It’s a truly international affair for the men’s Wimbledon semi finals as the players hail from Serbia, Italy, Poland and Canada.
After four terrific quarter final matches, the semis have been locked in. Tournament favorite Novak Djokovic takes on the pride of North America, Denis Shapovalov.
In the first semi final, Matteo Berrettini takes on Hubert Hurkacz, who stunned Roger Federer in straight sets.
The online sportsbook has odds available for which two players will make the Wimbledon men’s final on Sunday.
Matteo Berrettini vs Hubert Hurkacz
The biggest shock of the quarters wasn’t Huber Hurkacz, who bounced Roger Federer like the Swiss Maestro was a qualifier.
Hurkacz won 6-3 7-6 6-0 in what was an enthralling performance from the Polish player, who did extremely well just to make the quarters. He was down 2-1 and a break in the fourth set against Daniil Medvedev, but after the game was delayed, he came back and turned the match on its head.
And they say to never meet your heroes…@HubertHurkacz knocks out his idol, eight-time champion Roger Federer, in straight sets to advance to his first Grand Slam semi-final#Wimbledon pic.twitter.com/Qri1uriPDF
— Wimbledon (@Wimbledon) July 7, 2021
Now, Hurkacz is looking to book a spot in the Wimbledon final.
“It’s super special for me,” Hurkacz told the BBC. “Playing here and the special things [Federer] has done here, it’s a dream come true.”
It looked like Federer was playing injured, but take nothing away from Hurkacz. He applied the pressure and he is in with a shot of beating Matteo Berrettini.
The Italian won the opening set 6-3 against Felix Auger-Aliassime before losing the second. However, he would take a grip on the match when taking the third set and cruising home in the fourth with a 6-3 victory.
A deep Wimbledon run has been a long time coming for Berrettini, who is one of the best players yet to win a Grand Slam. He made the semis at the US Open in 2019 and this is only the second time he has progressed to the semis.
He has always threatened to rise to another level and he gets an excellent chance on Friday. Facing Hurkacz is preferable compared to Novak Djokovic, so Berrettini will fancy his chances.
It’s a 1-1 split in the head-to-head since 2018. Berrettini won the first match 2-0 at the Australian Open qualifiers before Hurkacz won 2-0 in Miami a year later.
We’re not surprised to see tennis betting markets have Berrettini as the firm favorite. He is the more accomplished player and we expect him to get the job done.
It won’t be an easy game, so expect the Italian to win in four sets.
Pick: Matteo Berrettini -250
Novak Djokovic vs Denis Shapovalov
It’s a shame Denis Shapovalov has to play Novak Djokovic in the semis. He would have had a huge chance to beat either Matteo Berrettini or Hubert Hurkacz, but he won’t shy away from the mammoth task.
Beating Djokovic has been tough for the entire ATP Tour roster this season. He has suffered only one loss (Rafael Nadal) in his last 21 matches, which is an exceptionally consistent record.
There is no doubting that the Serbian is the man to beat at Wimbledon and the odds reflect as much. The sportsbook has Djokovic at -1600 to beat the Canadian, which doesn’t entirely do Shapovalov justice.
He had to fight gamely to beat Karen Khachanov after going down 1-2. He won the fourth set 6-1 before winning the fifth and final set 6-4.
One of the young stars on Tour, Shapovalov doesn’t lack confidence, and although beating Djokovic is seemingly impossible at the moment, he can’t let the occasion get the better of him.
“It was definitely super tough, especially in the fifth set, having 0/40 and not converting. Then having the craziest game of my life, being able to win that was massive,” Shapovalov said. “I was in a similar position at the US Open last year in the quarter-finals, and I thought I started the fifth set a little slow, so I told myself just play every single point as hard as you can, and a bit of luck was on my side.
“He [Djokovic] is the best player in the world, but when you look at the scoreboard, the first thing on Friday, it is going to be level. I have full belief in me and my team, anything is possible.”
— Novak Djokovic (@DjokerNole) July 4, 2021
Djokovic has a 6-1 record against Shapovalov. His only loss came at Boodles Challenge on a grass surface in 2019, but he has dropped only four sets to the Canadian, which is impressive.
He was in complete control against Marton Fucsovics, scoring a 3-0 win and he spent an hour less on court than Shapovalov. Novak has the fresher legs and that could make a difference.
Markets have the games margin at seven for Djokovic. He is able to cover the spread, as we see the first set going 6-3 in his favor. It could be a close-run thing, but bettors get value odds for Djokovic to cover the number.
Pick: Novak Djokovic -7 (+105)
Parlay both for odds of +187.