X
Skip to content

Bundesliga Picks Matchday 3 | Bundesliga Odds, Soccer Predictions & Free Tips

 

Flash:

Welcome to the BetUS Soccer channel. I’m Flash, and this is your home for soccer betting. And when you talk about home for soccer betting, you must be talking about the Bundesliga show. We are now in week three, and boy is this show hot. You want to make sure that if you’re putting anything on or pressing buttons through this show, wear gloves. Wear gloves because it is absolutely sizzling.

Now we are America’s favorite sportsbook, and it is our anniversary, so make sure that you subscribe and also ring the bell, which means we’ll notify you and, and you’ll never miss any content again. And when I mention the anniversary, I’m mentioning gifts, I’m mentioning deals, I’m mentioning basically bonuses, anything you can wish and then add on, Soccer odds, props, prop builders. So make sure you type in betustv.com/odds. Or if you want to join us here at BetUS, then put in betustv.com/join.

We’re going to have the records, we’re going to have a chat, we’re going to have a Q and A, and Q and A means that if there’s any games that we don’t cover, you know that we cover six games. So there’s the other games that you may want some answered, then make sure that you type it in. Shy boys get nothing. So if you’re thinking, “Oh, I want to ask.” Ask. No problem, this show is for you.

Now let’s welcome back an old friend, well, I say old, he was here two or three weeks ago, but it seems like months ago, because he had to serve a three-match ban at the start of the season. He isn’t match banded, is he’s been on holiday. Stinch, welcome back, mate. This is your rightful home. This is where you were born. You are a Bundesliga.

Stinch:

Cheers Flash, no pressure as well with your guys, a terrific start.

Flash:

No, there’s pressure. There is absolute pressure, because your mate has started off 7-0, and put the absolute hammer down on all of us. 7-0. Nice to see the old Dortmund shirt’s gone out the window, that’s there for the Missus just to clean the windows, and now he’s upgraded to a Leverkusen shirt, Mr. 7-0, better known as Alex Classic Tips.

Alex:

Hi guys. Yeah, a great start. Absolutely amazing, no pressure-

Flash:

All right, that’s enough about you.

Alex:

No pressure. Absolutely. I would like to go 10 and 0, before the international break, and not to end this amazing run. The teams are performing as we expected. We have plenty of goals at the start of the season. There are some teams, very good as we predicted also in the future show at the beginning of the season. Leverkusen, as you said, is on fire. Union Berlin is also, they’re good. Harry Kane is scoring multiple goals, not only one per game also, but it’s good to see RB Leipzig returning to winning ways, and let’s see what this week brings us. Hopefully again, hopefully I’ll go 10 and 0, and next time you’ll call me Mr. 10 and 0.

Flash:

Yeah, that’d be nice. I don’t mind that, it’s a team game and it’ll make our records look even better. Stinch, what have you made of it so far? Because a lot of people, they look about which teams to tail. I like to look at which teams to fade.

Stinch:

Yeah, I think that, well, I mean no surprise that Bayern, top of the league, we might as well give them the championship now, right? I think what’s been interesting is the two newly promoted teams that I expected to massively struggle. Now they’ve both lost their opening two games, but they’ve actually put up more of a fight than I’m expected.

So I was actually looking this week at perhaps Dortmund host, Heidenheim, this evening. So I was thinking actually, you know what? Maybe Heidenheim can make life awkward for Dortmund, and I’m sure we’ll get onto that. And Darmstadt have been doing quite well themselves.

I mean they’re posting a positive expected goal difference, yet their actual goal difference is -4. So it might not be as clear cut as both of those finishing in the bottom four. So I think even a team like, I think you might have mentioned them in the future show, Flash, that Gladbach, I think they could be banging trouble this season. So I think obviously Bayern will win the league.

Flash:

Leverkusen [inaudible].

Stinch:

A massive credit again… Well, we’ll see, I think Dortmund [inaudible]-

Flash:

No, +900, that’s it, I’m just like, I only want them to finish second because I think I’ve got something like plus money, good plus money for them to be in the top four.

Stinch:

Yeah, I think Dortmund need to have one eye on the chasing pack. I could easily see Leipzig and Leverkusen finishing above Dortmund, and we know how consistent Union are. So I think the relegation and top four, top six battles are the most exciting in the Bundesliga.

Flash:

And let’s not even mention Werder, not even scored a goal, so let’s keep beating up. And then, let’s have a little look at the records, please. The records, look at that 8.43 profit. Pavlos obviously came in. This is a three-man team by the way, so if Alex can’t make it or if Alex is on holiday or had hungover because he’s gone 26 and 0, then I’m more than happy for him to have a week off. Stinch has already had his three-game ban, so we get Stinch, his season off to a start here.

Okay, it’s 8.43, let’s go. The first game is Leverkusen, and probably one of the top two sides in Europe, and what I’ve seen from the first two games could have scored 9 last week. They’re -500 as they host Bundesliga newcomers, Darmstadt, at +1200, but Darmstadt got beat 1-0 on the opening day, and they did give the opposition a scare.

They are okay, but then they went and lost to 10, Man, Union, and conceded 4. Draw is at +600. Let’s get creative here. I’m going to start with you, Stinch, because -2 for Leverkusen is -115. Leverkusen to score 3 is also -115. I mean everything says, for me it’s trappy, I think Leverkusen win the game. But I think it’s trappy, how do we find value here? Because I expect Leverkusen to destroy Darmstadt, but this could still be a draw at half-time.

Stinch:

Yeah, I think the odds are a bit short to suggest that you want to go chasing after that handicap, unless they win by three or more goals, we’re not actually going to get any money, any payout. So I’m always a little bit wary, even if it was like Man City, for example, you’re always a bit wary of having to have a multiple goal handicap to overcome. I think what we have seen from Leverkusen, yes they’ve been good going forward, but they have been given the opposition a chance at the back.

So I know you guys have got selections here. I haven’t got anything particular, but I was thinking perhaps, maybe the way to go would be, I mean we see the goal line there, over 3. Again, you don’t really want to have to be punting over 3 and a quarter goals, so you need to see 4 to get a full payout. I mean, yes, the Bundesliga is goal heavy, but it’s not that goal heavy, so on average it’s just over 3.

So I was wondering if maybe, as soon as Leverkusen are -500, to try and make that -500 pay a bit more healthier to back Leverkusen to win and both teams to score. At plus money, I think it’s around about +140. You see here, Darmstadt, we’re basically saying it’s 50/50, with a Darmstadt score, and they’re both -115. So if you think Darmstadt score, I think it makes a lot of sense that the Leverkusen goal line is set at 2.5.

It could finish 2 on Leverkusen, you wouldn’t get paid out on the over 2.5 Leverkusen team goals, you’d lose, but you would get paid out, and then to win a both team score. I don’t think anybody, even if you’re backing Bayern, I don’t think anybody as a Bundesliga better, generally is betting on teams to win to nil.

I don’t think there’s any team in there that we sort of trust defensively. And I think all of the teams, because it is the Bundesliga, and it is a goal heavy league, I think there’s always a chance that teams switch off, and especially when you consider that basically all the best players seem to get picked off from the Bundesliga, to the likes of the Premier League for example.

So you always get that churn over of players, and it takes a while for the new players to gel, and there’s a lot of young talent that ends up coming through. And yes, with young players they have high ceilings but they also have a lot of inconsistencies. So as I say, I haven’t got a specific bet here, but I thought maybe if you want to try and chance Leverkusen to win and both teams to score, that would obviously look a lot more attractive than the -500, or having to overcome big handicaps and big goal lines.

Flash:

Yeah, Alex, I quite like maybe Leverkusen, half-time/full-time. I think Leverkusen, it’s all about whether Darmstadt managed to hold out for that first 30, 35 minutes, because they expect them to have 25 men behind the ball be compact, maybe try and hit them on the break, or get a set piece where he can lump it into the box, because Leverkusen are creating every time they go forward, and again we’ve got to keep saying it, it’s because they put them two diamond pieces in front of the back line, and just said, “Go and play.” And all the best sides over the years have always had them type of players. I think Leverkusen do score 3, so maybe the -115 is the way to go, Alex.

Alex:

Yeah, I think that we should look a little bit how the two teams are playing. So Leverkusen, both against the RB Leipzig in the first match, and also against Gladbach, they started very good with aggressive play. They were pressing high from the first minute of the game. They have that amazing midline with Wirtz, with Hofmann, and of course that Boniface, is a great transfer in my opinion.

And also we talked about last week about Xhaka, amazing signing for Leverkusen. He is holding there in the middle like no one other. And I think that the Bundesliga is… I think that it fits him like a glove. It’s very nice to see that. And on the other side, we’ve seen two types of Darmstadt, once on the road against Eintracht Frankfurt, 10 men, 11 men, 12 men behind the ball, 15, or whatever, and they lost 1-0, and they lost from half-time.

And we’ve seen them when last week they were battered by Union Berlin on home soil, but the mistakes that they did, okay, they were one goal down, after that Union Berlin got a red card, and after that Darmstadt score. And after that, Darmstadt said, “Okay, Union Berlin is one man down, so we have to go to attack.” And they were caught all over the place. They didn’t know where they are in that match. And in five minutes, Union at half-time, solved the match 3-1, 4-1, final time.

On the road, I think that you are absolutely right that Darmstadt will like to keep it tight to defend, and pray that they will return home with one point. I don’t think that the road matches are their objective this year. I think that they are somehow like a Bochum team, that they will play at home and they will try to get their points from there. On the other side, Leverkusen are on fire, and I’m sure that they will destroy Darmstadt. I don’t know if Darmstadt will score or not, but I don’t even want to go that way.

I found a great line here, Leverkusen… Me, I think that they will lead at half-time, this is what I think. And if they lead at half-time, why not to not make it by more than one goal? So I took the -1 Asian handicap at +125. So if they lead with one goal at half-time, it’s a push. If they lead with two goals, it’s a win. +125, great money in my opinion, great price.

Flash:

I love that. I really do. I really do love that, because I do believe that Leverkusen will put them under the cosh, and the ball will keep coming back, because Darmstadt will defend so deep, they won’t be able to clear their lines, and if they do clear their lines, it’ll only be a fight ball for their striker who will be isolated. The ball drops, basically it’ll be like a 4 or 5 V1 for Leverkusen on the halfway line. Then it’s Xhaka, into [inaudible] around the corner, Boniface squares up.

They’ve got so many runners that go in the box, and the good thing is that Leverkusen like to get down the sides, but shallow down the sides. So look one around the corner, square it back, and you got 2 or 3. And this is the one thing I say about nearly every team when we’re looking to be on their side, is how many bodies do they get in the box? If they get plenty bodies in the box, there’s a high percentage that it’s actually going to fall to one of them. Let’s have a little look at the official picks.

Leverkusen, the first half, -1 at +125. If it’s 1-0, then Alex, that is a push, but if it’s 2-0, then it’s +125, and he goes 8 and 0. For me, I’ve gone for Victor Boniface. Anytime scorer, at +105, love the way that he stays in the width of the goals. He’s always going in on rebounds, and he’s very, very strong as well. He’s almost like the op ender of Leipzig. So I expect he scored a couple last week. I think that like London buses, they do come along in bunches. So we’re going to go for Leverkusen all the way. Let’s move on to game number two.

Well, Augsburg host Bochum, and normally this is a massive relegation battle, but both sides have showed a bit of attack and intent here, because Augsburg are -106, Bochum, +270. Bochum, plus quarters of a goal at -147. The under or over is set at 2.5, with the over being -133. Now this time last year this would’ve been a goal line of 2. Now Augsburg have scored 5 already, including a 4-4 draw, and I believe if I’ve got my encyclopedia head on, they’ve scored 5.

They’ve had five different goalscorers. The draw is at +278. Augsburg to score twice is -114. Bochum to score twice is at +177. Alex, where do we go here because this is one of them games where if it was happening four months from now, it would all be off and it’d be a six pointer. I’m wondering if both sides turn up here and think they can win it.

Alex:

Again, Bochum pulled off the upset against Dortmund for a second time-

Flash:

But it wasn’t an upset, they’re better than Dortmund at the moment. Dortmund are garbage at the moment.

Alex:

For the second time in a row, those two points lost by Dortmund at the end of last season cost them the title. Both of them against Bochum. But also what they did in the final match of course. But Bochum, as we were speaking before for this Darmstadt newcomers, I think that they will respect their home more than their away games, and I think that the real values and Augsburg, even though I wouldn’t trust Augsburg after considering seven goals in the first two rounds.

I think that this should be an upwards game, like you said, -133. If Augsburg were somewhere at +110, +115, I would take them, but at -106, I would not risk that outcome. Of course that if you look a little bit at over 1.5, which I think that is… Yeah, 1.5 team total for Augsburg at -114, I think that that is a decent price in my opinion, given that they’re playing at home. They scored 5 so far. Bochum are dreadful on the road. So probably Augsburg will score twice in this one at -114.

Flash:

Yeah, I just see that Bochum are actually going to go on the road and fancy their chances in this game. But Augsburg, they can’t believe, they’ve got to be pinching themselves, Stinch, because they’ve scored five goals in two games, and they’ve not got a win. How can you score five goals in two games, and still not pick up 3 points? They could play really well in this game and pick up nothing again.

Stinch:

Yep. This is why Augsburg at minus money is absolutely shocking price, they haven’t been odds on, so minus money for 36 matches you have to go back.

Flash:

I thought you was going to say 36 years.

Stinch:

You have to go back, not last season, the season before last when they hosted Greuther Furth, and obviously-

Alex:

Greuther Furth.

Stinch:

Greuther Furth got relegated.

Flash:

You love them Alex, you used to love beating up on them.

Alex:

Yes.

Stinch:

I mean, you look at this fixture, last season, Augsburg were +145. I don’t see why they’re now -106. They lost in the first round of the German Cup, at a very short price as well. They were -290. Augsburg are such a team to oppose. I mean they’re opposed when their favorites. I mean it doesn’t happen very often, and if they’re massive favorites like now, it’s a no-brainer. They are capable of popping up with the shock, we saw them obviously have done something similar to the likes of the big teams, Bayern and Dortmund, et cetera, over the last few seasons.

But you can never be backing them as a favorite. The shortest price they were the last season to win a football match was +125. They haven’t won 12 of the last 13 Bundesliga matches. So I don’t know where this price is coming from. They’ve lost Berisha to Hoffenheim, who they had on loan last season. They lost Okugawa to a ligament tear, who are two of the players that I was quite confident would do damage for them this season.

So this [inaudible] is absolutely shocking. So just backing Bochum double chance at round about -125, essentially as long as Bochum avoid defeat we’ll get paid out, and they might not avoid defeat, but they’ve won the last three trips to Augsburg, so it will hold no fear for them whatsoever, and long-term, anytime Augsburg are this short you just got to side against them, and long-term I think we’ll make money.

Flash:

Yeah, I mean there’s so much wisdom in the chat as well, because Brian’s saying the bookies are trying to catch the casuals, that’s why you come to this show. And by the way, if you are enjoying the show, please put your thumb up. But Brian says bookies trying to trap the casuals. But draw no bet for Bochum is +170.

That’s a massive upgrade, because really you only really going to get paid and paid well if Bochum go there and win. Well Bochum have got a good record here, and Augsburg all of a sudden because they’ve scored a few goals, they’re going to play on the front foot. Bochum are going to love that. And when I saw this game, the first thing I wrote, Stinch, was cards. I think that this could get a little bit heated.

Stinch:

I mean, yeah, possibly, I haven’t looked into that in depth, but obviously we know this is really a relegation six-pointer, isn’t it? I mean after Darmstadt, and Heidenheim, these two are the other ones going to be battling it out.

Flash:

Werder? Gladbach?

Stinch:

Yeah, yeah, true, true. Obviously, as you say, they haven’t scored yet this season, but these two are definitely going to be in the conversation. So I could easily see cards flowing, but I don’t know what the line is or who the referee is.

Flash:

Yeah, well, listen, we’re not putting it up as a bet, we’re just putting it up as one of those that they maybe should look at. And also, Keith, in the chat, we will be… There is a Q and A, you know that, you’ve been here long enough, so if there is a game like the Friday night game that you want to be discussing, then that is the time to punch it up. Let’s have a little look at the official picks in this game, and he’s gone for Bochum, +0.5, so Bochum, double chance, the away win or the draw will get you -120.

Move on to game number three. Stinch, I’m going to stay with you because it’s Stuttgart, +120, Freiburg, +210. Trappy, trappy, trap, because I tell you what, the home side are decent, Freiburg love hitting you on the brake. Goals, so basically the under or over, is at 2.75 with the over being at -112. Freiburg love to score twice, +150. Stuttgart, I wouldn’t be going near there, -109 to score twice, and it’s the draw runner, like a 2-2 at +265.

Stinch:

Yeah, I think you sent it out quite well.

Flash:

Thank you.

Stinch:

I can understand why Stuttgart are this short, but I wouldn’t want to be backing them. I mentioned in the future show that Stuttgart finished third bottom last season, but they underachieved by 14 expected points, so I expected an improvement from them this season, and they did just that on the opening day with that 5-0 win.

So I can understand why Stuttgart are at this price, especially with Freiburg, as you say they tend to play on the counter, and that doesn’t necessarily lend itself to winning football matches consistently, and it’s probably one of the reasons why often you find Freiburg probably at bigger odds than you expect them to be, considering they finished fifth last season.

So the angle I’m going for here is obviously the market’s expecting a reasonably high goal scoring game with a line of 2.75. There’s a player that Stuttgart had on loan last season, and now signed permanently, but he’s just in fantastic form, it’s Serhou Guirassy, I’m not sure if that’s-

Flash:

Ash put him up as anytime scorer last week. That was the other thing by the way, and I just got to put a few pats on the back for the people in the chat, because I think we had six anytime scorers all hit last week, and all from the chat. It’s brilliant, I love it. And last week she put him up, and I know that he actually scored. So what sort of price are we going to get on Guirassy?

Stinch:

So he’s +175, and considering Stuttgart are minus money to score two or more goals. And if they do score 2, I’d expect him to be in the conversation, and obviously the leap from -109 to +175, for a guy with 10 goals in his last 14 games, 14 in 22 over with Stuttgart. He’s on penalty, he’s averaging nearly two shots per game inside the penalty area. So he is that, as you’re sort of alluding to Boniface earlier, he is the striker that stays in between the posts, and he’s there to take advantage of any chances. So I make him around about +140, so I’m happy to back him at +175.

Flash:

Yeah, great value, because you think that most of the team’s top scorers who stay in between the posts, they’re like +110, +105, maybe even -105. Alex, Freiburg though, they’re not to be messed with when they go on the road, because even in defeat they push you, and it’s sweaty. But I’ve got Freiburg here, draw no bet is around +135, +140. Could you see Stuttgart actually winning the game? Because at +120, I think it’s too trappy.

Alex:

No, I am on the same page with you, Freiburg PK, -115 here. I don’t think that they will lose this game. Yes, they were overachievers last year, but I think that they were one of the most consistent teams in the league. A surprise of the league if you ask me, they started well, two wins in a row, they have a great midfield with a grip with Sallai, Doan, and even the experience Eggestein there. I think that they can score goals. I think that they can defend well.

Stuttgart, a little bit all over the place, at the back considering a lot of goals in my opinion. Freiburg, good on set pieces also, let’s not forget that. So I think that the only way to go here is how Stinch approach this match, or if you want to take something from the handicap you should go with Freiburg PK, because I really don’t think that they will lose this one.

Flash:

Yeah, I mean the draw is really jumping out at me and I’m so close to adding it at +265. But then I wouldn’t forgive myself if Freiburg then go and get a winner, because they can frustrate, and obviously they scored late last week, 96 minutes, they just kept going. Let’s have a little look at the official picks, because this is trappy on the money line, leave it alone. But if you’re wanting a double chance, or you want to draw no bet, I think the away side is the only way to go, unless you go with Guirassy. Anytime scorer at +175. Let’s move on to the next game, please.

Alex:

I love the next game.

Flash:

You love the next game, so that means I’ll come to you first, Alex, because Gladbach are +650, Bayern at -325. Straight away we’ve got to look down, Bayern to score 3 at -145. No, thank you. Gladbach to score twice is +192. Under/over 4, I probably just got to hand this over to you, Alex, because Bayern will probably win the game, and they win the game comfortably. But I just want you to explain to me what is the problem with the home side?

Alex:

The home side lose again, we will say the same thing over and over, and I think that they need time to adapt to the new players. I think that they lose their core, they lost their core in the summer transfer window. They lost basically their best players, and they kept one of their strikers, which is not scoring goals, and they brought in a lot of new ones. They are all over the place. They are very disjointed. You cannot see, how you say? Some clever tactics from them. You cannot see nothing. They are a mess at the back.

Leverkusen could have scored 10, like you said, against them. They were so lucky to consider only 3. They considered 4 against Augsburg, they considered 3 against Leverkusen. What do you think that Bayern will do to them? I know that everyone will say, “Yeah, but Gladbach, every time they’re playing Bayern, they are the surprise, they’re pulling off upsets,” and so on and so forth.

But this is not the case anymore. I’m not talking about revenge here, but even that is possible because some of the players of Bayern, they already know, “Come on, man, every time we’re meeting Gladbach, we’re losing, what is happening to us?” And it’s the start of the season right now, we are catching them in the worst position ever, because like Stinch said, I think that, and we talked about in the future show, I think that Gladbach are one of the teams who will be condemned to fight for the relegation at the end of May.

So I think that Bayern will dominate this game. I think that they will score, as you said, at least three goals on their own, and I don’t see Gladbach scoring more than once, to be honest. Maybe Bayern to win and Kane to score, but even that is very bad in terms of odds. So I think that, not I’m think, but I cannot put my hand on fire, but Bayern has the weapons right now to win by 2 goals, seeing everything happening at Gladbach, right?

Flash:

Are we expecting Musiala to play?

Alex:

I don’t think so, but they were not bad without him.

Flash:

No, no, no, but it just, oh my god, he is the perfect player to play against Gladbach, because Gladbach is so straight lines, little 1, 2s, give and goes with Harry Kane, he’s going to get in-

Alex:

No, he will not.

Flash:

He will not play? Okay, so Bayern probably only score 4, Stinch.

Stinch:

Yeah, I mean just echo everything we said already about Gladbach, I mean the losses of Marcus Thuram, Jonas Hoffman, Bensebaini, Lars Stindl. Not just quality, the experience there as well. And I was going to say it’s no surprise, but I’m a little bit surprised that they have conceded 7 goals already in the first two games, particularly when you consider one of those matches was against Augsburg on the opening day in a 4-all draw. So yeah, absolutely happy to oppose Gladbach. And we can back, I mean Bayern, -325, we can back Bayern to win by just one goal, sorry, one or more goals at -125. And very happy to go down that route.

We’re only asking for Bayern to win by more than one goal, not like a silly handicap as we saw in the Leverkusen game, by two or more. And this is Bayern, meaning the second favorites for the Champions League. So arguably the second-best team in the world, according to the odds. Over the past year when they’ve been this odds, or this price was shorter, so when they’ve been -325 or shorter, on 13 occasions they won by two or more goals nine times.

And that doesn’t take into account the opposition, and Alex says this is the fantastic time to oppose Gladbach because they’re an absolute mess right now. Harry Kane’s taken to life in Germany immediately, he is going to finish top goalscorer, barring an injury. And there’s nothing for Bayern to focus on because you’ve got the international break coming up, so I’m just fully expecting a professional win, and to go into the international break with 9 points out of 9.

Flash:

Do we think Bayern win and both teams to score is going to give us a little bit better, or are we going to look at say maybe a Gnabry, a Coman, a Sane. Because the way that Gladbach have defended in the first two was, there’s been a million miles, home or away, a million miles from their back line to their striker. You keep giving, and they don’t follow runners. So if you’ve got the likes of Sane giving like 1, 2s, or Coman cutting in. I mean I’m even liking maybe the central midfield boys coming onto the ball, and maybe scoring or having opportunities as well, Stinch.

Stinch:

I think the thing is with Bayern, they rotate the players behind the striker a lot, and they don’t always get as many minutes as perhaps the front man. So I would rather, and you get a much bigger price as well. I’d rather back say Kane to score two or more, than one of the players in behind, just because you can easily see scenarios where Sane, Gnabry, et cetera get hooked after 60, 65 minutes to give the other players a game. Whereas I think Kane is going to be in for probably 80, 85 minutes guaranteed every week. So if you get an extra 20, 25 minutes, and also he’s obviously the penalty, I think he’s going to be the penalty taker-

Alex:

He is.

Stinch:

And he’s the main man. I mean, he’s going to score 30 goals this season guaranteed. So if you’re playing against teams that are in the bottom half, then this is the perfect spot to be backing in to be scoring two or more, or even to score first for example.

Flash:

I’m so looking forward to this game, not for Bayern. I want to see Gladbach to see if they actually block up any of them holes, because I’ll tell you what, it’s like walking with a bucket of water with the holes, and by the time you get to the end of the game there’s no water in there. It’s unbelievable that they’ve not identified, because they actually, against Leverkusen last week, they actually had nine men behind the ball, in a bank of 5 and a bank of 4, and said, “Okay, break us down.”

But they didn’t go and close the ball, and then they didn’t track runners, and Leverkusen was like, “Okay.” They could have scored. I actually went to Twitter and said, “It’s the best first half performance I’ve seen from any side across any league this season.” And I think Gladbach played their part. And if they do that again, this could be 3-0 at half-time, to the visitors. So again, [inaudible]-

Alex:

And we’ll be happy with that.

Flash:

Yeah, because I’m looking at the -145, and thinking it could be a parlay piece, and I’m asking them to score three goals, and it’s like, it’s quite conceivable that they score three over 90 minutes. It’s quite conceivable they score three. So maybe we’re looking at maybe a total by half-time. Let’s have a little look at the official picks. We all think it’s an away win. Bayern at -1.5 at -125, for both the lads. That means they’ve just got to win by two.

Let’s move on. Don’t start crying Frankfurt fans because you know that Muani will sign for PSG this weekend. So we don’t expect him to play. So that means if you’re a little bit astute, then you’ve got on Koln at the beginning of the week, because Frankfurt, +115, no, thank you, not against the Koln side, who are desperate to get something out.

I mean they’ve done okay in their first two games. In fact they were better away from home on match day one, going down 1-0, to an 88-minute winner against Dortmund. +0.25, Koln, at +112. Or Koln double chance at -120. Stinch, I’m all over the away side getting something here, especially with the top scorer for Frankfurt, probably not playing.

Stinch:

Yeah, I can understand that, this game I wanted to leave alone pretty much for that reason, with the uncertainty surrounding Muani, it does look like he will leave, but also it seems that Werder Bremen had a bid or accepted, or are trying to buy perhaps the replacement in Rafael Borre. So I’m not sure who was going to line upfront for Frankfurt. They played a European game midweek as well, so there could be some tiredness there.

Koln haven’t exactly started the season incredibly well in terms of scoring. I think they’ve only scored one goal so far. So I actually thought perhaps maybe the unders is the way to go, but obviously we know the Bundesliga is a goal heavy league, so you never really want to be back in unders unless it’s probably out with the Bochum perhaps. But obviously we’ve seen how Augsburg has started. I mean to put it in perspective last season, at 3.17 goals per game in the Bundesliga.

We’re already at 3.6, now obviously that’s only a 18 game sample size, it’s very, very small. But it just shows that perhaps you need to be a bit more clever and wait for lines of maybe 275 or 3, that overreact to the increase in goals. I think what we’re suggesting here is the goal line has already sort of been lowered slightly from the average to take into account that both of these teams going forward right now aren’t clicking.

So for me, I wouldn’t want to back either team really, I think you’re right there that Frankfurt are the ones to potentially oppose. But they’ve got a fantastic support and being at home on a Sunday, I expect that to perhaps push them on and get the victory. But I think there’s better bets elsewhere in the Bundesliga this weekend. And thankfully when we speak next time the chance of a window will be shut, so we won’t be speaking about unknowns.

Flash:

No, but I think Koln is stronger, and I think that Frankfurt will play into Koln’s hands. I just want Koln to set up exactly the same as they did against Dortmund on the opening day, Alex, and just sit there, wait there and then make sure that they finish. I’m with you with the unders, by the way. I mean obviously that’s a full [inaudible] way to go in the Bundesliga against team A and team B. It doesn’t matter who they are. But I think Koln will keep the back door closed, and I was almost… I went with two ways here, Alex, I went with Koln double chance. I think Koln don’t get beat, but I was also going to go with Frankfurt not to score twice at -133. You could almost put that in with the opposite of Bayern scoring 3 in a little parlay.

Alex:

Yeah, I mean, Frankfurt struggled with Darmstadt in week one, 1-0 goal, of course, [inaudible], who will leave. After that, they draw 1-1 with Mainz. Basically, Frankfurt are the single, the only team in two matches in Bundesliga that both of their matches went under, and they lost their top striker right now, their top scorer basically, right? So yes, if you think that Koln lost both matches, but let’s not forget that they played Wolfsburg, one, I think that Wolfsburg are a team to watch this season, and also they played Dortmund on the road.

I think that is normal what Koln did. Of course that I’m backing you guys with the under, but normally here when you see a price of -115 or over 2.5 goals in Bundesliga, you will take that. This is why this game is very interesting in terms of who will win. I think that it can go either way, so if it is to go either way, you are going with the value bit and take Koln maybe.

Flash:

Yeah, and I think it’s a strong game. I think it is massively… I think it’s going to give us an insight as well of life without Muani. I think because they’ve been so reliant on him scoring so many goals, they are far in on a couple or a few fronts. I’m wondering if that’s going to cost them. They need replacements in, because remember their squad’s not deep at the best of times.

Alex:

Plus, let’s not forget that Frankfurt has two important players out on injuries, Alario and Knauff. And I think that that will play an important role. Plus they played in the midweek in Europe, and that will take its toll. So I think that all the stars are showing us that Koln should return home with at least one point.

Flash:

Exactly, double chance. I mean I think let’s have a little look at the official pick because there it is, double chance. At -125, don’t really go that stingy, but I’m just thinking all the stars are aligning for me to go that way, and again, I expect this to be a strong game. And Koln, remember they need something, they’ve been beaten by the odd goal in the first two games of the season.

Let’s move on to the final game because we talk about strong games, Union Berlin, top scored a +220, against Leipzig, at +125. I can’t work out, all right, let’s go with Alex, because Alex, Union Berlin should be favorites in this game for me.

I think it’s just name, if you go with the way that Union Berlin have started against Leipzig, the way they’ve started then again Union Berlin should be favorites. You’re getting +180 for Union Berlin to score twice. I don’t even care who wins, the draw is at +245, and the under or over, by the way, the over is over 2.5 at -115. It’s an over, move on.

Alex:

Exactly. The most important issue for Union Berlin right now is that they lost Aaronson, he got red card against Darmstadt. Yes, they scored 8 in two games, but let’s not forget that they played Darmstadt at home, and also Mainz, no sorry, at Darmstadt and Mainz at home. They are at home. They never lost a match last season at home. They should be favorites.

I don’t know why the odds are not respecting them at all at +220 here. Probably a PK plus or plus half a goal at -112 is the way to go. But I wouldn’t take RB Leipzig out of this match at all, because RB Leipzig in my opinion was the best team in the summer transfer window. I think that in two, three rounds from now on you will see Leipzig scoring three, four goals in every single match. Of course they’re playing also in the Champions League.

Basically both teams are playing in the Champions League, also Union Berlin, also Leipzig. But this will be an interesting match, and not to complicate things at all, we’re going for the Alex Classic here. I think that we’ll see goals from both sides, but to make things even more simple, directly over 2.5 goals at 115. As I said before, 115-, if you find a price like that in Bundesliga for over 2.5 goals, and given also the two teams that we see on this graphic, go for it.

Flash:

Union Berlin to score twice at +180. I mean, we are not going to get this lopsided or the wrong odds in the wrong channels here. Stinch, Union Berlin are stronger than Leipzig, Leipzig don’t look right at the back. Listen, they scored loads of goals, they were bang ordinary for the first half at home last week. They let in three, it could have been five against Leverkusen, they only scored from set pieces. I just see Union Berlin at +220 is massive. But then you even got plus a quarter of a goal at -112, which means you’ve got basically Union Berlin, a double chance at -120.

Stinch:

Yeah, I think basically that the market has Leipzig as having the better players, with a higher ceiling, but I think we know long-term, Union are far more consistent, and that’s probably what we’re kind of arguing against with the prices. And then for me, I’m happy to leave that alone, because Union, they keep scoring from ridiculously low quality chances. They’ve got eight goals obviously so far this season from an expected goals to 3.75. It shouldn’t be unsustainable, but they seem to be able to make it in some way.

So that’s why I’m a little bit wary about blindly taking them. I did kind of just blindly want to back over two and a half goals as we touched on, this is the same odds as Frankfurt V Koln, yet we know both sides are really good going forward and we definitely know that Leipzig defensively are there to be [inaudible] at. And the fact that the last six meetings between these two have all gone over, and they’ve all coincidentally finished 2-1.

But I’m slightly wary, so I’m happy just to cheer on Alex here, and I’ll tell you why I’m wary. If you look at when Union host these bigger teams, they tend to keep things really, really tight, and the games actually seem to be low scoring. So when they hosted Bayern last season, it was 1-all. They beat Dortmund 2-0, and against Leverkusen it finished 0-0.

So as I say, Union by style are a very organized team, and that’s the only thing that puts me off. But I’m definitely, I was looking for any reason not to blindly just take over two and a half goals. Because we consider this his fourth, to be third from last season, and we’re getting in a league where the average last season was over three per game. We’re getting 50/50 whether we see three goals. It does look enormous. I’m glad Alex is having a goals-based bet, so I can just cheer him on instead.

Alex:

By the way, Flash, because you know all the transfers, you know all about the players, how do they fit in the team. Bonucci to Union Berlin, what he brings in plus?

Flash:

Basically he’s like a shepherd. He will be a shepherd. Basically he’ll be one of… because Union Berlin is all about team spirit, no stars-

Alex:

Togetherness, like you say.

Flash:

Yeah, no stars. We all go out there, and we all just do our job. And remember I always used to say to you, you’re only as strong as your weakest link, that the thing is with Berlin, and Union, is just what Stinch just said, they score their goals, and we’ve said, and this is not a one-off, go through the whole of last season. They win 2-0, they’ve had four chances. But the big thing is, they don’t let any goal… They don’t give any encouragement to the team they’re playing against. Now Leipzig could go and win this game.

Now if Leipzig go and win this game, this is going over three goals. So the over two and a half I think is a blind bet of -115. The thing is with Berlin, and this is what we did highlight early on is, they’ve got such a busy campaign. So if they’re going to be competitive in Bundesliga, get the points now, because then when you do have your off days, it’s almost like you’re squirreling your nuts, that when there’s no nuts to be picked up you can go back and rely that you’ve put some away, and that’s what they’re doing in the way of points.

So before they start getting involved in all of this midweek, weekend, midweek, because remember they’ve got a solid squad, but not a big squad. So I like Union, I think they do things the right way, great game this, and I love it. Even when it’s not looking like a good game on paper, they are good games because they give us knowledge, and that’s beautiful. You can always take something out of some game. Let’s have a little look at the official picks, please. Over 2.5 -115. A blind man said the same. A blind man, I mean I saw a blind man with his stick and his Labrador, and he was like, “Union, it was only over 2.5 -115.”

Alex:

A blind man that knows this sport, normal, not a blind man that knows handball or volleyball or something?

Flash:

No. No, no, no, he knows Union versus Leipzig goes over. And it’s embarrassing that me and Stinch, or Stinch and I have not gone with the same bet, even though we do agree with you totally. And Union scored twice, it was +180. Union double chance was -120, 125. Yeah, I mean it’s one of those, because if you have a good Saturday then I think we could have a little look at this video, and then maybe get involved and throw some free money at it as well.

Now it’s time for the Q and A. So I mean that’s where we’re going to go for maybe Dortmund versus Heidenheim. But first of all I’m going to ask you to subscribe, and also start sharing this video with people who are not aware, because obviously we’re growing so fast, and that’s why we are your home of soccer betting because we cover it all. And when I say we, it’s not just them on screen, you cover it as greatly as well.

I see you all on Twitter, on social media, on Insta. Just please keep spreading the word because we’re all a family here, and if you do like your odds and your props, and obviously with the 30th anniversary now, with all your bonuses, gifts, offers, then type in betustv.com/join. And if you want the odds and the props then it’s betustv.com/odds. Okay, let’s have a little look at the first question. In fact, the first question might as well be, I think it’s from Keith, and it was basically, are we going to cover, “Alex best bet you’d take on Dortmund tonight?” Okay, we’ll go with Danny then, “Dortmund tonight, best bet. Good luck. A big club, a good club, not a good team.”

Alex:

Me, I would go with a combo here if it is to play something from this match, I would just go for a combo, which is two scores to anytime goalscorers, and I would go with Sebastien Haller and Adeyemi, at around +450, +500, together.

Flash:

Okay, Stinch, I’m happy for you, Brian saying, “Best approach to Dortmund game tonight, it’s a lot of juice. What about Dortmund and both seems to score? Because Dortmund don’t look right to me.”

Stinch:

Yeah, that was the bet I’ve got written down. I didn’t want to jump in and have it as an official pick, because we’ve only seen two games from Heidenheim so far in the Bundesliga. But what I’ve seen so far, they have been able to create chances, and as we know, I think we can definitely not trust this Dortmund defense. So if you wanted to increase that Dortmund win price significantly, Dortmund to win both team score is +140. So always happy to do that. And if actually you want to be even more clever, perhaps you could Dutch the correct scores, maybe back Dortmund 2-1 or Dortmund 3-1.

Flash:

Yeah, or go with Dortmund and over two and a half, or something like that around the +100, -110, sort of mark. But again, I’d just be happy that Heidenheim scare the life out of them. Marcel, “Your guys’ opinions on many transfers for Bayern and Dortmund here at the end.” Let’s talk about the transfers after the windows closed, because there might be a few additions as well, Marcel. Fay, “Dortmund says, Ashley, you’re not wrong. Go on girl.” I love all that. Okay, Vertalis, please. Sorry, what was the one you put up? Producer, I’m happy to go with anything, so-

Alex:

Vertalis said [inaudible]-

Flash:

Okay. Werder versus Mainz, any faults? Yeah, Werder not scoring. Mainz are scared of their own shadow. Stinch, this is a health warning on this game, because Werder don’t look right at all, and Mainz, well even when they get into good positions, they’re second guessing themselves.

Stinch:

Yeah, I watched Mainz against Frankfurt last weekend, and you’re absolutely right, when Mainz were counterattacking on Frankfurt because Frankfurt kept seeming to slip over when they got into good positions. They just didn’t seem to be confident with the final ball. So I know, again, you never really want to be back in unders in the Bundesliga, but if I was forced to have an unders bet this weekend, I think it would be in this game.

Flash:

Yeah, I’d go with both. And this is probably a first in three years, both teams have scored, no. Do you know what I mean? Something crazy like that. Okay, this is the last one. Alex, from Vertalis, Hoffenheim versus Wolfsburg, “Why are the odds so close, just because Hoff is hosting?

Alex:

Yeah, probably only that. I don’t see any other reason. And the good thing about that is that you can oppose Hoffenheim, because Wolfsburg, as we talked about last week and two weeks ago, are one of the teams to watch, and +160 right now, you can take them with PK. You can take them to score two goals. Hoffenheim are dreadful at the back. So I would rather as a normal bet, as a small stake, I would go with Wolfsburg to score over 1.5 team goals.

Flash:

Yeah, because obviously Hoffenheim are inviting every team they play to have as many shots on their goal as you like. It’s almost like, come on, it’s like a boxer, “Please keep hitting me and then I’ll hit you back.” No, just don’t go anywhere near Hoffenheim on your win or money line or anything else. But obviously whenever they’re involved in any game, it’s normally goals that keep popping up. Just a quick one, you don’t have to put it up because basically, “Banker of the week, over two and a half goals, Leipzig, Union is a good option, Flash.”

Yeah, I think it’s a good option, but when you look at the best bets, There’s Alex’s option, it’s yellow, it’s Bayern, -1.5 at -125. And we’ve Stinch doing exactly the same, that’s basically three units for this show. But we’ll start off at the top with Alex, with first half, Leverkusen, -1 at +125. So if Leverkusen is 1-0 up, then it’s a push, and if they’re 2-0 up, it’s a cash at +125. And there at the bottom is Union versus Leipzig, over two and a half goals in the game at -115. For Stinch it’s Bochum, double chance, +0.5 at -120.

Then we’re going to go with Guirassy, anytime scorer, +175, Stuttgart versus Freiburg. And for me it’s going to be Victor Boniface to score anytime at +105, and Koln double chance at -125. Listen, we’re going to have no shows next week because of the international break, so it gives us a chance basically to settle down. The transfer window will be closed, and also we can have a little look back over the first three weeks of the season.

And we always say the first three, four weeks are so difficult, but match day three will be over. There’ll be a few teams that have got nine out of nine, but there’ll also be teams that are struggling at the bottom, and they’re the teams that we want to be fading. Okay, everyone in the chat please thumbs up on the way out. I hope you’ve enjoyed it. Have a great weekend.

Stinch, it’s good to see you back, my lad. Let’s hope that you start off in the same vein as your co-pilot and your co-pilot with 7 and 0, he’s going for 10 and 0, can you imagine? Can you imagine? You know what the good thing is though? The longer he goes with this winning streak, we’re not going to see the yellow shirt of Dortmund. From everyone at BetUS, take care.

 

Kyle Purviance:

Oh, it is going to be a fun Friday here at BetUS TV. I’m Kyle Purviance, he’s BaseWinner, he’s Spreadapedia. We are your major league baseball team for MLB Show today Friday, September 1st. And guys, we have a special show today, right? We’re going to have a lot of fun. So we want to remind you the chat box is already going off. They know what we’re doing today. We are america’s favorite sportsbook

So as you all know, all four of us we’re supposed to go run bases and time ourselves. Now three of the four participated in our fun while the other one was busy in flip-flops and pimento cheese sandwiches and happy lettuce and Swahili basketball and all this. Too busy to run the bases. But we have three of us. Myself, BaseWinner, and Corbie. We all ran the bases. We are going to show you those videos today before the Q&A.

If you guys want to win some baseball tickets on BETUS, here’s what you got to do. Throughout the show, I want you to comment on who you think ran the bases the fastest and what time you think they ran them in. The person who gets the winner right and closest to the time we will announce that winner at the end of the show. After the best bets, we’ll announce the winner. Baseball tickets on BETUS.

Remember, we’re not flying you from LA to New York. Now if you live in LA and you want to watch a game in New York, you can certainly tell them that and you can take yourself to New York. But we will buy the tickets, good tickets. We’re not cheapskates here at BetUS. They’re going to be good tickets.

BaseWinner:

[inaudible] because I don’t like to sit in anything but the first three rows. And it’s just a snobby-ass baseball snob thing. But what is good tickets? You need to probably explain what a good ticket…

Kyle Purviance:

I don’t know where the seeds are.

BaseWinner:

Levels? Geez.

Kyle Purviance:

Weren’t we just talking about white privilege right before the show, weren’t we?

BaseWinner:

Everything I’ve done, I’ve earned on my, I wasn’t [inaudible] but know what? I will spend $200 plus. They’re not that expensive here when you go to Arizona games. You could get front row for $200. And it’s really funny Kyle, I’ll go into it. Go ahead. I interrupted you because this is important. We need to understand the mechanics of the contest, guy.

Kyle Purviance:

And it’s a lot of fun. And shout out to BDub. Shout out to Corbie. No shout out to Jay for not running. He gets the un-shoutout. But yes, so remember in the comment section, comment who you think is going to win, what you think the time is going to be. Whoever gets the winner right and the closest time will be going to a baseball game on BetUS. And we will announce that winner after we do the best bets, we’ll announce the winner.

And yes, all three of you are going to get to watch us run. I hope you pay close attention because they’re very animated. There’s some good stuff in these videos. So right before we get into the Q&A, we’re going to show those videos. Also get your questions in the Q&A. We have six games on the docket after we do all of our nonsense, and we run the videos, and you make fun of my body, and all this great stuff that we have.

We’re going to answer your questions, go over the games, all that good stuff. Don’t forget to hit the like button. Please hit the like button for us. And we appreciate the guys behind the scenes. We appreciate BetUS. Think about it. Three jamoks, three just idiots. We’re going out running bases. They’ve turned it into a whole thing. It’s a lot of fun. So it’s humbling. It’s fun. We appreciate everyone behind the scenes doing a great job. We appreciate you guys watching.

So hit that like button, hit the subscribe button, share it with your friends, head over to betustv.com/odds so you can follow along. Lots of good stuff. Don’t forget to comment, winner and the time. That’s all you got to do. And if you’re the closest one, you’re going to a baseball game on BetUS. Did you have something to add, BDub? It looked like the wheels were turning.

BaseWinner:

I heard it right on the college football show yesterday. No doubt. Shout out to BetUS. No doubt. Shout out to the guys behind the scenes. They’re awesome. And Joel looks so good. We had that clip on the Braves-Dodgers thing. That was just so well done guys. Good job. Pat on the back to you, pat on the back to me too because I hit the bat. But anyway, no, pat on the back to the graphic team. But what I wanted to point out and ask and maybe I can get clarification, is the college football show giving away a truck? I heard that on the show yesterday.

Kyle Purviance:

I don’t know. But I will say to stay tuned in. Next week there’s going to be some cool things that we’re adding not only to this show, but every show. We are going to be winning free BetUS credits and prizes, all just for watching the show. It’s just going to happen and it’s really cool and we’ll explain more as the details come in and as we get into it.

But I don’t even know if you guys know about it yet. I might be privileged. But we have some really, really cool stuff here happening at BetUS TV with football season, college football, or baseball shows. Obviously soccer. And we’re going to be doing a lot of cool things, giving you guys more ways to win, interacting with you even more. And yes, apparently a pickup truck is getting given away on the college football show. How the hell did they get a truck?

BaseWinner:

Is that US presenters? Are they eligible? Because I’m all over that if I am.

Kyle Purviance:

How the hell did they get a truck? All right, well I’m going to have to rub some elbows with the higher-ups after this show, fellas. See what we can get here. Maybe we can get a sports car or a plane. What if we got a small plane to give away on the baseball show? I don’t know. I love that idea. Because I’m not going to… Like what? No, we got to give away something better. That’s amazing. Jay, before we move on to our records and get in, do you want to explain yourself why we’re not seeing your shiny bronze god body shirtless running the bases today? Please tell us why.

Spreadapedia:

I don’t even own a pair of shoes to run in. I own dress shoes, like nice shoes. I have sandals. Running in sandals just like what am I going to do that for? So it’s a three-way for you Kyle. I know you have a lot of experience with those.

Kyle Purviance:

Not as much as I’d like. You know what I mean? What ends up happening is they turn into a lot more than you can handle. It’s like, wait, I thought this was only supposed to be-

BaseWinner:

I was going to say, would you like that? That seems like a lot of work. One’s enough for me. Jesus.

Kyle Purviance:

Yeah, and I’m kind of a weirdo anyways. Well what happens is three turns into four turns into five. You don’t know how they got here. You’ve got a midget recording, you don’t know how he got in the room. There’s a whole lot of weird stuff. So let me clarify. Some people are asking some questions. Will we be guessing the time or the winner? You’re guessing the winner and the time. For example, if you thought BaseWinner won the whole thing and he ran it in 20 seconds and again that is, I’m just giving out a general time, you would say BaseWinner 20 seconds. So you need to put your winner and the time. So both of those very important there. So make sure you do it exactly how we do that there. And at the end of the show, after best bets, we’ll announce the winner.

You’ll DM us. Of course it’s very important that you have a BetUS account, so make sure you have one of those. You are not eligible. So if you haven’t done so, betustv.com/join, create your account now. If you go to betustv.com/fifty, you’ll get a $50 free play. So do all that good stuff. Let’s go over our records and get into the game so we have time to watch us run these bases today.

I’m just mired in mediocrity and exact 10 units behind BDub. So I’m getting a little risky today. I’m kind of doubling down on my two plays and doing a little base runner parley with my two double results that I like as well. We’re going to go after it. We’re going to get this show to even money one of these times here. So look, I’m starting to see the times come in. We’ve got Corbie guessing me at 19.97 seconds.

We’ve got Scott Christensen already guessing Corbie 17.3 seconds. Mark Holmes guessing BaseWinner, 19.69 seconds. So that’s exactly how you do it. So I just wanted to point those out so that’s perfect. The end of the show, we’re going to announce the winners. I can already tell you, some people are getting this pretty damn close. I’m actually pretty impressed with how good you guys are doing so far. And we’re glad Philly Liverpool is back. Don’t forget, Philly Liverpool, comment with who you think is going to win the bases and the time so you can try to win some baseball tickets.

Let’s get to the first game on the docket. 915, 916. We’ve got Glasnow and the Rays at -174. Cal Quantrill and the Guardians at +154, total of eight. With some juice to the under at -120. BaseWinner, let’s start with you here. I am backing Glasnow and the Rays here. Cal Quantrill has not been great.

Now it’s kind of weird, I don’t know what the hell’s happening with my database this morning, but it does not want to include Cal Quantrill. He was there last night but today… I don’t know if that happens to you sometimes, where you’re like what the hell is going on with the computer or my database. But I can’t get this damn player in there. But last night, if I remember correctly, is an 894-weighted OPS for Cal Quantrill.

I think Glasnow is exponentially better. When you look at the run line in the first five innings, it’s -140 to the raise. I’m getting the double result at even money. So I’m taking raise double-result. Guardians, it’s interesting, this would’ve been what we talked about at the beginning of the show. Of all the teams that are picking up the trash from the Angels, the Guardians seem to be the team that wanted all these players.

They’re going to try to make a run it looks like at this AL Central. I’m not exactly sure why. They think they’re five games out and they can get there. But for me it’s all Rays all day. I like how Glasnow profiles double result, even money. What do you got on this one?

BaseWinner:

Yeah, I agree with you. I don’t think Quantrill’s very good. I have him 10% worse than an average pitcher by my ratings. And then Glasnow’s number four, the BW number four if you will. Really good numbers. 28.7 strikeout percentage. Last 150 stuff plus is brilliant. 96 percentile. BBK is good 0.25. And I think that we get a big edge offensively too and I don’t know if this is being calculated enough in the handicap. And I don’t love the Rays offense. I have them 10th in baseball, but that’s pretty good. 14% better than average.

This Guardian’s offense is not very good by my numbers. 25th in baseball, 5% worse from a runs-created standpoint and it shouldn’t be, you should be league-average at least, with all your starters with runs created but they’re not. I played at first five. I just think that that gives you the most bang for your buck if you will. And I went to raise Rangers base winner parlay both first five, and when it hits it’s +157, guys. So I think that’s the best way to attack the card today. And we’ll talk about that Rangers game I guess in just a couple seconds.

Kyle Purviance:

And I should point out I also have a base winner parlay. I’m kind of doubling down on my two double results and putting them in a money line parlay. I’m doing my base winner parlay today and the Rays are the first leg of that. I want to point something out before we get Jason’s take on this game. And it’s something that might go into the radar. But it really made me happy. When we started this season and my dumb ass is making these jokes and people are like, what the hell is going on with this BetUS baseball show. This isn’t what it used to be.

And Mark Holmes, I remember he’d be like, yeah, I like Kyle, but let’s just talk more baseball. Well do you know the comment we just got from Mark Holmes now? We have brought him to us, we’ve searched for him, we’ve lost him, we found him.

He says forget the games. We are here for the race and the rap and that is what I’m talking about my friends. That makes me very, very, very happy. Thank you. Just thank you so much. I absolutely love it. Jay. Guardians picking up Gialito, picking up Reynaldo Lopez, who I think is the best piece of all of the players who were released. I think it’s Lopez. And that other kid from the bullpen was pretty good too. BaseWinner would know his name better than I do. But what are your thoughts here? Ray’s, Guardians, I’m getting a -175, 180 favorite here at even money on the double result. I just don’t see how the Guardians score on Glasnow tonight.

Spreadapedia:

I’d love to see the Guardians make a run and win the division. So it was nice to see them make these pickups and at least try to be competitive. I don’t know what they’re thinking, and maybe I was trying to think maybe they think they’re blocking them from getting to better teams or something, but that wouldn’t make much sense either. It really, you only pick these guys up if you’re trying to win games yourself right now. But today Glasnow obviously the advantage here. Got to lay a big price with the Rays so no play for me. But yeah, if the Guardians are going to make a run, it’s got to start winning games like this right now.

Kyle Purviance:

Yeah, and I hope they don’t, because I just don’t think they do. Cal Quantrill, he’s really struggled. This Ray’s offense, look, they’re not the same without Wander Franco. We know that. And that situation’s just getting worse and worse and worse. It’s very likely Wander Franco never plays another game in the major leagues again. We’re in that type of scenario with him. The Rays should be able to get to Quantrill. I do like the 640-weighted OPS Glasnow against the Guardians. I don’t think that offense is very good.

So for purposes of the show, chat box is on fire today. Oh boy. For purposes of this show, we got focus here, I’ve got the Ray’s double result at +100. It’s the first leg of my base winner parlay on the money line as well. And for BaseWinner, he’s taking the Ray’s first five, you can ignore that Texas one right there. We’ll get to that in a moment. The Ray’s first five as the first leg of his official base winner parlay as well. So a lot of stuff going. Let’s go Rays, let’s get it done.

There are a lot of, we’re going to get to this. So let’s get to 927, 928 next game on the docket here. We’ve got Gilbert and the Mariners, Kodai Senga and the Mets. Nearly a pick’em here. -108 to the Mariners, 102 to the Mets. Total of seven and a half flat across the board at -110.

Okay, so let me answer Philly Liverpool’s question. Yes, the bases that we ran, you need to comment in the comment section who you think won the bases, and who and what time you think they got them in. If you get it in the closest time and the winner, you’re going to win baseball tickets. We’ve got comments. They want to see BaseWinner run his bases in his Guile costume from Street Fighter II. You need to open an old Super Nintendo, Gabe. Street Fighter.

BaseWinner:

I’ve looked at it online, I’m okay with that. That guy looks pretty good, man.

Kyle Purviance:

It’s amazing. It’s been amazing. It really is. It’s awesome. I’ve got to tell you this is the least I’ve seen people care about the actual baseball games the entire time we’ve ever done this show. So shout out, just shout out to everyone for having a good personality, getting what we do around here. It’s just turned into a lot of fun. It’s turned into its own monster. Absolutely love it.

Now to the game Jason. We’ve got Gilbert on the mound, we’ve got Senga on the mound, we sort of talked about it yesterday. The only way you’re really backing the Mets, if you are backing the Mets this year, is if Kodai Senga is on the mound. I think we could all agree on that. Logan Gilbert for me. Good news for you, I’m not backing Logan Gilbert today so he should pitch very well. But what are your thoughts here? Nearly a pick’em here. That’s a tough one. Mariners, Mets, what do you got Jay?

Spreadapedia:

I think if you like the Mets, maybe you play the first five ending line here. But the full game, I think the Mariners at -105 or 108 is the way to go. Mariners just a better team. I like Senga. I think he’s shown to be a pretty good pitcher this year. But unless you expect him to go very deep, I think Mariners can end up winning this game. And I’ll take them as a short favorite.

Kyle Purviance:

Yeah, I’m so sorry. The chat box has a debate on BaseWinner’s hair. And they’re saying that your hair cuts through the wind aerodynamic style like a razor. And my favorite comment was from Mark. He says your hair stays at home plate while your body moves around the bases. There’s a lot of good stuff right here. I can’t even focus. I don’t know what the hell you said about the Mariners, but I think Jay’s backing the Mariners here in Logan Gilbert. What do you got BaseWinnert?

BaseWinner:

I don’t know, the chat box is on fire today. Shout out to the chat box in so many ways. For me, [inaudible]-wise I’ve got the Mets actually at -126. Senga’s got some decent numbers. He’s a 26.2 strikeout percentage, last one 50, which is better than Gilbert. Gilbert’s is at 24.8. Gilbert does best the stuff plus metric, he’s an 84th percentile, and Senga’s 54th percentile. But for me, I think that my numbers like the Mets offense better. And again I’m using ISO power and last 400 now and then I’m using a strikeout percentage.

And I think that those are two really good numbers to use moving forward. And I guess the Seattle offense got a little bit better here recently with some of the updates that I made, but they’re still 17th in baseball offensively. I’ve just not sold on that offense yet. And I think that arguably, I’m not going to argue that. I think Gilbert is the better pitcher, but Senga’s got some really nice numbers. And I think the way to play it here is let’s go Mets.

Kyle Purviance:

Yeah, and I think what Feswick says here is pretty interesting about he doesn’t like to mess with this game, and especially the Mariners in the first five. Just live-bet it after six. And I don’t hate that because I think this Mets bullpen stinks. Every time I see Gott get on the mound, I think he’s going to get got. He’s one of the worst relievers. Just with my eye test when I watch him pitch, he’s not very good.

So Seattle, that offense as you mentioned can be real up, outside of Julio Rodriguez, who’s on just this historic tear, but outside of him, that offense can really disappear at times. And this is a good pitching match of both these pitchers. Low 620s in weighted OPS. I think it’s a tough spot for both offenses today. And I don’t hate that idea of live-betting the Mariners after the fifth inning. Especially if it’s one-nothing Mets, two-one Mets after five, and then live-betting the Mariners against that bullpen, because I do think the Mariner’s bullpen is exponentially better than the Mets bullpen.

And I don’t know if the model numbers weigh out that way, but I think that’s a very interesting one. We saw a guest for spread to run the bases in 69.42 seconds, which is a pretty guess. Feswick says I would put up a yes-no to spread even finish the base running thing. Injury chance on this long run.

Spreadapedia:

No, no, I’m not a horse. I could run the bases. I’m not going to blow out a leg [inaudible].

Kyle Purviance:

I think they’re underestimating how casual you are. You’re not going to run to pull a hammy, you’re going to go out there, cruise along, make sure it gets done. You look cool doing it, right? Like the dude, and you’re going to finish when you finish, right?

Spreadapedia:

No, I didn’t even think about it to be honest.

Kyle Purviance:

You didn’t even consider it. There you go. For purposes of this show, getting to the MLB picks here. We have Jay locking in the Mariners today. It says 180 on the screen, it’s -108. I think we overloaded our guys here with the graphics and our videos and the chat. We’re just giving them too much. It’s too much. But it’s Mariners -108 on the money line for a spread today in that one.

Let’s get to the next game. 917, 918 Joe Ryan and the Twins, Max Scherzer and the Rangers. -150 to Scherzer and the Rangers, +135 to the Twins. Total of eight with some juice to the over at -115. That’s absolutely right. We have to have medical personnel on site. This isn’t a joke anymore. He’s running the bases. We got the ambulance here. We got the little bag that they use. The injector in case he gets stung by a bee, whatever the hell they call that.

Love all that stuff. BDub, let’s start with you here. You got to play on this. Look, I think it’s a good pitching matchup. Joe Ryan certainly has some implodability here. Tough spot. I need the Rangers to start winning for that eight to one. What you got here, Scherzer Ryan. I think this is a good matchup, interesting game.

BaseWinner:

A cool game. Yeah, because if you look at the pitchers and by my ratings there’s really not much between Ryan and Scherzer. I’ve Scherzer better. He’s a 71 base winner, so 29% better than average versus a 22% better than average with Ryan. Actually look at the strikeouts. Last one 50. Ryan bests Scherzer. He’s at 34% but nothing wrong with the 31.3% from Scherzer. Then you look at hard hit per nine. Scherzer right there in the top 10, 91st percentile.

If you were top 10 percentile in baseball 7.4, that’s hard hit per nine since July 15th. And their BBK numbers year-wide are about the same. Where this game for me, I think that it’s valuable to take Texas. I think Texas offense is so much better than the Twins. And I’ve got Texas ranked fourth in baseball, 22% from a weighted runs-created standpoint. Above average. And I only have the Twins 1% above league average in runs created.

So I think that we have arguably, and I would for me, I think Scherzer’s a better pitcher for various reasons, but even if you just said, well the pitchers are even… Ryan’s no slouch, but I think that we have just a tremendous edge offensively. And for me it looked like a sweep play to put in the second leg base winner parlay, and again it’s +157. Let’s get this parlay tonight. A good sendoff to the weekend for your college football stuff, soccer stuff.

I know there’s some good handicapping going on at BetUS with that soccer. Because I play soccer personally. I don’t like to handicap it. I just like to listen to the handicappers there and they do a good job. So let’s get this going here. Base winner parlay +157, Tampa, Texas first five.

Kyle Purviance:

They’ve been cashing like gold. They’ve absolutely been on fire. They’ve inspired me. That’s why I do base winner parlays now they’ve inspired me. Jay, so we have medical personnel if you’re running the bases. We’re also hearing of medical personnel for when base winners running the bases, worried about the hair, cutting them. That’s what they’re worried about. Their razor-sharp hair. Lots of people love the razor sharp lines of the Bdub… BaseWinner, did you ever play soccer? A lot of people we’re seeing played soccer. I could see you out there on the pitch.

BaseWinner:

I didn’t. I was football, track, and basketball.

Kyle Purviance:

Football, track, and basketball.

BaseWinner:

That was a long time ago. It was a while ago when I did all those things.

Kyle Purviance:

It’s awesome. It’s amazing. Jay, what do you think here? I think this is a good matchup. Weighted OPS-wise by the way, favors base winner Scherzer 630 to 714. They have pitched, Ryan has one game this season against the Rangers. Pitched okay, 33 fantasy points in that. Scherzer, I believe just pitched against the Twins not too long ago. Put up 49 in that one. So a bench to Scherzer there. What do you think? Rangers? Twins?

Spreadapedia:

Yeah, I like the Rangers here. I didn’t bet it today but I don’t have a problem with betting the Rangers. Like I said, I think the Twins are as good as we’ve seen them and I’m not sure they’re going to win the division still. I want the Guardians to make a run. I hope the Rangers win today.

Kyle Purviance:

Yeah, me too. I need the Rangers to win. I need them to keep winning. We’re going to move this along. We do have a question. Did BaseWinner use his hair to cut down the nets after the NCAA tournament? They’re coming in hot so just going to let you know.

BaseWinner:

They’re hot today man. Wow.

Kyle Purviance:

The second leg of the base winner parlay for BaseWinner. Now I have Kyle’s base winner parlay, but BaseWinner’s base winner parlay is first five Rays, first five Rangers, you parlay those together, and that’s at +156.

Let’s head to the next game on the docket 929, 930. Hyun-Jin Ryu. Speaking of Street Fighter II, we’ve got Ryu and Guile on the mound for the Blue Jays at -183. Chris Flexen for the Rockies +163, total of 12 of course. Juice to be over at Coors at -120. So look, I’m taking the Blue Jays double results here. I’m not getting the math I want. They’re -120 on the run line in the first five. -105 double result here. I’m also making it the second leg of a parlay. Ryu, I know he hasn’t pitched a ton this year but since he’s been back he’s been pitching well. Obviously I believe Chris Flexen to be one of the lower tier. I don’t want to jinx it too much, but one of the lower tier pitchers in baseball. All these righties for Toronto should feast today. Taking the Blue Jays double result. What do you think here, Jay, Blue Jays Rockies?

Spreadapedia:

I’d probably just bet the over, I didn’t bet it. I might actually bet the over though. This game has overwritten all over it.

Kyle Purviance:

Over 12 runs and I hope that 10 of those runs go to the Blue Jays today. BDub, am I crazy or the Rockies crapping in my apple pot?

BaseWinner:

I think that’s going to be a tough ask here Kyle. So I like Jason’s idea about over. The one thing that I will say, first of all I have it priced at -130, so value would be on Colorado. I think it’s hard to get behind Flexen. Although if you bet Flexen, you would want to see him flexing his muscles. But the one thing that I did want to point out, and this is something that I think is important if you play a opposing pitcher in Colorado, does the guy have a body of work in Colorado?

And for me Ryu does. He’s got six games, 26.2 innings pitched and he’s been just awful there. 7.09 ERA, the whip is at 1.95, believe it or don’t. And his relative OPS is two times worse than it normally is. And you can find this at Baseball-Reference, go to the pitcher splits, go to career and he just has lousy numbers.

He’s given up eight home runs and 131 plate appearances. So that’s probably about 6% off the top of my head, which is double league average. I don’t know. I think that for me when I play a guy in Colorado, every now and then I’ll make an exception if the guy’s got one or two starts there, but six starts is enough for me. He hasn’t been good there. I don’t know. He’s going to have to prove that he’s good in Colorado before I would put my money on him.

Kyle Purviance:

That’s fantastic. Makes me nervous. We got the over there. Jay is talking, I’m back in the Blue Jays double result 951 weighted OPS for Flexen. Although I’m starting to see he has actually pitched a little bit better recently. His last couple of starts weren’t God-awful when I compare that to Ryu. Again smaller sample size. He hasn’t been pitching as much. A 607 weighted OPS for Ryu.

But you’re right, he has not been a 326 average to hitters in Coors Field when he’s pitched there. So that is something that is a bit concerning. But for purposes of the show, I’m locking in the Blue Jay’s double result at -105, and it is also the second leg of Kyle’s base winner parlay along with the Ray’s money line, and that is paying at +145.

BaseWinner:

That’s flattering, dude. That’s got to be flattering to me because you’re like, hey, I’m going to take a page off and sometimes you can learn and if you’re not a complete a-hole you can say, “You know what? That guy taught me something.” And you with the double result this year, you’ve taught me something. So it comes right back to you with the double result and I think that’s a good play. So it’s nice that we can learn from each other. That’s cool.

Kyle Purviance:

That’s the magic. That’s the magic that we’ve had here. The show turned into magic is what it did. It’s a beautiful thing. We love it. So Kyle’s base winner parlays a +144.

Now listen, we have two games left before we get into the video so you still have a little bit of time, comment who you think is going to win running the bases and the time you believe they’re going to run it in. Whoever gets closest, we will announce the winner at the end of the best bets on today’s show and then you guys can contact that BetUS TV on Twitter, you can DM them. However you do it, and they will get you your baseball tickets. So get in the competition. Now you’re about to see us, someone says they want to see BaseWinner flexing running the bases. I kind of flex running the bases.

BaseWinner:

You did dude.

Kyle Purviance:

Nonetheless. Make sure you pay attention to my shirt too and can we pay attention to, I just want to say this to the distances ran by each man here because I feel like there’s a discrepancy. But I don’t know, that’s all I’m going to say.

BaseWinner:

I’m going to call… That pisses me off because you had the opportunity to measure the thing. Read the dimensions, look at how wide the bases are. I want regulation. I cut bases out of cardboard. Made regulation bases. So you have nobody to blame but yourself if you think you ran too far. That’s just stupidity, dude. If anything, bring it closer.

Kyle Purviance:

Look, I don’t need you to point that out. I know that. Let’s just gloss over that and move it along. And some kind words from Feswick and Ed Blessed, they too are following the double results so I appreciate that. I’m glad. That’s what it’s all about, right? Is having some fun, teaching it. Yep, they all get it. BaseWinner’s right. BaseWinner is right about that. I had every opportunity to measure but my drunk asses yelled at my kid and his girlfriend, had them come out there, and there you go.

BaseWinner:

Flexen’s worth it though. So let’s get there.

Kyle Purviance:

Let’s get there. Let’s get there. Baltimore and Arizona. 931, 932. Cole Irvin on the mound for Baltimore. Zach Davies on the mound for Arizona. Forgive me for, I was sort of filibustering there while we were pulling up the graphics. So let me just give you the current odds right now. These guys get it. -113 to Baltimore, +103 to Arizona. Total of nine and a half. It’s flat across the board when we did the graphic -110.

We’re starting to see some money come in on the over. It’s now got a little bit of juice to -120. So just for those of you keeping an eye on that and the adjusted line value there, BDub, what do you got on this one? Irvin Diamondback. Look, I just can’t back Cole Irvin. In a vacuum, I would take the Orioles over Zach Davies all day long. But these are two bad pitchers in my view, right?

BaseWinner:

It is really hard to get behind Irvin. So having said that, the way I did it, I put it out on the card. Team total over Baltimore over five -104. Davies has trashy numbers. You look at his, that could be a rap, right? Davies has trashy numbers or maybe a country song. Anyway, 16.7 strikeout percentage, last 150. ISO power allowed 22nd percentile stuff plus two percentile and hard hit per 911.9, 29 percentile. So just really trashy numbers versus the capable Baltimore team. I don’t like their offense as much as some others but they’re still 11th in baseball. I think they got what it takes to get over this five number against Zach Davies here at Chase Field. So that’s how I-

Kyle Purviance:

I think that team total makes a ton of sense. That’s actually a great way to approach this. Jay, what do you got here? You back in Irvin and the Orioles? Or you backing Davies in the Dbacks?

Spreadapedia:

I’m backing the Orioles 111 to -113 is where I bet it. I think Oriole’s much better team and I don’t know, I saw the Diamondbacks play the Dodgers and I just wasn’t impressed with them as I thought I’d be. I think the Orioles can handle them as well.

Kyle Purviance:

Yeah, it’s an interesting one here. I like that team total. Let me look at something here since I have this game pulled up. Both team totals at four and a half and I think both teams get there. This has an over to me written all over it. I think that’s why money’s coming in on that over. I like how both offenses profile. Well over four and a halfs at -115 for Arizona, 135 for Baltimore.

I wouldn’t even mind if you can get an adjusted run total and go up to five or five and a half and get some plus money or close to it for Baltimore. I think they score runs today off of Davies. Interesting game here. For purposes of this show, we’re locking in the Orioles -113 on the money line. For Jay. Let’s head to the last game.

So I’ll remind you guys right now, this is the last game before we get to the video. So get your winners in, get your times in. After this, the next thing you’re going to see after this game is me. Please pay attention to the shirt, ripping my shirt off and running the bases. And I believe I’m going first so you’ll get to see me run first. That is coming up. So here we go. 913, 914. We got Fried the Dodgers, Urias and the Dodgers… Or Fried and the Braves, Urias and the Dodgers. -124 to the Braves, +114 to the Dodgers. Total of eight and a half with some juice to the over at -115.

Jay you got to play on this one? You’ve been red-hot with these yes runs first innings. What do we got on this one? Last night was a really fun game. These two teams are just amazing to watch. These lineups are so fun to watch. And you’re right, the first six hitters when you take the first three hitters for the Braves, the first three hitters from the Dodgers. My goodness it doesn’t get a whole lot better than that. What do you got here? Dodgers. Braves, Jay? Oh, you’re muted.

Spreadapedia:

I’m sorry. I did not realize I was on mute.

Kyle Purviance:

No worries.

Spreadapedia:

Same thing as yesterday. I’m taking first inning yes score. You already said it. The six batters you get is pretty great. I like the over in this game anyways, so bet the first inning. If you get -105 or better right now, if you weigh it, I think you’ll probably get even money. Let the suckers take the no here. But first inning, yes. And if it doesn’t go over you could bet that the game over in the second inning.

Kyle Purviance:

Yeah, I think it makes sense. We should see runs here. A couple of lefties. Now I do like attacking the Dodgers with lefties. I don’t know exactly what the splits are, but I would imagine just… I’ve watched a lot of Dodger games this year. They seem to perform much better against righties. But what do we got here, Bdub? This is a fun series. This is going to be fun the entire time they play.

BaseWinner:

A conspiracy theory. I think they may have put some juice balls in there last night. It was crazy. Did you see the Olson? Because I was paying attention to it because I had rider baby and what a nice home run by a Acuna. So Olson hits, I mean just a sky ball popup, and he’s so pissed that he throws his bat down. It was a pitch that he could have hit. And the thing almost goes through the wall. I was like, you got to be kidding me. And then you saw bats, and he hit a line drive that ended up going out of the park. So I don’t know, maybe there’s some juice balls in there, even if there’s not, I still like the over here today. I played the over eight -120. Best offense in baseball. Second-best offense in baseball for the Dodgers.

And there’s a couple of things that are interesting here. So you look at Fried, 47% stuff plus percentile, that’s surprising. And then Urias is only 68 percentile. And it’s like so not really elite stuff plus Fried 12.6 hard hit per nine since July 15th. That’s a 16th percentile. That was surprising. And Urias isn’t that good either. He’s only in the 65th percentile. And I think these pitchers can be got, and I think they really could be got when they’re putting juice balls in there. And I wouldn’t put it past MLB that they’re doing it. But even if they don’t, I still like the over and that’s how I’m playing it, Kyle.

Kyle Purviance:

Yeah, I think that makes sense and by my numbers, just for the record, Uriah’s Urias profiles better, or excuse me, Fried profiles better against the Dodgers than does Urias against the Braves. So I’d still lean the Braves here. If I had the proverbial gun to my head, I would take the Braves in this one.

Okay, the purpose of this show by the way, excuse me, we are locking in the yes runs first inning for Jay in that sitting at -105. The time has come, we are now ready to begin. Our contest is set to begin and I believe the first video is going to be me, so sit back and enjoy. There you go. If we could get that shirt in there. Yeah, let everyone see that shirt. Nice try mom. Here we go. We’re running the bases. Enjoy everyone. Hit it, Kevin.

Kevin:

Okay. DFS Bachelor running the bases. We’re getting fired up. So what we got here is this field is getting worked on. They don’t have the bases there. We’ve marked out 90 feet. You can see Emily out there. She’s at the 90-foot mark from first. I’m going to be running the corners of the dirt. I walked it off to 90 feet. Or actually measured it with a measuring tape. And then I’ll be home here. Let’s fucking go. Ready? Oh, here. Hold my keys.

BaseWinner:

Take the keys out. That’s a good idea. Ready? Set. Go.

Kyle Purviance:

Look at, I’m [inaudible]. Okay, that pitcher gives you our speed on it. 27 miles an hour.

BaseWinner:

Freakout. Take him out. There we go. You eased up at the end.

Kyle Purviance:

F bomb. I feel like I ran too far. I do feel like I ran too far. Okay, there’s video number one. Now, I believe number two, is this BaseWinner we have here?

BaseWinner:

Yes.

Kyle Purviance:

I can’t hear the music. I don’t even know if they can hear us talking. You got better [inaudible]. That’s fast.

Spreadapedia:

That’s fast. That’s fast.

Kyle Purviance:

Yeah [inaudible]. I ran [inaudible] Great job. Is this Corbie?

BaseWinner:

Corbie, yeah.

Kyle Purviance:

Yeah, there goes Corbie. He’s a little wild. He’s wild because he’s too tall. There we go. There we go. I think. Are we back on the screen now? Here we go. So as you can see, I did run like 250,000 feet longer than everybody, right?

BaseWinner:

Dude, I don’t know man. It sounds like a you problem. Measure the distance to the base, right?

Kyle Purviance:

BaseWinner life expectancy is now up to 85 years based on that video. We’ve got BaseWinner can run fast. Corbie cheated. We’ve got Corbie cheated. We’ve got Guile is moving. Look, first of all, we want to thank all you guys. Because none of this is possible if you guys weren’t interested and having fun with it, so we appreciate you all. You guys having fun. Jason, look at all the fun you missed not running the bases.

BaseWinner:

It’s really fun. By the way, I was amazed at how fun it was actually. I took it seriously. I actually measured it, cut the bases out, had a good time, but man, it’s cool. So now you can compare yourself. I would recommend everybody do it. It’s one of life’s funnest things you can do and it’s free.

Kyle Purviance:

And after we get to some questions, yes we can get a video of me running the base at the local pub. It made some people’s day. That’s what we like to see. Don’t forget to hit the like button by the way, we appreciate that. We’re going to try to get to some questions. I want to remind you guys after this show at the top of the hour, Dan Rafael, TJ Rives, are going to break down this weekend’s boxing card. You’ve got Liam Smith and Chris Eubank Jr. in a pretty important middleweight bout this weekend. So be sure to stay tuned for that. And then after that, a 2:00 Eastern, 11:00 Pacific time, Dave Ross makes his debut on the UFC Show with myself and Matty Betss. So stay tuned here at BetUS TV. Are they still showing me running the bases? Is that what I’m looking at here?

BaseWinner:

Your home to first speeds are really good and then you kind taper off at the end. You’re like, “Oh, man.”

Kyle Purviance:

I’m running 10 miles, I’m exhausted, I’m exhausted. I ran like 10 miles, I had to empty the pockets. Oh, second chance for the people. He’s given a second chance for everyone to see the videos and they can hear us, so it’s a lot of fun. While we’re watching the videos guys, I’ll get into a couple of questions. Kev Debeossi has thoughts on the Red’s first five. And we also have a question on the Red’s double result against the lefty. So today’s a little bit tough. I did look at this Reds game. So we have Graham Ashcraft on the mound for Cincinnati. And, Dan, why can’t I remember the guy’s name who’s pitching for the other side? And let me pull up some numbers.

BaseWinner:

[inaudible] Wicks, it’s the guy’s name. What is it, Jordan Wicks? Is that what his name is?

Kyle Purviance:

Jordan Wicks. It’s +107. The Reds are underdogs in that one and I think that’s interesting with Ashcraft on the mound. I don’t hate that. Something I’m probably not going to touch. I like the Reds more against righties as we talked about. What do you think Bdub? Red’s first five or a double result?

BaseWinner:

Ashcraft is a puzzle for me. And we talk about Corbie and I have talked about this on the show about his stuff plus is elite. It’s like in the top five of any major league baseball pitcher, but he’s looking at a 19.3 strikeout percentage. So I don’t know. The way I have it is I think the Cubs are value, but Jordan Wicks is Jordan Wicks. I don’t really know that much about him. I don’t think anybody does, so maybe you just don’t play that. Tell you what pal.

Kyle Purviance:

It’s a double-header today for them as well.

BaseWinner:

This card is really, really good. There’s a lot of stuff I like on today’s card. This is one of my favorite cards in a couple of weeks actually. There’s a lot of opportunity here in my opinion.

Kyle Purviance:

Agreed. We have Feswick saying that I protest our new collared shirt rule by ripping my shirt off for the video. That’s right. I didn’t even know, first of all, I’ve always worn a collared shirt I think. And we also have a question. Does BaseWinner’s hair have to separately test for Covid? Absolutely. It does its own Covid test, which it’s funny that you guys bring that up before the show. His hair was tested for Covid to make sure it could be there while… It was a whole thing. So it’s interesting. Jay, any thoughts on the Red’s first five or Red’s double result today? And I’m assuming this is the first game he’s talking about because the second game, we don’t know who the hell’s even going to be in the lineup.

Spreadapedia:

I thought about betting the Cubs, but I ended up passing on this game. I think the Reds, they’re just not all the way there with that bullpen. It’s an unreliable team at this point. I think the Cubs are kind of making a run here.

Kyle Purviance:

I do know who won the contest. I have confirmation. We’re not going to announce that until after the best bets, but just so you know, the winner is in. We appreciate you guys for participating, being a part of it. Generally Fridays are a day where a lot of people don’t watch the show. They’re busy doing other things or taking long weekends. That has not been the case today. So we appreciate you guys very much for making this worthwhile and a lot of fun.

BaseWinner:

How did this thing get started anyway? Because it was started on a young man Wednesday show and I thought, oh, these guys are, because that’s what fired me up about it. Corbie’s like, oh, BaseWinner’s low 30s. I’m like, dude, low, come on. Really?

Kyle Purviance:

I think it was just like Elly De La Cruz had ran super-fast and I made something like how fast can we run it and then that’s it. It was just some stupid question by me being a smart ass and here we are. We have Bobby Hill saying that BaseWinner’s hair is the epitome of a sharp better. How about that? Might be the one. That might be the one today. Shout out. That’s a great comment.

Our next question from Philly Liverpool FC. Thoughts on the Brewers versus Phillies tonight and this weekend in general? Big series for both. Yeah, tonight we have Wheeler and Peralta, I believe. It’s just tough. I think the Phillies are a good baseball team and they’re going to be a problem in the playoffs. They have a good lineup. Kyle Schwarber’s going to be the worst 40 home run, a hundred RBI season ever, batting like 171, striking out 750,000 times.

It drives me absolutely bananas. Watching Kyle Schwarber hit. Like in a vacuum, I want to take the Phillies. I think the Phillies are the better team. I think Wheeler’s the better pitcher. But they’re so untrustworthy. What do you think? BDub?

BaseWinner:

Yeah, I agree with you. I put it out on the card first five Philly -124. And so it’s hard for me to do this. It kind of goes against my DNA. You look at Peralta. 41.3 strikeout percentage. So I was like, wow, I’m going against this. But Wheeler’s at 25.3. But what really inspires me about this bet is ISO power allowed Wheeler’s in the 92nd percentile and Peralta has a problem with that. He’s at 0.169, last 500 plate appearances, 36th percentile.

And if you look at the pitching plus, which combines the stuff, plus first of all Wheeler’s stuff is better. Technically 85th percentile to Peralta’s, 74th percentile, but the pitching plus combines the location. Wheeler, he is the best in baseball. A hundred percentile there. And Peralta is good. 81st percentile. But I think I will back Wheeler with this. And the offense for me, the Phillies’ offense is better than the Brewers. Fifth versus 15th. And I’m going to play the Phillies here. First five -124, Kyle.

Kyle Purviance:

Yeah, and Philly, Liverpool makes a great point. He says, but the Brewers are more untrustworthy. And he’s absolutely right. This is like asking me to kiss my ex-wife or make out with my grandma. I don’t know. I guess I’m tongue and granny, but it’s going to be a dark day. What do you think Jay? Phillies Brewers?

Spreadapedia:

I’m interested in the Brewers here. Freddie Peralta’s been one of the better pitchers in baseball over the last month or two. So that would get me looking at him here, but I didn’t bet this game.

Kyle Purviance:

It’s a tough one. Those teams are tough and two teams that are most likely going to be in the postseason. This could be something we see in the playoffs as well. Our next question, we covered the Cubs Reds game. Game one. Thoughts on Verlander to record a win today? You can get that at +175. He has gone over 17 and a half outs in 10 out of 10 games versus the Yanks, and three out of three this time. Yeah, I was really close if I’m being honest on an Astros double result as well.

I like the Astros today. I think Verlander is the side today. Who’s pitching for the Yankees? Oh yeah, Rodon on the mound for the Yankees. What are you going to get there? Verlander to record the win I think +175 is a nice way to go about it, considering the fact when you just look at the game, the line on that game, the Astros are -166 favorites. So you’re kind of flipping the script there and just taking the winning picture. What do you think about that Jay? +175 to Verlander?

Spreadapedia:

Yeah, little interesting. It’s Jasson Dominguez’s first game there for the Yankees today. I’ve been pretty excited about that. Only thing I was thinking about betting there though was a home run prop on Dominguez, if somebody posts one. I think you can get a big number there.

Kyle Purviance:

That’s interesting. I’m curious, what does the model say? I feel like the Astros are a good play today. It was another one I almost fired on.

BaseWinner:

I played the Yankees, Kyle. The model says that there’s value there. It says it should be closer to a pick than it is. And what I did is I did first five Yankees +137. And there’s a couple numbers that I think are interesting. And first of all, you look at strikeout percentages, not much between Verlander and Rodon. 22.7 for Verlander, 20.7 for Rodon. But the stuff plus actually favors Rodon and he’s had some mixed results admittedly this season.

But the stuff is still there. 87 percentile versus Verlander, 77 percentile. Hard hits per nine are about the same. And I just thought it was good opportunity to take it. A team who by my numbers, the hitting’s good still seventh in baseball. I do like the Astros better than the Yankees from a hitting standpoint, but only third. So there’s not that much between there. I thought the +137 first five. I thought that was a good play.

Kyle Purviance:

Okay, there we go. I’m going to address this last question. We’re going to get into best bets. We’re going to announce the winner, show the winning comment and give him his praise. Or her. Him or her their praise. Darryl Turner asks, opinions on Taylor Swift making billions on her Eras concert tour and now with an AMC theater movie deal doing beyond Titanic box office numbers. Well, Tee Sizzle makes everything better. Let me number one address that. So she deserves everything. Number two, the reason it’s beating Titanic box office numbers. It wasn’t Titanic. That was the Olympic. The Titanic was never sunk as a conspiracy theory. You need to watch it. I’m telling you right now that Titanic never saw the bottom of the ocean. It was indeed the Olympic.

Spreadapedia:

Where do you buy your weed from Kyle?

Kyle Purviance:

It was local dispensary. Cute little hippie girl too. She’s cute. I like to hit on her.

Spreadapedia:

I’d like to try some of your weed when you come here.

Kyle Purviance:

Yeah, absolutely. I’m telling you, it is not the Titanic. The evidence is overwhelming that it’s the Olympic, the sister ship as an insurance fraud scheme because the Olympic had already been crashed several times. You can see part of the plating when they show you footage of the old Titanic, you can see they’re actually covering the Olympic. There’s plenty of evidence to support the fact that that is the Olympic and not the Titanic.

So first of all, the Titanic doesn’t deserve it because Rose is the biggest bee-ach in the history of movies. “Oh, I’ll never let go, Jack. I’ll let you try to get on this gigantic door that we can all float on.” Oh, try it one time and now you have to lay in the water and die? Hell no. I am ripping that chick off and we’re getting on that door at the same time. There was plenty in room for both of them on that door. So Rose can kiss my ass. I absolutely hate Rose. And that’s not the Titanic, that’s the Olympic.

And Feswick is saying the sub that sank. I don’t know how that never existed either. It shouldn’t have because it was improperly built or a bunch of morons trying to go down further than anyone’s ever been with a stupid PlayStation 2 controller. It’s absolutely unbelievable. Any thoughts on that BaseWinner?

BaseWinner:

I don’t know what the hell you’re talking about. I honestly don’t.

Kyle Purviance:

I’m just telling you. It’s not the Titanic. The whole thing’s bullshit. It all pisses me off. Let’s go to our best bets and announce our winner. So the base winner parlay, Ray’s first five, Rangers first five, that’s a +156. Jay is on the Mariners’ money line -108. Baltimore -113. Yes runs first inning. Dodgers Braves at -105. My base winner parlay is the Rays and Blue Jays money line at +144. I’m also taking the Rays double results at even money. And the Blue Jays double results at -105. Got to try to narrow that gap from BaseWinner.

So now without further ado, drum roll please. Although I do think there should be an asterisk by my time. Because I ran further. Our winner today and congratulations, one of the best viewers of our show. Always supports us every single day. Ed Bluth is the winner of the show. For those of you wanting to verify that, he guessed Corbie in 16.7 seconds. So he was only seven one-hundredths of a second off. That was really, really close. The race itself was decided by three-tenths of a second between Corbie and BaseWinner. So shout out to you, BaseWinner. We’re talking about a man half your age, a young man, half your age-

BaseWinner:

Literally. No, no, he literally is.

Kyle Purviance:

Literally is.

BaseWinner:

And he cheated. So a cheating time because he had to beat me. So good for you, Corbie.

Kyle Purviance:

Yeah. So Ed, do us a favor. DM them on Twitter. You know how to do all that. You’ve talked to him before. I talked to Ed on Twitter as well. He’s a great guy. I’m really happy that he won. Congratulations to you. Thank you to everyone for participating. We want to, Ed Bluth says his wife may give him some tonight. And that’s what we’re all shooting for, right? So there we go. He might get some. Mark Holmes. There is an accusation of insider trading. Someone called Phil Mickelson.

We have Philly Liverpool saying, “Congrats Ed. At least you won something as a Mets fan.” The [inaudible] box is great. We love you guys. And I hope you guys have a great weekend. Seriously, thank you all so, so much for watching. Head over to betustv.com/odds. Get in on the action. From myself, BaseWinner, Spread. Enjoy the rest of your day. Be sure to tune into the boxing and UFC shows. We’re going to have a lot of fun on those shows as well. And of course, good luck on all your future wagers.

 

BetUS Sportsbook & Casino
Average rating:  
 0 reviews

Show More

Related Tags

HLTV BLAST.tv