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Champions League Picks Matchday 2 | Champions League Odds, Soccer Predictions & Free Tips

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

Welcome to the BetUS Soccer Channel, I’m Flash. It’s Champions League show, it’s matchday two and you better get yourself comfortable because we’ve got eight games and every single one of them will polarize opinion, “No way can you go for that, I’ve got to go for this,” and that’s why we love the Champions League so much. We’re America’s favorite sportsbook so I’d like to invite you to subscribe and get us closer to 16,000. We burst past 15,000 over the weekend which was absolutely brilliant and remember, it’s a team game and you are valuable team members.

Also, if you’d like to ring the bell, that means we’ll notify you and you’ll never miss a show again, not your odds, your props, your prop parlays and it’s 30th anniversary here at BetUS, so there’s 30 risk-free bets waiting for you and there’s offers galore of 125% bonus, so betustv.com/odds or betustv.com/join. We’re going to have the chat and we’re going to have a Q&A, but first of all, I’d have to… Mark O’Haire from the Premier League and from somewhat everything. He owns We Love Betting UK. We haven’t said that for a while, have we, award winner? How are you, sir?

Mark O’Haire:

I’m good, Flash. Looking forward to matchday two. Got some real humdingers on the menu for matchday two, so it’s a tricky slate I think, from a betting perspective, but should be plenty of entertainment from a neutrals’ perspective.

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

Okay, and then we have Mina. [Japanese 00:02:31].

Mina Rzouki:

Wow, check you out. It’s very impressive. Hello, everyone-

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

Well, it’s Japanese even though you look Chinese, sorry about that.

Mina Rzouki:

I don’t know what I look, but I am excited to be chatting. I just feel like I’ve watched so much football that I’m sort of numb now, but I hope that that means that I’ve got some great picks for you coming forward. And I hope that it’s not going to be as unpredictable as the Premier League was or maybe I do want it to be as unpredictable.

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

Yeah. I suppose you do if you don’t go with the obvious and the favorites, but we’ve got such great matchups. Listen, as I said to you, we’ve got eight games so make sure you get yourselves in the chat and please, thumbs up to show a little bit of appreciation as we go, but also give your opinions on each game. Let’s not mess about here. And if there is any other games that you want to have a little chat about, then wait till the Q&A and make sure you type it in and we are going to have some fun. Let’s kick off with the first game please.

Inter versus Benfica. Inter probably in the top three sides in the whole of Europe at the moment, taking everything by storm and they’re only at -128 on the moneyline, which I think a lot of people won’t go any further, Mina. Benfica are +350. The draw is at +285. The under/over is set at 2 1/2 at -116 on the over.

Mina Rzouki:

Inter are the Champions League finalist and they are in fine form. I thought that we thought maybe they were experiencing somewhat of a wobble because obviously they lost to Sassuolo. We thought, “Yay, maybe they have some vulnerabilities and it won’t be so easy for them going forward,” but of course Lautaro Martinez comes on, he scores four goals against Salernitana. Otherwise at halftime, it was 0-0 and you thought, “Ooh, this could be exciting.” He scores four goals to show himself to be, right now, the best striker in Serie A, although Victor Osimhen is still there. What can I tell you? Inter are strong, they have a very balanced midfield. One of the question marks that’s being asked about them is without Arnautovic upfront, is it going to be exhausting to always have Lautaro Martinez, Alexis Sanchez and Marcus Thuram and that’s it for the three of them for what could be the next six months because Arnautovic is out for a while.

But they show themselves to always come up with solutions, I think that they have ability from the midfield to score a goal. It’s going to be at San Siro, so usually that’s a very intimidating stadium for visitors. Having said all that, Benfica did come in the last Champions League and actually score three goals at San Siro. So Benfica had a very important match against Porto obviously. They were somewhat lucky in that Porto got a red card, but they have Angel Di Maria to always make situations better. I thought that they weren’t very good in the first half but second half, came and showed us. Having said that, they did lose to Salzburg. Nobody saw that coming. We thought Benfica would be much stronger than this, but I do think there’s a lot more vulnerabilities than meets the eye when it comes to Benfica. So -128 to me looks like a delicious prospect, honestly speaking.

I wonder whether there’s an over 2 1/2 is worth looking at. I think Di Maria is somebody that you should always look out for, so Benfica do obviously have an attacking threat, but they don’t look as strong to me as they did last season, even if of course they won that big match over the weekend. So for me this is a -128, you could just go and don’t complicate it, over 1 1/2 at -125. I think Inter can score two goals at home with all of their support going on, but I don’t see Benfica getting a win out of this.

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

Benfica very, very unlucky in their home first game on matchday one. They missed a penalty. Okay, is it unlucky? Okay, is that bad play? Then they hit the post twice. Then they make a bad back pass, the ball goes and hits the top of the bar, comes down, hits the defender on their hands. The old double jeopardy, penalty and red card. Then from there on in, they were always up against it, Mark O’Haire. I think it’s more to come from Benfica but I’m not sure it happens here against Inter.

Mark O’Haire:

Yeah, I found it’s a difficult game, a repeat of the quarter-final from last year when Inter were 2-0 winners in Portugal and as Mina says, there was a bit of a thrilling scoring draw back in the return game. And the markets moved quite a lot since those matches, as recently as April really. Obviously I think we’d all have Inter as reasonable favorites here, but they were plus money in those fixtures. They’re now at -128 which feels extreme for me. Inter have been excellent for the most part this season, were the favorites to win Serie A this season. I haven’t got much negative to say about them, but my process is more about just potentially, are Benfica being underrated, undervalued here?

And look, I took a similar opinion towards Real Sociedad and I don’t think Benfica are on the same level as Real Sociedad and obviously this game is away. So I’m not saying the market is wrong, I think it’s probably close to being right, but I would personally prefer back Inter at closer to +100 than -128. So Benfica are a talented team, they’re fresh from that big win on Friday night, they’re well aware of the importance of this match because of what happened against Salzburg. Everything that could go wrong did go wrong in that match. And I was really surprised, actually, to do my research on this game, but Benfica come into this game, over a four-year sample in this competition, they’ve lost just once in 14 away Champions League games and that was at Bayern Munich. So they’ve avoided defeat at Inter, at PSG, at Juventus, at Liverpool, at Ajax, at Barcelona and Leipzig during a four-year sample.

That’s really quite impressive and I know the team has evolved and it’s very different to the side that would’ve played four years ago, but I still think they’re a handy bunch and a tricky team to see off comfortably. So whilst I expect Inter to win the game, I’m not going to back the -128. One thing in their favor, Silva, Benfica’s best center half, the young, talented center back is suspended after that red card. So that’s a big negative against Benfica, but I think they can be competitive so I’m not going to have a play in this game. I think there’s better bets elsewhere.

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

Do you not think that Inter at maybe under 3 1/2 might be the way to go if we think Inter are going to win it, but the 128 is a little bit too rich? I’m looking in the chat and everyone seems to think under 2 1/2, you could go into Inter [inaudible 00:09:01] but there again, Benfica may well score because if Benfica don’t score, it’s +165. The way that these two match up, Inter just going strength to strength at the moment, but I think there was something wrong with their attitude and the way that they went about the game in the first leg because they were dominated by a Sociedad side that’s really sort of played when they wanted to and they were the better side and I’m happy to eat humble pie and say that I was wrong.

But I think that if you actually go and look at an Inter side that are at it against most of the sides that are at it, then -128 for Inter is going to be the way to go. Let’s have a little look at the official Soccer picks and we start off with… I’m on my own, home win, -128 or Inter to win and under 3 1/2 because they’re no mugs-

Mina Rzouki:

Also Flash, they’re undefeated-

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

They’re very, very good.

Mina Rzouki:

… they’re undefeated in like five matches against Benfica, So Inter have got a good record against this club.

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

Yeah, I like it. I like the 128, don’t complicate it. Fernando Mendoza says, “Yes, sir.” Don07 says, “Martinez anytime.” I mean on the back of scoring four at the weekend, you’d think so, wouldn’t you? Okay, let’s move on to game number two. I put this game in, Mark O’Haire, because I’ve got it in as a parlay. Lens +435, really good result. I didn’t give them a prayer in Sevilla but obviously Sevilla are not great this season but they’re not that bad neither. But Arsenal on the road -161. Happy to put it in a parlay piece but I think Arsenal win the game. Draw is at +320, the under/over is at 2 1/2 with the under being at +112. Do you think we see three goals and do you want to go against Arsenal?

Mark O’Haire:

Not really, but I’ll talk Lens up a little bit actually because they did surpass all expectations last season. Astonishing achievement for them to finish in the top three, but that obviously led to a lot of interest from elsewhere, they lost their two standout stars on the playing side but they also lost a number of backroom individuals who’ve kind of overseen the success of Lens in terms of recruitment and management of the club. So it’s taken a bit of time for them to adjust to life this season. It’s a shame really we don’t get to see last year’s Lens in the Champions League, but that’s what happens when you’re a smallish club compared to some of the European giants they’re up against. But they have had a tricky start this season domestically. Recently, they were beaten at home by Metz 1-0, but the final score doesn’t give justice to what Lens did there. They absolutely dominated that game and should have done more and got more out of the game.

They absolutely dominated Toulouse then, but actually were rewarded for it and at the weekend, they gave Strasbourg absolutely nothing at home and managed to pinch a victory too. So their new signing, Elye Wahi, well in demand young player upfront got on the scoresheet. He’s a player to watch. From an Arsenal perspective, I believe they actually were watching him as a transfer target last season too, very raw but got huge potential. And as you say, they were actually very good against Sevilla on matchday one, so they’re kind of slowly getting their teeth into the season. They won the shot count in Seville. Had 10 efforts inside the box and created the best opportunities and I do really admire their head coach, Franck Haise. I think he’s definitely going to be coaching at a bigger club in the next 12 months.

And it’s worth mentioning too, Lens, they’re a very big club for a small town in France. Their stadium is always sold out, it creates a huge amount of noise. Now, I’m not going to say they’re going to get anything out of this game. It would be a surprise if they avoided defeat, but I’m just trying to balance it out because a lot of people will sort of think “Lens, who are they? They’re just going to get rollover.” They’re not. They’re going to give a bit of a test, I think, for Arsenal and if Arteta picks a first 11, which you expect he will, they should win this game as the -161 suggests. But Martinelli is out, I think Saka is a major doubt after his injury at the weekend. And it’s worth noting they play Man City at home at the weekend and they have to have an eye on that you assume.

So I wouldn’t be going anywhere near handicaps for Arsenal to see this game off by two, three goals or whatnot, so if you’re going to back them, just back them as you are, Flash, maybe in a parlay. But I’m happy to sit this one out just because I feel like Lens are growing into the season and if Arsenal do take their eyes off the prize and start focusing at the weekend a little bit too early, there could be a nasty surprise in for them.

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

Thing is there’s also a countdown for the professional mentality because there’s an international break next week, which means Arsenal have just got a concentrate on this midweek and then the game at the weekend and then they can have their so-called breather at domestic level. I think it was -151 Arsenal opened up at, it’s now -161. Surely, it’s Arsenal to pick up all three points, Mina, or nothing at all?

Mina Rzouki:

Yeah. You think Arsenal will pick up point… sorry, you think [inaudible 00:13:50].

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

I think they’ll win. I don’t think there’s anything other than an Arsenal win here.

Mina Rzouki:

Honestly, I don’t know. I mean I agree with you, it’s just that they’ve got a lot going on and Saka being doubtful is something that worries me, only because I think that there is always the option of people underestimating Lens and they are a side that are very physical in the way that they play their game. They managed 26 tackles in their opening game against Sevilla, they do really like to show you whose boss or try to at least, in any way, intimidate you. And Franck Haise has talked them up in the pre-match saying that he’s trying to organize a game in which he could surprise Arsenal because I think that what they assume is that Arsenal will underestimate them and they want to put on a show in front of their own fans.

Obviously, the gulf in technical talent is obvious to everyone when you see how big, obviously, Arsenal are in comparison to where Lens are. But they are going to be a team that really want to make an impression in this game. They haven’t played in the Champions League for so many years and it’s important for them to try to give it their all, whether that means that it ends up being just a fiery game and there’s going to be cards in that, that’s also a potential. But I don’t think anyone imagined the kind of performance that they managed against Sevilla and in fact, if anything, I thought they were the better side. So I think that they can get a goal, but I agree with you, you can’t imagine a world in which Arsenal would lose this. But then it is that Man City is on their mind and weirder things have happened. So I wanted to actually leave this alone because I’m not entirely sure what I can see this. Under 2 1/2 goals? Do you think that this could just be a 1-0 at most for Arsenal?

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

I don’t know if they keep a clean sheet to be honest. I can’t remember the last time Arsenal did keep a clean sheet, other than obviously at the weekend when they were playing Bournemouth. Now, Lens at home and playing Bournemouth, it’s like chalk and cheese. I just see Arsenal being too strong. Individual matchups I think favor Arsenal, I think the style of play. Lens will be going forward because obviously they’ll be on the back of the crowd’s energy that Arsenal will get their chances.

And also, if they’ve got any ambition of winning this group, you can’t go to Lens who are arguably the weakest side in this group other than… well, again we’re going to talk about PSV as well, but they got off to such a good start. It’s no good having that good start and then go to Lens and then getting beat. Let’s have a little look at the official picks because I know I’m on my own because I actually made sure that I just put this in as a parlay and I’ll give you the second leg as we get further down the road. So Arsenal with a P means Arsenal parlay. Mina has obviously done one, so… Oh, hello? Sorry-

Mina Rzouki:

Hello.

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

… did you have to answer the door or something?

Mina Rzouki:

No, I came on because I thought I needed headphones so that I could hear you better and you could hear me better.

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

Oh, okay. Yes, great, because I haven’t heard a word you’ve said since we started the show but I guess you was talking about obviously the games I asked you and I trust that you would’ve said the right things. Okay, let’s move on to game number three please. Wow, you pay your money, you take your chance. This is probably the biggest game for me. Napoli host Real Madrid. Napoli +160, Real Madrid +157. But I suppose a lot of people are going to go with the draw no bet market because the home side are -110, Real Madrid are -105. The draw is at +262 which obviously if you’re looking at draw no bet, is definitely a runner. Over 2 1/2 is at -145. Mina, is this another one of those where listen, we know what Napoli did when they hosted Liverpool, I think they can go and beat Real Madrid here as well and at +160, I think they’re being a little bit disrespected.

Mina Rzouki:

You could say that. Napoli are a different team this season than the one they were under Luciano Spalletti. At that time, their speed of thought, the speed of movement, the tempo that they played at, the fluidity between the team was really evident and we thought Napoli was potentially one of the best sides in Europe, especially in the first half of the season, I mean to the extent that Pep Guardiola spoke about it and upset Spalletti because he thought that that would mean that his team would be evil eyed. Now, under Rudi Garcia, we’ve seen them stutter a little bit. We’ve seen some nervousness and more importantly, there have been some things happening off the pitch that haven’t been too great and that includes the two TikToks uploaded by Napoli’s social media group. Obviously, Osimhen coming out and being very upset at these particular TikToks which created a very unhappy atmosphere. His celebrations after his goals against Udinese and Lecce were somewhat muted in response to that.

So we know that he’s not a happy camper right now and by all means, we stand with Osimhen because it’s disgraceful the way that Napoli have handled the situation in general. Now, the president traveled with the team to Lecce to ensure that Osimhen felt loved and that he could try to mend the relationship. Social media team personally apologized, one of them even left his job. So they are trying to mend things at the moment, but incidentally, what’s interesting about this is actually in the last two games, Napoli have somewhat picked up and started to resemble the team that they were last season. They’re still not as brilliant as they were, but we’ve seen better performances from Kvaratskhelia who’s actually back to scoring because he hadn’t scored since April and Osimhen and him combining yet again. Osimhen scored twice, once against Lecce, once against Udinese, but there is a problem with penalties between them.

So is Napoli the team of last season? No. Is Real Madrid the team of last season? I mean without Benzema, Bellingham is top scorer right now in LaLiga, which is astonishing to see that at the moment. Everyone thought that they’re going to have a banana slip against Girona because of how well they’ve been doing, but they’ve showed once again that they are Real Madrid and know how to navigate themselves through any tricky situation. Nonetheless, I don’t trust them as much as I used to, just because obviously there is something missing up-front. So Napoli being disrespected, it is a very difficult stadium to play at. So at +160, yes, I think there’s a lot of value on going for them. Personally, I’m not somebody who wants to go for the risk just because I don’t ever like to bet against Real Madrid no matter what problem they’re suffering in life, so I’d probably go for the pick’em at -110.

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

I don’t blame you, I think that’d be a very popular thing because you’ve got obviously the home side and a little bit of insurance policy for a very good side at home. And Real Madrid have struggled to score goals or convert the amount of chances that they’re creating. Mark O’Haire, Real Madrid, what about Napoli to score twice at +120 or the over 2 1/2 is massively juiced at -145?

Mark O’Haire:

Yeah, I like goals in this game. I can pick holes and flaws in both of them. Mina is right, Napoli aren’t the same side as 12 months ago. There’s a similar-ish look about the team but the vibes aren’t the same at all and obviously, what’s happened in the last fortnight has to be considered a bit of a negative really. On the weekend, you had Ostigard and Natan starting just a second time together at center back, there’s been injuries elsewhere and I think that’s a potential area of weakness for Napoli coming into this. But despite all the sort of negativity I might have, this is a Champions League night in Naples, at home against the biggest club in the world really, so the atmosphere should and will be electric regardless.

I don’t have a opinion really on the moneyline. I think it’s fair enough, I think Real Madrid do deserve to be very slight favorites, but they haven’t brought the house down this season either. They’re still almost trying to find themselves after losing Benzema and the likes of Modric getting phased out and Bellingham has come in and been wonderful, but Vinicius has been injured for quite a bit, came back at the weekend, Rodrygo has been in good form but not goalscoring form, so there’s a question marks over around Madrid as well. But defensively too, Alaba is out, Nacho should be starting at center back again, Fran Garcia at left back, no Courtois either and Courtois has been one of the best goalkeepers in the world for the last three, four years at Real Madrid.

So defensively, I think there’s weaknesses in both teams at the minute and I think there’s quality at the top end of both teams. So for me, you kind of marry the two together and you assume there should be goals in this game. So I’m going to take over 2 1/2 goals and both teams to score. Napoli’s defensive numbers have been quite good in Serie A, but the schedule has been reasonable and Real Madrid are actually allowing over one expected goal in LaLiga and their schedule has been quite kind actually. So I fully expect both teams to score and I just need another goal to get over the line for the overs as well. So I don’t need to pick a team, I’m just happy to happily cheer on goals and watch a good game-

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

Yeah, I don’t blame you. What does that come out at, the both teams to score and over, because obviously over 2 1/2 is -145, so we’re looking at -120, -125?

Mark O’Haire:

It was -105 when I did this on Sunday, so unless the market has moved dramatically, then that’s the price [inaudible 00:22:43].

Mina Rzouki:

But that would be great. I would go for that too. That’s a great shout because both defenses look suspect to say the least.

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

Yeah, and you’ve got Napoli to score twice at +120, you’ve got Real Madrid to score twice at +115. So let’s have a little look at the official picks and then we’ll find out exactly. Napoli, draw no bet at -110. Osimhen anytime scorer at +120. Did you just leave this game alone on purpose, Mark O’Haire, but you fancy both teams to score and over?

Mark O’Haire:

Yeah, I did fancy it but I obviously didn’t put it in the sheet.

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

Exactly. And what am I, some kind of mind reader that I’ve got to sit there and go… that my graphics and my producer say “Okay, have you’ve got Mark O’Haire’s picks?” And I’m like, “Hang on, they’re coming through, they’re coming through. Yes, he likes… who knows?

Mark O’Haire:

Apologies.

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

No problem at all, but in future, if you could just give me a little inkling, that’ll be great. I mean this job is tough enough working with Mina, you know what I mean?

Mina Rzouki:

Oh my God [inaudible 00:23:40].

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

Yeah, exactly. You got a little deflection, Mina, you know that. But Osimhen to score anytime looks good at +120 and Napoli draw no bet for me at -110, although I do like Napoli to score twice at +120 as well. Let’s move on to game number four. Atletico at -154, I’m missing something here. Feyenoord at +425. Mark O’Haire, the draw is at +305. A lot of people I speak to say, “Can’t trust Atletico, can’t trust Atletico.” On a Champions League night at home after what happened in Rome when they let in a 95th minute equalizer to the Lazio goalkeeper, I have no doubts Atletico pick up all three points here and I’m not sure Feyenoord score at +140.

Mark O’Haire:

Do you want to know an interesting stat about Atletico at home in the Champions League? They’ve actually failed to win 9 of the last 10 at home in the Champions League-

Mina Rzouki:

Wow.

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

[inaudible 00:24:34] they’re just a let-down. That’s why people have been telling me-

Mark O’Haire:

It’s astonishing.

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

… “Don’t go near them”, they say, “Don’t go near them.”

Mark O’Haire:

They failed to score in 6 of those 10 games. It’s surprising last year, they fluffed their lines against Brugge and Leverkusen. Porto deserved to get something out of the game at Atleti despite losing that game, but I mean that’s in the past now. I said in the Futures Show that Atletico aren’t the same Atletico of old. Simeone has tried to, obviously in the past, strangle the life out of matches, play the percentages, intimidate through ferocity, physicality, but they have evolved and we saw that in the second half of last season. Basically, when they came back from the World Cup, they’ve started to play with a bit more fluency going forward and why shouldn’t they? Because they got such a stack of forward-thinking, quality players there.

And he has released the shackles a little bit, the handbrake has pulled up slightly and we’re starting to see some really enjoyable Atletico games. Sunday night being a great example to battle back from 2-0 down to Cadiz to score three goals in a LaLiga game for the fourth time already this season. They have conceded in all three of their games at the Wanda already which is almost unheard of, so quite an entertaining team to follow these days. So looking at this game, I would’ve been interested in potentially a [inaudible 00:25:48] angle at a big price had Santiago Gimenez been available but their star striker I believe is suspended, so that’s a major blow for Feyenoord. And you’re right, obviously Atletico need to bounce back after dropping those points in stoppage time on matchday one, but you expect them to get the job done.

Feyenoord are a reasonable team, a decent team, they are the best team in the Eredivisie right now. They had the better of Celtic on matchday one, but the tide was tipped in their favor quite significantly by first a red card and then a second red card. They ended up winning quite comfortably in that game and that they slammed Ajax De Klassieker as well, but I mean Ajax are in complete crisis so you can’t read too much into that. So I just feel the experience, the knowhow, the quality Atletico have, plus the suspension of Gimenez may play into this. So if you’re going to have a play, I was thinking of Atletico to win and over 1 1/2 goals boosts that moneyline price from -154 to -120. I think that’s fair enough the way Atleti are playing. They should score twice in this game and they should be too good for Feyenoord.

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

Yeah, no, I totally agree. I think that Atletico are -154 which I think may give you a little bit of value if that was the second leg of the parlay, but is that Atletico? As soon as you think you’ve got a handle on them, they let you down. Feyenoord, they played against Celtic. Celtic are like a championship team. So again, I don’t give any credit there at all and I expect Atletico and Lazio to dominate. I just can’t go with Atletico to be -1 at +107, so I simplified it and this is the second leg of my parlay, Mina, with Atletico at -154.

Mina Rzouki:

Really, I’m amazed by this. I know that they have their moments and they’re certainly being very exciting. The Cadiz game was something that was just… I would never have expected that. But people are talking about their game against Lazio, they were missing nine players, so I think that that’s somewhat normal. And Provedel has done this before, he scores in games… okay, he scored in one game before that, but he’s somebody who trained in the beginning as a striker, so it was an incredible game, I’m not going to lie. But for me, I take issue with Feyenoord being dubbed as the best team in the Eredivisie, Mark, because I think PSV Eindhoven are somewhat better in the league, but-

Mark O’Haire:

Okay. Go ahead

Mina Rzouki:

… they did have a slow start, honestly, to the season, so I understand that and then they’ve managed now six wins in a row. Meanwhile, Atleti have been somewhat magnificent in their own home recently. I agree that they don’t have that solid backline that we usually associate them with, but they’re now unbeaten in 16 home matches. It’s interesting because always at the start of the season, what we see with Cholo Simeone is that he tries to play enterprising football. Somewhere along the line when it goes bad, then he reverts to type and so he’s still in that moment where he’s experimenting and I think that he is trying to make sure that this team plays somewhat more on the front foot.

And they do have their midfielders back so I think that they are… I mean for me, I feel like this is going to be a win for them and I trust them to score over one goal in this. But I understand in which, again, Feyenoord could come and get one goal. But I agree with you entirely, without Santiago Gimenez, I’m not entirely sure where Feyenoord can come up with the goods. So can they keep a clean sheet, Atletico? Probably not, but definitely to score two goals for me.

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

Definitely to score at -135 for me. Don’t complicate it, I think it comes out at +170, Arsenal and Atletico just to win the games by hook or by crook, I expect them both to win at +170, that will do me. So the official pick is just basically Atletico, moneyline with a P. Okay, let’s move on to probably the second… oh, I say second best, I mean every single game is an absolute cracker. Dortmund host Milan. Both teams turn up and think, “Yeah, okay. Bring it on,” because Dortmund are at +140, Milan at +195 and Milan need to do themselves a favor because they should have won by five in the first game and they came away with a 0-0 draw.

Draw is at +255. Mina, I’m coming to you, again with the Italian sides, basically, we had Lazio, 95th minute equalizer, Inter didn’t turn up and really got away with murder with a 1-1 draw, Milan missed 27 chances or had 27 chances on goal and still didn’t pick up three points. Only Napoli of the Italians, they go here with a chance. The under/over is at 2 1/2 and I think that -119 could well be the best bet on the cards and I will be adding that, Mina.

Mina Rzouki:

Over 2 1/2? Yeah, well, I don’t blame you to be honest with you because you’re not going to trust either defense, right? Dortmund are at home, so you would imagine that they’d managed to get a goal. They’ve obviously been picking up their results recently and that team though, it doesn’t look solid to me, frankly speaking, and I think Milan are a lot better than what they’ve been given credit for. They have been harshly criticized by Italian media, largely because obviously for the Milan derby loss in which they were spanked 5-1 by Inter. But I just think that these things can happen in a derby, especially when you have 10 new players within your team. It’s hard to embed that and create a pattern of play so quickly and it’s going to take purely time to really get the best out of this Milan.

But I feel like it’s already translating well for him, because even without Giroud, you’ve got Okafor now coming in and scoring goals. You obviously still can depend on the great Rafael Leao to get you goals. And I think overall, there’s Pulisic and Reijnders in midfield who’s been a wonderful watch. Without Loftus-Cheek though, he is very important to the side. So I think that that’s going to be more difficult for them to cope without him. But in all honesty, right now when you look at Milan, I think to me that they just look like a better team. Between these two sides though, incidentally, Borussia Dortmund has just edged it and won one more game in the last six between the two, but for me this is… I don’t know. You could say it’s over 2 1/2 with Milan to win potentially or both teams to score if you don’t really want to choose a winner.

I know Dortmund are at home and it’s the Yellow Wall and they’re all very famous, we can talk about this endlessly, but I still think that for me, Milan is just right now purely the better side and they have more options off the bench to change the game. So you want to go for over 2 1/2 goals and both teams to score which looks like the most reasonable bet or for me, maybe +195 because it’s just such great value right now for Milan to win.

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

Yeah, or you can get maybe +100, +110 for Milan draw no bet. But Mark O’Haire, I can’t get away from Dortmund not being very good this season and yet, they’re winning games, they’re creating chances and the thing that Milan will give you is possession in dangerous areas. I think that both teams could score two here. I want to be with Milan, but I cannot get away from Dortmund. At home, they are a dangerous outfit.

Mark O’Haire:

Are they? Failed to beat Heidenheim at home. They needed a stoppage time goal to beat Koln who are bottom of the table in the Bundesliga at the minute, as well-

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

That was the first game in the season, wasn’t it?

Mark O’Haire:

Yeah. What’s the excuse against Heidenheim then, to-

Mina Rzouki:

Yeah, exactly.

Mark O’Haire:

… just cough up a 2-0 lead [inaudible 00:33:19].

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

Yeah, they’ve been sloppy.

Mark O’Haire:

They have been sloppy, but even at the weekend or on Friday night against Hoffenheim, they played well for the first half hour, then again gave away a brain-dead goal, which we see almost every week with Dortmund and then the game is in the balance until second half time. And they scored three goals from six shots, which is so unlike Dortmund in that sort of sense. But they’re a weaker aside from 12 months ago and my issue with them at the minute is the scars of last season, they clearly haven’t healed. The loss of Jude Bellingham is enormous. There’s understandable scrutiny on Edin Terzic, whether he’s the right character, the right coach to lead the club forward. I don’t believe he is. Just a number of reservations about them. Defensively, there’s always a car crash involved with them at some point or other.

So I’m quite happy to take them on in this game and oppose them. I think Milan were brilliant in matchday one. Clearly this [inaudible 00:34:10] having to go to Dortmund rather than playing at San Siro, but I think they’ve got, as you guys have said, great options from the bench now. I think the squad is starting to look quite nice and it’s an unforgiving pool. And the fact that they haven’t beaten Newcastle puts a bit more pressure on them here. But I just trust their craft, their intelligence, their Champions League experience and knowhow of last season to kind of kick in. I was really impressed with their display at the weekend against Lazio. Admittedly, Lazio aren’t in great shape at the minute, but just to allow only three shots at the box was testament to the work that they’ve been doing.

And Mina is right, there’s been a lot of criticism about their performances this season, but it’s only one performance. It’s only that one hiccup against Inzaghi and Inter. Apart from that, they’ve been very good and I could pick holes in almost all Dortmund’s performances so far this season. So quite happy to back Milan at +1/4 quarter on the handicap which means we make money as long as Milan don’t lose in this match and that’s around -120, so I’m quite happy with that.

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

I think it’s going to be a great watch-

Mina Rzouki:

Yeah, they’re level on points with Inter and they’re still getting… anyway, they’re still getting criticized but yes, I agree with you.

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

Yeah, listen, just don’t rule out Dortmund because they are… obviously they’ve not been very good, but they keep winning games and they keep finding ways to win games and Juve were like that for long periods, but I do-

Mina Rzouki:

Oh my god, you can’t compare your Juventus to Borussia Dortmund.

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

Listen, I’ll get me rod out and I’ll just put it there and then I’ll have you in the net. No, what I’m saying is I’ve coupled basically both teams that [inaudible 00:35:44].

Mark O’Haire:

Dortmund aren’t in the top three best teams in the Bundesliga at the minute.

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

… I don’t see either side keeping a clean sheet.

Mina Rzouki:

It’s not about the size, but it’s about the fact that Juventus had BBC. That’s why they were a team that couldn’t do that, which is the backline of Chiellini, Barzagli and Bonucci and Dortmund just don’t have that. If you don’t don’t know how to defend and your attack is not that great, then you can’t be Juventus, that’s all.

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

Okay. Sorry, Mina, I did mention earlier that I can’t hear a word you’re actually saying, but I know if I mentioned Juventus I could just see in my eyes of you just going like that and just jumping on the end of my hook. Let’s have a look at the official picks and then obviously we can see where people are thinking. Milan, draw no bet +105, Milan +0.25 at -123. I’ve gone with both teams to score and over 2 1/2 at -105 because I don’t see any clean sheets and that means I’ve coupled the moneyline on the pair of them because I think that one of them will score twice if they don’t both score twice. Yes, I wanted to be with Milan but I just see that Dortmund are finding a way.

Let’s move on to a game where I’m happy to dive in. Porto +295, Barcelona -115. Porto double chance is a +106, the draw is a +290. Mina, you can go first here because I’ve got Porto at +295 against a… I don’t see anything really between these two other than Barcelona are deserving favorites, but not by nearly 2 1/2 dollars?

Mina Rzouki:

Yeah, perhaps they’re overpriced. I mean you’re probably looking at this and thinking it’s the Barcelona of old who’ve always managed such ridiculously brilliant performances, even if they have suffered quite a big defeat. Obviously we’ve already spoken about this but FC Porto lost their match against Benfica over the weekend, but they did go down to a red card. And actually, I thought they did pretty good in the first half. Honestly speaking, it’s that Benfica came back in the second half and really turned the screws and try to make sure that their one man counted more. Now, Porto are going to come into this game without Pepe and I think that is a loss for them at the back, just for the way that they play their game. They’ve actually got five players out for this so it’s going to be tough. Meanwhile, you look over in Barcelona, they have a largely healthy squad, obviously without Raphinha and Frenkie de Jong and potentially even Pedri.

But this is going to be a matchup that I… I don’t know. I understand when you’re looking at this and you think Taremi is always going to be able to maybe do something special within this match and I’m not sure that Lewandowski is the player that he used to be, certainly he is getting older. But I love the way that Barcelona is moving at the moment. The backline, there are a few vulnerabilities there, but when you look at Lamine Yamal and the way that he is growing and developing within the side, they’ve got a lot of mixture of talent on this and options off the bench to really change the kind of game. But Porto are solid and pragmatic in nature and that usually is always the perfect plan to really try to hurt Barcelona in any way, shape possible. Especially Conceicao’s type of football which can be quite rough and tumble and you just wonder whether or not that that’s going to have an effect on them.

So I understand the desire to go for Porto. Personally, I think this could actually end up being a draw because Porto are a side that always seemed to be underestimated and always give you a game. So for me, I don’t know which way to go with this so I’d rather just leave it well alone. But I do think -115, I don’t see the value in there when you’re thinking of the home sign having +295. But like I said, five absences is a big deal for Porto, especially coming off a loss over the weekend as well.

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

I know you stopped talking because obviously your lips are not moving, so that’s brilliant. Thanks, Mina. Barcelona, Mark O’Haire, I think that Porto scare the life out of these to be honest. And before I get your thoughts, Porto over 2 1/2 goals in the game, Napoli over 2 1/2 goals in the game and Dortmund over 2 1/2 goals in the game. I think there might be a little goals parlay because I think we get goals in this game as well.

Mark O’Haire:

Yeah, I’m expecting goals in this game for sure, but I think I’m happier opposing Barcelona because they started since the international break with those 5-0 wind against Antwerp and Betis… You guys okay? But-

Mina Rzouki:

I don’t know what’s going on.

Mark O’Haire:

I don’t know. I’ll just carry on. Barca haven’t been, for me, great for a while now, since they beat Antwerp and Betis comfortably. You look at the game against Celta, they won 3-2. They were 2-0 down, Celta take off Iago Aspas and they collapse. And since then, they went to Mallorca, they were held 2-2. Mallorca probably had the better opportunities outside of the goals. They won the shots on target count, won the corner count, which is kind of embarrassing really considering the firepower that Barca have. And then on Friday night, they were the better team but only slightly against Sevilla at home and sort of scraped that 1-0 win.

De Jong I think and Pedri are big misses in that midfield because they haven’t been able to control games in the way they are accustomed to, obviously without Busquets as well and Romeu hasn’t really stepped into that role at all yet. And you think last season how good ter Stegen was between the sticks, it’s only right that he can’t perform at those incredibly high standards week in, week out, so there’s going to be a bit of regression with Barcelona. Whereas Mina is talking about Friday night against both Porto and Benfica in the Classico and Porto were absolutely seething with that red card. They felt it was a huge injustice. It was incredibly harsh. Conceicao looked like a caged lion and he looked like he was ready to explode on the sidelines.

And I think Porto will be so pumped to right those wrongs of that match. They beat Leverkusen and Atletico at this stage last season, they held Inter as well and Barca’s away record in the Champions League is sketchy. They very rarely beat teams outside of pot three and pot four. So I do agree, I think there will be goals in this game. Barca’s last three away in the league have produced 14 goals, those games against Mallorca, Villarreal, Osasuna. I think Porto score, but I think Barcelona’s firepower is obviously renowned as well. So should be a decent watch, but I’ll take Porto with the half goal start and if you do want a second bet, I think BTTS and overs is fair enough too at +100.

Mina Rzouki:

Is it the backline that’s scaring you for Barcelona because they don’t look like there’s a solid… I mean they’ve conceded one goal a game. But they’ve also won all their games against Porto historically speaking… well, not all, but certainly in the last ones, they’ve always had the better of them. I’m trying-

Mark O’Haire:

Yeah. It’s not necessarily the defense, it’s more the midfield. I just feel like the balance is off and those matches, those recent games, they just haven’t controlled games at all and they’ve looked so open when possession has been turned over that I think Porto are the kind of team who will happily sit in a low block and as soon as possession breaks down, break at pace and intimidate. And clearly Barca going forward have got some of the best attacking players in well football at the minute and that’s quite a fearsome prospect, but the Dragao on a Champions League night, why not back the underdog here? I think Barca at minus money is a bit disrespectful to Porto.

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

Yeah, I think Porto are going to be absolutely on the front foot from the word go and I’ll tell you what, I quite like that and people in the chat was… Porto over 2 1/2 goals in the game, Napoli over 2 1/2 goals in the game, Dortmund over 2 1/2 goals in the game, but I also love Porto double chance as well. And I think if they get beat, then you’re going to get you both teams to score and over as well, so there’s many ways to skin this cat. Let’s have a little look at the official picks. And I love the fact that Foxy says, “I thought Flash was joking about not being able to hear.” I’ve heard about 5% of this, so please give credit to your presenter because I have been absolutely on a wing.

Mina Rzouki:

Really?

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

And you see these? I’m listening to music now. Okay, Porto double chance -106. I just love the fact that Mark O’Haire and Mina, when they speak, they open their mouth. It’s like and I’m learning skills, I’ve got new skills. Hey, keep them [inaudible 00:44:17] to yourself, Mina. I know what you’re like, I know obscenities. Okay, let’s move on please to the seventh game. North East, welcome to the Champions League. Newcastle +155. PSG, you never thought you’d see, +165 away at Newcastle, a newcomer, it’s just absolutely massive. Draw +275, under/over is at 3 goals and the over being at +107. Mark O’Haire please?

Mark O’Haire:

Sure. Obviously big occasion if in Newcastle. Doesn’t get bigger than inviting PSG to St. James’ Park after a 20-year absence. Eddie Howe is rallying the support at the weekends, making it clear how important this game is and how important the fans’ role is. So expect it to be lively at St. James’, but I’m sure PSG are well accustomed to dealing with hostile star atmospheres, especially when they go down to Marseille in Ligue 1, so I don’t expect them to be intimidated by what’s on show. And Newcastle need to be a lot better than what they showed in Milan where they were dreadful, Nick Pope basically saving the day there. I expect an improvement, but I think injuries could derail them a little bit because if you look at their first choice 11, they’re probably missing three key players down the spine, especially Botman at center back, Joelinton in midfield and I actually think Wilson would’ve been so suited to this fixture, his ability to run in behind but also his physicality. He’s not a player you would relish to play against as a center half.

And I think Isak offers a huge amount. His skillset is brilliant and he’s very different thought to Wilson’s kind of bumper car style approach. And also the midfield, without Joelinton, we probably will get Tonali and Guimaraes in the midfield three again and at the minute, the both of them are trying to play each other’s roles. The balance hasn’t been quite right now. So interest to see how Eddie Howe sets his team up for this match. It’s going to be difficult. I think PSG were very good against Dortmund on matchday one. Luis Enrique was full of praise for them. They’ve not always been consistent on the travels in the Champions League, but if you look at the teams they’ve lost against away from home in this competition over the last 10 years, Chelsea, Barcelona, Liverpool, Real Madrid, Man City, Bayern Munich, Dortmund and Leipzig. They very rarely lose to teams they’re expected to… or not expected to lose to.

And sure, Dortmund and Leipzig could be packaged in alongside Newcastle here, but I think PSG are being underrated. I’ve said it from the outset in this competition, I’ve said it in the pool, I think +165 is slightly unfair on what we’re going to see from PSG. If you look at the individual matchups, the likes of Mbappe, Muani and Dembele, they had an off day of the weekend against Clermont, it happens. Very rare it happens twice in a row. You’ve got Ramos coming off the bench. The right-hand side, you’ve got Dembele and Hakimi against Dan Burn. On the left-hand side, Mbappe playing against Kieran Tierney who… Kieran Tierney, Kieran Trippier-

Mina Rzouki:

Trippier.

Mark O’Haire:

And just the defensive structure of PSG, I think it’s going to get better and better. Donnarumma in goal, Marquinhos, Skriniar, Lucas Hernandez, you’ve got Ugarte back again, so I think they’re more than capable of going to Newcastle and getting something, so I’ll be backing them with 1/4 goal start on the Asian handicap.

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

I thought red card might been a way to go here as well. I mean I thought this might get a little bit too feisty. PSG, I just cannot believe they’re +165 on the road, draw no bet is +100, but also, what about both teams to score and over? Because I think Newcastle, they cause Milan problems without actually having any goalscoring opportunities. But PSG, they’re predictable, so I think you play a deep line, frustrate and try and hit them on the break and Newcastle have good energy. It’s a really, really good game to watch this one.

Mina Rzouki:

Yeah, it is going to be a really good game to watch, but to be honest with you, I’ve got to agree with everything that Mark said and the fact is is that PSG are just… I don’t understand how they are at +165, especially when you consider the experience and how long they’ve been in there. And the fact that even if you want to take tactics out of it and they can’t play as a collective or whatever problems that they might experience, they have players who can make the difference and individuals that can put on a performance or score a worldy of a goal. I mean that we’re talking about Ousmane Dembele, we’re talking about Kolo Muani and of course, we’re talking about Mbappe who I understand, and I don’t know whether this is a reaction but surely not to the 0-0 draw against Clermont Foot, though a lot was made about this and obviously in the French press.

And Luis Enrique, at this moment in time, we’re talking about, it’s him versus Eddie Howe. Eddie Howe’s Newcastle has been doing tremendously I guess… not tremendously, maybe this is an exaggeration, but certainly where they are now after the takeover, it’s been wonderful to watch. But at the end of the day when you saw them against Milan, who I don’t think have the individual talent that PSG did, they really struggled out there and that’s just coming up against an attacking team. Luis Enrique is very good at adapting his side and also adapting when it comes to substitutions to try to win games, that he is somebody who has so much experience when it comes to European football that more than anything I believe in him than I believe in the team, even if it’s not been all roses when it comes to the French league.

Even Carlo Ancelotti didn’t win the title in his first season or half season, if you like, at PSG, so sometimes these things happen and I agree with you. Honestly, I just think let’s not even consider it, +165, it’s a golden number, let’s go for it. I can’t believe that I’m not too sure that I’ve gone for it, but either way, write that down because I’m in for this.

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

I just think it’d be like a Guns N’ Roses concert. I just feel as if the noise, the atmosphere, it’s going to be off the charts and I cannot rule Newcastle out just because of the way that PSG could be bullied in this game, but-

Mark O’Haire:

Do you not think PSG have experienced that kind of atmosphere before at the Stade Velodrome-

Mina Rzouki:

Exactly.

Mark O’Haire:

It’s probably been worse.

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

There’s no way that I’m going to actually get involved in this game because I think they’re all three possibilities and more than them three. I think the Newcastle could win, I think could draw, I think PSG could win, I think both teams could score and over, I could see them canceling each other out, I could see plenty, plenty going on in this game.

Mark O’Haire:

The only thing I didn’t mention as well, which is probably quite crucial, but this season, people are easy to pick holes in PSG and what they have or haven’t done domestically. Well, let’s have a look at Newcastle. They’ve only beaten the top four team once under Eddie Howe since he arrived. This season, they’ve already lost to Man City, they’ve lost to Liverpool, they’ve lost to Brighton, so really, are PSG… do they deserve to be outsiders at St. James’ Park? They’re better than Brighton, so anyway, we’ll see.

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

No, I know, I totally agree with that. I totally agree with everything you say, that the month… there’s a reason why, you know when things look too good to be true and you know they normally are, you’ve been in this game long enough, Mark O’Haire, to know that the books don’t give us gifts and PSG at +165 away to a Champions League newcomer looks like a gift. But it looks too big a gift and that’s why I ran a mile is only… if I went with anything hear, it’d probably both teams to score and over and just let them go and do what they do or Mbappe anytime because obviously a penalty could well be on the cards here. Let’s have a little look at official picks because it’s another one. Unbelievable, eight games that we’ve picked here all look like must not miss type of games. PSG +0.25 at -125. You didn’t fancy the draw no bet, Mark O’Haire?

Mark O’Haire:

No need because the price is good enough. I’ll make half stakes profit if the game ends in a draw, so I’ve got two results on my side.

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

Okay. Both teams to score and over 2 1/2 at -125. What’s that mean? Is that like flight details or so? How am I meant to see that? I can’t see you because you move and become so blurry. Now you put a phone up, what was that? Was that a private message?

Mina Rzouki:

Mark, tell him PSG win for sure.

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

At +165 [inaudible 00:52:30].

Mark O’Haire:

I hope so.

Mina Rzouki:

He can’t hear me.

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

No, I can. I’m back, I’m back, I’m back.

Mina Rzouki:

Oh, you’re back.

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

Honestly. Yeah, I’ve been back for ages. I’ve been back for ages. Me producer performed miracles with these. I’ve got a bit of Simply Red going on. By the way, what’s your favorite? Are you a concert man? Do you like your music, Mark O’Haire?

Mark O’Haire:

Yeah.

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

Who’d be your type of music?

Mina Rzouki:

Who’d you like?

Mark O’Haire:

Oh, geez. I’m going to give a really dreadful answer, but I don’t have any particular bands I associate with. I flirt between everything from dance music to hip hop, to pop, to anything really, rock music, so-

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

Bit of Run-DMC?

Mark O’Haire:

Yeah, they’re on my Spotify playlist.

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

Yeah, I like that. Mina?

Mark O’Haire:

So is Taylor Swift, so is… there’s a lot of different-

Mina Rzouki:

NSYNC. I’m waiting for the reunion.

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

NSYNC, I’m-

Mark O’Haire:

Love a bit of boy band action.

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

Hey, yay, yay, yay, yay, yay, look at you. You’re old enough to be their mother. Okay, let’s have a little look at the last game. Okay-

Mina Rzouki:

Oh my god. What did you just say, Flash? Did you see I was old enough to be their mother?

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

No, you look like my brother. Oh no, that gets even worse. You’ve broken up again-

Mina Rzouki:

I don’t know what’s better at this point.

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

No. Honestly, foot, mouth, I just cannot get out of this. Okay, Leipzig at +345, Man City -137, beware. Draw +315. Mark O’Haire, I want to come to you first again here because Man City had problems with this fixture last year, off the back of a frustrating performance at the weekend and dropping points. I thought this was a game where Man City at -170 to score twice indicates that this is going to be a tough, tough game for both.

Mark O’Haire:

I’m glad you mentioned last season because the narrative we’ll hear going into this game is how Man City demolished Leipzig at the Etihad had in the second leg. But everyone seems to have forgotten that in the first leg in Germany, Leipzig had their number. The game ended in a draw and Leipzig, probably the better team of the two. And they’ve actually beaten Man City in the previous game they hosted in this competition. Yes, it was a bit of a dead rubber, in the group stage, but they have got previous and they’ll feel that Revenges on the menu really after the mauling they took out Etihad. So I think there is reason to oppose Man City in this match. They’ve conceded first in four of their last five games and at the weekend, we saw Leipzig racing to that 2-0 lead against Bayern, they were very good for the most part.

Blew themselves out a little bit in the second half but still had opportunities to win that game against Bayern Munich. I think they might look at what Wolves and Newcastle have done in the last week against Man City, hassle and harry and deny them space and defend as well as they can. They’ve also got better forwards probably than Wolves and Newcastle combined who can take opportunities when they come. Excuse me. So I give Leipzig a punches chance here. The issue I guess is Rodri comes back into the Man City team and that does make an enormous difference. We’ve seen them without him really in the Premier League and how big a miss he can be. But I just think Leipzig can get under their skin. They turned Real Madrid over in the group stage at home last season, as I say, they held Man City here, they held PSG here not long ago in the Champions League as well.

They almost always score at home in the Champions League. Their record at home under the Marco Rose is very, very strong. If you look at their Bundesliga record this season, they’ve already faced Bayern and Leverkusen, they’ve scored 16 goals in 6 games, which is a club record at this stage of the season. I just think they’ve got the attacking talent to at least get on the scoresheet and make a game of it. So there was two angles I really liked going into this game, one was Leipzig +1 and the other one was BTTS and over 2 1/2 goals because you always back Man City to score. So I think BTTS does land in this game quite comfortably and then I’m looking for a third goal to get paid, but I don’t think this is a gimme for City at all.

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

No, I think it’s far from a gimme. Man City last year cruised through the first half and Leipzig never turned up in the home game. Second half, they passed around Man City as if Man City could not find any of them players with map or a compass and were fortunate to get away with it. Now Leipzig this year going forward have got really, really good movement. They’ve just got to make sure they don’t get involved in a battle, but they’ve got to make sure their energy levels are high and there’ll be a lot of people that think Leipzig double chance or Leipzig draw no bet is the way to go. I don’t see clean sheets here, Mina. I think this is another one of them that you could put on of over 2 1/2 goals in the game.

Mina Rzouki:

Yeah, I think so too. I think that we’re looking for both sides to score a game. I know that everyone keeps mentioning the 7-0 and I understand that and obviously Man City are considered the best team in the world. I just can’t see Man City losing three games in a row. So obviously we’ve seen them lose in the Carabao Cup, we saw them lose over the weekend, I can’t imagine that they would lose a three match a row. I do think the absence of Rodri has been huge for them, just largely because any player who’s ever played in that role for them, Fernandinho, everything runs through them and they make such a difference for Man City. And without that, you just feel like they’re just much more vulnerable to direct and counterattacking threats and it’s something they’ve always really… they’ve been vulnerable to it but they’ve managed to really shut it down.

But overall, this team isn’t tremendous at keeping possession in the same way that they were last season just because they’re trying to somewhat alter their game and it’s been fascinating to watch and obviously they’ve still been brilliant. It’s just that it’s interesting to see if they do, if Leipzig come in with a lot of power or pace, physicality and just overwhelming in the way that they move, which is exactly what you said, Flash, that they do do that, then I think it could be really interesting as a matchup. I still don’t see City losing this to be frank with you, even though Leipzig have been fantastic to watch, won their first match and obviously only lost one in the Bundesliga so far. But I just can’t imagine that City would go three losses in a row. So I would go for both teams to score and over two quite honestly or I also like the +1 for Leipzig. That could be an interesting one as well.

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

I think Leipzig score twice, it’s +190-

Mina Rzouki:

Really?

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

I do. I’m not saying they’re going to win the game, but I think they… because their transition-

Mina Rzouki:

So 3-2 or 2-2?

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

It could be a 2-2, 2-1, they could win the game 2-1, but I think the Leipzig, the way that you get at Man City, especially when Man City are on the road and then Wolves did it really well and some teams have done it at the Etihad as well, is that they spring you. They win the ball off you and they go straight at you. And Leipzig have got three or four players that are very intricate. They can play ones around the corner, they can make runs off and I think they could score twice here at +190. Let’s have a little look at the official picks because I’m talking hot air because I didn’t even make an official pick, but both teams to score and over 2 1/2 is at -115. Okay time for a Q&A but obviously after we covered eight games. I don’t think there is really anything that we can actually go for, but if you do want something then type it now before I get to the best bets.

But also, I’d like you to subscribe because obviously without your help and without you spreading the word, without you liking the videos, then we don’t grow and we have been growing so, so much thanks to you. So thanks for your subscribing and if you haven’t, please do so. Now, ring the bell because that also means that we’ll notify you and you’ll never miss any content again and that means… We have so much here, Bundesliga, Serie A, LaLiga, Premier League, Europa League will be joining us later on down the road, Champions League is already here. Then we’ve got AFCON, MLS in February and we have two massive… I always say they’re like mini World Cups, European Championships on one side of the pond and Copa America on the other. Did you say whoop, whoop or woof, woof?

Mina Rzouki:

Whoop, whoop.

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

Oh, okay. Okay, let’s have a quick look. Dylan says, “All games seem like goals. Would you back a multiplier of over 1 1/2?” Or just the eight-

Mark O’Haire:

Yeah, I’d probably leave the Inter game out. It feels like it might be tighter. I wouldn’t back it personally so I can’t really recommend it in all honesty.

Mina Rzouki:

Yeah.

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

I’m just waiting for the best bets graphic please, Producer. We’ve had a few little gremlins today but we have got through and now we’re going to give you your winners. Okay, Milan draw no bet +105 for Mina. Both teams to score and over 2 1/2 at -125. Hang on a minute, let me just get to where I need to be with that. So basically Mina, Milan draw no bet. Osimhen, anytime scorer at +120. Newcastle-PSG, both teams to score and over 2 1/2. And for me, it’s Inter moneyline at -128. Parlays, Arsenal moneyline, Atletico moneyline +170. Dortmund-Milan, both teams to score and over 2 1/2 at -105. Porto double chance at -106. And Mark O’Haire has gone for Milan +0.25. Porto double chance at -106. PSG +0.25 at -125. And Leipzig-Man City, both teams to score and over 2 1/2 at -115. Okay.

Mina Rzouki:

Flash?

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

Yes, Mina?

Mina Rzouki:

I would like to add PSG in moneyline.

Gordon “Flash” Watson:

Would you? PSG moneyline, okay, at +165. Okay, listen Mina, I look forward to seeing you on Thursday for Serie A, Mark O’Haire for the Premier League on Thursday, first thing, 10:00 AM Eastern Time for the Premier League if you like that sort of thing, which you all should because next week, you’ve got no shows, it’s international break, so make sure you join us this week to get your fix. From everyone in the chat, good luck. Make sure all your bets are winners and make sure also you go to betustv.com/odds for your prop parlay, your parlay builders and of course, your 30 free bets. You take care.

 

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