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Marathon Man: Zverev Favored to Outlast de Minaur at Roland Garros

Alex de Minaur dropped just six games over the final three sets to take out No. 5 seed Daniil Medvedev. Can he do it again in the quarterfinals against No. 4 Alexander Zverev? It won’t be easy as Zverev is eyeing a fourth straight trip to the French Open semifinals.

Tennis betting odds favor Zverev at -250 to make it to the French Open semifinals once again. There is some value for de Minaur at +205 to continue his best run at Roland Garros as he meets up with Zverev for the third time this year.

Marathon Man: Zverev Favored to Outlast de Minaur at Roland Garros
Alexander Zverev/Robert Szaniszlo/NurPhoto via AFP

Zverev has been on the court for more than four additional hours than de Minaur in this tournament. That is something to consider heading into the quarterfinal.

With Novak Djokovic out of the tournament, Zverev is now the third choice according to the online tennis odds to win the French Open. De Minaur remains a longshot.


Roland Garros Breakthrough for Australian Star

After matching his best showing at the Australian Open by reaching the fourth round back in January, de Minaur has taken it a step further at Roland Garros.

He fell in the first round in four of his first seven appearances at the French Open and had never made it past the second round – until this year.

After losing just three games in the first round against American Alex Michelsen, de Minaur also won in straight sets against Jaume Munar to reach the third round at Roland Garros for the first time. That was followed by another straight-set win over Jan-Lennard Struff.

The Australian lost his first set of the tournament to Medvedev before taking control.

This run came after mediocre results on clay this year. While de Minaur did reach the Monte-Carlo quarterfinals, he only beat one top-30 player to get there. He lost three of his next six matches. That impacted de Minaur’s place in the sportsbook odds.

During the tournament, de Minaur has won over plenty of the fans at Roland Garros thanks to his connection with a young French fan.


Zverev Looks to Make It Four Straight Semifinals at Roland Garros

Zverev had some strong results back in March when he reached the quarterfinals at Indian Wells and the semifinals at the Miami Open. Would that success carry over to the clay-court season?

After going 4-3 with just two top-50 wins in his first three tournaments on clay, Zverev went to work in Rome. He lost just one set in his six matches to win the Italian Open as his betting odds were trending in the right direction as he headed to Roland Garros.

Zverev first served notice when he reached the finals of the 2013 French Open juniors singles draw in 2013.

After falling in the first round in the 2017 French Open, he has gone 30-6 at Roland Garros. A highlight was a four-set win in the quarterfinals against Carlos Alcaraz in 2022.

Zverev opened this year’s tournament with a win over 14-time French Open champion Rafael Nadal. He was pushed to five sets by Tallon Griekspoor and Holger Rune over the last two matches.


We’ll Take Zverev for the Win, Alex

Alex will win this match. Which Alex, now that is a different question.

Before de Minaur put on a clinic to knock Medvedev from the French Open, Zverev would have been the obvious pick based on the track record of the two players at Roland Garros.

It will still be hard to pick against Zverev in the quarterfinals even though his quality of play will need to improve if he hopes to make a run at his first Grand Slam singles title. Zverev came into the tournament viewed as a contender for the title and he addressed the issue after winning the Italian Open.

“I’ve said it many times before, and I’m going to say it again. I’m somebody that I know when I don’t play well, I can lose to anyone, but when I play well, I know I can beat anyone,” Zverev said. “That’s my mindset. That’s how I think about it.

“I know I have to focus on myself, to find my rhythm in Paris the way I did here. Then everything is on my own racket.”

Take a look at the +160 betting line for de Minaur to win the first set.


De Minaur vs Zverev Head-to-Head History

Zverev and de Minaur have already met twice this year. De Minaur won 6-4 in the third set in the semifinals of the United Cup in January. A couple of months later, Zverev lost the first set before turning things around in the fourth round in Indian Wells.

Zverev won a total of seven more points than de Minaur in those two matches. He was 6 of 11 on break points with de Minaur breaking Zverev five times in 15 opportunities.

Zverev leads the series 7-2 with the first four wins coming in 2018 and 2019.




Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.



Questions Of The Day

When was the first time Alexander Zverev played at the French Open?

Zverev lost in the second round of qualifying at Roland Garros in 2015. His first main draw appearance match was in 2016 when he beat Pierre-Hughes Herbert in four sets.

Who would the winner of the Zverev-de Minaur match play next?

The winner of the match between Alex de Minaur and Alexander Zverev would meet Casper Ruud in the semifinals after an injured Novak Djokovic was forced to pull out of the quarterfinal matchup with Ruud.


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