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WTA Indian Wells Semifinal Odds, Preview and Predictions

Swiatek, Badosa Favored to Advance to Final

BNP Paribas Open Semifinal Previews

The final four lineup on the women’s front at the BNP Paribas Open in the “Tennis Paradise” of Indian Wells promises to showcase some of the best players in the women’s game today and the BetUS sportsbook is at the ready with the latest tennis betting odds to get you started.

What’s on the docket? Well, first up on Friday is a titanic battle between a couple of Grand Slam champions: Simona Halep versus Iga Swiatek. The second semifinal will pit rising star Maria Sakkari against defending Indian Wells champion Paula Badosa Gibert.

WTA Indian Wells Semifinal Odds, Preview and Predictions
Matthew Stockman/Getty Images/AFP

So, with the matchups set, the tennis odds in full swing, let’s get cracking with the predictions for Friday’s much anticipated semi-final showdowns.

Halep vs Swiatek

Romania’s Simona Halep is having a solid tournament at Indian Wells, reaching the semifinals after dismantling Petra Martic 6-1, 6-1 in the quarterfinals. The two-time Grand Slam champion barely broke a sweat on the sweltering hot day before she was raising her fist in victory and making her way off the court in less than an hour.

Halep’s serve was on point as she got 84 percent of first serves in and won 78 percent of her first-serve points. On her second serve, she was winning at a rate of 67 percent. As well, she worked her way to five break points and capitalized on all. At one point, even, the 30-year-old won nine games in a row. A “tennis clinic” is an apt description for Halep’s performance.

Poland’s Iga Swiatek, the 2020 Roland Garros champion, was not to be outdone on the day as she dispatched American Madison Keys 6-1, 6-0 in the quarterfinals. Swiatek’s first-serve percentage clocked in at 61.0, but she won an incredible 96 percent of her first-serve points. She carved out seven break points and capitalized on five of those. She also strung together a seven-game winning streak at one point.

Halep and Swiatek have met three times, with the latter holding the slim 2-1 edge in the head-to-head series. The last time the pair met was the 2021 Australian Open. Halep edged Swiatek in three sets in the Round of 16, 3-6, 6-1, 6-4. Swiatek’s lone victory came at Roland Garros when she beat Halep 6-1, 6-2 in the R16 on the way to her maiden Grand Slam title.

Both ladies are in fine form. Halep is 11-3 with a title victory in Melbourne earlier this year. Swiatek is 14-3 and flush off winning her first title this season in Qatar. By the betting online odds, Swiatek is the favorite to win, priced at -170. Bettors can do no wrong backing the Pole when she’s clearly playing some of her best tennis right now.

That said, this is the first meeting between this pair on a hard court this year. Halep has the 1-0 edge over Swiatek on this surface. Given the surface, the edge must go to Halep because her game on a hard court is more evolved than Swiatek’s game on this surface. Halep can attack better, defend better, change direction on a whim and outhit Swiatek. As well, Halep’s serve is more reliable, which is an advantage on this surface too.

Tennis Picks: Simona Halep + 150 to win

Sakkari vs Badosa

Greece’s Maria Sakkari reached the BNP Paribas Open semifinals without dropping a set through the rounds. Sakkari opened her campaign with a 6-3, 7-5 win over Katerina Siniakova. In the R32, she took down Petra Kvitova with relative ease, 6-3, 6-0. After getting a walkover in the R16, Sakkari took care of Rybakina in the quarterfinals in a 7-5, 6-4 win.

Spain’s Paula Badosa arrives at the semifinal stage of the tournament without dropping a set. Badosa opened her campaign with a 6-2, 7-6 (4) win over Tereza Martincova. She then took care of compatriot Sara Sorribes Tormo, Canadian Leylah Fernandez and Russian Veronika Kudermetova.

Sakkari and Badosa will collide for only the second time. Badosa has the 1-0 edge over Sakkari after clinching a straight-set win in the first round of the 2021 WTA Tour Finals, 7-6 (4), 6-4. Given this small cross section, it’s impossible to tell how these two stack up against one another, save that they’re probably well matched.

As such, the market is pretty tight for this semifinal with Badosa edging Sakkari ever so slightly at the sportsbook exchange. Badosa is priced at -130 while Sakkari is priced at +110. Push comes to shove, Badosa has a lot more to lose than Sakkari does, and that could be the catalyst to propel the Spaniard into the finals.

Tennis Picks: Paula Badosa -130

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