Sacramento Kings
Australian Open Women’s Picks: Bet Sabalenka to Win Title January 25
- Bet Aryna Sabalenka to win the Australian Open in three sets.
- We expect the Aussie Open women’s final to go over 21.5 games.
- Make bank with our Australia Open picks! Join with our promo code HUDDLE125.
Madison Keys is a win away from becoming just the second U.S.-born player to win the Australian Open women’s singles title since Serena Williams won her seventh and final title in 2017. All she has to do is take out two-time defending champion Aryna Sabalenka. The tennis odds have Sabalenka priced at -350 to win in Melbourne again.
Sabalenka has looked unbeatable in recent Grand Slam events on hard courts. It makes the +250 odds for Keys to pull off the upset and win her first Grand Slam title a bit risky.
Sabalenka has won the last three matches against Keys since a three-set loss at the 2021 Betti Open in Berlin. Two of those losses have come in Grand Slams. In the most recent meeting, Sabalenka won 6-4, 6-3 at the China Open in October.
Keep reading for more on the matchup and our tennis predictions as Keys looks to build on her upset of Iga Swiatek in the semifinals.
Australian Open Women How to Watch
- Match: Madison Keys (No. 19 seed) vs Aryna Sabalenka (No. 1 seed)
- Location: Rod Laver Arena, Melbourne, AUS
- Day/Time: Saturday, Jan. 25, 3:30 a.m. ET
- Madison Keys vs Aryna Sabalenka Live Streaming: Fubo.tv
Australian Open Women’s Singles Final Betting Preview
Keys Eyeing First Major Title
Since reaching the semifinals at the 2023 US Open, Keys hasn’t advanced past the fourth round at a major. That changed when Keys upset Elena Rybakina in three sets to reach the quarterfinals.
Finals
📸 @AustralianOpen pic.twitter.com/gYTGCh8Wcf
— Madison Keys (@Madison_Keys) January 23, 2025
Keys lost the first set to Elina Svitolina in the quarterfinals and to Swiatek in the semifinals, but found a way to win each match as she is in a Grand Slam singles final for the first time since the 2017 US Open. We expect her to not go away easily in our tennis picks.
Bet Keys-Sabalenka Final Over 21.5 Games (-110)
Sabalenka Goes After A 3-Peat
It seems like ancient history since Sabalenka failed to reach the quarterfinals in her first six Australian Open appearances. That changed when she lost just one set on the way to winning the title in Melbourne in 2023. That is one more set than she dropped on the way to defending her title, per Australian Open betting trends.
Aryna Sabalenka has won 33 of her last 34 matches in hard court Grand Slams since 2023.
It’s getting ridiculous at this point.
— The Tennis Letter (@TheTennisLetter) January 23, 2025
Sabalenka defeated American players Emma Navarro and Jessica Pegula to win at the US Open in her last Grand Slam title. She topped a pair of ranked players to win the title in Brisbane after a disappointing result at the WTA Finals.
Bet Sabalenka -4.5 Games (-110)
Let’s Look at The Numbers
Keys leads the WTA Tour with 54 aces in 2025. Sabalenka is second break points saved and leads the tour by winning 77% of points on her first serve so it will be power against power in Saturday’s singles final.
The biggest difference between the two players might be in Grand Slam singles final appearances. The world No. 1 is 3-1 when playing for a Grand Slam title while Keys lost her only major final. Bet online for Sabalenka to win another Grand Slam.
Bet Sabalenka to Win in Three Sets (+250)
Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.
Questions of the Day
How many players have won three straight Australian Open women’s singles finals?
In the Open Era, Margaret Court, Evonne Goolagong, Steffi Graf, Monica Seles and Martina Hingis have won three consecutive Australian Open women’s singles titles.
What are the odds of a tiebreaker in the match?
There are +250 odds for a tiebreak needed in the Australian Open final.
