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Muchova vs Sabalenka Prediction, Match Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks

Belarussian Favored to Make Final

French Open odds have Aryna Sabalenka favored to beat Karolina Muchova in the French Open Women’s Semifinal.

Sabalenka came through a tough win against Elina Svitolina, which is why sport betting markets have her on top.

Muchova vs Sabalenka Prediction, Match Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks
Belarus' Aryna Sabalenka | Thomas samson / afp

However, Muchova has dropped just one set throughout the tournament, so French Open lines could have the underdog at value odds.

Muchova Building Nicely

Muchova dropped a set in her second-round match, but she has looked impressive since.

She also got the better of Maria Sakkari in the opening round, and after beating Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova in straight sets in the quarterfinals, she should be full of confidence.

Ranked 43rd in the world, she is a much better player than that. She has gone deep in Grand Slams in the past, so her class should be overlooked.

French Open betting has her at +250, which is fair given the strength of her opponent, but she shouldn’t be overlooked.

She was a former top-20 player before falling way down the ranks. However, her recent play has been a step in the right direction.

Bettors get value odds at the sportsbook, and she’s a clay court specialist, so we’re not ruling out an upset.

Sabalenka Passes Toughest Test

We thought Svitolina would be tough to beat in the quarterfinals, but Sabalenka proved to be the better player.

The second-ranked Belarussian hasn’t dropped a set at the 2023 French Open, which makes her tough to get past.

She has been under pressure from the War on Ukraine, but she finally made her thoughts known.

“I don’t want my country to be in any conflict, I don’t support the war,”  Sabalenka said. “I don’t support war, meaning I don’t support (Belarus President) Alexander Lukashenko right now.”

“I really hope you guys will understand me, my feelings. You know I really respect all of you and I’m always open. You can ask whatever you want. You will get all the information.”

Despite pressure from the likes of Svitolina, we don’t think it’s wise to criticize her government. However, she should now try to focus on tennis and make the French Open final.

We expect her to hit the ground running, which will shorten her live betting odds. She could firm to around -800 if she takes the opening set against Muchova.

Muchova vs Sabalenka Head-to-Head

They have met only once in 2019, which was a 2-0 result to Sabalenka. However, the 7-5, 7-6 result made for a close contest.

Muchova vs Sabalenka Match Information

  • Match: Karolina Muchova vs Aryna Sabalenka
  • Location: Roland Garros, Paris, France
  • Date: Thursday, June 8, 9:50am ET
  • Muchova vs Sabalenka Live Stream: TennisTV

Muchova vs Sabalenka Betting Lines

Muchova vs Sabalenka Picks and Prediction

It’s hard to look past Sabalenka, the firm favorite in online gambling markets.

She has looked excellent throughout the French Open, and because there’s not as much value with her moneyline price, we’re taking her to win the first set and go 2-0.

The Sabalenka are listed at -325 in our Vegas sport lines. This means that if you wager $100 on Sabalenka, you have a chance to win $31.00. The Muchova are +250, offering a chance to win $250.00 on a $100 wager. 

The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Sabalenka a 76.47% chance to win, with Muchova at 28.57%.

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