Medvedev Favored To Dispatch Zverev

· Jan 25 - 5 minutes read

There won’t be many surprises when Alexander Zverev and Danill Medvedev square off in the Australian Open semifinals as the two top-10 players met six times in 2023. When it comes time to make tennis bet predictions keep in mind that Medvedev won five of those matches.

Zverev posted one of the signature wins in the Australian Open with Zverev eliminating No. 2 seed Carlos Alcaraz in four sets in the quarterfinals. Medvedev needed to outlast Hubert Hurkacz in the quarterfinals.

Zverev ➡️ Semi-finals @AustralianOpen | #AusOpen | @AlexZverev pic.twitter.com/GomWwOXKgN

— ATP Tour (@atptour) January 24, 2024

When looking at the tennis odds, Medvedev is priced at -150 to reach the final according to the Australian Open outrights with Zverev having +125 odds to make it to his second Grand Slam final.

Keep on reading for more about the semifinal between Zverev and Medvedev.

Zverev vs Medvedev Match Information

Match: Zverev vs Medvedev
Date/Time: Friday, Jan. 26, approximately 3:30 a.m. ET
Location: Melbourne Tennis Park, Melbourne, Australia
Zverev vs Medvedev Live Stream: TennisTV

Medvedev, the No. 3 ranked player in the ATP rankings, looks to make it to back-to-back Grand Slam finals for the first time in his career. Sixth-ranked Zverev came into the Australian Open with plenty of confidence as he won four of his five singles matches and the clinching mixed-doubles match as Germany won the United Cup.

Medvedev leads the head-to-head with Zverev 11-7.

Medvedev is priced at -150 to win the match while Zverev’s odds are currently at +120. The game total is set at 41½ by the tennis betting lines.

The winner of this match will play the winner of the semifinal between 10-time Australian Open singles champion Novak Djokovic and Jannik Sinner.

Zverev vs Medvedev Odds and Spreads

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Zverev vs Medvedev Betting Trends

Medvedev has won 231 games compared to 211 for Zverev in their head-to-head matches.
Medvedev won five of the nine tiebreakers in his previous matches with Zverev.
The winner of the first set has won 14 of the 18 matches between Zverev and Medvedev.
Zverev has won 56% of his points on his second serve in 2024.
The average opponent ranking for Zverev is 50 so far this year compared to 232 for Medvedev.
Medvedev has converted on 45% of his break-point opportunities in his first five matches in the tournament.
After losing the first set in his first two matches, Medvedev has won the opening set in each of the last three matches.

Zverev vs Medvedev Over/Under Pick: Over 41½ Games (-110)

Zverev and Medvedev have both played a pair of five-set matches in Melbourne and this one might take a while as well.

This will be the first time they are playing a best-of-five set match but five of the last eight meetings had to go the distance so look for this to go either four or five sets with the potential for some tiebreakers in there so go with the match to go over 41½ games when looking at the sport betting markets.

Zverev vs Medvedev Handicap Pick: Medvedev -2 Games (-110)

Zverev was impressive with the way he sent Alcaraz, one of the pre-tournament favorites packing. However, his recent history against Medvedev is not encouraging.

Zverev is 1-5 in Grand Slam singles semifinals with his lone win coming when he rallied from two sets down to beat Pablo Carreno Busta in the 2020 US Open before losing in a five-set tiebreaker to Dominic Thiem.

Medvedev is 5-2 in the Grand Slam semifinals as he is looking to make it to his third Australian Open in the last four years.

The last time the two met, Medvedev won 7-6, 6-4 in the round-robin portion of the ATP finals. They have met five times in the ATP Finals but this is the first matchup in a Grand Slam.

Tennis Prop Pick: Medvedev to Win the First Set and the Match (+110)

Medvedev has won the opening set in each of the last two matches with Zverev and he will look to take command in this match in the early going.

With this being the first best-of-five set match between the two, the winner of the first set might not be as big of a deal as if this was another three-set clash.

Medvedev knows how to win im semifinals in Melbourne and that experience could give him the edge in what could be a rather entertaining match between players who know each other rather well.

When looking at the tennis market odds, there is more value if Zverev takes the first set and the match but we’re rolling with the favored Medvedev.