After an entertaining Wimbledon final, there will not be a US Open rematch between Novak Djokovic and Carlos Alcaraz. Djokovic, who couldn’t play in this tournament last year because he wasn’t vaccinated against COVID-19, took care of his part of the deal. However, Alcaraz’s bid for a second straight US Open title ended with a semifinal loss to Daniil Medvedev. The US Open odds favor Djokovic to win his third Grand Slam title of 2023.
This will be a rematch of the 2021 US Open men’s singles final, which saw Medvedev win 6-4, 6-4, 6-4 to deny Djokovic his fourth title in New York.
Adding To His Collection
Djokovic already has won more Grand Slam men’s singles titles than any other player and now he goes after his 24th title and fourth at the US Open.
After dropping 11 games in his first two matches, Djokovic’s title bid nearly came to an end against No. 32 seed Laslo Djere as Djere won the first two sets before Djokovic cme storming back to win in five sets.
He has won his last 10 sets, although 20-year-old American Bryan Shelton did extend Djokovic to a third-set tiebreaker in the semifinals. Djokovic reached his record-tying 10th US Open final.
“These are the kinds of matches and occasions that I still thrive on and get me going and inspire me every day to try and work as hard as the young guys,” Djokovic said after eliminating Shelton in three sets. “The Grand Slams are the ones that motivate me the most to play my best tennis, perform my best tennis.”
Djokovic hasn’t lost consecutive Grand Slam singles finals since 2014 and the last player to top Djokovic in back-to-back finals with a major title on the line was Rafael Nadal in the 2013 US Open and 2014 French Open.
Medvedev Has His Eyes on the Prize
Yes, there are more than two heavy hitters on the ATP tour.
With all the attention on Alcaraz and Djokovic and the possibility of a third meeting, Medvedev quietly took care of business.
He lost sets to Christopher O’Connell, Alex de Minaur and Alcaraz, but was never in danger of being eliminated from the tournament.
After being run off the court by Alcaraz in the Wimbledon semifinals, he flipped the script in New York.
“Against Novak, he is always better than the previous time he plays,” Medvedev told the media after his semifinal. “For example, I beat him in the US Open final, he beat me in [Paris] in a great match. Carlos beat him at Wimbledon, he beat him in Cincinnati. Novak is going to be his best version on Sunday, and I have to be the best-ever version of myself if I want to try to beat him.”
Those who bet online were a little cautious when it came to Medvedev’s chances after he fell in the quarterfinals in Toronto and in the Round of 16 at Cincinnati. He has turned things up a notch since arriving at Flushing Meadows. The tennis betting lines have him priced at +250 coming into the match.
Djokovic vs Medvedev Head-to-Head
Djokovic and Medvedev haven’t met since Medvedev’s 6-4, 6-4 win in the Dubai semifinals in early March.
Djokovic had won the previous four matches while they have split two previous Grand Slam matchups with Djokovic topping Medvedev in straight sets in the 2021 Australian Open final.
Djokovic leads the head-to-head series 9-5. Medvedev has nearly twice as many aces in the 14 head-to-head meetings. Djokovic has the edge in break point conversions and has won four of the six tiebreakers.
Djokovic vs Medvedev Betting Lines
Hard to Pick Against Djoker
It isn’t always easy to pull for Djokovic, however, there is no questioning his will to win or his talent level.
Medvedev has looked strong in this tournament after some so-so results in between Wimbledon and the US Open. His effort in taking down Alcaraz was very impressive. He’ll face a different set of challenges on Sunday.
Medvedev has been on the court for an average of 38 more minutes than Djokovic in the tournament. Djokovic has lost his serve nine times and Medvedev has been broken on 12 occasions.
Medvedev has more aces, but more than twice as many double faults during the tournament as Djokovic.
Medvedev was priced at +700 to win the tournament before he started his march to the final so that would be a nice payout for those riding with the No. 3 seed. Medvedev has beaten Djokovic in New York before, but we’re siding with the favored Djokovic.