French Open Men’s Final Prediction and Picks, July 8: Bet Alcaraz (-120) to Repeat at Roland Garros
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- Carlos Alcaraz (-120) is a betting pick against Jannik Sinner.
- Include over 41.5 games (-115) in your tennis picks and parlays.

The pretenders to the throne have been sent home, or perhaps they are getting an early start on the move from clay courts to grass. The French Open men’s singles final that many who bet on tennis expected is upon us, with reigning champion Carlos Alcaraz set to meet up with top-ranked Jannik Sinner.
Alcaraz handled Sinner with ease in the Rome final and won a five-set marathon against Sinner at the 2024 French Open. I’m expecting a match similar to what transpired the last time the two stars met at Roland Garros.
The tennis odds have Alcaraz at -120 to win his fifth Grand Slam singles title. After his straight-set win over Novak Djokovic, the men’s French Open odds for Sinner have moved to -110.
Top 2 Picks for Sinner vs Alcaraz
1. Carlos Alcaraz ML (-120)
The players in the locker room are likely going to be pulling for Alcaraz considering the controversy surrounding Sinner. The top-ranked player in the ATP rankings was suspended for violating the anti-doping policies on tour. However, he was able to take the suspension so that he wouldn’t miss any Grand Slam tournaments. Now he has a chance to make it back-to-back Grand Slam titles.
Alcaraz’s game and style of play is made for clay courts. Alcaraz has lost four sets on his way to the French Open final. That is four more than Sinner as he made tennis news by becoming the first Italian to reach the French Open men’s singles final since Adriano Pannatta in 1976.
🎙️ “Jannik showed why he’s No.1 in the world”
Novak Djokovic congratulated Sinner on reaching the #RolandGarros final and expressed his gratitude to the crowd for their support tonight. 🎾👏 pic.twitter.com/5YcwdCnEtt
— Roland-Garros (@rolandgarros) June 6, 2025
It was hard to know what to make of the French Open odds since Sinner has played in just one tournament since winning the Australian Open. Now, the match is approaching pick ’em status per BetUS Sportsbook. Sinner hasn’t topped Alcaraz on clay since 2022.
Bet On Carlos Alcaraz ML (-120)
2. Over 41.5 Games (-115)
My tennis predictions have over 41.5 games cashing. This just feels like a match destined to go five sets after some disappointing results in the semifinals. More was expected from the legendary Djokovic than to lose three competitive sets. Alcaraz advanced when Lorenzo Mussetti retired in the fourth set.
After years of waiting…
WE FINALLY GET A CARLOS ALCARAZ AND JANNIK SINNER GRAND SLAM FINAL
Tennis needed this. pic.twitter.com/Bc6wwCZRU3
— The Tennis Letter (@TheTennisLetter) June 6, 2025
There have been an average of 47 games played in the three previous Grand Slam showdowns between Sinner and Alcaraz. Six of the last nine meetings between the rivals went the distance.
When making your tennis picks, feel good about the French Open men’s singles final landing over 41.5 games on Sunday morning.
Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz How to Watch
- Match: Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz
- Date/Time: Sunday June 8, 9:00 a.m. ET
- Location: Stade Roland Garros, Paris, France
- Sinner vs Alcaraz Live Stream: TennisTV
Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing.Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.
French Open Men’s Tennis FAQs
Who is the favorite to win the French Open men’s final?
Carlos Alcaraz is the -120 favorite against Jannik Sinner at the French Open Final.
What’s my best tennis prop pick for Alcaraz vs Sinner?
Over 41.5 games is my best tennis prop pick for Alcaraz vs Sinner in the French Open Final.