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Clash of Titans: Alcaraz Favored vs Sinner in Semis at French Open

This is going to be fun to watch as the future of men’s tennis is about to take over.

Carlos Alcaraz already has a pair of Grand Slam singles titles while Jannik Sinner is looking to make it two majors in a row after winning the Australian Open in January. This feels more like a Grand Slam final than a semifinal with the players ranked second and third in the ATP rankings set to meet at the French Open for the first time.

Clash of Titans: Alcaraz Favored vs Sinner in Semis at French Open
Spain's Carlos Alcaraz-Bertrand GUAY / AFP

The tennis betting odds have Alcaraz favored at -160 against the player who will take over the No. 1 ranking next week after Novak Djokovic was forced to pull out of his quarterfinal match against Casper Ruud. Sinner has +130 odds to win a second straight Grand Slam title.

Both Alcaraz and Sinner have dropped just one set in their first five matches at this year’s French Open. It is hard to believe that they haven’t crossed paths at a Grand Slam since Alcaraz won an entertaining five-set match at the 2022 US Open.

Alcaraz has even odds to win the title at Roland Garros for the first time according to the online tennis odds while Sinner is at +230 in French Open men’s outrights. The best value in the potential French Open championship matchups is at +375 for Casper Ruud to meet up with Jannik Sinner.



Alcaraz Looking Pretty Healthy in Roland Garros Run

Who would have thought that it would be No. 1 Novak Djokovic and not third-ranked Carlos Alcaraz forced out of this year’s French Open due to injury?

Since losing to Grigor Dimitrov in the Miami Open quarterfinals in late March, an ailing Alcaraz had played in only one tournament leading into the French Open.

In his first clay-court tournament since February, Alcaraz reached the quarterfinals in the ATP 1000 event in Madrid before losing in three sets to Andrey Rublev.

After dropping just four games against American JJ Wolf in the first round here, he did lose a set to qualifier Jesper de Jong but was already up by two sets.

Alcaraz looked very much like the player to beat as the online betting odds have proclaimed him to be with a dominant straight-set win over Felix Auger-Aliassime in the Round of 16.

It was a little more challenging against Stefanos Tsitsipas in the quarterfinals, but now Alcaraz is favored to advance to his first French Open men’s singles final.


Sinner Looking Not to Be a One-Slam Wonder

This has been quite the French Open for Italian stars. Players from Italy are in the men’s and women’s semifinals at Roland Garros in the same year for the first time with Sinner set to face Alcaraz while Jasmine Paolini upset Elena Rybakina to reach her first Grand Slam singles semifinal.

Sinner was 0-for-4 in his first four major quarterfinals before topping unseeded Roman Safiulin at Wimbledon in 2023. He took it one step further by upsetting Djokovic in the Australian Open semifinals in January and outlasting Daniil Medvedev in a five-set final for his first Grand Slam title.

Sinner followed that up by winning at Rotterdam and also capturing the title at the ATP 1000 event in Miami. He has made it into the quarterfinals in each of his seven tournaments.

He improved to 11-2 against top-20 players this year with his methodical 6-2, 6-4, 7-6 win over Dimitrov in the quarterfinals.

“Everything he does, he does it perfectly,” Alcaraz told the media after his quarterfinal win. “The way that he hits the ball is unbelievable. The way he moves, it’s really, really [good]. He pushes you to the limit in every ball, in every point. I think it is the hardest thing to face Jannik.

“At the same time, I love that. I love these kind of matches. I love this kind of challenge, to have a really difficult battle against him.”


Classic Semifinal Clash on Tap

Five of the last seven meetings between Alcaraz and Sinner have gone the distance and it will not be a surprise to see this showdown go down a similar path.

The last time they met, Alcaraz won just four more points than Sinner. Although Alcaraz leads the series, Sinner has won 10 more games.

Sinner has converted 49% of his break-point opportunities against Alcaraz with the Spaniard coming in at 32%.

Alcaraz has won five of the eight tiebreakers.

Sinner has 17 more service aces in this year’s tournament but also had seven more double faults. Alcaraz has faced eight additional break points than his rival.

Take a look at the -110 betting line for the first set to be tied 2-2 after four games. Alcaraz is the pick to score the -2½ game spread.



Sinner vs Alcaraz Head-to-Head History

The players have traded two-match winning streaks in the series with Alcaraz winning the first two meetings. Sinner took the next two and that included a win at Wimbledon in 2022. Alcaraz then won at the 2022 US Open quarterfinals and the 2023 Indian Wells semifinal.

Sinner won the next two meetings, winning four of the five sets before Alcaraz topped Sinner in three sets at Indian Wells to take the 5-4 lead in the series.



Questions Of The Day

When was the first time that Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz played at the French Open?

Sinner made his debut at Roland Garros in 2020 when he reached the quarterfinals with an upset against Alexander Zverev before running into Rafael Nadal. Alcaraz lost in the first round of qualifying at the 2020 French Open before advancing to the Round of 32 the following year.

What are the records for Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz in the main draw of the French Open?

Sinner is 16-4 at the French Open with Alcaraz going 16-3.

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