Australia and Canada booked their places in the final of the 2022 Davis Cup tournament, slated to get underway on Sunday in Malaga, Spain.
Australia was the first country to punch its ticket with an upset over Croatia on Friday. Canada followed suit the next day after overcoming Italy.
Davis Cup betting odds are currently trading across the sportsbook platform. Predictably. Canada, the Davis Cup favorites at the start of the week, enter the tournament’s final stanza priced as the team to beat. Australia, one of the tournament longshots, are the conspicuous underdog again.
As we’ve seen over the course of this week, from the quarterfinals to the semifinal, the rounds haven’t always fallen in line with the tennis betting markets.
Canada has delivered on its favorable status, so far. But in Australia, it faces a determined underdog that has punched above its weight class to reach the ultimate round. Thus, although the Canadians are expected to hoist the coveted trophy, they can’t take anything for granted.
Davis Cup Tennis Betting Odds
- Canada -225
- Australia +140
Australia Punching Above Its Weight Class
Australia entered the final eight as one of three tournament longshots, priced at +!200 to win the title. However, they’ve defied the tennis odds to reach the final by beating the Netherlands and Croatia.
Captain Lleyton Hewitt’s side needed two rubbers to clinch the 2:0 win over the Dutch in the quarterfinals, but they were made to work hard for those precious points as both went the distance.
Jordan Thompson came from a set down to beat Tallon Griekspoor 4-6, 7-5, 6-3. Then, Alex De Minaur battled from a set down to beat Botic Van de Zandeschulo 5-7, 6-3, 6-4.
1️⃣9️⃣ YEARS LATER!
— Davis Cup (@DavisCup) November 25, 2022
In the semifinals, the Australians came up against tournament favorites Croatia (co-favorites with Canada (+300) at the start of the week). Borna Coric got the Croatian off to a strong start by beating Thanasi Kokkinakis 6-4, 6-3. Then De Minaur got the Aussies on the board with a surprisingly straightforward 6-2, 6-2 win over veteran and 2014 US Open champion Marin Cilic.
In the decider, doubles partners Thompson and Max Purcell rallied from a set down to win 6-7 (3), 7-5, 6-4 and punched Australia’s ticket for the final.
Canada Battles Hard
Although the Canadians entered the tournament co-favored with Croatia at +300 to win the tournament, they’ve not had an easy run of it by any stretch of the imagination. Both knockout rounds saw the Canadians pushed the distance as they were forced to come from behind.
Germany took it to Canada in the quarterfinals, winning the opening rubber thanks to Jan-Lennard Struff’s upset over Denis Shapovalov, 6-3, 4-6, 7-6 (2). Felix Auger-Aliassime bailed his nation out by winning the second rubber against Oscar Otte in straight sets, 7-6 (1), 6-4. Then, Vasek Pospisil and Shapovalov combined to lift Canada into the semis with a three-set victory over their German counterparts, 2-6, 6-3, 6-3.
In the semifinals, Italy got off to a strong start behind Lorenzo Sonegoi’s win in the first rubber against Shapovalov, 7-6(4), 6-7(5), 6-4. Once again, it came down to Auger-Aliassime to save his nation’s bid. And, once again, he did so with a straight set win over Lorenzo Musetti, 6-3, 6-4.
This time in the decider, Auger-Aliassime paired with Pospisil to take down the Italians in straight sets, 7-6 (2), 7-5.
A MEGA YEAR FOR TEAM CANADA! 🇨🇦
After winning the ATP Cup, Canada reaches the final at the Davis Cup after defeating Italy 2-1!
Tomorrow they will face Australia for the title! 🏆 pic.twitter.com/kk8C5Zi8cd
— Relevant Tennis (@RelevantTennis) November 26, 2022
Australia vs Canada
Canada is favored to win this final at -225. But despite this favorable betting online outlook, they’re not infallible. Shapovalov lost both of his opening rubbers this week, putting the Canadians on the backfoot right in each of their ties from the start. Had it not been for the heroics of Auger-Aliassime and doubles aficionado Pospisil, the Canadians might have not even reached the semis, never mind the final.
The Australians had a favorable matchup against the Netherlands in the quarters, but they received no favors in the semis and deservedly earned their place in the final. Thanks to the inspired efforts of De Minaur and the championship-caliber play of doubles partners Thompson and Purcell (2022 Wimbledon Doubles champions), they took down the highly favored Croatians in their semifinal tie.
The pressure will be on Canada to deliver on its favorable Tennis odds, but the Australians are likely fancy their chances against them. It’s a right tossup, but the balance tips towards the Australians. Having beaten the Croatians (last year’s runners-up), Hewitt’s team could pull off the upset.