Wimbledon has provided plenty of entertainment over the last week-plus. There are eight players left in the men’s draw and they feature in our Wimbledon quarterfinals parlay.
Spotlighted in the parlay is Djokovic vs Fucsovics, Berrettini vs Auger-Aliassime, Khachanov vs Shapovalov, and Federer vs Hurkacz.
It’s a star-studded lineup and the online sportsbook has framed mostly even betting markets for the quarterfinals.
Novak Djokovic vs Marton Fucsovics
The Serbian superstar continues his fine form after scoring a straight-set win over Cristian Garin, who is better suited to clay courts.
Djokovic lost the opening set of his 2021 Wimbledon campaign but hasn’t dropped a set since. He has blasted past some quality opponents on his way to a 20th Grand Slam title, but he’s facing a confident Marton Fucsovics, who endured a battle against Andrey Rublev.
The Hungarian was down 2-1 in sets before winning the fourth 6-0 and ultimately winning the fifth and final set 6-3 over the Russian. It was a big upset at +450 odds against one of the rising stars of the tennis world.
Up next: Novak Djokovic
Marton Fucsovics’ dream run at #Wimbledon takes another step as he becomes the 3rd Hungarian man to reach the quarter-finals at The Championships, knocking out the No.5 seed Andrey Rublev pic.twitter.com/Vh7zUzZ2IF
— Wimbledon (@Wimbledon) July 5, 2021
Fucsovics has also beaten Diego Schwartzman, who we thought could make a run to the quarters. It’s good form and he could make Djokovic work for the win.
They have met twice, including a four-set victory to Novak at the 2018 U.S. Open. The most recent meeting was a 2-1 victory to Djokovic, so they haven’t been completely one-sided.
Despite coming off a lengthy game, we like Fucsovics to cover the +8½ spread. Tennis betting markets have set a favorable line for the underdog.
Pick: Marton Fucsovics +8½ (+115)
Matteo Berrettini vs Felix Auger-Aliassime
There are two Canadians left in the draw and one is Felix Auger-Aliassime, who comes off an upset five-set victory over Alex Zverev.
He was a +250 underdog to get past the German and his odds fluctuated significantly after going from 2-0 up to 2-2 after four sets. However, the youngster turned the tables in the final set and produced the goods when it counted.
Matteo Berrettini still on fire, easily beats Ilya Ivashka 6-4, 6-3, 6-1 to reach the QFs at #Wimbledon.
He is 9-0 on grass in 2021 and awaits Zverev or Auger-Aliassime next.[getty] pic.twitter.com/lcZ15dL3oC
— José Morgado (@josemorgado) July 5, 2021
Berrettini dropped a set in his opening game but hasn’t been tested since. The flashy Italian didn’t face much in the way of opposition, but he made them look second-rate with straight-set victories.
He is one of the toughest opponents left in the draw and he is following up his title-winning performance at London. He hasn’t lost since losing to Novak Djokovic at the French Open and he also won the only meeting against Auger-Aliassime.
They met in 2019 when the Italian won in straight sets, but a lot of water has gone under the bridge since.
Sportsbooks have Berrettini at -300 to win, which is a fair price. We think he comes out ahead and although the -4 line could be tricky, he should have enough firepower to get over the line.
Pick: Matteo Berrettini -4½ (-110)
Roger Federer vs Hubert Hurkacz
The Swiss Maestro cruised to victory in his fourth-round match and we don’t think Hubert Hurkacz will give him much of a test.
He is coming off an incredible come-from-behind win against Daniil Medvedev, but Federer is another kettle of fish and it was a 2-0 loss in their only previous meeting.
Hurkacz hadn’t dropped a set until he played Medvedev, so he is playing well. However, Federer is a 20-time Grand Slam champion for a reason and we think the odds are generous.
The -250 odds for Federer is a fair price and we expected him to be shorter. He’s not getting any younger, but he looked stellar last time on the court and he has prepared his entire season for Wimbledon.
Credit goes to Hurkacz for making it his far, but his run should come to an end.
Pick: Roger Federer -250
Karen Khachanov vs Denis Shapovalov
Canadian Denis Shapovalov has been one of the most impressive players at Wimbledon and he could get the better of Khachanov.
Shapovalov started his campaign with a gutsy five-set win before getting a free pass in the second round, which could prove to be the winning of the tournament. He needed time to recover after his first-round win, and it paid off against Andy Murray and Roberto Bautista-Agut.
He scored consecutive straight-sets victories and they came against top-level opponents. He is brimming with confidence and he could finally live up to his potential.
“I played some really high-level tennis today,” Shapovalov told ATP Tour. “I got a little bit nervous in the third set, but that is totally normal, and I dealt with that really well. I played flawlessly and I am super happy with myself.
“To beat a player like [Roberto] Bautista Agut in straight sets backs up my level from my match against Andy [Murray]. I am happy, I feel like I am improving every single match. I knew it was going to be a process on this surface, to really develop my game on it. I have always loved playing on it [grass], it is just about getting comfortable.”
Khachanov scored an upset win over American Frances Tiafoe in the third round before dispatching Sebastian Korda in a lengthy five-set thriller in the fourth round. He won the final set 10-8, but that could have a negative effect going forward.
Shapovalov is the fresher player and we think he will score a comfortable victory.
Pick: Denis Shapovalov -4½ (-110)
Parlay all four plays for nearly +1000 odds!