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Tsitsipas vs Khachanov Prediction, Match Preview, Odds and Picks

Spot in Championship Match at Stake

Stefanos Tsitsipas is through to his fourth Australian Open semifinal, but the Greek No. 1 is yet to reach the ultimate round. Will he make it on his fourth crack?

Standing in Tsitsipas’ way is Karen Khachanov, who is through to his second Grand Slam semifinal after reaching this stage at the 2022 US Open. Will he make his maiden Slam final Down Under?

Stefanos Tsitsipas of Greece | Ryan lim / afp

If the tennis odds were any indication, Tsitsipas is widely expected to book his place at the expense of the Russian. BetUS sportsbook tips the Greek as the -250 favorite and Khachanov as the +210 underdog. The games handicap is projected on a four-game line and the total is projected to 40 games with the over juiced to -115 and under juiced to -105.

Where are the best bets to be had? On the moneyline? Games handicap? Or total? Find out as we weigh in on this Australian Open quarterfinal match between Tsitsipas vs Khachanov examine the latest tennis odds, key storylines and serve up choice tennis picks for your consideration.

Let’s check the latest Tennis news, stats, injury reports, and Tennis lines for Tsitsipas vs Khachanov in Australian Open semifinal. We’ve got plenty of Tennis picks for you to consider.

Also check on these Tennis betting lines. As well explore a variety of other tennis odds here to win!

2023 Australian Open Men’s Outrights

  • Novak Djokovic -250
  • Stefanos Tsitsipas +300
  • Karen Khachanov +1000
  • Andrey Rublev +1200
  • Tommy Paul +2200
  • Ben Shelton +4000

Tsitsipas Second Overall Fave

Tsitsipas comes in as the second overall favorite at +300 as we look at the updated Australian Open futures market. However, he’s priced at a good distance off prohibitive favorite Novak Djokovic, who is installed in minus money at -250.

Djokovic has yet to play his quarterfinal against Andrey Rublev, but should the Serbian advance as is widely expected, it’s likely his odds will shorten further.

Then there is Khachanov, the so-called third overall favorite whose tennis odds are priced in quadruple-digit obscurity. The Russian is tipped at +1000 to win the Aussie Open.

Flawless Tsitsipas

Tsitsipas booked his place in the final four with a 6-3, 7-6 (2), 6-4 win over Jiri Lehecka in the quarterfinals. It marked his fourth win at Melbourne Park without dropping a set. The only player so far to give the No. 3 seed any trouble was Jannik Sinner, who pushed him to the brink, 6-4, 6-4, 3-6, 4-6, 6-3 in the R16.

The 24-year-old Greek went into the quarters as the firm favorite over Lehecka and came through in fine style. He won 79% of his first-serve points and hit nine aces in the comprehensive victory. He never looked troubled by the big-serving Czech and fought off four of his six break points while converting on all eight break-point opportunities.

Khachanov Not a One-Hit Wonder

Khachanov was a surprise semifinalist at the 2022 US Open. By reaching a second straight semifinal, however, he’s proven his run at Flushing Meadows last year wasn’t a one-off. Or did he?

Sebastian Korda was unable to finish the quarterfinal, bowing out in the third set after dropping the first two, 7-6 (5), 6-3, 3-0. It was an unsatisfactory ending to the match and a huge disappointment for the American, who was in the midst of his best-ever performance at a major.

That said, Khachanov came out firing on all cylinders. He served at 69%, won 81% of his first serves and hit 12 aces. He fought off six of 10 break points and converted on one of three break points.

Tsitsipas vs Khachanov Head-to-Head

Tsitsipas has the massive edge over Khachanov, leading their series 5-0 lifetime. Four of those wins came on a hard court. Most recently, Tsitsipas defeated the Russian 4-6, 6-0, 6-3 at the Rome Masters (clay) in 2022.

In five meetings, Khachanov has only won two sets against the Greek – last year in Rome and in Rotterdam in 2021.

Tsitsipas vs Khachanov Picks & Prediction

The market for this matchup should come as no surprise. Tsitsipas is in form with a dominant head-to-head edge over the Russian and he’s the player that has been the most persistent, knocking at the door of Grand Slam glory. Especially Down Under, where he’s reached the semifinals four times.

Khachanov is a serious stumbling block. In the last year, his confidence has grown in proportion to the improvements in his game that have seen him reap the rewards. He’s sure to give the Greek a run for his money.

All told, this should be a fascinating contest between two very good players that are in their prime and peaking at the right time. Tsitsipas should win, but Khachanov could win. We’re sharing the former.


The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.

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