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Teen Andreeva Picked to Prevail vs Paolini in French Open Semis

Mirra Andreeva is loving life in Paris after advancing to her first Grand Slam semifinal against Jasmine Paolini.

Tennis odds didn’t give either player much chance of winning their quarterfinals, with Andreeva at +300 and Paolini at +400.

Teen Andreeva Picked to Prevail vs Paolini in French Open Semis
Mirra Andreeva/MUSTAFA YALCIN/Anadolu via AFP

Andreeva is now the -140 favorite to make her first Grand Slam final against either Iga Swiatek or Coco Gauff.



Andreeva’s Future is Bright

Aryna Sabalenka is known to choke in big matches, and after being a set up in the quarterfinals, she couldn’t put Andreeva away.

Credit goes to the 17-year-old Russian, who dug deep to beat the world No. 2, and now she faces a much easier opponent in Paolini. She’s the youngest player to make a Grand Slam semifinal since Martina Hingis at age 16 in 1997.

It’s why the unseeded Andreeva is the clear favorite to win, but -145 is a fair price for one of the most popular players at the tournament.



She didn’t need to play her finest tennis to beat Sabalenka, who went missing, but Andreeva stuck to the plan and prevailed.

“Honestly I was really nervous before the match, I knew she’d have an advantage,” Andreeva said. “Me and my coach, we had a plan today but again I didn’t remember anything. I just try to play as I feel.”

Being so young should help her in the big matches, and we don’t know what Paolini has in her game to worry her. Paolini deserves her spot in the semis, but Andreeva doesn’t have many weak spots in her game.


Paolini Digging Deep to Win

Paolini is having a great 2024, and her winning run at the French Open could continue.

The 28-year-old Italian doesn’t believe it’s too late for a career resurgence, and she’s cashing in while she can.

Not many predicted she would make the semifinals of the French Open despite being the 12th-ranked player. However, she dug deep to beat Elena Rybakina, and she played better in the conditions.

Rybakina is a power player, much like Sabalenka, but that’s not the best strategy on clay courts, and it’s why Swiatek is the dominant force on the surface.

I said to myself, ‘OK, it is good. [Rybakina] is a great champion so it can happen.’ I tried to hit every ball and it worked, I am here,” Paolini said.

“I just tried to stay there every point, to forget what happened in the second set. I managed to come back and I just accept that and fight again. Thank you guys, thank you very much for cheering for me.”

Paolini has enough craft to cause big upsets on the slower courts, and the +115 underdog once again starts as the outsider.

We thought Paolini would be around +150, so she’s getting plenty of respect in betting markets. That is a good sign, and she could firm close to start time.


Andreeva’s Run to Continue

As gutsy as Paolini has been, we’re backing Andreeva to blast her off the French Open court at Roland Garros on Thursday.

She is a star in the making, she is a star now, and she could go all the way in Paris – or at the very least make the championship match.

Getting -145 is a value price from our sportsbook. We would have been happy to take -200 for the teenage sensation, and she could continue her winning run.

There is also good value with the -2 line, which pays -115. She should cover the spread and play for the title on the weekend.

Back Andreeva -2 (-115) as our best French Open pick for the day.




Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.


Questions Of The Day

What is the win/loss record for Andreeva vs Paolini?

Mirra Andreeva won the only previous meeting, which came on a clay surface. She won that match 7-6, 6-4.

What are the odds for Andreeva to beat Paolini in the semifinals?

Andreeva is a -145 favorite to beat Paolini in the French Open semifinals, with Paolini paying +115 to cause an upset.


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