The latest tennis odds have Aryna Sabalenka favored to beat US Open champion Coco Gauff at the Australian Open.
It’s a semifinal worthy of a final in Melbourne, and there shouldn’t be much between the American and Belarusian. Sabalenka will look to avenge a loss to Gauff in last year’s US Open..
Sabalenka is notorious for choking in big matches, but there is plenty of confidence in betting markets for the Australian Open defending champion. She won her lone Grand Slam title here a year ago with a three-set win over Elena Rybakina.
Gauff vs Sabalenka Match Information
1.Match: Gauff vs Sabalenka
2.Date/Time: Jan. 25, 3:30 a.m. ET
3.Location: Melbourne Tennis Park, Melbourne, Australia
4.Gauff vs Sabalenka Live Stream: TennisTV
Most of the early betting support at the sportsbook has come for Sabalenka despite Gauff being the US Open champion. Gauff didn’t look as impressive in her quarterfinal win compared to Sabalenka, who won easily, but there could be value with her +150 odds. Sabalenka is the -220 favorite to make another Grand Slam final.
Gauff vs Sabalenka Odds and Spreads
Gauff vs Sabalenka Betting Trends
- Gauff has played an average of 19.6 games over the last year.
- Gauff has won 74.4% of her games on serve, and 42% on return.
- Gauff has converted 46.9% of break points over the last year.
- Sabalenka averages 20.8 games per match.
- Sabalenka holds serve at 78.1%, which drops to 38.5% in return games.
- Gauff is 3-2 against Sabalenka, winning 6-4, 6-0 in the most recent match.
- Of the 137 total games played against each other, Gauff has a 69-68 lead.
Gauff vs Sabalenka Over/Under Pick: Over 21½ Games (-120)
We expect a tight contest, which should go into a third set.
If that happens, over 21½ games is a generous line from sport betting markets, and all three sets could go the distance.
We can’t see either player getting blown out of the water, so the first set could be decided in a tiebreak, which gives bettors 13 games. That alone would be enough to see the total get smashed with an overhead slam.
Gauff went the distance in her quarterfinal, and although Sabalenka got through her opponent with ease, Gauff is a much harder opponent.
Handicap Pick: Gauff +3½ Games (-125)
There is reason to back Gauff as a tennis longshot at the odds, and although she might not win the match, she could cover the handicap.
Gauff has an awesome backhand, which keeps her in the match. Her lack of winners in the second set in her quarterfinal is worrying, but she has an excellent on-court attitude.
She doesn’t look at her coaches box every two seconds, which is rife in tennis at the moment. She’s calm, and she knows what it takes to win big matches.
Getting +3½ games allows her to either win or keep it close, and betting online markets have a generous line available.
Player Prop Pick: 1st Set Score – Sabalenka 7-6 (+900)
Predicting the winner and score of the first set isn’t easy, but bettors get value odds on tennis markets.
Sabalenka to win 7-6 in the opening set pays +900, so we’re happy to include the prop pick in our tennis selections for the Australian Open semifinal.
Gauff vs Sabalenka Prediction
Questions Of The Day
Can Aryna Sabalenka Play Her Best Tennis Against Gauff?
It’s hard to beat Gauff, who keeps getting the ball back in play. Sabalenka is a power player, who needs to hit the right shots to win.
Will Gauff vs Sabalenka Go Over 21½ Games
We can’t see either player winning in straight sets, so the match should go over 21½ games.
The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.