent for Jabeur. The Briton reached the R16 last year.
Veteran Kaia Kanepi (No. 31), Americans Madison Keys (No.19) and Alison Riske (No.28), and Belgium’s Elise Mertens (No.24) are the seeded threats in this section. The unseeded threats include Kristina Mladenovic, Clara Tauson, and Katerina Siniakova, to name a few. To follow the exciting tennis match between Giulio Zeppieri and Antoine Escoffi in the Challenger Rovereto tournament
Sakkari and Kontaveit Flank Fourth Quarter,
Greek No.1 Maria Sakkari and Estonian No. 1 Anett Kontaveit fall into the fourth quarter, but they’re faced with several major stumbling blocks. These come namely in the form of No. 12 Jelena Ostapenko, No. 14 Belinda Bencic, and No. 23 Beatriz Haddad-Maia – three players tipped among the Top Six betting online favorites to win the coveted title.
Indeed, if the odds are any indication, Sakkari or Kontaveit will be hard-pressed to win this quarter at the expense of one of the aforementioned trio.
Ostapenko is coming off a runner-up finish in Eastbourne while Bencic finished runner-up to Jabeur in Berlin. Haddad-Maia picked up two titles in Nottingham and Birmingham before reaching the semis of Eastbourne last week.
