
2023 Nathan’s Hot Dogs Eating Contest Predictions | Best Hot Dogs Contest Picks & Best Bets
All right, everybody, strap yourselves in because there may be nothing more American than putting your money where your mouth is, or in this case, where someone else’s mouth is, right? Oh no, you’re setting me up so early.Gary Segars:
Kyle Purviance:

Gary Segars:
We’re talking about the time honored tradition of betting on the 2023 Nathan’s HotDog Eating Contest. I am your host Gary Segars. You can follow me on Twitter @GARYWCE, and you are watching BetUS TV. Now to start us off, let me go ahead and bring in our betting experts for today, if there is such a thing as a hotdog betting expert. The host of the BetUS MLB show, he’s on the right side of your screen. A man that knows a thing or two about eating a hotdog, he’s @DFSBACHELOR on Twitter, Kyle Purviance. How are things buddy?
Kyle Purviance:
Fantastic. And this is my favorite event of the year. I’m always hammered by the time this thing comes on. I get up early and get started on 4th of July with my ridiculous hat, illegal fireworks. We want it as dangerous and American as possible. And I’ve always just thought I’d be good at slamming those wieners into my mouth. I thought I’d be good at it. So I’m a little offended I wasn’t invited to the five dog challenge. I’m very offended, very angry that I’m not a part of that panel. So we might have to do something on the side on Saturday. BW and I are already discussing that. I got to see if I could beat the four by Katie Livermore last year in the Nathan Todd. I need to know that I can –
Gary Segars:
She was, what, number four, I think. Is that right?
Kyle Purviance:
Yeah, she ate ate four. She finished 13th place.
Gary Segars:
Oh, 13th place, that was it.
Kyle Purviance:
13th place, but she ate four. And I’m thinking if I could beat her then maybe you get on the circuit. Then you start working your way up.
Gary Segars:
Next up, of course, on the left side of the screen, also from the MLB Show, Basewinner, Mark. If your picks go well, we might have to change that name to dog winner. I’m excited to hear what your model says this year, my friend. How excited are you about this year’s contest?
Basewinner Mark:
Oh, it’s a cool show. It’s a cool contest. It really gives you something to root for early in the morning here on the West Coast. I don’t think I’m as drunk as Kyle. In fact, I’m not drunk at all. But one of the things about 4th of July that I’ve always loved is just blowing stuff up from when I was a kid. I do live here in Phoenix, so I got to be careful on that. I don’t light anything. It’s the only day out of the 365 days that I go up on the roof. We have a little deck up on our roof. The only thing is, it’s cost me so much over the years. But, the one day I get to enjoy the 4th of July, the fireworks. Hopefully, we’ll be watching fireworks and savoring our hotdog eating contest wins, guys.
Gary Segars:
Most certainly. Most certainly. Let’s go ahead and dive into this. Each year, of course, you bring up fireworks. As the fireworks illuminate the skies on the 4th of July, the embodiment of American Independence, the MLE, that’s major league eating for the uninitiated. Somewhere around there.
Kyle Purviance:
That’s beautiful. Beautiful touch.
Gary Segars:
It throws the greatest show in the world of competitive eating. It’s sanctioned by none other than the IFOC, or excuse me, IFOCE, if you’re into acronyms. The whole titan of this All-American event, the incredible Joey Chestnut. He spent the last decade and a half demolishing hot dogs. He’s won 15 of the last 16 competitions. He’s on a hot streak. We’re talking about Miki Sudo today, as well. She has won seven straight in which she’s competed. But, let’s talk right quick about, before we get into the picks, let’s tell you about what we’re doing here at BetUS with this. I am pleased to inform you that we’re not letting Joey Chestnut and Miki Sudo hog all the accolades.
No, no. We’ve got five BetUS personalities that are going to be competing in the BetUS 5 Dog Challenge on July 4th. And you can get in on it now. Odds are up for the five contestants over at betus.com. Not only are you betting on who can win this 5 Dog challenge, but you can win a PlayStation 5 in the process, among other things. To win, you just post a screenshot of your bet with the hashtag 5 Dog challenge, you tag @betus_official on Twitter.
Doing that’s going to put you in the raffle to see who gets the PS 5 among all the other giveaways. Now while you’re watching this show, go ahead and toss your picks in for the 5 Dog challenge in the comments. Which BetUS personality do you think is going to take on the title this year? All right, gentlemen, I want to start off with the model before we get to the picks. Mark, we don’t have to spend long on this. We don’t have graphics, et cetera for it, I don’t believe. But, last year I was enamored with your hotdog model. Can you explain the math a little bit? Tell us how you came up with it?
Basewinner Mark:
Yeah, I think you have to distill it down to hotdogs per minute. And I’ve really gone into depth with Chestnut’s hot dogs per minute. Last year I was very bullish on Chestnut. In fact, I thought he was going to be over in a lot of different categories based on what he’s done. But, this year I did it a little bit differently. I took a three-year average of where he’s been. I looked at all the video and then I did it, how many hot dogs he ate on each minute, one through 10. And actually the first half minute, too, because last year I’m disappointed that we don’t have a after-32nd market this year, but I guess I’ll have to deal with it. But anyway, I took the last three years’ of outdoor hot dog eating. I think that the 2020 indoor contest could skew things because Lash, who did the show with me and Gary last year, made a good point.
He said that you got to keep an eye on the temperature here because the body’s perspiring and the stomach’s made of water. A lot of it is. And so that’s going to have an effect on how many hot dogs these guys can eat. So I think that the correct way to model it was to look at the last three outdoor hotdog eating contests and then take an average. I did it by per minute and then overall average for Chestnut. And then I did a little bit of that stuff for the other guys, too. It’s fun to do. It’s fun to model the hotdog eating contest. A fun thing, love for here.
Gary Segars:
I love it. I absolutely love it.
Kyle Purviance:
Can I point out how impressive it is that he got this model done? So I know he wasn’t supposed to be doing this model, so he put his life on the line because he was on vacation. I don’t know how the hell he did it. I know he wasn’t supposed to. That’s all I’m saying.
Basewinner Mark:
You make a good point because I was going to try to do it a very, very closed and secret way. And then I actually got my wife to help me participate it. She got into it. She says, “You got to do this. And this is the way I would do it and stuff. And don’t forget, he broke his leg last year. And he got attacked by Darth Vader.”
Kyle Purviance:
Awesome.
Basewinner Mark:
She was helping me out with it. So that was cool.
Gary Segars:
This sounds like my wife. She’d be into something like this. When it comes to football, which I’m spending a ton of time on, she wants nothing to do with that. But when it comes to something like eating hot dogs, it’s like, “All right, yeah, we can look at numbers for this. This is interesting.” It’s insane that we’re this in-depth.
Kyle Purviance:
Do we think that affected his, it had to affect the hot dogs, right? The little choke hold in between. I watched that contest and I totally forgot that he stopped for a second, choked out some little punk kid, and then kept calmly going and won the contest. Amazing.
Gary Segars:
I think it cost him like two and a half to three dogs.
Kyle Purviance:
At least. At least, that cost him three dogs.
Basewinner Mark:
And it’s hard to quantify that, right? From a modeling standpoint, it happened between the 16th and the 17th hot dogs so early on into the contest. And not just the time that he’s wasting putting the headlock. He just knocked the guy down. It’s almost like it was staged, but I don’t think it was staged. I think that actually happened. It was cool what he did. But, it happened between the 16th and the 17th hotdog. That could have affected his rhythm. I think Kyle bought something up earlier on in the show. I know two things, Kyle likes innuendos and conspiracy theories.
Kyle Purviance:
I’m trying so hard. You guys are killing me with the…
Basewinner Mark:
And this would fall into the conspiracy theory category, not the innuendo. I don’t know. I saw Kyle’s mind working already, trying to come up with innuendo. But the thought was, Esper said that the buns were dried out and the hotdog stayed out an extra hour, so it made them harder and harder to eat as a result. So you look at all of the results from last year and they were way down. So maybe Kyle, you have something there.
Kyle Purviance:
I will say if I’m out for an hour, it’s the opposite because I don’t get harder. I just go to sleep. You know what I mean? Straight down. What am I doing here? I’m not waiting for an hour. But yeah, that’s what he said. He said it was more difficult to eat. That it had made the hot dogs expand a little bit and they were a little stiffer on the outside and that the buns were crunchy. So I guess when you’re dipping that in the water and you got some crunch to it, it changes the texture. Look, these guys, I always wonder too, when do you sit around? When do you practice?
You get home, you’re like, “Okay, honey, I need you to clear out the kitchen. I’m going to try to eat 70 hot dogs in 10 minutes right now.” And she’s like, “Okay, well you’re cleaning up the mess this time.” You know what I mean? And how does that work when they practice it? And then if they get there, they’re like, “We’ve been practicing with these perfect buns and now they’ve been out for an hour and they’re too crunchy.” These guys are, they’re professional athletes. This has to go exactly how they want it, especially to get to 77 hot dogs in 10 minutes. That’s absolutely outrageous. It’s outrageous.
Gary Segars:
It’s bananas. It’s bananas. Look, look, we’ve waited long enough. Let’s go ahead and move into the bets. We got to talk about a ton of different ways that you can gamble on the 2023 Nathan’s HotDog Eating Contest. So you guys try and keep up. We’ll have our best bets at the end of the show. Go ahead and toss your picks in the chat or in the comments. We want to know what you guys think about these, what your picks are going to be. We’ll start with the women’s competition here. Who will win the women’s HotDog Eating Contest in 2023? The odds are currently sitting at Miki Sudo at -5000. Michelle Lesco next at +800 and any other competitor at +700. Now Kyle, Sudo is a high price, but you got to play here. What are you rolling with on this one?
Kyle Purviance:
Yeah, it actually worked out for me to do the show with BW, so I’m going to borrow a million bucks from Basewinner. He’s just got it laying around. And then I’m going to put it on Miki Sudo at -5000 because this is not going to be close. Michelle Lesco did win it the year that Miki Sudo took off. Of course, she ate 30, which Miki Sudo does in her sleep. Unless she has exponentially increased her volume of hot dogs in the mouth and there’s Only Fans titles galore for that. Basewinner knows, it’s too easy.
The low hanging fruit. Again, pun intended, is way too easy in this one. And it’s ridiculous. Unless you’re putting a crap ton of money down, -5000 makes zero sense. But, we like winners on here. Barring something crazy where she throws up, which I’ve never seen any of these guys do, Miki Sudo is going to win this and probably by double digits. The only way to bet it here is -5000, even though of course, there’s not a lot of value on that unless you have rich friends like Basewinner who can just loan you a cool million. You know what I mean?
Gary Segars:
I tend to agree. Yeah, there’s not a whole lot to talk about with this because there’s nobody on the women’s side that can really compete with her at this point. Michelle Lesco has come in second a ton here. There’s no value at -5000. Like you just said, there’s no value. Let’s move on. Let’s go ahead and go to the women’s world record. 48 and a half hotdog. Will that be broken this year? Yes, is +200. No, is -300. I went too fast on the graphics here. My apologies. Kyle is going with Miki Sudo -5000, of course.
Kyle Purviance:
It’s ridiculous. I just thought it’d be funny to have on there, honestly, and I know my rich buddy’s going to back the bet, so it’s awesome.
Basewinner Mark:
No problem. I just went to one of my six bank accounts and just wired you money. It’s there right now.
Kyle Purviance:
Thanks man.
Basewinner Mark:
Don’t spend it all in one place. Make sure you make the bet.
Kyle Purviance:
Yeah, I’m making the bet. Man of my word, making the bet. Cool million on Miki Sudo.
Gary Segars:
I like it. I like it. I guess if you’re picking winners, that’s going to be a winner.
Kyle Purviance:
It’s a winner. Not a wiener, it’s a winner. Okay,
Gary Segars:
Now we’ll continue on. Will the women’s world record of 48 and a half hotdogs be broken this year? It is, yes, +200. No is -300, as you see on your screen. Gentlemen, we’re all rolling with the same thing here. Mark, you go ahead and give us your pick. Explain why you think it’s a good bet here.
Basewinner Mark:
I think it was easy for me because if you look, I think there’s only one person and I think we’d all agree on that and it’s Sudo that has a chance. She did not do the hotdog eating contest in ’21, so she’s got two outdoor hotdog eating contests behind her recent. And she was 41 in 2019 and then 2022 last year at 40. And she set the record so she’d be breaking her own record of 48.5. But you got to keep in mind, that was indoors and I think that that’s ideal eating conditions for everybody. And if you look at all the numbers from 2022, that would support the thought there. So the data really supports that concept. My projected dog is that she’s going to have is 40. So I think that that’s going to go in so easily under that 48 and a half. I think it’s worth laying the sauce there, guys.
Gary Segars:
I tend to agree. I already had it at -260. It was at 280 over the weekend. It’s now at -300. I still like it at this price. 48 and a half dogs in 2020. It was ideal conditions. It was indoors, no spectators, all that. And then she didn’t compete in ’21. She hit 40 last year. Her over-under on this, which we’re going to talk about in a little bit, it’s 43 and a half. That’s five less than the world record. The implied probability here, at -260, it was just over 72%. At -300, it’s 75%. I think it’s closer to 85% that we won’t see a new world record this year. So the price still looks good to me. Kyle, you agree with all those points?
Kyle Purviance:
And the other thing for me is, especially if you’re going to try to break this record, don’t you need a running mate, someone who’s going to push you to do this. And I don’t see Michelle Lesco getting close to this number. So where’s the motivation for her, the last three minutes or so when she’s up by 15 or 20 dogs and she’s sitting at 35. Where’s the motivation to maybe make herself sick, push herself harder than she needs to push herself? I think she comfortably wins this. The idea that she’s going to get to 49 or 50 seems, I mean there’s only two people in this competition in my view that even can get to 50 and that’s on the male side. Especially being outdoors, as Basewinner said, for me it was an easy under. It’s too bad moving. It’s getting steamed.
People are betting online on this. Trap Trending Rabbit says, “Are you guys really doing this?” Hell yeah, we’re really doing this because people bet this and it’s a lot of fun. I’m going to be betting the crap out of this. Baseball won’t even exist to me on this day. Baseball will not exist because it’s nothing but the hotdog eating contest. But yeah, I like the under here. Getting to 49 just seems, it’s too high. If anyone was going to do it’s her. But, it’s Miki Sudo. I just don’t see her getting there. I agree with Basewinner. Closer to 40 makes a lot more sense.
Gary Segars:
Most certainly. All right, official plays on that one. We’re all going with the under -300 to not have a new women’s record here. 48 and a half dogs is a lot of dogs. We’ll just say that. All right, let’s go ahead. Let’s talk matchups. Now, we’ve only got one this year. Who is going to eat more hot dogs? Nick Wehry or Miki Sudo. Now, Wehry is -130, Sudo is -110. Kyle, you and I are going to go head-to-head here. I’ll give you mine first and then I’ll let you close this one out. I’m going to take Sudo at -110. These two are married. You can go read all about their competitive eating fueled romance over at thehungrycouple.com. Sudo has obviously been awesome in this competition. Nick has fared well, too. Of course, being priced at -130 here to me seems like a touch too much.
They both hit exactly 40 last year. Her personal best, of course in 2020, that 48 and a half, it’s still four higher than Nick’s personal best, 44 and a half in 2021. Now, Nick hit 44 dogs at the contest in Kissimmee, Florida back in May. But if you look at recent competitions that are not hot dog related, Sudo out dueled him in the World Strawberry Shortcake eating competition.
That was June 17th, 15 and let’s say three-quarter pounds. It’s only 15. Yes, two weeks prior, Wehry beat her in the World Donut Eating Championship with 54 and three-fourth donuts to Sudo’s 53. But on May 26th at the World Donut Hole eating championship, Sudo ate 308 to Wehry’s 266. You want something closer to a hotdog? You got the Texas Sausage Eating Championship. Both of them tied for second eating 35 and a half sausages. At best, this should be a pick ’em. Sudo with the better odd seems like the better play to me. So I’m going to take a shot on the -110. But Kyle, you talk to me about Wehry. What are you seeing here?
Kyle Purviance:
Yeah, so I changed. I had Sudo at first. Full disclosure, I had Sudo. And then I’m sitting here thinking about it. I’m like, so Miki Sudo missed 2020 or ’21, whatever year it was because they had their child, right? Adorable child. She’s at all the competition. She comes up there with her mom. Nick Wehry is watching them, as he should, because he’s just third or fourth. He does nothing over there. Now I’m wondering, I’m thinking Nick Wehry sees opportunity here. We’re like, “Look, I’m tired of losing to my wife every year.” Last year they did tie, like you said, at 40. “I’m tired of losing to my wife all the time. So you’re going to be getting up with the kid. You’re going to be taking the kid to school while I work on my eating.” It’s a little bit of juice here, but I’m standing up for all men.
It’s time to reassert our power. Show some manliness. Nick Wehry beats his wife. Not literally beats his wife but beats his wife in hotdog eating. So we don’t have to put up the reckless speculation tab. We don’t want the reckless speculation tab. But I think Nick Wehry here, look, he’s trending upwards. He’s growing in the men’s division. No Matt Stonie in this. Darron Breedon we thought would be someone who’d come up through. He hasn’t really. Nick Wehry is climbing. This is his chance to shine. This is his time to show, “Hey, I am the dominant. I wear the pants in this relationship.” So I’m taking a little bit of juice. I’m taking Nick Wehry -130. I think the outdoor environment, they’re going to have their kid there. Moms are just always a little bit more worried about the kids in a big environment with a lot of people.
She’s got other concerns going on here. I’m thinking Nick Wehry takes this here at -130. But I agree with you. It should be a pick Them. The value, Sudo. But I think Nick Wehry, I just have a gut feeling here. Literally, a gut feeling that his guts are able to handle a few more dogs here. By the way, I get the allure for Nick Wehry. “My wife can eat a bunch of hot dogs. Check her.” I don’t get the allure for Miki Sudo though. It’s ugh. You know what I mean? Am I missing something here?
Gary Segars:
I love how in depth you have gotten into the psychology of hot dog eater.
Kyle Purviance:
It’s way too much. Way too much time.
Gary Segars:
This is not the official picks on this one, by the way. Mark doesn’t have a play on this and I don’t blame him, considering what we just went through with Kyle. But, Kyle is going to take Wehry at -130. I’m going to take Sudo at -110 thinking that there’s value. But, I could understand where Kyle’s coming from.
Kyle Purviance:
I will be texting you, by the way, all morning long. I’m going to be talking. So much. Just hammered. Here we go. Nick Wehry, I’m going to be freaking out over Nick Wehry and Miki Sudo.
Gary Segars:
It’s going to be bananas. Absolutely bananas. Gentlemen, it is time to move into totals. We’re going to talk about several competitors here. So let’s go ahead and start with this one. Miki Sudo total hotdogs sitting at 43 and a half on this. The over is -110. The under is -130. So juice to the under here. You two have got the same play. Basewinner, Mark, start us off here. Is Sudo going to go over or under here?
Basewinner Mark:
Yeah, I think the under looked really appealing to me in this one. In fact, that’s the theme. You look at that. I think the 2020, this is, you just got to throw out that contest because it was indoors. We’ve got pretty much two data points to look at then, with Sudo, is 2019 and 2022. In 2019, she’s 41. 2022, she’s 40. I don’t really see her getting past that number. I have the projection at 40. I think that minus number is very affordable guys. To me, the only thing that could really throw a wrench into this is Kyle’s conspiracy theory that the hotdogs were too hard last year. But outside of that, I think that the 40 is a good projection for this.
Gary Segars:
And Kyle, what about you? You’re leaning the same way here, but explain your reasoning.
Kyle Purviance:
I would like to point out the genius of the chat box. Who would you take in a hotdog eating contest? Kyle, at 100%. And I may or may not have voted for myself. Kyle’s sitting at 100%. Love the chat box here. I actually don’t know. I’d probably puke right here in front of the camera. I think we’re going to find out. But yeah, the 43 and a half for the reasons Basewinner mentioned. This is not a controlled environment inside. Number two, again goes back to that point. What’s going to be her motivation to breeze over this? Who is going to be forcing her to push the pace? And in my view, nobody. I don’t think Michelle Lesco gets even close to 40. Miki Sudo can probably win this thing with 35, 36 hotdogs relatively easily. So is she going to be pushing herself, pushing the pace to try to get over this number?
Probably not. It would be her second most ever, I believe. Right? The 48 and a half. And I think the record before that was, what was it, 44 maybe. I’d have to double check that. But, this would be her second or third most ever. It’s going to be outside. A little bit warmer. Again, right now they’re projecting mid-70s out in Coney Island, but that’s two weeks out. So weather could absolutely change. We know that. Number seems a little bit too high for me. She’s going to have to put on one of her personal best. I just don’t see her doing it again. I think Wehry has a better shot at getting over this than does Miki Sudo. So I’m going to take the under at -130.
Gary Segars:
I like. She’s going under in five of her eight contests.
Kyle Purviance:
Perfect.
Gary Segars:
Yeah, it makes sense. Or at least five of the eight that she’s won. We’ll say that. The official plays here, of course Kyle and Basewinner both going under -130 here. It’s a trend. We’re all going under here. Maybe last year bit us a little bit. We’ll see. Let’s see. We’re we’re moving along and we’re going to talk about the, I guess, the star of the show, Joey Chestnut. Total hotdogs 73 and a half. The under juiced at -125 here. And guys, again, we’ve all got the same bet. Kyle, I want to start with you here. What’s your breakdown on Chestnut? -130 to go under 73 and a half.
Kyle Purviance:
First of all, I have to disagree with you because the star of the show is none other than George Shea. Okay? George Shea is the man. If you introduced me like he introduced Joey Chestnut, a couple of years ago, he called him The Rock On Which We All Stand. You say that to me, with a belt coming out and I got Hulk Hogan’s music playing behind me, I’m eating 400 hotdogs. I’m going crazy. I’m foaming at the mouth. And Aaron Rogers, it’s nice to have Aaron Rogers in the chat box, says, “I got that competitive. I’m fired up. I’m ready to eat some hotdogs.” I might go get a package today and see if I can just get eight down in 30 minutes and just start stretching my stomach. Get ready for the competition here.
Gary Segars:
Get ready for the fourth.
Kyle Purviance:
Get ready for the fourth now. 73 and a half’s a huge number. We know he can get there. He broke his other old record. Got to 76 again in that controlled environment. Down to 63 last year. Of course, he’s wrestling, he’s doing everything. He is indeed an American icon, Joey Chestnut. A little bit of a weird guy, by the way. You got to be a little bit weird. But this goes back to that same theory. First of all, he doesn’t need to eat 74 hot dogs to win this competition. Esper, Geoffrey Esper, he’ll probably get somewhere in the high 40s. His record is 50. Joey Chestnut’s going to do that relatively easily. So unless Esper or Wehry or someone comes out and they’ve just drastically improved their game, I just don’t see it happening. Joey Chestnut, again, it’s going to his second or third most ever hotdogs eaten.
It’s going to be outside. There’s going to be a ton of fans. As we get further away from the COVID thing, people are going to be more rabid, more wild. It’s going to be a huge event. I think he goes in here. After you’ve won it, like you said, 15 of 16 years. Who even remembers Takeru Kobayashi who was the man for a long time? And Joey Chestnut just straight up pimp slapped him and said, “Hold my beer. I am now the man.” I just think he does enough to win this, this year. I don’t see him going for the record or going even to the mid-70s here. I’d say high-60s, maybe 70 for Chestnut. So I took the under here at -130.
Gary Segars:
I like that. Mark, what about you? You feeling the same way? Let’s see, he had 63 last year, so you’re talking about an 11 hotdog improvement. We’ve not really seen a lot of people do that. You feeling the same way here?
Basewinner Mark:
Yeah, you make a good point. He really declined last year. I was super bullish on him because if you look in for last year’s contest, if you look at 2019, he was at 71, and then 2020 he went to 75. And then 2021 he was at 76. And there was some stuff that he put out there. A hard-boiled egg contest he did for himself last year close to the hotdog eating contest. I thought he was primed to get that record and to get more than that 76 last year. But I was dead wrong. He was 63 last year. I got to do an average of the three outdoors. And that came to 70 hotdog. I think that’s a pretty solid projection. Kyle said he’ll probably be high-60s, maybe 70. I think 70 is a good projection.
One of the things that I searched for as I was prepping for this, the handicapping on this, was any kind of recent data that Chestnut’s put out there. I haven’t seen anything. So that leads me to believe maybe he’s not in the best shape that he was last year. You want to say, “Well, is he going to improve? Is he going to decline?” I couldn’t see him improving from last year’s numbers. So I think this three-year average is actually generous to him. I think that goes well under that posted total, guys.
Gary Segars:
I like it. Let’s go official play on that one. We’re all going to go under at -130 here. It makes sense. It makes sense. All the explanations there. I don’t have to get into my reasoning. It’s very similar to y’all’s. We’ll continue to move along here. We got some more guys that we got to get into. Geoff Esper, somebody that we have talked about a little bit. Total hot dogs at 50 and a half. To go over is -115, under is -125. He had 47 and a half dogs last year. His personal best is 51. Now Kyle, you have the only play here. Talk to me about Esper. This number looks right in line with where you would think. Tell me which direction you’re going to go.
Kyle Purviance:
This is one guy who’s gotten better. You can actually see improvement from Geoffrey Esper and he’s been this, always the bridesmaid, never the bride. Always second place, third place. Last year he mentioned he had difficulties with the food staying out and the buns were crunchy and the hot dogs were expanding from the heat and he still ate 47 and a half. So I can see a three and a half dog improvement from last year for Esper. Of course, you’re not anticipating, if you see the video as well, he was bumped when Joey Chestnut choked the guy. Then he went back when the guy grabbed him and he bumped into Esper a little bit and distracted him here. So it’s not a huge climb. This is a guy we talked about. Does Joey Chestnut have the motivation to get to 74?
Probably not. He’s not going to need to, but I could certainly see the motivation for Esper who’s been improving, working harder on this. They did a big profile on him in his hometown in Massachusetts, all this stuff. Where he’s been getting better and better and better and I believe he ate 21 pounds of strawberry shortcake in 10 minutes, which is holy crap. What happens to you there? I don’t even know. Does that just attach to your body? Absorb it? How does it even come out? I don’t know. I don’t want to know. I could see the improvement from last year. Conditions should be a little bit better. They’re certainly going to address what he talked about. He’s one of the higher profile guys in the competition, so I’m sure they’ll probably do something with not leaving the dogs and buns out so long to make it easier for the competitors. I think he breaks his personal best year. I’m taking Geoffrey Esper over 15 and a half. I think he finishes with 52 dogs and buns and comes in a solid second place to Joey Chestnut here.
Gary Segars:
I like it. I like it. Hee went on a tear. I’ll talk more about that when we get into some of these other bets. Esper, he seemed pretty irritated that he lost last year. He’s won a ton of championships since. This is a guy that’s incredibly active. So yeah, it does make sense. Mark, you got any kind of a feel on this? Does the model say anything about Esper?
Basewinner Mark:
Yeah, I would have [inaudible 00:30:53] by the model [inaudible 00:30:55]. But, that’s a big factor, the quality of the hotdog. And it might have something to do with humidity. So last year was a little drier. It was 26% humidity as opposed to 2021, which was lower temperature. It was 73 degrees, but a 62% humidity. So maybe you guys wait and see if that humidity’s high and the temperature’s low. To me, by my numbers, that’s going to show these overplays. On the overplays, maybe wait on them. Wait, see what that humidity is because that would make sense if it was more humid and less hot. The dogs would not get dry. So that’s something to think about then.
Kyle Purviance:
Can we just say that this goes for, this is a life thing as well. The quality of the dog. The quality of the wiener there is measured upon, based upon the humidity. You don’t want it too damp and moist.
Basewinner Mark:
I thought you were going to say the firmness of the hotdog.
Kyle Purviance:
I’m trying to navigate carefully here. You know what I mean?
Gary Segars:
I think you talked last year about it expanding, right?
Kyle Purviance:
The pill that you see on commercials. I don’t know. I don’t know.
Gary Segars:
I can’t believe we’re talking about this. Let’s go. The official play here for Kyle is the over, 50 and a half for Geoff Esper on this. -115.
Kyle Purviance:
I put a full unit on it. Full disclosure, I’ve already bet it. I already bet that. I think he goes over.
Gary Segars:
I could understand it. Moving along, moving along. We got another guy in the men’s side of the competition, Nick Wehry. We just talked about him. His total is set at 47 and a half hotdog. Over-under both juiced at -120. Wehry’s personal best is 44 and a half, back in 2021. Now, he’s been active on the circuit. He’s had quite a bit of success this year. But, that total is asking a lot. Now both of you guys have the same play. Mark, tell me which direction you’re going here and break it down for us on Nick Wehry.
Basewinner Mark:
I think the under might be the best play on the board, guys. You look at 2019, he’s at 36. In 2021, everybody else was really good and over exceeded. He was only at 39.5. You look at 2021, he gets closer. It’s 44 but he’s still three and a half under. And then last year he is at 40. I have this projected dogs at 36.4. I think that’s a really generous price on the under. Whether the wiener’s firm, it expands, whatever. I think he’s going under.
Gary Segars:
I will tell you this. Kissimmee, Florida, I brought it up earlier. Kissimmee, Florida. Nick Wehry ate 44 dogs just about a month ago. He’s gearing himself up, but he didn’t get close to the 47 and a half. His personal best is 44 and a half. Kyle, what about you? You feeling the same way?
Kyle Purviance:
Yeah, I don’t understand it. He’s never done it before. We’re giving you essentially pick-a-mods on something he’s never done before in how many tries? Several, several tries. This is pretty easy for me. I think Basewinner’s right. To me, this is the best bet on the board. It’s something the guy has never done, didn’t even do it in the controlled environment. I think he gets barely over 40 here. I got him at 41, 42 dogs just barely beating his wife at 39. We need Miki to go under, Wehry just to go slightly under. But, he also is going to beat his wife in hotdog eating. Very important to preface that. You can’t go out there beating your wives, okay? Nonetheless. But, it’s just bizarre to me. A full three dogs better than his personal best and you’re getting a pick-and-price, to me, is an easy click on the under.
Gary Segars:
I’m with it. I’m with it. So official plays on this. Kyle and Mark both going to go with the under for Nick Wehry. Total dogs 47 and a half, -120. Your odds on that one. All right, let’s go ahead and keep moving. Gideon Oji, total hot dogs here. 40 and a half on this. Now, I was surprised that this one was available. Oji, he’s been in some competitions. He hasn’t won a ton. Over and under both juiced at -120. Kyle, you and I agree again here. I’m going to start us off on it. Oji, he’s a former college basketball player.
He found out he’s really good at eating a lot of food in a short amount of time. He’s not had a lot of success in the hot dog competition. My play on it is Oji to go under 40 and a half. Oji tied for seventh last year with 29 dogs. His personal best was 38, but that was back in 2016. He’s hit 37 and a half in 2018 and 2021. Last year was a drop of eight and a half dogs. That’s a pretty big drop. Granted, we can talk about humidity all that if we want to. But to ask him to improve this year by 12 dogs and then beat his personal record by three? That feels like it might be a bridge too far. Kyle, you want to add anything to that one?
Kyle Purviance:
Yeah, it’s ridiculous. I will say he did set a world record by eating 25 and a half 16-ounce containers of kale in just eight minutes. Now that sounds painful. That sounds horrible. Very healthy. By the way, I guess if you’re going to do it, that’s how you do it. But, you’re right. This is another one that maybe I was wrong about Nick Wehry’s being the best. This might be the best one as well because I don’t think Gideon Oji has a shot of even, I don’t think he comes within five of this number. You’re right. His personal best of 38 back in 2016 and it’s been downhill ever since. I don’t think he even gets close to this. The under was too easy for me. No shot he gets to 41 in my view.
Gary Segars:
Official plays on that. Kyle and I both going under 40 and a half. I’m with you. I just don’t see how he, you’re asking him to improve by 12 hot dogs. That’s wild.
Kyle Purviance:
Not even Austin Powers can do that with this pump. Even Austin Powers can’t do that.
Basewinner Mark:
Curious. We’re having a lot of fun on the show and that’s cool. But, there’s good betting opportunities here. You look at the last two bet that we’ve analyzed, I don’t think there’s anything compelling on the other side. Other than, I don’t know, maybe the hot dogs will be different this year, but I doubt. It can’t be that much different. No?
Gary Segars:
No, I don’t think it could be that different. You’re asking for a 12 hotdog improvement in a year. I don’t see how that’s possible. Even if the buns are more moist this year, right, Kyle?
Kyle Purviance:
Yeah. And should we remind people you want to get in on this bet ustv.com/join. Click that entertainment tab. Those are two good bets. I’m sorry. They really are. If you’re looking to make some money and have some fun at the hotdog eating. We don’t like betting unders. No one likes betting unders. Right? It’s boring. But, I’d say probably the funnest sport to bet the under in will be the hotdog eating contest in my view.
Gary Segars:
Oh, yeah. Oh, yeah. Because it’ll come right down to the wire.
Kyle Purviance:
Exactly. Exactly.
Gary Segars:
All right, moving along. We got one more total that we’re going to get into. Joey Chestnut and Miki Sudo total combined hot dogs. Now, this is set at 116.5, 116 and a half. Now, the over and under both -120 here for the two champs. Again, we all agree on the pick. Outside of the 2020 world record that she set, Miki Sudo has averaged just over 37 dogs per competition. Even if she hits her second personal best, that’s 41, that’s a one dog improvement over last year. That leaves Chestnut with 75 and a half. He would have to tie his world record to get there. Based on the trajectory here, I don’t see him reaching that number. Mark, let’s go with you on this. What do your numbers say on this one?
Basewinner Mark:
You make a really good point. If she hits her second personal best, which is the only one, to me, those indoor numbers, you got to throw that out. Let’s say she hits her personal best at 41. He’s got to get to the record. I don’t think he’s going to going to do that. His last three average outdoors is 70. We’ve talked about Sudo under, we’ve talked about Chestnut, under you put it in a combined bed and it’s even better. Yeah, I think we play the under on this one.
Gary Segars:
Kyle, you feel the same way, right?
Kyle Purviance:
Yeah, it’s another great play. You’re right, Joey Chestnut. If they hit the over on this, you have watched two eaters really go nuts. You’ve had a lot of fun. They went completely bonkers. It’s huge.
Gary Segars:
Yes, it’ll be worth the money.
Kyle Purviance:
It’ll be worth the loss. Okay, I just saw something amazing here. I just saw them hit for the cycle. I just saw them doing Elly De La Cruz, right here in front of my face. If they hit the over, it’s going to be exciting and they’re going to destroy the competition, but I just don’t see it. You guys make great points. The numbers would just have to be outrageous. Sudo’s going to have to really pick up a lot of the slack, which I just don’t see happening. And then Chestnut’s going to have to go berserk towards his record. I don’t see it. Number’s too high. Another great bet at BetUS. -120 taking the under.
Gary Segars:
I like it. Official play there. All three of us going under -120 on that one. Yeah, that’s a lot of hot dogs.
Kyle Purviance:
That’s just a lot. Imagine, so that’s me and you. Me and you are tied. They think Gary and I would tie here in the hotdog eating contest. BW not getting a lot of love. 25% taking BW in the hole. But imagine if they say, “Kyle, Gary, sit down. You got 10 minutes. Eat 117 hotdog and buns.” Yeah, right.
Gary Segars:
No chance.
Kyle Purviance:
No shot.
Gary Segars:
We might be able to get 10 down.
Kyle Purviance:
10, yeah. My buddy last night’s like, “Put me on your show, I could probably eat 10 in 10 minutes.” I’m like, “Dude, I think you’re underestimating how much food that is. You’re going to be sick.”
Gary Segars:
I think you have to be willing to be a really sloppy eater, right? And I’m not.
Kyle Purviance:
On camera. On camera. Yeah, you’re dipping. You just look like a mess. I’m willing to do it. Screw it. I’ve done worse on camera.
Gary Segars:
I think when I was younger maybe. The older I’ve gotten, not too interested in that. Not too interested. Let’s keep moving. Keep moving here. The men’s outright winner. All right, we got to talk about this one. Joey Chestnut. It’s a lot of guys involved in this contest. We can’t find a list of everybody that’s involved. But, we know that these guys are going to be involved. These are the ones that, theoretically, have a chance. Chestnut is -2500, Esper +750, Wehry +1000, Breedon +1400. You got Oji at +2000. And then Webb at +2300. Any other is +900. I feel like it should be longer odds. But either way, Kyle, you and I have different plays on this one. Chestnut has won 15 of the last 16 including seven in a row.
But look, I’m going to roll Esper, I’m going to start us out here. Chestnut is -2500. That’s 96% implied probability. And he was still 16 dogs better than Esper last year, even with a healing broken leg. He had a protestor jump on stage that he had to choke out. All this kind of stuff, right? Chestnut’s totals in the last seven years have been 70, 72, 74, 71, 75, and 76. And then last year he dropped 13 dogs to 63. Now, Esper has a personal best of 51 dogs, which is not even close. But, we have seen this happen before, right? You’ve mentioned Matt Stonie a couple of times, 2015. Matt Stonie bested Chestnut. Now, Chestnut leading up to that had totals of 54, 62, 68, 69. And then he dropped to 61 in 2014. And then Stonie beat him in 2015. Now Esper, while he hasn’t been in the same class regarding hotdog, he’s been on a tear.
I told you I was going to bring it up. He’s won 11 World Championships in that timeframe. I’m not going to read off all of them. But, let’s talk about the ones where he is actually gone up against Chestnut. He came in second to Chestnut in the World Burrito eating championship by one burrito. Esper did beat Chestnut head-to-head in the World Rib Eating Championship. He beat him in the Donut Hole Eating Championship. And he beat him in the Saint Elmo Shrimp Cocktail Eating Championship. And that broke Joey’s eight-year winning streak in that competition. Now, do I think it’s more likely that Chestnut wins again? Of course. Absolutely. But, I do think the number is a little too far. So I’m going to take a shot with Esper here at +750. Tell me why you would pay -2500 with Joey Chestnut on this one, Kyle.
Kyle Purviance:
I’m actually going to take half of my million dollar loan from Basewinner. I’m going to put 500K on Sudo and 500K on Chestnut here. No shot Geoffrey Esper beat. If Geoffrey Esper beats Joey Chestnut in, first of all, I’m going to be devastated. Absolutely devastated. Just crushed. I won’t stop drinking-
Basewinner Mark:
No, no, no. Hold on a second, Kyle. I think if that happens, you got to do a baseball show with your shirt off.
Kyle Purviance:
No, everything you just said terrified me and I’m just sad that I’m going to be crying on the 4th of July because he is indeed the Rock On Which I Stand on the 4th of July. But I mean, God, Chestnut’s going to have to really fall off a cliff here, right?
Gary Segars:
Oh yeah.
Kyle Purviance:
And I think, look, he loses that donut holes because he’s a hot dog eating champion. He’s like asking Bret Saberhagen to go out and hit 50 home runs. He’s a pitcher, okay? He focuses on one thing. Besides Otani, of course. Otani ruins all that. But nonetheless, God, the idea that Chestnut’s going to… I mean we’re talking, so he beat him by what, 16 last year? We’re talking a massive swing here. If I was going to bet anyone else, of course it would be Esper at that 750 number. Esper will probably be the guy that eventually dethrones him or just takes over when Chestnut’s done. I just can’t see it happening. I’m throwing 500K of Basewinner’s money on Chestnut at -2500.
Gary Segars:
I can roll with it. Basewinner, you got a feel on this one? Is it Chestnut or bust on this?
Basewinner Mark:
Oh yeah. I’m going to give him half a million dollars to put on Chestnut. He’s only going to give me 10%. I thought that was pretty good.
Gary Segars:
It makes sense. It makes sense. Official plays on this one, we’re going to go opposites. I’m going to take a shot. I’m going to go after Geoff Esper at +750. I just think -2500 is a little crazy. Miki Sudo was -5000, right? So if Chestnut’s -2500, he dropped what, 13 dogs last year? I’m not saying that he’s going to necessarily drop again, but we could see Esper come back up here. I don’t know. I’m taking a long shot.
Kyle Purviance:
It makes sense.
Basewinner Mark:
I think the one thing though-
Kyle Purviance:
I should preface, don’t just go out there and I’m going to spend a 100 bucks and bet -2500. That’s the dumbest thing in the world. You’re going to get what, like a quarter back or something? Four bucks.
Basewinner Mark:
Four bucks back.
Kyle Purviance:
Yeah. Four bucks.
Basewinner Mark:
And then when you have to pay my percentage, it’s even less.
Kyle Purviance:
Yeah, exactly. So I’m going to get less. But you got to have a rich friend bankrolling big time. If you’re betting that you got to lay some hard wood down, literally.
Gary Segars:
Most certain.
Basewinner Mark:
In all seriousness, guys, I think that we got to touch on this because of the attack last year. I think the security’s going to get beefed up. How impressive was the Chestnut takedown last year?
Gary Segars:
It was great.
Kyle Purviance:
And just the look on his face. He looks and he is like, “Screw you.” Just grabs him, yanks him.
Gary Segars:
He was still focused on the dogs. That’s crazy thing.
Kyle Purviance:
I mean they’re a focused bunch.
Gary Segars:
Yes, very much so. They start eating. Do not get between them and the dogs at all.
Kyle Purviance:
Don’t do it.
Gary Segars:
We got a couple more that we got to roll through. Will the men’s world record be broken? So we’re moving into this one. Yes, is +185, no, -280. Yet again, gentlemen, we all agree. The bet is basically asking if somebody’s going to hit 77 dogs this year. Mark, I want you to start us off here. Talk about this world record. Do we have a chance of Chestnut getting over 76 dogs?
Basewinner Mark:
I don’t think so, Gary. Again, I come from a standpoint of last year. It was super bullish. I thought he could get the record. But, you saw him hit 76 in 2021 where he set the record. And then there was some stuff that I thought he was in perfect form to hit it. And I’m just not seeing enough. So you take that 63 from last year, you take the fact that I just haven’t seen him telling anybody about what kind of form he’s in. And I think, from my projection is 70, I think that that’s a generous projection for him. I don’t think there’s any way. I think the -280 is a really valuable play here guys.
Gary Segars:
I tend to agree. He hit 76 in 2021. That was when the contest was back outside at Coney Island. I think everybody was really excited to be back at that point. He has hit or exceeded 74 hot dogs three times. Setting a world record is asking somebody to do something they’ve never done before. Not kind of, it is. 76 hotdog means what? More than one and a quarter hotdog every 10 seconds for 10 minutes straight.
Kyle Purviance:
Crazy.
Gary Segars:
He dropped to 63 last year. And the last time we saw him drop that much was 2013 to 2014. He went from 69 to 61. We can talk about all the protests, all that stuff. He dropped from 61 down to 60 that next year. So it’s not like he bounced back immediately when he lost to Matt Stonie.
Basewinner Mark:
When we’re talking about the protest, Kyle makes a good point. He dropped the guy, went right back to it. So I don’t know how much that really affected him.
Gary Segars:
At most, if it threw off his rhythm, I’m thinking two or three. Kyle, I want to know your thoughts on this. Typically, when you see a drop, you don’t see an immediate bounce back next year. And I mean the world record, that’d be an unprecedented what? 14 dog improvement. It’s just nuts.
Kyle Purviance:
Huge improvement. Yeah. And is he going to need to eat that many to win? Geoffrey Esper’s not going to eat 75. Who’s pushing him? Who’s making him push this pace? Now, if you remember that year he broke the record, too, it was a big buildup because, like you said, everything was back outdoors and he went on this little blitzer. He is like, “Yeah, I’m beating the record. I want to beat the record.” You don’t really hear that now. I think he’s pretty happy with a 76 hotdog record. That’s probably going to stand for a very long time. I’m not sure there’s this undying need to push himself to get to 77 dogs here. I think he wins it comfortably right around 70 in those high-60s. I don’t see Esper getting that high. Doesn’t have the dance partner and I don’t think he’s just got the motivation. That’s got to hurt.
I’m sure it feels a whole lot different eating 76 than it does eating 63. I can’t even imagine both. I don’t even know what that would do to my body. But, I just can’t see him pushing himself there. Why risk it? Why risk yourself getting sick and disqualifying yourself? Why push it harder than you have to? Pun intended there. Yeah, I say the record’s not broken. It’s -280. I know it seems like a balloon price, but I think that’s properly. If anyone could do it, it’s Chestnut. But, I just don’t see the motivation or the need to do it to win the competition.
Gary Segars:
Yeah, if you’re you’re going to bet Chestnut, just bet his over, right? And I understand that the odds are different. This is a lot of hotdogs. Official plays on this. We’re all going with no that there will not be a world record broken in the men’s competition. -280? You look at implied probability. It’s much more likely than not, that they will not break it. Finally, to close this out. Who’s going to be the men’s outright winner without Joey Chestnut? All right. Esper -225. Wehry is +240. Darron Breedon, he’s +600. James Webb, +800. And Gideon Oji is +1600.
One last time. We all agree, again. I went through the list of 11. Or how about this? I didn’t go through the list. I told you that he’s got 11 championships, Esper, since he lost the hot dog contest last year. He lost the burrito competition to Chestnut. He lost the professional wing eating championship to Wehry back in March. But, he’s beaten Wehry in almost every other competition and every time they’ve ever been in a hotdog contest. Esper, I think, should be a bigger favorite here. Mark, tell me your thoughts on this one.
Basewinner Mark:
Yeah, you’re right. Not only has he beaten him, he’s beaten him by a lot. You look at 2019, beat him by 11 dogs. Then he beat him in 2021 by six dogs. Then he beat him in 2022 by seven and a half dogs. I’ve got projected Esper 45.8, Wehry 36.4. I said that the other one was the best on the board, but man, this one’s either better or as good as that one. So another good bet here. Esper -225, I think, is great value.
Gary Segars:
Kyle, help us convince the masses here. What’s your thought process?
Kyle Purviance:
Yeah, it’s Esper bus you talked about. The only person we even remotely mention in the same breath as Joey Chestnut in this competition is Geoffrey Esper. Now, if you’re looking for a plus money value, if Wehry was closer to 350 or 400, I’d say there’s probably some value there because he is within, like Basewinner says, 6, 7, 4. So it’s not this crazy stretch. He’s not having to get up to 70. So there would be some value there, but I just don’t see it happening. Geoffrey Esper is the second-best eater in the world. You’ve talked about, he beats Chestnut at several things. He’s clearly the number two guy in hotdogs here. I think he gets over his personal best this year and gets into the 50s. I don’t see that for Nick WeHry. So yeah, give me Esper here. I think you guys are right. The price is a little bit short here at -225, in my view.
Gary Segars:
This number’s been steamed a little bit, by the way.
Kyle Purviance:
Yeah.
Gary Segars:
Esper was -240 just yesterday and now it’s -225. Wehry, he was +270. It’s +240 now. A lot counting on Wehry.
Kyle Purviance:
A lot counting on Wehry.
Basewinner Mark:
I know how you make a case for Wehry though. His best isn’t as good as, for the last three years, last four years, his best isn’t as good as Esper’s worst.
Kyle Purviance:
Esper’s worst. Right.
Basewinner Mark:
Yeah, I mean I don’t know.
Gary Segars:
I’m with you. Official plays on this one. We’re all going to ride with Esper -225. Even if Esper were to win the competition at +750, this would still also hit because it’s taking Joey Chestnut out of the competition. Of course, I’m going to roll with it. But, all three of us like Esper at -225. The odds are correct on this one. All right gentlemen, that is going to wrap up the picks. Let’s go ahead and give a recap of what we’re going with on July 4th. A lot of our predictions are identical so we’re each going to read off our best bets so you can keep up with your plays on July 4th. Kyle, I’m going to let you go ahead. Go ahead and read your comment.s
Kyle Purviance:
Way too many. Way too many. Miki Sudo, again, I’m using Basewinner’s money. I might actually need a million and 10 thousand, you know what I mean? A million for the two big ones and then the 10,000 for the other. We’re going Miki Sudo to win it all at -5000. No woman’s record, of course, -300. I’m taking Nick Wehry to stand up for men here. Take back our power and beat his wife at hotdog eating at -130. Sudo under 43 and a half, -130. Chestnut under 73 and a half, -130. Esper over 50 and a half. Think he gets a new personal best at -115.
Can they scroll that to the second page for me? Wehry under 47 and a half. Oji under, which I love both those bets. I think Mark and I are both on the same page. Those two bets are really nice. Oji and Wehry under. Chestnut and Sudo under. I like that quite a bit, as well. Men’s winner, that’s going to get the 500K minus 20. Of course, The Rock On Which We All Stand, Mr. Chestnut. No new men’s record. And Esper, of course, we all agree the winner without Chestnut at -225. What a list.
Gary Segars:
On my side. I’m rolling with no on the new Women’s World record at -300. I got Sudo to eat more dogs than Wehry. I’m going against the grain with Kyle here. I think this would be a pick ’em. So the fact that I’m getting Wehry at a shorter price, I’m good with that. I will take under 73 and a half dogs for Chestnut at -130. Oji under 40 and a half dogs at -120. I like Chestnut and Sudo under 116 and a half dogs at -120. I got long shot Geoff Esper +750 to win the contest outright. No men’s world record broken at -280 and I will take Esper to win the contest without Chestnut at -225. Last but not least, old dog winner over there. Tell us what’s on your card.
Basewinner Mark:
Yeah, I’m going to go with you Gary on no new women’s record -300. I like Sudo under 43 and a half -130. Chestnut under 73 and a half -130. This one’s one of my best bets. I’m going to give you two of the best bets of all my plays. Wehry under 47 and a half -120. Really like that one. And then Chestnut and Sudo combined under 116 and a half -120. No new men’s record -280. And then the next one, Esper winner without Joey Chestnut -225. That’s my other best bet. I really like that play, guys.
Gary Segars:
I love it. All right, that’s going to wrap things up for the 2023 BetUS Guide to Gambling on Nathan’s HotDog Eating Contest. Gentlemen, everyone make sure to like the video, subscribe to the channel, all that good stuff. Leave your picks in the comments, as well. Are chestnut and Sudo going to continue to dominate or could somebody new shock the world and we see some new faces holding that mustard belt? Don’t forget about the BetUS 5 Dog Challenge. And of course, the contest. When you make a bet on one of our personalities, post your bet slip on Twitter. Tag @BETUS_OFFICIAL. Make sure that you’re entered into the raffle to win a PS 5, among other things. And of course, you can make sure to watch our 5 Dog Challenge right here on BetUSTV on July 4th. So make sure that you tune in for that one. Gentlemen, this has been a lot of fun. Best of luck on your picks, everybody. For BetUS, where the game begins, enjoy the contests. Don’t forget to check out our sportsbook website. Have a great week and a happy 4th of July.