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Flash:

Welcome to BetUS. I’m Flash. It’s La Liga show. It’s match date 26. Now we are America’s favorite sportsbook so we’d like to invite you to subscribe and be one of the 4,000 that we’ve already hit. And we’re going to get ourselves on to 5,000. Now, please do not worry if you do not adjust your sets. I’ve been wanting to say that for years. Actually, it’s a big day in Greece and Pavlos’ one of their experts of numbers, value and winners. He’s had to attend but he wouldn’t want to miss the show. So we’ve said, “Don’t worry. Bring your friends along too.” And the quicker we can get that done, get the winners out of him. He can get back to having a few shandies and some food. And looking on the other side, we’ve got Roman who looks like he’s never been invited to a party in his life.

Flash:

Okay. Now I will say I’d like to remind you, so please ring the bell ring means you’ll never miss any content again. And we’ve got everything coming up now. So we’ve got the BetUS soccer channel, but then we’ve got golf. We’ve got the Triple Crown races for obviously horse racing. And then it’ll be the Grand Slam events. Tennis we’ve already started with the Australian Open. It will soon be the time of Roland Garros and Wimbledon, and then the US open in New York. But lads, I’m not going to be messing about, let’s just go straight to the records because you got to give yourselves a big pat on the back because no one’s seen a record like this +27.83 units of profit.

Flash:

Get yourselves in the chat as well because there will be a Q&A at the end prior to the official soccer pick. We have seven games so I don’t expect there’s going to be too many questions needed to be answered or even thrown out towards myself, Pavlos and Roman. Okay. Let’s kick straight on. We want to add to that 27.83 and the first game is Mallorca versus Valencia. Mallorca +140 Valencia +220. Valencia at +125 with drawn no bet. The draw is at +220 and its under or over two and a half goals at +120. Pavlos, Mallorca is always a tough place to go. Valencia are not in the best form.

Pavlos:

Yeah, they’re not in the best form and they haven’t been actually all season. I’ve been watching them closely, especially their defense because their offense is working wonders but their defense has been quite distracted I think all season. Of course, they haven’t been very healthy. They’ve been missing both their starting center backs for the entire season so. But we’re looking at the numbers and the numbers say that Valencia are leading the both teams score category with 19 in 25 matches, that’s 76%, which is a very high number. Valencia also have the most matches with both teams to score on the road with 10 and 2, 83% of their matches. So we’re seeing a lot of matches for Valencia both to score and they concede a lot of goals on the road. And when you look at Mallorca, they have the fourth most matches with both teams to score with 13 and 24 masses, that’s 24%.

Pavlos:

That’s doesn’t sound like a very high number, but it’s still a very reliable number at least as far as I’m concerned. So Mallorca have the ninth best xG at home with 1.51 per game. So we would expect them to score at least once against this Valencia defense that have the ninth best xG on the road, but they still allow 1.51 per game. So when you look at the history between these sides, five of the last six months had both teams to score. So I believe this is a match where Valencia are trying to look for points because they want climb up the standings. Same goes for Mallorca who they’re just sitting six points above the red line. So they need all the points they can get in order to avoid relegation this season. So I believe this is a match that starts at 1-1. So that’s why I’m taking the both teams to score at -120 here.

Flash:

Yeah. I wrote down 1-1, but I also wrote down that Mallorca very fast starters at home. So if you do fancy Valencia, then maybe wait for them to go 1-0 down and you’ll get maybe -110 double chance for Valencia, which is +0.5. Roman looks like a 1-1 wouldn’t go against Mallorca going in front early.

Roman:

Yeah. I think both teams scoring does make sense here. I think that Valencia could get back on track because they haven’t been doing very well lately, but this is a good opportunity for them. Especially since Bryan Gil came in the winter transfer market. He’s looked very sharp. I think he can be a very useful player for them going forward. And then if Guedes can find his best form, they can definitely put Mallorca under a lot of pressure.

Roman:

Mallorca by the way, who also seem to have found now a decent run of games, even though they lost the other day 2-1 against Betis, they did put them under a lot of pressure. And we’re talking about a team that’s really strong at home such as Betis and they were close to getting at least a point. But in the end they couldn’t be able. But I mean, they have been looking sharper despite the fact that they did lose in that game. Ruiz de Galarreta who’s been one of their best midfielders in the last few weeks unfortunately he has a knee injury and is going to be out for the rest of the season basically. So that’s a setback. But still I think Mallorca have some momentum. So that’s why for me it looks like a tricky game in terms of deciding who’s the favorite. So I think both have an opportunity here. So the best way to go is probably goals if you want to bet on this game.

Flash:

Yeah, both teams to score is probably the way to go. If not, then maybe go for the draw as well. The official picks on game number one of seven for us is Mallorca versus Valencia, both teams to score at -120. Let’s move on to the next game because this is a side that we have rode through thick and thin. And we can give ourselves a pat on the back because we’ve been, what’s the word I’m looking for, we have been responsible for their turning of confidence and also turning money into bigger profits because Getafe at -105 don’t complicate it. Alaves +375. Alaves are no one’s mugs and very dangerous on the road. Then -115 with the visitor’s draw double chance. The draw is at +215. Under/over two goals with the over that +115. Roman, I wouldn’t go against Getafe here, but Alaves are dangerous.

Roman:

Yeah. I mean Alaves can be dangerous of course, but they aren’t one of the good sides of this La Liga teams there. I mean they have been performing pretty poorly overall. They had some couple of good streaks I think. Now they’re not doing too bad, but still they aren’t as good as Getafe at the moment who just have bounced incredibly since they got the new manager Quique Sanchez Flores. They look like a completely different Getafe. If you look at their numbers, xG and all that before and after he came on, it’s a radical change. And especially at home they’re even more effective. They get good results. They get wins there.

Roman:

And I think Alaves is the kind of side which they can grab three points. And as you said, it’s probably a case where you don’t have to complicate it. Go for moneyline or somewhere where Getafe probably comes out with a favorable outcome in terms of getting the three points, because it is true that with Joselu Alaves might have their opportunities. Maybe you will see both teams scoring. That is a possibility. But for me the safer way to go is trusting Getafe.

Flash:

Yeah. Pavlos, your numbers to it. Just a home win Getafe.

Pavlos:

Yeah. They do because Alaves have some of the worst numbers on the road. And overall they have the second worst xG on the road with just 0.84 per game which goes to show that they don’t really convert a lot of chances if they create any. And their difference is also pretty bad on the road. They have the third worst xGA on the road allowing 1.91 per game, which goes to show that their defense is just bad. They allow two expected goals per game. And when you look at actual goals Alaves have been really bad on the road. They have the worst away record in the La Liga with one win, nine losses and two draws. They scored just nine goals on the road and they have conceded 27 in the process. They’ve lost each of the last seven away matches.

Pavlos:

They conceded two plus goals in those seven and three plus goals in four of those. And when you look at Getafe. Getafe has been doing a really, really great job, especially at home lately, they have six wins and one draw in the last seven. They scored two plus goals in four of those matches. And I believe this is a match where, two teams that are fighting to avoid the relegation are up against one another. So I see at least two goals in that match. My bet is Getafe or tie and over one and a half goals in the fear of a 1-1 draw because when you look at the history between these two sides, five of the last six, actually each of the last five and six of the last seven matches between the two sides have been draws and all six draws were either a goalless draw or a 1-1 draw.

Pavlos:

So in the fear of a 1-1 draw, I’m taking Getafe or tie and over one and a half goals in the sense that Getafe will probably get in the scoresheet first in that match. And Alaves will try to get back in that match. So maybe Alaves score the equalizer or Getafe they’ll look at Alaves are open at the back in search of an equalizer. So maybe they will score a second goal. So I believe there’s at least two goals in that match and Getafe are just not going to lose here. I mean, they’ve been great at home lately and Alaves haven’t shown anything that can threaten Getafe at home so far. So Getafe not to lose and over one and half goals.

Flash:

Yeah. I’ve added here. I’ve gone with Getafe to win the game, but I’ve also gone with Getafe team total over 1.5 at +160. I see Getafe scoring twice. I mean, Getafe, they are just going from strength to strength and this is a side that they could put to the sword. And just to score twice with Alaves needing to come out and get something at +160, I think it’s an absolute gift. So let’s have a little look at the official picks because the official picks will show that we’re all interested in Getafe.

Flash:

Getafe double chance basically. And over one and half at -120. Getafe moneyline at -105. Getafe under four and a half at +100. And I’ve added so Getafe team total over 1.5 at +160, then I won’t even care. Obviously I want everyone to win, but if it’s a 2-2 draw, then I’m happy as well because I’ll make +0.6 of a unit. Let’s move on because oh this side, they have gone from hero to zero and now they’re waiting to come back to be a hero again. It’s Rayo Vallecano versus Real Madrid with the home side at +400. +1 you can get at -140. Real Madrid are -150. Under or over two and a half at -130 being the over. And the draw is at +310. Roman, we won’t get in the way of Real Madrid, especially with the way that Rayo Vallecano are playing but we’d rather Vallecano score because if they don’t it’s +160.

Roman:

Yeah.

Flash:

Pavlos, can you mute yours? Mute your so I just don’t hear the waiter asking if I want a kebab or something.

Roman:

Alright, whatever. As I was saying, I think it’s a tough game to choose sides. Well, not choose sides, obviously Madrid are the favorite here because Rayo Vallecano haven’t been doing well at all. As you said, they’ve gone from heroes to being an absolutely terrible team. I think they’re the worst team in La Liga in 2022, so far this season. So I mean the start of the year hasn’t been gracious for them at all and they just can’t find a way to get back on track. And I think they’ve really struggled with the fact that they were doing quite well in the Copa del Rey by getting through round, playing some tough teams. And I think that got their players quite tired and out of shape because they’ve been having to perform in two competitions and in the end that had to pay off in a negative way.

Roman:

And also all the effort they’ve been putting into La Liga since the beginning because they were in the Champions League positions at one point, let’s not forget. And now they’re just slipping down the standings. And in normal circumstances, I think both teams to score would definitely be a way to go, but I’m just a bit afraid of this Rayo Vallecano who lost 3-0 at home against Osasuna not long ago. So, I just don’t know what to expect from them. And as you said, Flash before in previous shows, we’ve been going with the trend with teams that are on form and Rayo Vallecano is nowhere near that. So I think it’s a bit risky in this case to go for them. And maybe you could go for Real Madrid which of course are the favorites here but they’re also not going through the best moment in terms of football and they’re struggling a bit. So I wasn’t sure where to find the value here and I thought maybe stay away just in case and see how these teams evolve in the next few games.

Flash:

Yeah. The problem you need to stay away is because if Rayo can raise their game, especially at home, especially when the big guns come to town. Now, if you don’t think that Rayo are going to score. That’s a massive +160, but if you think Rayo are going to score, then the over two and a half is must be a shoeing at -130, Pavlos.

Pavlos:

Yes. I believe that this is a match where Rayo will be able to score. I know that they’ve been quite terrible in 2022 so far. They have lost four in a row including Copa del Rey. They’ve lost five of the last six and their only win in that span was against Mallorca at home by 1-0 in the Copa del Rey a match where they were quite good but not great. And we’ve said this in previous shows that Rayo Vallecano they did have the best home record in the La Liga, but they had a fairly easy schedule at home in the first half of the season. And now it’s where things get trickier. But I looked at when Real Madrid hosted Rayo Vallecano earlier in the season where Real Madrid won by 2-1. And it was a match where Rayo Vallecano who traditionally struggle on the road, this season they haven’t been very good on the road, they did have 19 shots overall and seven shots on target, which goes so that they weren’t afraid of that Real Madrid.

Pavlos:

They did score the 2-1 in the 76th minute with Falcao, but this is going to be a tough match for both sides because Real Madrid are in between their Champions League matches against PSG and they lost the first leg by 1-0. So they need a win in the second leg which is a couple of days later after this match. So I think that Rayo Vallecano based on what they have done so far in the season at home, they’ll be able to at least score once against this Real Madrid side who will be looking with one eye in the Champions League match against PSG.

Pavlos:

So Rayo’s numbers they’ve been great all season, but they dipped lately. They now have the seventh best xG overall with 1.51 per game and the sixth best xG at home with 1.75 per game. So I believe that they’ll be able to score at least once against this I’m going to say weird Real Madrid defense that has been known to keep a few cleansheets here and there but I think that they still haven’t found the correct chemistry so far at the back line. And I believe this is a match again that starts at 1-1 and whoever scores the third goal is going to be the winner. So it’s going to be either 2-1 win for Rayo Vallecano or a 1-2 win for Real Madrid. That’s why I see a lot of goals and I’m taking both teams to score and over two and a half goals at plus money here. I think I really love that bit.

Flash:

Yeah. Listen, I don’t blame you. Rayo Vallecano, they just throw caution to the wind because we always just say this is like a free hit for a side. No one’s giving them a prayer. No one’s giving you a chance. Go out. If you get beat, well listen that’s exactly what the result was expected in the first place. So the official picks for Rayo Vallecano versus Real Madrid just from Pavlos is both teams to score and over two and a half goals at +115. Just the over two and a half goals it is probably worthy as well. I think that was around the -1.25. Okay. Let’s get on to game number four because here’s a tired side, Villarreal versus Espanyol. Villarreal -185. -1 at -110. Espanyol no one’s falls, but up +600, they’re probably going to have better days ahead. The draws at +300, the under/over is at two and a half with the under being the favorite at -105. Roman, Villarreal should have too much, but I’m just wondering if their gas tank is closer to empty than full.

Roman:

Well, I think Villarreal still has some gas left in the tank. They have a pretty deep squad even though they do have maybe an important injury especially with Gerard Moreno still unavailable who might be back for the second game against Juventus so that would be great for them. But I mean, Danjuma for example, just came off recently from an injury. So he’s quite fresh still. Got a hatrick last weekend. And I think Villarreal still have a lot of firepower and quality to overcome Espanyol.

Roman:

And Espanyol who have been one of the worst sides playing away from home. And even at home they haven’t been doing too well lately. So they’re going also through a little tough patch we could say of football. And they’re also struggling a bit to get good results. And I think overall Villarreal should be capable of getting the three points. It won’t be an easy game. I don’t expect too many goals but they should get it done I think. Even though the Juventus game was quite intense because of course the Italians scoring so early on, Villarreal had to push up the level really quickly and play hard to get that draw in the end. But I still think despite all of that, despite the possibility of maybe being a bit more tired, they should have enough firepower and quality you to win this one.

Flash:

They were impressive though Roman going through the gears because yes they were 1-0 down at half time but as the game went on, there was only ever going to be one side scoring and maybe going on to win the game. And it was the Yellow Submarine. I think Villarreal not to put up many goals here and maybe Espanyol are +12 Espanyol score. That’s the big one Pavlos because if they don’t score at +115 that looks like a way to go as well. Or Villarreal -1 at -110.

Pavlos:

Yes. Espanyol have been quite hard to take a gist of. They didn’t score a lot of goals. Their xG numbers on the road were pretty terrible throughout the whole season, but they started scoring goals on the road. They scored once against Bilbao. They scored twice against Cadiz, once against Mallorca. They have been scoring goals on the road but they still don’t get results and Villarreal have one of the best home records so far in La Liga. They have seven wins, two losses and four draws while Espanyol have just one win, seven losses and four draws on the road. However, when you look at Espanyol’s recent history in this venue. They have scored exactly two goals in each of the last three trips here. So I’m not so sure if Villarreal can do this with a clean sheet because Villarreal at least their offensive numbers have been off chart this season especially since Gerard Moreno came back, but even without Gerard Moreno they have now the fourth best year xG overall with 1.64 per game. They have the fourth best XG at home with 1.84 per game.

Pavlos:

While when you look at Espanyol’s defensive numbers. They have the fifth worse xGA overall allowing 1.64 per game. And the eighth worse xGA on the road allowing 1.57 per game. So I believe this is a match where Villarreal score at least twice against Espanyol. Espanyol can score maybe once. But this is a match where Villarreal shouldn’t and mustn’t lose because right now they’re sitting at the sixth spot and they’re chasing this Champions League spots, the top four. They’re just three points behind Barcelona. So I believe this is a match where Villarreal truly want to win in order to stay relevant in the chase of the top four, top five spots while Espanyol they’re right now sitting nine points above the relegation zone. But even a point here would be crucial to their quest to avoid relegation. So maybe a 2-1 for Villarreal. I do believe that Villarreal will win this one, but Espanyol are not going to make it easy for them. They’re not going to make it easy.

Flash:

Okay. Let’s have a look at the official picks here because we’ve got Villarreal versus Espanyol. Villarreal really need to be winning this game and Villarreal and under four and a half at +125. That looks like an absolute cracker, Roman.

Roman:

Yeah.

Flash:

Massive congratulations for finding that. Now all we got to do is get it over the line. Let’s move on to game number five because for me it’s the biggest game probably in European football this weekend. It’s Sevilla versus Real Betis. Big derby this one. It’s +110 for the home side, +310 for the away side. Real Betis -130 for draw double chance. Draw is at +220. The under/overs is at two and a half at +110. And I wish I had the card markets available for this one, Roman because it’s bound to get feisty.

Roman:

Yeah. I mean, cards is definitely a very interesting way to go in this kind of game. These derbies always have a lot of intense moments, players going a hundred percent and then it’s a matter of honor winning in your hometown, in your city. And both teams will want to achieve that. And to be honest, I think everything is moving towards Betis in a favorable way, because not only is Kounde suspended from the previous game and also Ocampos who are two crucial players for Sevilla, but Diego Carlos just got injured in the Europa League game. And if you add to that the fact that Rekik, the third center back is also injured. That means that Sevilla are going to probably play with two midfielders as center backs with Fernando and Gudelj. So that’s definitely something Betis is going to be looking into because they’re going to have lots of good opportunities. I mean, those two have played before center backs. They can perform, but they’re not the level of Diego Carlos. They’re not the level of Kounde. So that’s something that Betis can definitely exploit.

Roman:

Betis have most of their players, except for Juanmi who is suspended and a couple more but not really important guys. So I think they’re going to have enough. Also, we have to see how it goes in this game. They’re playing currently with Zenit, see if there’s any further injuries, any further unexpected things, but overall Betis, they’re in the better form. They’re playing better football. They look more dangerous, but it is Sevilla’s Sanchez Pizjuan. There home stadium where they’re also really strong. So it’s a tricky game. I wasn’t really sure which way to go. Sometimes you see goals. Sometimes you see very dull games with 0-0, 1-1 results. So for me it was a bit hard to pick a side. And I guess in your case, double chance does make sense at the moment because Betis are the more in form side and I mean, you get two opportunities to get a win. So, I mean, that’s a decent way to go if you think that Betis can do it.

Flash:

Yeah. There’s no splitting these two sides for me. I think Betis. I was a braver man or a little richer man. We just go Betis win here, Pavlos but when you’re getting both on your side of the fence with a side that have full strength and listen to that, -130. I just feel as if that’s a shot to nothing to be honest. Muted. Don’t mind it muted-

Pavlos:

So the truth is that Sevilla, they have the best xGA numbers throughout the entire season which means that the defense was operating really good throughout the entire season. But lately they have taken a huge dip and they now have the 10th worst xGA at home which is really important, allowing 1.26 per game. And Betis they have been really good offensively. Not so good defensively, but Betis have the second best xG overall with 1.89 per game. Best xG on the road with 1.75 per game. So they’re going to certainly put this Sevilla defense to the test. However, what really worries me here is the fact that this is a local derby. Sevilla have done a great job against Betis especially as hosts over the last few years. They’ve won each of the last three and eight of the last 10 which goes to show that Sevilla are always going the extra mile against Betis in this home matches.

Pavlos:

But the thing is that there are a lot of cards traditionally in this matchup, especially with Sevilla as hosts. I think there’s been at least eight cards in three of the last five home matches for Sevilla against Betis. So I’m going to stay away from this match. I’m not going to take anything. Numbers show that this is going to be a high scoring match, but this local derbies tend to be weird and maybe some first half cards or maybe a red card could really derail this match into an under. Oh this is a match where I don’t want to personally get involved. I’m going to be watching it on TV for sure. But numbers say this is going to be an over match at least in goals here.

Flash:

Yeah. Listen, I wrote down, Betis win 2-1. Obviously I’m shutting my own book. Let’s have a little look at the official picks because it’s only myself actually going with Betis +0.5. So that’s Betis. Draw double chance -130. And a lot of that is not just all about how good Betis are, but how poor and inconsistent Sevilla have been when you actually fancy them. Okay. Let’s move on to game number six of seven. I was quite surprised that this one jumped on here because it’s Real Sociedad versus Osasuna. Sociedad, they limped out of the European competition in midweek. They’re at -125. Osasuna at +450. Osasuna, double chance is at +105. The draw is at +225. And the under/over is at two and a half. We’ve got massive +125 with the over. Now with Sociedad, Roman. I don’t know where to start with them because remember they were the second best side in La Liga for probably the first third of the campaign. Since then we don’t if they’re going to score goals and they certainly can’t keep clean sheets. You’re muted now as well. What’s it, is catching huh?

Roman:

Yeah. They had a similar trajectory. I was saying to Rayo Vallecano obviously save the distances between both sides. Where Rayo are suffering a lot more, but also they were starting really well and now they’re not doing as well, unfortunately. And I mean, I’m just not convinced about Real Sociedad getting a good result here. I think we’re going to see very few goals, honestly. Possibly a 0-0, 1-1. A low scoring result looks so tempting in this case because Osasuna are actually better away than they are at home. Last season, they were one of the best home sides I think it was in La Liga. They had really good results there. And now it’s the opposite. They’re getting the good results when they’re playing away.

Roman:

And we know that Real Sociedad at the moment aren’t going through a good patch. We saw how they got thrashed against Athletic Club, 4-0 in that second half. And against Leipzig. I mean, they got a 3-1 because honestly it was deserved because it was Leipzig basically generating more opportunities in attack. Of course, we can’t compare them to Osasuna but I just get a feeling that a draw is so likely in this game. And that’s why in my case, I went for a double chance, might as well just give us Osasuna an extra push there. And maybe they might even get a 1-0 win or something like that. But I really see Real Sociedad struggling a lot to win this game.

Flash:

Draw halftime last week came in. Never in doubt. Don’t worry about them penalties Roman, you know what I mean? They’ve missed penalties but the keeper has actually been in flying form which is something you’re definitely going to be needing. Pavlos, Real Sociedad versus Osasuna. Really, we should just say Real Sociedad -125. Don’t complicate it. But they’re not side to be trusted at odds on.

Pavlos:

Yeah, exactly. Even though they do have a pretty solid home record, they’ve only lost twice at home. They have six wins, two losses, for draws. And there hasn’t been a lot of goals in their home matches so far. Under two and a half goals, 10 and one with just 1.3 goals per game. And when you look at Osasuna’s performances on the road, they’ve been quite surprising. They have the fourth best away record in the La Liga with six wins, four losses and draws under two and a half goals is eight and four on the road with 2.2 goals per game. So this is a match where logically speaking, there should be very few goals.

Pavlos:

And even though when you look at the history, because I love to look at the history especially in the La Liga, because it has a lot of stories tell about how teams perform in certain venues. And Sociedad they’ve been excellent at home against Osasuna. They have seven wins and five draws. Unbeaten since 2012, I believe. But in the last couple of seasons, Osasuna have been really great in this venue. They’ve held on for a couple of draws and this season they’ve been really good on the road. So with all the struggles that Real Sociedad have at this moment, I wouldn’t be surprised if Osasuna even win in this match. And their win is at a massive +375 or something.

Flash:

Yeah.

Pavlos:

Yeah, I believe that this is a match where they can easily grab at least one point here, no matter what the xG numbers look like, no matter what the xGA numbers look like, we just have to follow the trend here. And the trend is that Real Sociedad they’ve been struggling to get results while also sooner they’ve been quite solid on the road. So I’m not surprised if anyone takes Osasuna double chance here.

Flash:

Listen, and that’s where we’ve been at our strength as a team here and on the La Liga show is we have sniffed out the trends very quickly. In fact, we’ve been so far ahead of the trends. Let’s have a look at the official picks here because it’s Osasuna draw double chance at plus money, +105. All the xG numbers are always going to tell you that Sociedad are the favorites, but what the xG numbers do not show is trends. Okay. Sociedad are not firing on all cylinders and you would not want to be cuing up for your -125 on the moneyline.

Flash:

Okay. Remember, you’ve got the Q$A coming up, although we’re showing you really every single game and we’re giving you picks in every single game. The last game is going to be Barcelona versus Athletic Club. Barcelona, -175, going great, guns scoring plenty goals. In fact, Athletic Club are +525. I just want to gloss over everything and go to over two and a half goals at -120. Barcelona are liable to score three on their own. Draw at +315. Barcelona scoring more than one away from home in Italy in midweek as well and coming out the traps. Roman, you got to be so pleased with the way that this Barcelona side, as soon as that whistle blows, they come out and they put you under pressure from the moment dot.

Roman:

Yeah, I mean, finally, that’s starting to work out nicely. Finally they look like a threatening team from the first minute on. 13 minutes into the game against Napoli, they had already got two goals in that game when they were playing. So, I mean, it’s really fantastic to see that Barca is clicking in and they’re getting a good streak of positive results or at least it seems so. And even if they don’t get the results, the football is so much better offensively going forward that they really give their a hundred percent. And they give us a few scares now and then so that’s why, in my case, I haven’t gone for the game because you never know what these guys.

Roman:

But it’s true that Athletic Club are going to really be focusing also in the Copa del Rey they’re going to play next midweek on Wednesday, I think it is. And that’s going to be a tough game against Valencia. They got a 1-1 draw in the first leg. And so they’re also going to focus a lot and think about that game because the Copa del Rey is one of those trophies that Athletic Club really like to win and fight for right till the end. So that’s maybe a setback for them and a positive for Barcelona, but I think definitely that Barca should get a comfortable win and they should get at least a couple of goals.

Flash:

Oh, without a doubt. Over two and a half goals in this game, I see this being a minimum of maybe three for Barca or in fact Barca at a -150 so just to score twice. Pavlos, I think you can just wrap this up. I mean, Barcelona at -175 is good. I think -1 at +105 is good, but the over two and half at -120 is a must.

Pavlos:

Yeah. The over just stands out in this match with Barcelona improving their xG numbers. Now third best xG with 1.7 per game. Third best xG at home with 1.92 per game. Bilbao, they didn’t have very good xG numbers at the start of the season, but they switched something in their offense in the past couple of months. So they now have the sixth best xG in the La Liga with 1.61 per game. The sixth best XG on the road with 1.43 per game. Barcelona numbers on the defense have been improving but their defense hasn’t actually improved because they concede goals left and right. I think that [inaudible 00:35:10] can improve their offense, but that also took a toll in their defense and they now have the ninth worst xGA allowing 1.41 per game and the seventh worst xGA in the road allowing 1.58 per game.

Pavlos:

So they did switch their offense. Their offense is just a lot better right now that than it used to be in the first half of the season, but that took a toll on their defense. And with this Barcelona side that added Aubameyang, Adama Traore and all these new guys and they’re already clicking together. I believe this is a match where Barcelona are going to score at least twice. Bilbao might get in the scholarship because Barcelona’s defense hasn’t been all that great. And they also have the match against Napoli that is being played right now.

Pavlos:

So I believe that might be distracted by the fact that they’re going to have the match against Valencia for the Copa del Rey but they’re always trying to be very competitive against Barcelona. This might be because the one side is Basque. The other side is Catalan. So they both want to get independent. So this very interesting match between Barcelona and Bilbao in the last couple of seasons. So I believe this match truly that it is going to have a lot of goals. Maybe a 2-1 for Barcelona, 3-1, a 3-2 something like that. So a lot of goals here.

Flash:

Yeah. I wrote down 3-1 which meant that I was so happy to go in my official pick which was basically over two and a half goals in the game -120. I’m not relying on Athletic Club scoring. I think Barcelona score three on their own. Now this is a chance for you to basically have a Q&A but with seven games down, I’ll go back to the beginning and I’ll encourage you and remind you that we are America’s favorite sportsbook. So we would like you to subscribe and become one of the 4,000 and get us closer to 5,000. Also make sure you ring the bell because ring the bell means that we will notify you and you’ll never miss any content again. I’m so proud of this show because obviously we’re going to put up the official picks now about 27.8 units of profit. And we’re still only in February.

Flash:

I’ve added one there which was Getafe +160 to score a minimum of twice. Apart from that, it looks like a full blackboard for you to enjoy. My best bet there is Barca over two and a half, although Getafe moneyline, all three of us love that. Villarreal and under four and a half, +125 does stand out like a sore thumb. Okay. Pavlos, back to your party, mate. Enjoy. Really appreciate it. Have a great day. Enjoy all the festivities. You try wiping that smile off your face because I know that Barcelona are absolutely flying in Naples. So mail your bets. Be winners. We’ll see you next week. And hopefully we’re closer to the 30 units of profit. Don’t forget to check out our sportsbook website. You take care.

Pavlos:

Bye bye.

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