Mark’s “Basewinner” Borchard
Mark’s “Basewinner” Borchard has been successfully handicapping MLB for over 20 years. His approach is to simplify complex baseball metrics into actionable info. He has devoted thousands of hours to baseball statistics and odds research. He has learned to program so he can develop databases that power some of the most advanced data models in the sport.
Basewinner’s most well-known model is the complex fundamental Basewinner Crunch model; a model that arranges and weighs the most important performance data needed to gain an edge. The Crunch model evaluates 600+ batters and 500+ pitchers over the course of a season in several key metrics and has helped Mark achieve a positive ROI over a large sample of 8,000 games in his tenure as a public handicapper.
The Basewinner has utilized various unique adjustments in the player ratings that power the core of the Basewinner Crunch Model. For example, he normalizes each metric for the quality of opponent they have faced and the ballpark where each batter’s raw events have taken place. Additionally, Mark uses the right blend of batter split data. His starting and relief pitcher numbers use a carefully calculated blend of predictive data.
These raw talent level numbers are the weapons that the Basewinner takes into the battlefield and grind of daily baseball handicapping. This model churns out a true odds money line and total for each game on the day’s baseball card.
Most recently, Mark has infused other models into his handicapping process. He is excited about his newest data projects such as the 3M Starting Pitcher game rating evaluations and regression handicapping based on several datasets including individual player regression numbers and team expected win/loss numbers.