While the attention in the women’s singles draw was focused on retiring American tennis legend Serena Williams, the journey of Jessica Pegula as she reached a Grand Slam singles quarterfinal for the fourth time in the last two years has flown a bit under the radar.
That is about to change. Pegula, one of two remaining Americans in the women’s singles field, will need to defeat World No. 1 Iga Swiatek to advance past the quarterfinals in a Grand Slam singles event for the first time.
BetUS sportsbook predictably lists Swiatek as the favorite at -230, with Pegula coming in at +190. The total is set at 20½ games, the shortest of the four women’s quarterfinals.
Let’s check the latest Tennis picks, stats, injury reports, and Tennis odds for Pegula vs. Swiatek. We’ve plenty of Tennis predictions for you to consider.
US Open Outrights
- Iga Swiatek +175
- Caroline Garcia +375
- Coco Gauff +550
- Aryna Sabalenka +650
- Ons Jabeur +450
- Jessica Pegula +1000
- Karolina Pliskova +1000
Pegula Rolls Past Kvitova and into US Open quarters
Pegula rolled to a 6-3, 6-2 win over two-time Wimbledon singles champion Petra Kvitova.
Pegula won 68% of the points on her first serve and converted six of the seven break points to have a much easier time than anticipated by those making tennis predictions. She has reached the quarterfinals in three of the four Grand Slam events in 2022.
Pegula has dropped just one set in her first four matches. The No. 8 seed had little trouble in her first match in the tournament against a seeded player. She needed just 73 minutes to punch a ticket to the quarterfinals.
Pegula came into this tournament off runs to the semifinals in Toronto and quarterfinals in Cincinnati, so her strong play in New York is hardly a surprise.
Another American to take on No. 1 Seeded Swiatek
Iga Swiatek has been narrowing the field of American-born players in the women’s draw.
She topped Sloane Stephens 6-3, 6-2 in the second round and then eliminated Lauren Davis 6-3, 6-4 in the third round. Now comes a quarterfinal showdown with Pegula.
DIGGING IN for her first QF in NY 😤@iga_swiatek | #USOpen pic.twitter.com/wTmkYufy13
— wta (@WTA) September 5, 2022
Something to consider for those who bet online, like her quarterfinal opponent, Swiatek has lost just one set in the tournament. That came in the Round of 16 as Germany’s Julie Niemeier took the opening set 6-2. Swiatek dropped just four games in the final two sets.
Niemeier did have three more service aces than Swiatek, but 13 double faults and getting in just 48% of her first serves ended any hopes of an upset.
Swiatek won 18 of 24 points at the net and advanced even though Niemeier had five more winners than Swiatek.
Pegula vs Swiatek Head-to-Head
Swiatek won both matches against the 28-year-old American in 2022.
In Miami, Swiatek won 6-2, 7-5; in the French Open quarterfinals, it was a 6-3, 6-2 victory.
Pegula did win the first meeting between the two 5-7, 6-4, 6-1 in the Round of 16 at the 2019 stop in Washington, D.C.
Pegula vs Swiatek Game Information
- Game: Pegula (31-16) vs. Swiatek (50-7)
- Location: Arthur Ashe, Flushing Meadows, Queens, New York
- Day/Time: Wednesday, Sept. 7th, 2022, TBA
- Pegula vs. Swiatek Live Stream: TennisTV
Pegula vs Swiatek Betting Lines
| Team | Game Hcp | Moneyline | Total | Team Total |
| Iga Swiatek | -4 Ev | -230 | 20½ -115o | 12½ +115o 12½ -135u |
| Jessica Pegula | +4 -120 | +190 | 20½ -105u | 10½ -110o 10½ -110u |
Pegula vs Swiatek Prediction
Both of Swiatek’s career Grand Slam singles titles have come on clay at the French Open. She has gradually been working her way into a second-week appearance in New York, going from losing in the second in 2019 to reaching the third round in 2020 and the fourth round in 2021. Now she is a win away from her third Grand Slam singles semifinal in 2022.
Pegula will need to continue her steady play and avoid the temptation to try to be perfect on every shot against the dominating Swiatek. Pegula has never advanced past the quarterfinals in a Grand Slam. While she looks at ease on the hard courts in New York and will have the support of the fans in the Big Apple, will she have enough to upset the No. 1 ranked player in the world? Swiatek has won 75% of her service games, which has allowed her to focus on putting pressure on breaking the serve of her opponents.
It would be a great story for Pegula to take that next step by stunning the No. 1 player in the world to reach the semifinals. However, with how Swiatek has played in 2022, it is pretty hard to pick against her as Swiatek looks to add her first US Open singles title to the French Open championship she won earlier this year.
The win at Roland Garros is the last title won by Swiatek as she lost her last four tournaments to players ranked 37th, 45th, and 24th in the world, so she isn’t quite as dominant as she was earlier in 2022.
