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Flash:

Welcome to the BetUS Soccer Channel, I’m Flash. It is LaLiga show and it’s 2023-24 season. I cannot wait for this year because we’re going to have, I think, a better Real Madrid. Maybe we’re going to have a better Atlético Madrid. And Barcelona, being champions, they’ve just got to try and keep that happy medium. At the bottom, maybe one from seven, maybe one from eight, will be thinking that they’re going to go to the drop, and will it be any of the newcomers? There is so much to discuss, but first of all, America’s favorite sportsbook. I’d like to remind you and ask you to subscribe and maybe ring the bell, because that means we’ll notify you and you’ll never miss any content again.

Now, odds and props have taken a complete overhaul. We’ve got so many new ones, we’ve got so much more than last year, so please type in betustv.com/odds. Now we’re always going to cover six games, we need you in the chat, so if you are wanting to ask a question about a game that we’ve not covered, no problem at all, there is a Q&A section there just for you. My experts are South American and North American, so basically over two continents. He’s a commentator of the highest order, so he gives us one view of the game and that’s Klaus German, and his sidekick is going to be Oaks. And Oaks is a full-time LaLiga and MLS Kappa, and by the end of this season, I wouldn’t be surprised if he’s adopted another one. Welcome gentlemen. Week one. We’ve got to be very, very careful Klaus, but I think there’s value to be had right out the gate.

Klaus German:

Well, definitely. First of all, I want to go ahead and welcome everyone out there. Listen, now it’s when we start to analyze, now when we start getting a little deeper into things, there’s a lot of interesting games to analyze. Sometimes you don’t have attractive games in week one. It is also interesting to see how players come off the preseason, how everything’s shaping up. There is something that popped up in the last couple hours that I read it. Barcelona in talks with Manchester City for Bernardo Silva. If that manages to happen, that could be a big game changer for Barcelona ahead of this season. So a lot to talk about ahead of this week one show.

Flash:

Yeah. Oaks, I love the fact that we’ve got some of the big guns going up against maybe lesser lights, but there’s also some games where you’re going to be thinking to yourself, they could drop the ball. If you drop the ball and you get behind maybe a runaway leader after six, eight weeks of the season, you are going to struggle to pin them back, aren’t you?

Oaks:

Yeah, absolutely. I think Sociedad, I know you guys are pretty heavy on Villarreal, they have a big game here against Betis right away. Sociedad, like we talked about playing in Europe, they need to come out and handle some business here on the road versus Girona. There’s a lot of great games, a lot of good value here on the board week one.

Flash:

I’m really looking forward to it. There’s a couple of numbers, I had to look twice. But again, if you go over to BetUS, we’ve got props, we’ve got odds, and obviously we’ve got all the team totals. And also a new thing for us this year is now you can have that pick them, 0.25 half and 0.75 as well. So why don’t we just kick straight off with our first game. Well here we go. Athletic Club are going to host Real Madrid League Club at +252, and Real Madrid are a massive +125. That’s almost an opening day gift or it is a trap. We’ve got a draw at +266. The under over is set at two and a half with the over two and a half at -108. The one that jumped off the page to me was Real Madrid at +125 or Real Madrid team total over one and a half at +105. Klaus, Athletic Club don’t let in any goals, they don’t score many either. How’d you see this game?

Klaus German:

Well, it’s definitely interesting to see how Real Madrid is coming off the preseason, that’s one of the things I just mentioned as soon as we kicked off. They haven’t had a good preseason, especially here in the United States where they managed to get some interesting results but also falling against Barcelona at three goals to nil. It’s been a team that we talked about this week when we did the show, how’s this team going to adapt without Benzema? Is Vini Jr the one that’s going to take over? Well, there’s a lot to see about that. So I think this is a pretty interesting game. I think the numbers are amazing. Taking into consideration that I gave for example, Real Madrid as the favorite, I think 125, it is a very good number.

However, it is the first game of the season. We are kicking off, Madrid is kicking away from home, they’re not playing at home and we know what that means to them. So I think this might be a tricky one. I still think Real Madrid is the favorite to win this match, but I wouldn’t count them as the only favorite. I do see a draw out of here. I think it could be one of those matches where, especially taking into consideration the last couple of meetups between Real Madrid and Athletic Bilbao in San Mames, I think it’s definitely going to be a tie game. And if Real Madrid wins, it’s going to be by a very, very small margin.

Flash:

Are you thinking both teams to score, no, Klaus?

Klaus German:

I just don’t see a one-one. I see Madrid winning by one goal, one-zero or no-nil. That’s what I’m looking at this game. I don’t see a typical ball scoring. I could be wrong of course, but I see a very small margin in this game. Again for someone, you for example Gordon, you played throughout many years and you know what it means to come off a preseason. You know you’re not oiled up, you’re not a hundred percent ready to go for the entire season. So there’s still a little bit of things that have to be adjusted. That’s going to be the game that lets us know, what does Madrid need moving forward? Because all these friendlies, of course they’re important, of course you can take them into consideration to analyze certain things about the game, but you can’t take them into consideration a hundred percent because at the end of the day they’re still friendlies. So I think this game to kick off is going to be very interesting for both teams, but especially for Real Madrid to see exactly where they’re standing at.

Flash:

I know that the way that the athletic club are going to… It’s going to be the first game, but they cannot go gung-ho Oaks. They’ve got to sit back, they’ve got to make sure they try and keep the ball, they got to keep 10 men behind the ball. Because if they go and over commit early, they play straight into Real Madrid’s hands and Real Madrid will hit them on the counter. Now also Real Madrid, they weren’t happy with not winning the league last year. And here they are basically a side that’s going to compete in Europe. Basically, they’ve got to get out of the gate strong. And not only is there an opportunity to get free points, but at +125, count me in.

Oaks:

This is an absolute gift at +125. I also like your angle on the team total over at +105. And just to throw out a few stats for you, Madrid is seven one and two in their last 10 head-to-heads with Bilbao. Bilbao has not won at home versus Madrid since 2015. I think you do have to watch out for the Williams brothers. Nico and Inaki Williams are both nasty, they’re both capable of scoring goals. They distribute, they link up well with each other. I think that Madrid does tend to be a little leaky. The first 15 minutes of a Madrid match is always a little open, so both teams to score, Madrid to win here at +300 isn’t a bad look either. But this is a gift. I really like what Madrid did in preseason. Touching off of what Klaus said, we already saw them come back in game one here in the US from two-nil down to Milan. The only bad game you can say Madrid had was that game versus Barcelona. And last time we lost a preseason friendly to Barca, we won the league so I ain’t worried.

Flash:

Only the result was bad. The performance was really, really good. They hit wood about six times. The players played, they were sharp, they made big openings. I like the way that they interacted. I see them being more, dare I say it because Benzema’s probably one of the best strikers in the last five years. But take him out, they become less predictable and they’re almost going to go back to the Barcelona of playing with a false nine.

Oaks:

There are a lot more fluid on offense as we know. You guys know I’m very high on Jude Bellingham. I love what he does in that false nine position. He can shoot, he can assist, he plays with pace, he distributes the ball well. I love what Madrid have going on and I think they walk into Bilbao and they make a statement here.

Flash:

What about anytime goalscorer gentlemen? Are we just going to go square here and think they’re like Rodrigo or Vini Jr get on the score sheet? Both, maybe one of them Oaks?

Oaks:

Yeah, I like Vini Jr a lot here. I think Jude Bellingham has a really good opportunity to score. I’ve seen a season total lined at like five and a half goals this season. I would take that over because I think Bellingham can score 10 goals in LaLiga this season with the way Madrid’s set up to play right now.

Flash:

Yeah, listen, I can tell you another one though Klaus. I fancy Bellingham might get a hat-trick at some stage this season with the way they play. For me, I’m looking at Real Madrid almost being a little bit like Bayern Munichesque. I think that some teams are going to get put to the sort.

Klaus German:

Well personally I put down that this season Bellingham is going to score more than six goals. I think he’s going to be a player that’s definitely going to make an impact on this team. I talked about Gündoğan in Barcelona and I think Bellingham is that ace under the hand for Real Madrid. If he manages to obviously come out and fulfill those expectations, I think he’s going to be one of the best signings in LaLiga this season alongside Gündoğan like we stated at the beginning of this week. But again, Real Madrid, like I said, I watched them the other day against Juventus. Moments of uncertainty, they really didn’t know what was going on at times. So again, I think it’s going to take a little bit of time for them to come back. That’s why I wouldn’t give it a large margin. I still think Madrid could definitely win this game.

I just don’t see Athletic Club Bilbao winning it, but I do see Real Madrid winning it by a very, very small margin. Again, it’s a season that changes. Why? Because you’re used to having a player that’s been there for you in the last seven, eight years that’s been tremendously helpful and important for your team and now you have to deal with not having him anymore. So again, I know sometimes people say yeah it’s easy, well a player leaves and another one comes back and he can be replaced. That’s right but a player like Ben, somebody that has gave Real Madrid so much in the past 10 years or so, I think that’s going to take a little bit of time to adapt for Real Madrid. It’s definitely good numbers but again, I still see Real Madrid on top by a very, very small margin against Athletic Bilbao.

Flash:

Who cares? Very small margin or not, at +125 I don’t care if it’s nine-one or one-nil because we’re not trying to get complicated here. We are just going to take the plus money. Let’s have a little look at the official Soccer picks. Because it’s not very often you get this but from day one, look at that Real Madrid at +125 for all three of us. That means that when we add the totals next week, three units has gone on Real Madrid at +125. We think that we’ve got a handle on that one. Let’s go on to game number two.

I’ll come to you first Oaks because Real Sociedad are -161 hosting Girona at +450. The draws is at +305, Girona not to score is +135. I thought straight away that I’m going to look for Real Sociedad to edge into this season, keep it tight and then make sure that they just pick up points. And listen, you never see Sociedad go and win three and four one. So the home side, well basically over two and a half goals is at -114. I start off Oaks maybe here with Sociedad two, Girona nil.

Oaks:

Yeah, I like that. I try not to get too square into to just pegging myself on a final score. I know that those can be some nice lottery tickets. I really like Sociedad here and over one and a half at -110. Girona was a very high scoring team and a high scoring offense. I loved playing them both teams to score over two and a half all last season. The problem is they traded Taty Castellanos to Lazio and that’s 13 league goals you’re missing right away. And Girona has not made a signing to replace a striker like Taty. Taty’s very good. He’s from Argentina. He played super well in the MLS for NYC FC. That’s part of the city ownership group who also owns Girona. So it was a nice little loan for him but he’s over at Lazio now. That’s 13 league goals missing. I think that Real Sociedad can keep a clean sheet here because they have absolutely nasty center backs and a really nice midfield, but I’m just going to play it safe. I’m going to take Sociedad and over one and a half at -110. I really like that number.

Flash:

Yeah, when I say that I’ve got Sociedad two, Girona nil, you will learn that’s not me predicting a score. That’s where I’m starting my thought process. So then I look and think to myself, because I always go down the page and go right, how do I think this game’s going to end? And then I look and see what value is in there. So when you’re looking at maybe Girona not scoring, it’s straight away plus money at +135. Klaus, do you see Girona scoring or is this a game where Sociedad, they keep the ball, they’re patient and they come away with three points?

Klaus German:

Honestly I see both teams scoring on this one. I still see Real Sociedad taking it, but I do see both teams scoring. And Oak’s has been pointing out perfect statistics not only from last season but the last couple of seasons. He talked about the last couple of meetups between Real Madrid and Athletic Balbao. He talked about a very high scoring team last season as well. So I think both teams here would manage to find the back of the net but I still think Real Sociedad is the favorite. There is a couple of chatting going back and forth, a couple of people obviously talking saying Girona might be one of the ones to go down this season to be relegated. We talked about it obviously at the beginning of the season, I don’t think that’s going to happen. But the loss of Castellanos was a player that obviously arrived from New York and he definitely changed the whole game for Girona.

We remember that wonderful performance last season against Real Madrid. So that’s going to be a tough player to let go. We’ll see if they can do something similar for what they did last season, which taking into consideration that a team like Girona ended up where they ended up. I think it’s a pretty good season officially. But now without that key player they had last season, now it’s hard to predict what’s going to happen even though I do think both teams will find the back of the net and in this case Real Sociedad will take the three points.

Flash:

Okay, so maybe Real Sociedad. You only get -140 for Real Sociedad to score twice. Remember that if Sociedad are one of them sides that are going to challenge for the top four and that will mean that they’re going to be in a battle with Athletic, Madrid and Villarreal and Sevilla. They’re going to have to make their home games an absolute fortress. Let’s have a little look at the official picks. For me it’s all about the home side, keeping the ball, not giving the opponents or the visitors any encouragement whatsoever.

So the official picks are I’ve gone Sociedad a win to nil. A massive +160 because I can see one-nil, two-nil. And that two-nil would be absolutely lovely for Oaks because he’s gone Sociedad. And over one and a half at -110. Sociedad and over one and a half at -110 goes right into Klaus’ wheel loss of 2-1, 3-1, 3-2, but both teams scoring. You could even go maybe Sociedad to win and both teams to score. If you want to put a pin in my balloon in week one, don’t be starting any of that negativity, okay. It’s two-nil and then we’re all happy. Let’s move on to, go on Oaks.

Oaks:

Do you think Silva gets the start? I know that they just signed him. I know they got some paperwork still to finish but that is the replacement that they went and signed for Sørloth. I wasn’t a huge fan of him at RB Leipzig. He did struggle when he played at Sevilla. He might be able to revive his career here a little bit, but I think that that’s a good signing piece that gives you some depth for UCL and is going to challenge Ali Cho for minutes.

Flash:

Yeah, I don’t want to solo off [inaudible 00:17:37] fan neither though, so I don’t think we’re not gaining it or we’re not losing anything. The big thing for me about Sociedad is that they’re absolutely class at retaining the ball, moving the ball pass and move. So again, it’s one of those I would say if he’s in the door, he’ll probably play some part. Let’s go a little bit careful, maybe off the bench impact and we’ll go from there. But there again, if the game’s tight and he comes on, then it’s going to give their home crowd a lift. It’s all about getting them free points opening out the season in front of your own fans. Let’s move on then to game number three.

Okay, Yellow Submarine, what have you got for us this year? Because we keep jumping back in and we’re cheering you on and you disappoint. It’s Villarreal at -135 at home against the Real Betis side at +345 on the road, which also you can get -144 for plus half or plus one. So basically +0.75 of a goal for Betis at -114. The under overs at three, I think that’s because Betis are in town because Betis to score is -220 but Villarreal to score twice is -140. Klaus, I’m going to stay with you here because you are a Villarreal fan so we’ve got to throw that caveat in. I am also a fan of Villarreal, not the fan, but I am a fan of them. I don’t see clean sheets in this game and I couldn’t tell you who wins.

Klaus German:

I definitely do not see clean sheets. I see Villarreal winning this one, especially at home. I think they are going to take this one but it is going to be one of the most attractive matches of this opening round, I said it at the beginning. And I have no question whatsoever, two teams that play a very, very attractive game style. We know with Villarreal, they’re two teams that obviously finished in the top eight last season. So it’s definitely going to be interesting to see kicking off. Usually you would want to start the league with easy teams, obviously “easy teams”. We know sometimes there’s no such thing as easy teams but obviously teams that are more accessible than others. At this point, Villarreal it’s obviously not kicking the league off in that form. They’re kicking it off against a team that’s very, very strong.

So it’s definitely going to be an attractive match. Like I said, the style is very, very interesting for both sides. You did talk about no clean sheets. I agree with you a hundred percent on that one. I don’t think there’s going to be any clean sheets. I do see both teams scoring but at the end of the day I do see Villarreal taking it. Obviously the -135 lets you know that they are the favorites. I do like that +345 for Real Betis. Even though I do not see them, winning that number, it’s +345. It’s pretty attractive for a team like Betis. So that’s something also to keep your eye on. If you’re hopeful, maybe something could happen, something out of the ordinary. I think that number is very good to look at as well.

Flash:

Yeah, it’s really strange because normally you’d see this game Villarreal at home, you’re looking at maybe the goal line being at two and a half, this is like at three but it is juiced at 1, 1, 9. So I’m looking maybe at a push. But don’t worry, I think it’s one of them games where you don’t worry who wins, you just look for goals Oaks, both teams to score an over is near enough +100 I believe.

Oaks:

I love that play. I think we got +105 on that with BetUS. The one thing I will say is we have no Fekir for Betis. That has been a problem in the past, but Isco is there re-linking up with Pellegrini. To you Villarreal supporters out there, last 10 games at Villa, Betis is one three in six. So Betis have really struggled at Villarreal who is super tough at home. But both teams have scored in six of the last 10 at Villarreal and it’s gone over with both teams to score in four of the last 10 at Villarreal. These are very changed sides. Obviously this is dating back to 2015, but I think with Juan, me and Bohan and Glacias and the guys up top for Betis, the idea that they’re getting kept out of the back of the net is a little ridiculous to me. Two high-powered offenses, give me the plus money on both teams to score over two and a half.

Flash:

Yeah, you’re not worried about the Villarreal absentees, the ones that have left the building?

Oaks:

I am, I’m very worried about where Villarreal is going to find the spark from offense. They did sign [inaudible 00:21:57] who came over on a transfer after his loan there. It’s Sociedad, but I think they’re going to struggle with Chukwueze not being on the left. He’s one of my favorite players. I’ve been standing on the table screaming for him to get more ticked for two years. He’s got great passing ability, he’s got a great shot, he’s got a great dribble. So yeah, I think they’re desperately going to miss a guy like Chukwueze and he’s going to look great in the Milan kit.

Flash:

I’ll tell you what though, Klaus, we look at Villarreal over recent years and they had the big run last year of nil nils every week home and away. I wonder if we’re going to see a different Villarreal this year where when they win games it is going to be like with them winning and both teams scoring. Because I just wonder about that defense if they are now going to have to maybe over commit and get more bodies into the opposition’s final third and they can get hit on the break because if one thing’s aimed at them, they’re not the paces in the central back areas.

Klaus German:

[inaudible 00:22:58]. I was going to say that they’re usually a team that waits a little bit. They try to read the match in the first 10, 15 minutes. They chill, they wait, they analyze what they have in front of them and then they go out on it. It’s not a typical team that goes out and proposes something on the pitch. They first analyze what’s going on. You talked about them obviously having many clean sheets last season and obviously their stronghold starts from the back forward. So once they sit into the match, they feel comfortable, they know what they have in front of them, then they go out and they try to do their game. So that’s going to be something to take into consideration as well. Even though they are playing at home, they do have sort of a conservative style of playing most of the times. I’m sorry about that.

Flash:

I’m looking forward to seeing it. No, no, no, absolutely. The floor is yours. Really, really looking forward to this game because I think that Betis are going to carry some of our money in future weeks as well. So just because we’re on Villarreal, we’re on both teams to score, it’s still good to watch these games and see if it’s going to give us an edge over the first few weeks of the season because remember it takes four or five weeks to really start getting a handle and then that’s when the LaLiga side start letting you down, as soon as you think you’ve got them. Let’s have a little look at the official picks please in this game because myself and Klaus are both getting involved. Klaus Villarreal -135 on the money line, which is decent. But for me I’ve gone for both teams score and over two and a half at +105.

Yes, I want Villarreal to win. So a nice 2-1 would be a start, a free one with Villarreal closing up the game in the last 10 minutes will be absolutely great. Really looking forward to this game to be honest. So okay, let’s move on to game number four. Is this a banana skin? Getafe at +500, Barcelona at -172. Again, like Real Madrid, we look straight down and Barcelona are -130 to score twice at Getafe at home. They’re no mugs and they can perform. The under or over is two and a half. Well Barcelona can score free on their own. Getafe can contribute. It’s -107 Oaks for Getafe to basically just get something out of the game because you can get -130 on Getafe just scoring.

Oaks:

Yeah, and I’m on the other end of that. I’m taking Getafe not to score. I think we’re getting a nice price instead of taking both teams to score. No, you could get a little bit better price if you wanted to take Barça to win to nil at +135.

Flash:

Why did you not do that?

Oaks:

I have very bad luck when I back Barcelona, I’m a Madrid fan. Every time I back Barcelona, it blows up in my face. So I’ll take Getafe not to score here, I’m not a big believer in Getafe. They almost got relegated last season. Their striker, I believe it’s Ünal, the Turkish guy is pretty much the only guy who finds the back of the net with any consistency here for Getafe. They do have a decent home crowd in home stadium. I really like their kits every year. But other than that, it’s just not a great squad. And my thing is with Barcelona on the road, they’re content playing ticky tack football and just passing 1100 times with absolutely no purpose and not pressing forward to the net and getting out of here with a one nil win. So that’s my other thing here is I think Getafe is going to try and park the bus. They’re going to put 9, 10 men behind the ball and just really try and keep people out of the back of their net. So I’m taking Getafe not to score at +100.

Flash:

Okay. And I’ve already wrote down here, question for Oaks in week 38 of LaLiga, have you started betting without your heart? Because I tell you what, you are going to have to put some money on Barcelona at some stage this year because they will be an absolute standout. So that’s going to be myself, Klaus, we’re going to commit to this. We’re going to try and bring him out of this and even if it means even if we bet, would you ever bet against Real Madrid Oaks?

Oaks:

Yeah, well if the number’s right, absolutely. But here’s the thing, the reason I didn’t take Barça to win to nil is like I said, last year, what was it? The last game of the season Barça was like +135 and of course they get a two-two draw. It’s happened to me on more occasions than I’d like to admit when I finally am like, you know what? This is much too nice of a number on Barcelona. They show up and they always find a way to disappoint me.

Flash:

Yeah, no, we all have them type of sides. Barcelona had already won the league though at +135, that was the old trap dressed up as a gift. Klaus, Barcelona hand Getafe, is this going to be a first day where Barcelona do not get three points or do you see it as being comfortable?

Klaus German:

Well first of all I want to go ahead and pretty much copy and paste about Oaks said about they’re on their +100. I think that’s the one to look at. I just don’t see Getafe scoring. If you guys actually remember two to three seasons back, Getafe used to be a team that would always be in the top 10. We saw many times participating in the UEFA Europa League.

Flash:

They did well.

Klaus German:

But there’s been a lot of changes, a lot of changes within the institution itself that political movements that have led to Getafe losing a lot of power in the last couple of years. We saw what happened last season when they were almost relegated. They have lost so many important players that they had, especially in the midfield. Obviously we talked about their forwards. Again, not having many forwards to choose and pick from. So I don’t see them finding the back of the net on this match.

I do see Barcelona coming off very strong this season. You could tell, you’ve seen them. Yeah, there’s been a couple of games against Arsenal for example, but you can tell the confidence is there. You can tell Barça pretty much kept what they had and they added to what they had and they didn’t have any significant losses. So I think right from the start I think they’re going to go ahead and come out with absolutely everything and they’re going to try to go ahead and make a pretty good performance. I see them as favorites. And again, I do not see Getafe scoring on this match unless Barcelona obviously makes a silly mistake in the back, which we’ve seen them make before, but I don’t think this specifically will be the case.

Flash:

Bonjovu in the chat actually likes Barcelona first half handicap minus two and a half. Also, he likes Barcelona on the corners. Okay, yes or no, Oaks to Barcelona score twice here.

Oaks:

Barcelona can score twice here. I would be much more confident if I see them get a first half goal. I don’t know if they score two in the 45 minutes because I don’t see there being a ton of stoppage time here. I feel like Barcelona is going to handle this pretty well. I don’t mind a Barcelona corner handicap here. They do push forward a lot. They do win a fair amount of corners like they were discussing in chat. But again, there’s games where they’ll pass laterally 12, 1500 times and just play with a very lackadaisical attitude. Like we’ll get a goal when it comes. We’ll get a goal when it comes. So yeah, I don’t particularly love taking Barcelona overs here. I’m more than content taking Getafe under. I do think Barcelona wins, so yeah, I’m not in love with Barcelona overs and I certainly don’t want to pay 30 cents on the dollar to do it.

Flash:

Okay. Klaus, Barcelona, do they score twice?

Klaus German:

Yeah, absolutely, absolutely. I think they’re going to score. I see a 3-0, 2-0. That’s the score that I see on this one. It’s something like that.

Flash:

Well the boys are absolutely flying because two-nil, three-nil will bring in the -130 for the Barcelona team to all over one and a half. But it also brings in Getafe not scoring at +100.

Klaus German:

Exactly.

Flash:

If you want to combine them and bring in the one-nil, it’s Barcelona win to nil at around +135. A Barça man has just joined us in the chat. He says [inaudible 00:30:55]. Barça halftime full-time is at +135 also. Let’s have a little look at the official picks on this game because although I’ve just seen the -130 for Barcelona to score twice I left it alone. Getafe total under 0.5 +100. Barcelona win to nil. Barça man is saying the -1 is at +100 as well. That’s a free hit. That’s another thing you’ll hear on this show.

If this is new to you, if we say it’s a free hit, then basically we expect the team to win and worst case scenario with the -1 you are going to get a push. So we like free hits to be honest and Barça man has gone with the free hit here of Barcelona -1 on the Asian handicap around +102. Let’s move on to these games. I wish this game was like week 37. Cadiz hosting Alaves. I’m not even going to give you the money line, just look at the bottom. It’s +212 for the draw. Anytime it’s close to 200, again if you are new, this is something that we’ve done for many, many years. If the draw is close to 200, then it more than often will be the draw. The Cadiz are +116 at home, Alaves at +2.74. The under or over is obviously set at two, but again it’s -111, -119. Oaks, nil-nil anyone?

Oaks:

Yeah, I like a nil-nil here, possibly a one-one. The under two is tough with the push on the -119. I like under two and a half a little bit more. I’d be willing to eat a little bit more juice or even take an under 2.25 on the Asian total. Alaves lost their best striker, the 25-year old with the big beard, his name escapes me but he got transferred out. He’s still a LaLiga player. I forget where I saw he went. But anyway, yeah, I just don’t see very many goals here. Cadiz as we mentioned in the season preview, is tough to play at home but neither of these teams offenses are super inspiring. This is going to be a tough watch, it’s a good thing. It’s not a standalone game, otherwise this would be a really tough way to spend two hours in my opinion.

Flash:

Yeah, the big one is that Cadiz is not a very easy place to go at any stage of the season because they are red. In fact, both of these sides are basically in survival mode from the first whistle on the first week. And that’s why Klaus at +116 a home win I can’t go near and I certainly can’t go near Alaves at +274 to come away with three points.

Klaus German:

I think that +274 for Alaves that’s a little tricky. I think that’s a little trap if you asked me, I think this game’s going to end up with no goals. I see it as a nil-nil from the beginning. You did talk about the 200 being pretty close, well the draw is 212. And also that under for Alaves, that +125 under half goals. I think that could be a good combination too between obviously a draw and then under a half. So I think it’s going to be a very low scoring match if we even see goals at all. I don’t think we are going to see any goals. I think it’s going to be a draw out of this one. And as we said, there are two teams that really offensively don’t have a lot to offer as of yet. Obviously we still have to see what happens in the beginning rounds of the season, the beginning matches, but as of now I see this as a very, very close match. As Oaks said, maybe not the best match to see out there but definitely a draw coming out of this one.

Flash:

Yeah, the other one again, if you are new and we’re expecting so many new people to be joining us that we have a 75-minute market here at BetUS. So if you like the draw of Cadiz versus Alaves, you can do the draw after 75-minutes. That’s it, that’s your game over. And then what it does is it actually stops you from getting done in a 94 for 95th minute by VAR or some phantom refereeing decision and you haven’t got a sweat for the last 20 minutes. And that’ll probably be, if it’s a 212, I’m looking at maybe the draw after 75 minutes will be +200, which again is somewhere like the area we would always want to be in. So Cadiz versus Alaves, have a little look. Betustv.com/odds, 75th minute on the props and it’ll probably be draw at +200.

Let’s have a little look at the official bets because again, I don’t think we’re going to get rich if we go for both teams to score, no. Draw halftime was the other one and I’m expecting that to be around -105, maybe a -110. Draw for Klaus at +212. I’m really looking forward to the record next week or in week two because obviously we’re going to get off to an absolute flyer. Myself and Oaks, we left it alone because our counterpart has taken all the money out of this game. Let’s have a little look at game number six. Okay, here’s the other big gun. We’ve got Atlético Madrid -323 against Granada at +890. Granada they’re also in survival mode from day. Atlético -1 and a half at -115. I had this game down as being two-nil very early on. So Granada not to score, that is minus, that is -130. Draw is redundant, it could be anything. +435, I don’t see that happening, Klaus.

Klaus German:

Not really. I see Atlético Madrid winning off right from the start here. They’re playing at home. We know what that means for them as well. Obviously you’re kicking off the league. Remember we talked about a couple of minutes ago about starting the league with a “easy team” or starting the league with a “hard team”. Well in this case, like I said, I don’t think… We talked about it in the beginning of the season about Granada potentially being relegated. I don’t see them being relegated this season, but I also don’t see them in the top 10, top 12. So I think that Atlético Madrid shouldn’t have a problem with this match right here coming into this game. I think they’re going to take it. I even see a goal from them right before halftime. I don’t see any space for a draw and I definitely do not see Granada taking this match.

Again, we’ve seen these surprises where teams that are playing as visitors take a very early lead and that obviously messes up with the whole planification of the match for the home site. But this is one of those games where I’m very confident that Atlético Madrid should take it without a single problem. Over two and a half, I don’t like any of those to be honest. That’s not too convincing for me. Those numbers are not convincing for me. They could be a trap as well. We know Atlético Madrid usually with their philosophy, they’re a very defensive team, so I never see them scoring many, many goals on a match, but I definitely think they’re going to take without a single question.

Flash:

Yeah, okay, so maybe we could have the same game parlay Oaks because again, Granada at -130 is a way to go, I don’t see them scoring. And the other one with Atlético, they’re so patient, they’re so disciplined and they wait for the right moment that you can’t even go go Atlético halftime, full time. So how do you get the best out of this home win?

Oaks:

So for me, I’m playing Atleti plus under three and a half. You could go-

Flash:

So Atleti money line yeah.

Oaks:

Yeah, Atleti money line plus under three and a half that gets us -120 on BetUS. You could go under two and a half if you like. I like having a little bit of breathing room just in case Granada gets a fluke one or Atleti accidentally scores an own goal, which they will on occasion. Two things you should know about me from the jump, one, I took Granada to get relegated. I don’t respect them and I don’t respect Osasuna. You’ll see me fade them a lot just because I don’t think they play great football. But Atleti, they don’t score a ton of goals.

They’ll get the opportunities but Morata, as much as I like him, he’s an ex-Madrid guy. He misses three big chances a game. He misses sitters and Simeone ball. They like to play defensively, they play the dark arts, they like to be really physical, hold the ball in the midfield. I just don’t see them scoring four goals themselves here and I really don’t see them scoring three with an accidental Granada or an own goal. So I think I like the extra breathing room with one extra goal on the other under three and a half and I’m willing to lay 20 cents on the dollar to take Atleti money line and under three and a half.

Flash:

Yeah, let’s not just rush away from this game because Atlético are one of the sides that a lot of people think have returned to their steeliness, have gone back to their DNA if you are a believer. Because remember this is the only side in recent times that have split Real Madrid and Barcelona and they are horrible to play against and I quite like that. I quite like the fact that they’re ready to roll their sleeves up. Because also what they do is game management Klaus, if they go one or two up, it really is go and put the kettle on and there’s no way back for Granada.

Klaus German:

No, absolutely. And as we talked about it before and I agree with Oaks on that one as well. I don’t see a game being three, four-nil, the perfect score for this match will be a two-nil. That’s what I see happening here. But again, it’s more about growing that confidence. We know it’s a new season, it’s a new season kicking off a new tournament and obviously you still have to get that confidence up in the first couple of games. Things may not go the way you want them to go, especially trying to replicate things that you go ahead and train during training during the preseason. So I think it is going to take a little bit for every single team to adapt and to find its true philosophy. But with that being said, I don’t see Atlético Madrid scoring more than two goals on this one, but I see them getting the comfortable win.

It was hard to see them last season. It was difficult to see how much they struggled. They did manage to get back in the top three. Towards the end they did get a couple of good results but at times during the season it just didn’t look like that Atlético Madrid team that we’re used to seeing week by week or at least in the last couple of years. They looked like they lost their philosophy. They weren’t that team that we’re used to seeing year by year, that team that made it to several finals of the Champions League. So I think this might be the season for them to finally get back into it. We know last season didn’t even participate, they didn’t even compete. It was a Real Madrid and Barcelona tournament into round, I want to say 28, 27, where we knew Barca was going to take it. So this year they had the chance to get back into the domestic side. We’ll see what happens, but again, I don’t see a way for them to lose these three points at home.

Flash:

You had the devil in me and obviously I always like to throw a little spanner in the works is the Joao Felix situation. As soon as he left, as soon as he left Atlético Madrid, everyone seemed to start smiling. Griezmann becoming top man. Then there was Carrasco, Carrea, they was enjoying themselves. So I’m wondering if the happy camp has now returned. But Joao Felix, what’s going to go on? That’s another situation we’re going to have to keep our eyes upon and we’ll leave that to you Klaus. Let’s have a little look at the official picks please for Atlético hosting Granada week one in LaLiga. And it’s Atlético and under three and half at -124 for Oaks, myself and Klaus, we both agree with Oaks as well. Now like Marley’s saying, will Felix be involved? I’m not sure. I think maybe he’s a bench warmer and he’s probably one that will be out the door come the 30th of August.

Right time for Q&A. If you’ve got any questions, now’s the time. If you’ve got any of the other games, now is the time. Also, I’d like you to subscribe and also ring the bell. I know we’re going to have plenty newcomers to the LaLiga show. Remember we also have Premier League Sierra and Bundesliga, Champions League and Europa League. That’s before we even get involved with AFCON, Copa America, Euro Champs and the MLS in February. So listen, it really is going to be like maybe no days off for about a year and we’d have it no other way. All the odds and props have gone through the roof. We’ve got so many options for you now. So go over and get involved. It’s the betustv.com/odds. Right, first question, let’s have a little look. Come on Jeya, you’ve always got questions for me. I don’t mind because I’ll just go straight on to the best bets if you don’t. You got a question have you Oaks? Can you try repeat the chat?

Oaks:

No, before we move on though, real quick, one other thing I’d like to add for the Atleti versus Granada game, depending on who the ref is, I like cards a lot here. Granada newly promoted, if you can’t beat them, beat them up. And we know how aggressive and physical the center backs in the midfield are here for Atlético Madrid. You got to check who the ref is and make sure that he’s not very tight with the cards. But I could see 5, 6, 7 cards here, especially if Granada’s getting spanked in about the 65th minute.

Flash:

Yeah, listen, if we’re going to start talking about cards, and I’ll go back a little bit Klaus because Villarreal and Betis, Betis finishing with 10 men is not an unfamiliar occurrence and I’m wondering-

Oaks:

[inaudible 00:43:45] is not there to get a red this time but-

Flash:

Again Klaus, because obviously you are commentating on these games and you get a feel. And okay, in six weeks time we can have this conversation about referees because they’ve got six weeks under their belt and we can start seeing a trend. And what they do is if they give a yellow in the first few weeks for a certain challenge, they’ve got to really continue doing that throughout the season. But I also saw, remember who was it Lahoz, he basically retired and he hardly gave a card for the last month for the season when he was giving cards out to the fans.

Oaks:

Yeah.

Flash:

Klaus, do you get a…

Klaus German:

Yeah, honestly the one thing, and I realize too about LaLiga, it’s a league that you don’t see as much friction as you see in other leagues for example such as the Premier League. There’s not a lot of intensity, it’s more of a technical league. It’s more of a hold the ball, pass well, not a lot of friction. So as far as cards, I’m not really too confident when it comes to that about playing them. You also have to see who are the referee you have in front of you. Obviously you look at these fixtures from different referees and you can tell different referees have a tendency to give out certain amount of cards per match. In Argentina for example, which is one of the countries I commentate, you have referees that give an average of six cards per match and then you have other referees that give three to two.

So the gap is pretty big. So it also depends on the referee. Sometimes you have to get that game under control. And we talked about maybe Atlético Madrid, I think that’s the game that we were just talking about. And they are a team that use force a lot and to use friction. And sometimes you do want to get that game under control in the first couple of minutes, 10, 15 minutes to make sure it doesn’t get out of hand. But overall, I do feel like the Spanish League is a league where we don’t see too many cards. It’s a league where fouls don’t tend to happen as much as in other places. So as far as that, that’s what I think on that area.

Oaks:

Mallorca had almost a hundred cards last season.

Flash:

Mallorca?

Oaks:

Mallorca was the most carded team in LaLiga last season. I think they brought 90 cards. Also, whoever guards Vini, I’m always looking at that for a card. And sometimes it depends on how Vini’s playing. Card and a goal, love a card and a goal combo for Vini.

Flash:

And to give a little bit of credence to what Klaus is saying and also to back up Oaks, it’s the teams, there’s certain teams that seem to attract all the yellows. There was Batiste, there was definitely Mallorca. Mallorca was home and away. There were other teams that were getting a bit of a reputation for sticking their foot in. And then there was other teams that hardly ever got any yellow cards. These questions, let’s start off with Junior wants to know about parlays. Let’s leave the parlays out. But he has gone for Sociedad Sevilla and Villarreal. I think that there’s no need to do that in week one. So let’s go with Almeria and Rayo Vallecano. Klaus, you can take this one. Do you think it’s a draw, Almeria and Rayo?

Klaus German:

Yeah, I think that could definitely be one. That one’s not that easy to predict. You talked about the parlays and I don’t want to go back to that forever, but I do want to ask you guys this question. Can we both agree that the top three giants from Spain this opening weekend are the favors to win? I think we can all agree with that, especially if we’re thinking about parlays. I see Real Madrid winning. I see Barcelona winning and I also see a Atlético Madrid winning. So that’s something to keep your eye on. And I do see on this other one that you did talk about, I just wanted to go back for that point just for a second, for that viewer that posted the question. Your top three giants this weekend, it’s something, not this weekend, but obviously next weekend it’s something to look at. I think you can get pretty good money out of there. And as far as the other one, yeah I definitely see a tie. I don’t know if with goals or without goals, but definitely a tie on that one.

Flash:

Yeah. And the one for Oaks, what about Celta Vigo playing against one of your second favorite team, Osasuna?

Oaks:

That one’s tough. Celta has been really, really tough. They’re asking Diego Osbos to absolutely backpack that team again. I saw Santi Mina’s back from Mallone, but I wasn’t super impressed with how he did in the Saudi League. Yeah, I see a draw there. Celta is sometimes better at home. They’re just such a team that’s hard to get a pulse on. And again, I don’t respect Osasuna, but if Klaus, if you want to swap because I have an opinion on the Rayo Vallecano game and I’ll tell you right now if RDT starts, he’s scoring a goal.

Klaus German:

Okay.

Flash:

So it’d be one-one then.

Oaks:

I don’t have a strong opinion on the Celta game but I love the number, whatever number I get as long as it’s above +140, I’m taking RDT to score for Roya Vallecano. RDT needs to have a bounce back season after he got transferred, wasn’t allowed to play for half the year, came off the bench as an unfit sub. He needs to get back to winning the pachichi and be in the top scoring Spanish National in LaLiga and it’s his team to do it there at Rayo Vallecano. So I need to see about 15 goals out of RDT this season. And he’ll score them against Madrid too because he’s a Madrid Academy kid, loves scoring against us.

Flash:

Okay, they’re going to score a lot of goals for a side that are going to be in a relegation battle at some stage this season as well because remember new management are in there, new thought process, players have left. So again, Rayo they started off the season really well last year and then you couldn’t trust them for the last two months of it. Let’s have a little look at the best bets please.

Oh, there’s yellow, there’s yellow. Real Madrid for Klaus money line at +125. Oaks, Real Madrid, money line at +125. Look at me, I’m cashing straight in. When it goes yellow boys, that is a banker, that means there’s two units on it. So four units on Real Madrid to win their opening game of the season from us. That’s why I was saying to you, I’m really looking forward to these records. Villarreal money line at -135 for Klaus and Cadiz Alaves draw +212. If you don’t want to wait the 95 minutes then go to BetUS and get the 75 minute or 75th minute market and that’ll be around +200. Oaks has gone, Sociedad had an over one and a half at +110. That coincides with mine. Now I’ve gone with Sociedad win to nil +160. Getafe team total under 0.5.

So basically Getafe not to score is +100. And Atlético under three and half is -120 at home to Granada. And my last one is Villarreal, Betis, both teams to score and over two and a half at +105. JD says Sociedad are winning LaLiga this year. He also says he’s just coming out of the pub and on his way to buy a kebab drunk. Klaus, have a great weekend, sir. I look forward to seeing you in week two. I hope you’ve enjoyed week one. Oaks, make sure you fill them pockets up. And it’s not Celta, it’s Celta.

Oaks:

Celta.

Flash:

There you go. Don’t worry, I will help you with your pronunciations because I remember you said in the Future show that you butcher them. I didn’t think you’d butcher them as bad as you have been butchering them all right. So from Oaks, from Klaus, from myself, from everyone at BetUS, you take care.

 

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