The U.S. Open women’s quarterfinals are packed with the rising stars of the game. Names like Leylah Fernandez and Emma Raducanu are dominating the headlines, which is great to see.
With the top two seeds knocked out (Ash Barty and Naomi Osaka), it’s a wide-open contest. That’s reflected in the betting online markets, which have framed four even matches on Tuesday and Wednesday.
Elina Svitolina vs Leylah Fernandez
Tuesday, 2 p.m.
Now is the time for Elina Svitolina to realize her talent and make a deep run at a Grand Slam.
The Ukrainian has all the talent in the world, but struggles to make it count. She won’t get a better chance to make the semis when she faces the inexperienced Leylah Fernandez, who has created a stir at Flushing Meadows.
— Tennis GIFs 🎾🎥 (@tennis_gifs) September 5, 2021
Fernandez is the 73rd-ranked player in the tournament, but you wouldn’t think so with the tennis she has been playing. The Canadian defeated Naomi Osaka before knocking out another former Grand Slam champion in Angelique Kerber, both in three sets.
However, Svitolina hasn’t dropped a set and she is the much stronger player. That is reflected with the tennis odds, which have Svitolina at -275. There is more value with the -4 games handicap, so that’s where we’re heading.
The -4 has seen plenty of betting action, so the line could move to -5.
Pick: Elina Svitolina -4 (-110)
Barbora Krejcikova vs Aryna Sabalenka
Tuesday, 7 p.m.
A pair of top-10 players meet in the second quarterfinal when Barbora Krejcikova faces Aryna Sabalenka.
Krejcikova has bounced back nicely after her defeat to Ash Barty in Cincinnati by not dropping a set at Flushing Meadows. She pushed past Grand Slam champion Garbine Muguruza in straight sets, but she faces an in-form Sabalenka on Tuesday.
The Belarussian lost a set in her opening-round match, but defeated the likes of Danielle Collins and Elise Mertens in straight sets. We’re not surprised that Sabalenka is the favorite at the sportsbook, and the -165 is a fair line.
We respect the ability of her opponent, but we’re happy to take Sabalenka at -2½ games. There is more value with that option and it should be relatively stress free.
Pick: Aryna Sabalenka -2½ (-110)
Emma Raducanu vs Belinda Bencic
Wednesday, 1 p.m.
We are loving what Emma Raducanu is producing and we think she can cause an upset over Belinda Bencic.
The Brit had to pull out of Wimbledon after suffering a panic attack, but she is playing care-free tennis at Flushing Meadows and it’s great to watch.
“Shelby is a great opponent, she has done so well in the US Open,” Raducanu told The Guardian following her win over Shelby Rogers. “I’m so happy to have come through and overcome some of the nerves at the beginning.”
— Emma Raducanu (@EmmaRaducanu) September 7, 2021
Despite being ranked 150th, she breezed past Rogers in straight sets, who had just beaten Ash Barty. It’s a good form guide and although Belinda Bencic has been a Grand Slam winner-in-waiting for years, she might have to wait longer.
The Swiss player hasn’t dropped a set at the U.S. Open, but she is there for the taking. The -150 is too short for our liking, so based on value, we’re going with Raducanu for the upset.
Pick: Emma Raducanu +120
Karolina Pliskova vs Maria Sakkari
Wednesday, 2 p.m.
Maria Sakkari survived her fourth-round match against former champion Bianca Andreescu. The three-set win was tight, but the Greek showed her toughness by battling back after dropping the opening set.
She continues her strong run, which also includes a win over Petra Kvitova. Sakkari has always been a big-match player and she gets an excellent chance to make the semifinals.
Karolina Pliskova is the favorite to win after winning her last two matches in straight sets. The Czech was too good for Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova, but both sets were tightly contested.
Pliskova is the better player, which is why she’s favored to win. She won the most recent meeting against Sakkari in straight sets, and we think she’ll have just enough to overpower her opponent.