French Open Men’s Semifinal Predictions and Picks, 6/6: No Escape from Alcaraz (-7 Games)

All eyes are on defending champion Carlos Alcaraz, who plays Italian Lorenzo Musetti in the French Open semifinals on Friday morning.

Odds French Open have Alcaraz at -800, so the Spaniard is expected to breeze past the opposition.

Top 2 Picks for Musetti vs Alcaraz

1. Carlos Alcaraz -7 Games (-115)

Tennis betting lines have Alcaraz at -7 games, and although it might seem like a big number, he won by 13 games against Tommy Paul in the quarterfinals.

Musetti is a much better player on clay than Paul, but Alcaraz has a clear class advantage and I expect him to win in straight sets and cover the spread. He won 6-0, 6-1, 6-4 against Paul, a performance that can’t be understated.

It was an incredible and dominant performance from the Spanish superstar, who feels at home at Roland Garros. The defending champion should fancy his chances against Musetti, who needed four sets to get past Frances Tiafoe.

Musetti hasn’t faced overly tough opposition to this point, and he could be in for a rude awakening in the semifinal. If you bet on tennis, you know the dominance Alcaraz has over Musetti. Alcaraz has a 6-1 record against Musetti, with the only loss coming in 2022 in Hamburg.

Alcaraz won the most recent meeting 6-3, 7-6, and with this match being played over a longer format, Alcaraz is my pick to cover the -7 spread, so include him in French Open picks.

Bet on Carlos Alcaraz -7 Games (-115)

2. Under 34 Games (-115)

My tennis picks have Alcaraz winning in straight sets, which doesn’t guarantee under 34 games cashing, but he should win at least one of the sets by a big margin.

He blanked Paul in the opening set in the quarters and that’s because he’s so tough to hit winners against. He has a Novak Djokovic-like defense style, so even if Musetti thinks he’s hit a winner, Alcaraz will be there to send it back.

It’s widely reported in tennis news that Alcaraz wins so often because his opponents know they need to serve better than usual. That’s a lot of pressure to deal with, and because Musetti hasn’t been in this position before, the pressure could become too much.

I predict Alcaraz winning one set by at least 6-2, which should see the under cash with relative ease.

Bet on Under 34 games (-115)

Musetti vs Alcaraz Tennis FAQs

Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets