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With Djokovic Out of French Open, Odds Shift in Men’s Bracket

The biggest news of the French Open came off the court with Tuesday’s announcement that defending men’s singles champion Novak Djokovic had to pull out of his quarterfinal match with two-time Roland Garros finalist Casper Ruud. Djokovic was listed by the tennis betting lines as the favorite in the match.

With Djokovic out of the tournament and 14-time winner Rafael Nadal falling in the first round, this will be the first French Open without Djokovic, Nadal or Roger Federer in the men’s singles final since 2004, when Gaston Gaudio won 8-6 in the fifth set against fellow Argentina star Guillermo Coria.

With Djokovic Out of French Open, Odds Shift in Men’s Bracket
Novak Djokovic of Serbia | Matthieu Mirville / DPPI Matthieu Mirville / DPPI via AFP

This is not the first time Djokovic was forced out of a Grand Slam event .

He was defaulted after accidentally hitting a lineswoman in the throat after losing his serve late in the first set against Pablo Carreno Busta in the 2020 US Open. He retired in the third set of the 2019 US Open against Stan Wawrinka after his opponent won the first two sets in the fourth-round showdown.

The tennis odds had Djokovic third at +550 in the French Open men’s tennis outrights before news of his withdrawal became official.


It is Not a Ruud Awakening

There was no guarantee that Djokovic was going to get past Casper Ruud even if he was able to hit the court for the quarterfinal match.

Djokovic won the first five meetings with Ruud, but when they met in Monte Carlo in April, Ruud emerged with the 6-4, 1-6, 6-4 win even though Djokovic won more points in the match.

Djokovic came into the tournament dealing with a right knee injury.

In the second set of the Round of 16 match with Francisco Cerundolo, he called for the trainer. Djokovic needed to win the fourth set 7-5 and the fifth set 6-3 to advance to the quarterfinals in his 12th straight Grand Slam tournament.

He addressed the injury with the media after the match.

“I don’t know what will happen tomorrow — or after tomorrow, if I’ll be able to step out on the court and play,” Djokovic said. “I hope so. Let’s see what happens.

Djokovic was priced at -475 by the sportsbook odds to top Ruud in the 2023 French Open final. He was not going to be such a heavy favorite in the rematch.

Djokovic will turn his attention to Wimbledon. He has the second-shortest odds at +175 in the Wimbledon men’s singles outrights, behind only Carlos Alcaraz. There are early reports stating that an MRI showed ligament damage that might require surgery and that could put Wimbledon at risk for Djokovic.

It has been a bit of a grind for Ruud at Roland Garros.

The Norwegian needed five sets to beat Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the second round and won in four sets versus Tomas Martin Etcheverry and American Taylor Fritz to reach the quarterfinals.


Djokovic Injury Opens Door for Ruud, Zverev, De Minaur

With Djokovic out of the top half of the draw, that leaves Ruud, Alexander Zverev and Alex de Minaur left to compete in the top half of the draw.

It also means that for the first time since Djokovic won his first title at Roland Garros with a four-set win over Andy Murray, the men’s singles final at the French Open will feature two players looking for their first title at the tournament.

Ruud is a three-time Grand Slam singles finalist. He lost to Djokovic in 2023 and fell to Rafael Nadal in 2022 in Paris. Ruud also made it to the 2022 US Open final where he lost in four sets to Carlos Alcaraz.

Zverev’s lone Grand Slam singles final came at the 2020 US Open, when he lost to Dominic Thiem despite winning the first two sets.

The best result for de Minaur at a Grand Slam singles tournament before this event was a trip to the US Open in 2020.

Zverev is priced at -245 to win in the quarterfinals against de Minaur with -115 odds for the match to go over or under 37.5 games.



Sinner Soaring to No. 1

With Djokovic losing the points as the defending French Open champion, No. 2 Jannik Sinner will be the No. 1 player when the updated ATP rankings are released next week.

Sinner dispatched Grigor Dimitrov in straight sets to reach the semifinals in the first of the French Open men’s singles quarterfinals.

Sinner is coming off his first Grand Slam singles title. He won the Australian Open in January when he beat No. 5 Andrey Rublev, No. 1 Djokovic and No. 3 Daniil Medvedev to become the first Italian men’s player to win the Grand Slam singles title since Adriano Panatta won the 1976 French Open.



Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.


Questions Of The Day

When was the last time that Novak Djokovic failed to reach the semifinals in a Grand Slam tournament he entered?

Djokovic lost to Rafael Nadal in the 2022 French Open quarterfinals.

When was the last time that Novak Djokovic failed to win a Grand Slam singles title?

In 2017, Djokovic lost in the quarterfinals at the French Open and at Wimbledon, was upset in the second round at the Australian Open and did not play in the US Open.

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