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Alcaraz Is Betting Favorite vs Zverev In French Open Men’s Final

Carlos Alcaraz arrived at Roland Garros listed as the betting favorite to win his first French Open men’s singles title and not much has changed as he heads into the final against Alexander Zverev.

The French Open men’s singles final is set to start shortly at 9 a.m. ET on Sunday and it will be televised on NBC and also is available on the Peacock live stream.

Alcaraz Is Betting Favorite vs Zverev In French Open Men's Final
Spain's Carlos Alcaraz-Alain JOCARD / AFP


Alcaraz Is Betting Favorite vs Zverev In French Open Men’s Final

The tennis odds have -275 odds for Alcaraz to win his third career Grand Slam title while Zverev comes in at +220 to win the title. Alcaraz at +125 to cover a -5½ spread could offer some value.

This will be the first men’s singles final at Roland Garros since 2004 that doesn’t include Novak Djokovic, Roger Federer, or Rafael Nadal. Even with Nadal and Djokovic in the singles draw, the French Open odds had the third-seeded Alcaraz as the pre-tournament favorite.


Zverev vs Alcaraz Head-to-Head History

This is the third meeting of the year between Alcaraz and Zverev. Zverev took out Alcaraz in four sets in the Australian Open quarterfinals in January. Alcaraz made quick work of Zverev, losing just four games in a straight-set win at the Indians Wells quarterfinals. Zverev leads the all-time series 5-4 and is 2-1 against Alcaraz at Grand Slams.


Alcaraz Goes After First Title at Roland Garros

How much does Alcaraz have left in the tank after a four-hour, five-set clash with rival Jannik Sinner in the semifinals?

He has gradually worked his way to the 2024 French Open men’s final. Alcaraz lost in the first round qualifying in his Roland Garros debut in 2020, got to the third round in 2021, reached the quarterfinals in 2022, and lost to eventual champion Novak Djokovic in four sets in the 2023 semifinals. Now he has a chance to take the final step.

Despite playing in just one clay-court event leading into the French Open due to injury, Alcaraz lost just one set in his first five matches before having to slug it out with Sinner.


Zverev Looks To Serve Up A French Open Title

After falling in the semifinals in each of the last three French Opens, Zverev overcame losing the first set to two-time French Open finalist Casper Ruud to advance to his first Grand Slam singles final since the 2020 US Open.

His journey to the final at Roland Garros began when Zverev opened this year’s French Open by topping 14-time champion Rafael Nadal in three sets. He was pushed to five sets by Tallon Griekspoor and Holger Rune.

It was a different story in the semifinals against Casper Ruud as he had two of his 19 aces in the final game in the 2-6, 6-2, 6-4, 6-2 win.

Those who bet online who might be wondering about the health of Alcaraz or didn’t want to side with Djokovic at another major were looking at Zverev as a title contender to keep an eye on after he won the Italian Open on clay as he dropped just one set in his six matches. That run in Rome was a boost to his confidence after he failed to get past the quarterfinals in the three previous warmup tournaments.

“Before this tournament, the clay court season didn’t go as well as I would have hoped for,” Zverev told the media after winning in Rome. “Of course, it’s all about finding your rhythm. I’m happy that I did it here right before Roland Garros.”


Alcaraz A Solid Pick To Add To Grand Slam Title Collection

Three of the last four French Open men’s singles finals were over in three sets. Those who think Alcaraz will finish off Zverev without dropping a set should consider the +200 odds for Alcaraz to sweep past Zverev.

The best betting option when looking at the sportsbook odds could be the +160 odds for the match to go four sets.

In their nine matches, Alcaraz has won 113 games to 109 for Zverev. Zverev has more than twice as many aces but also has 15 more double faults than Zverev.

Alcaraz has been more successful in winning points on his second serve while Zverev has won two of the three tiebreakers.

For those looking at the props for Zverev to win the first set, keep in mind that he has lost the opening set in three of his first six matches and needed a tiebreaker in another of those matches.

Alcaraz had won the first set in every match at this tournament before Sinner took the opening set in the semifinals.

It is hard to pick against Alcaraz as he eyes his first French Open title.

The next Grand Slam tournament is Wimbledon. With Novak Djokovic doubtful to play in the tournament, defending champion Alcaraz is the favorite at +135 with Australian Open champ Jannik Sinner at +150 in the Wimbledon men’s singles outrights.

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