The MLB Show Picks & Analysis

Kyle Purviance

Kyle Purviance has been an avid sports fan for over 34 years. His passion for sports started when he watched Joe Montana throw the winning touchdown pass to John Taylor in Super Bowl 23 and has only grown ever since. He won his first Fantasy Baseball league at the age of 9. His house was a frequent stop before every major sporting event so his uncles and parents friends could pick his brain for winners long before the internet existed as he would study every baseball card, every box score and every highlight at nauseam so he could know more than everyone else. Now as an adult, when he isn’t immersed in sports statistics, he is busy raising his 18 year old son on his own and preparing him to graduate from high school this year. While sports will always be a massive part of his life make no mistake about the fact that family always comes first him. Don’t be surprised to hear a joke or two from Kyle as making people laugh is always a part of his routine. Whether he’s roasting a friend or observing something that is funny to him in the world, his sense of humor is something that is a huge part of his personality.

Corbie Craig

Founder of Keep Betting, Corbie brings a unique blend of handicapping styles that truly makes his opinion one of one. With a background in engineering as well as a deep information team, his ability to find edges throughout collegiate sports speak for themselves.

Mark’s “Basewinner” Borchard

Mark’s “Basewinner” Borchard has been successfully handicapping MLB for over 20 years. His approach is to simplify complex baseball metrics into actionable info. He has devoted thousands of hours to baseball statistics and odds research. He has learned to program so he can develop databases that power some of the most advanced data models in the sport.

Basewinner’s most well-known model is the complex fundamental Basewinner Crunch model; a model that arranges and weighs the most important performance data needed to gain an edge. The Crunch model evaluates 600+ batters and 500+ pitchers over the course of a season in several key metrics and has helped Mark achieve a positive ROI over a large sample of 8,000 games in his tenure as a public handicapper.

The Basewinner has utilized various unique adjustments in the player ratings that power the core of the Basewinner Crunch Model. For example, he normalizes each metric for the quality of opponent they have faced and the ballpark where each batter’s raw events have taken place. Additionally, Mark uses the right blend of batter split data. His starting and relief pitcher numbers use a carefully calculated blend of predictive data.
These raw talent level numbers are the weapons that the Basewinner takes into the battlefield and grind of daily baseball handicapping. This model churns out a true odds money line and total for each game on the day’s baseball card.

Most recently, Mark has infused other models into his handicapping process. He is excited about his newest data projects such as the 3M Starting Pitcher game rating evaluations and regression handicapping based on several datasets including individual player regression numbers and team expected win/loss numbers.

Spreadapedia

Jason, also known as Spreadapedia, is a professional baseball handicapper who has been writing about MLB and MLB futures for several years. When not betting on baseball, he can be found betting on most other sports (except the NBA). Jason also likes rescuing dogs.