TC Martin:
And happy Friday to every one of you as we get ready for the weekend. It’s the MLB Show here on BetUS TV. Glad to have you with us. TC Martin live from Las Vegas. [Jeff Nadu 00:00:13] from the south side of Philly and on the north side of Scottsdale Arizona, the one in only Basewinner, Mark Borchard. What is up fellas? How we doing today?
Mark Borchard:
I’m doing great, TC. You nailed that. That’s not where I live. I live in the north part of the city. You had two chances, north or south. But you got it right. I’m doing good. I tell you the day after yesterday was good timing for me. I chipped a tooth. I actually broke a crown, my back lower molar. The timing was good. I was able to get into the dentist and get that taken care of. So that was nice.
TC Martin:
Yes. Basewinner, off yesterday. He had a load management day. That’s what I told everybody. You had load management so you had to restock your computer, your analytics department. You gave the guys a day off. Well, you took the day off, but your crew, they were working hard and diligently. Your load management, we all need to have it here, right?
Mark Borchard:
Yeah, the one guy never stops. He keeps me on my toes. If there’s a Luis Campusano in a lineup today, then I’m going to have to make a rating for him. Otherwise, this calculations won’t work. There is a Luis Campusano in a lineup today, believe it, or don’t.
TC Martin:
Yes. There we go. All right, Jeff, what’s going on my friend? You happy with what the Eagles did?
Jeff Nadu:
Is my-
TC Martin:
Yeah, go ahead.
Jeff Nadu:
… sound okay?
TC Martin:
We got you.
Jeff Nadu:
Sorry. Yeah. That’s the story for another day. No, I’m not particularly happy. I’m half happy, half not happy. But either way, I want to say one thing, I’m sick in the non… I can’t get consistent on this show. I’m siding with the books and we’re all losing. A square money’s come in and it’s been working. I’m going to keep firing away. I heard Mark was saying before the show and I think I couldn’t agree more. We have to do what works for us in this handicapping thing. We’ll get people say to me, I had a guy yesterday, “How could you back the Reds?” Because the Reds made total sense, okay? I know they’re bad. It is what it is. But I don’t think I can win long term just betting really good teams every game. We’ll get consistency hopefully, but I’m hoping some things go my way in the next couple of days.
TC Martin:
Yeah. Hey, well, I’m not worried about it. I don’t think anybody should be worried about as well too. I mean, this is sports gambling. Remember if you’re hitting 54, 55%, you’re considered a winner in this industry. Again, everyone has different philosophies and handicapping tools whatever you do. Again, for me, yes, I’m going to play good teams. I do not want to ask a bad team to do something good for me. That’s my motto. I know a lot of other people say, “Well, I’m going to be a value guy. I’m only going to play dogs or small favorites.” That’s okay for them. But there is a reason, a lot of these teams are heavy favorites. A lot of people don’t like to lay that. And you try to find the happy medium, where the value, if there’s no value in laying a heavy favorite, because you think, “Okay, I’m really not comfortable.” Then you lay off it.
TC Martin:
But if it’s something you feel strong about, then go for it. Jeff, you and I have talked about this before. That’s the way I handicapped boxing. I have no problem. Canelo Alvarez is coming to town again next week and he is going to be laying a heavy price against Bivol. I’ll be all over Canelo Alvarez because there’s no way in the world he’s going to lose that fight. But boxing is different. It’s mono on mono. It’s one on one. Baseball is different. Football is different. I mean, because [crosstalk 00:03:32] points.
Jeff Nadu:
That’s how I look at NFL draft props or NBA draft props or super bowl props a lot of time. I think you have to be willing to either lay it… Look, we’ve talked about Mayweather, Pacquiao or Mayweather or McGregor.
TC Martin:
Right.
Jeff Nadu:
I laid the price. A lot of people don’t want to do that. But again, there’s certain levels of sports where you just have to do it. Baseball’s a little different just because it’s three or four game series. There’s all sorts of things that go into it. But I don’t think any of us have a perfect book. We just try to put our handicapping out there, try to do the best we can. Again, it’s a long season, so we’ll keep firing.
TC Martin:
Let me say this and I’ll get both you guys take on this. For me, I like betting good teams. And I understand I’m going to have to probably lay the price, if I select a home team. I’m going to use the example today, okay? Of the Dodgers. I said it the other day. I said, I don’t really anticipate the Dodgers going on longated losing streaks, two and three games. I’m going to bet the Dodgers again today. I’m going to lay $2. And you know what? If they lose today, I’m going to double or triple down tomorrow until they win. And that’s whether people think that’s wise or not. Again, if they’re healthy, if the pitching matchup is good that I like, I’m not going to do it. If I don’t like a pitcher and they’re going to throw opener out there or something like that, you know what I’m saying? But if you lose a game like that and you believe in that team, and it’s a good matchup, either lay off the game or I’m going to come really hard the next day.
Mark Borchard:
Yeah. TC, I know you’ve taken that approach. And it would just make sense from a probability standpoint. I mean, if a team’s only going to lose like a team like the Dodgers, if they’re only going to lose 62 games. Well, the one of their losses already occurred the day before. Unless you can, you can isolate maybe there’s a problem with an injury or something like that, I don’t think it’s a bad idea. In fact, I’d like to do a study on a team like the Dodgers versus really bad pitching on some kind of… And I don’t advocate like the Martingale system as a rule, but it’d be interesting to do a study on the Dodgers. Best hitting team in baseball.
TC Martin:
Right.
Mark Borchard:
Each time they face a pitcher that say like in the lower 10% of my ratings, I think if you played a progressive on the team total, I think that would be good, actually.
TC Martin:
Yep. Right. All right, guys, let’s take a look at what we did yesterday. Mark was off with his load management so is Jeff and I yesterday. When you look at that, I ended up going one in one yesterday. I took a shot with those White Sox. I thought that they would after the eight game losing streak, they got off the schneid the day before against Kansas city didn’t happen yesterday. And went with Kopech again. I think I said leading into that game yesterday, I’m not a big White Sox fan. I rarely bet this team for their offensive and aptitude and it didn’t work. But I got right back on Kyle Wright. Was thinking about you yesterday, Mark, with Kyle Wright again, and he was fantastic as prescribed. So that was a good victory against the Chicago Cubs yesterday and Jeff talked about this [crosstalk 00:06:38]-
Jeff Nadu:
Hey, TC, I will say this about your bets. Look at that record. TC Martin is up over two units, nice little start to the season. He backed good teams gets on with the right ones. And look at me, I back the sharp side, a lot of the time. I’m looking at believing in people. You know what’s annoying to me guys, is I’m going to keep telling this. I talked to you guys yesterday about Mr. Manoa, Mr. Wright, all those guys. I mentioned that under, I knew it was an under, didn’t play it. I got to start. And I’ll tell you another thing. I talked to put this on the College Hoops Show. This is something that we had to deal with, and it’s not our fault. It’s not anybody’s fault.
Jeff Nadu:
We have to get these pick in the day before a lot of the time, but then night before. To me, I’m more of a day of better. I know Mark’s talked about being a bit of an earlier better, but… And I’m not making these excuses. We have to just do what we have to do. But some of this stuff, and we have to put our records out there. It sucks occasionally when we do that, but you just got to find a way to adapt.
TC Martin:
… No. And to add to your point, Jeff, that is tough when you do the day before. Me, I am a last minute better, because again, with baseball, you don’t know what lamps you’re going to get. I will not make a play until I see the lamps. If I see your lead off hitters out or late injury comes up or a cleanup hitter, or number three hitter isn’t playing today, or something like that. I’m not going to play that game. But we are asked to make these MLB picks almost 12 to 18 hours in advance and that’s tough. And you can do it with football because it’s a once a week game, if you want to get the better line. But then again, you risk the probability of getting injuries and that sort of thing as well, too. So this is tough.
TC Martin:
I remember here in Vegas, way back when I used to have to write a column, you guys might be familiar with the paper called Gaming Today. Well, Gaming Today, they go to press like on a Tuesday and they come out in the sportsbook on Friday. I used to have to write a column and make all of the picks for football games basically the Sunday night before, or the Monday morning before. And that was tough to do. And then even for baseball, you had to go ahead and look ahead to do that. Yeah, it’s not an easy proposition when you’re doing it like this for this sport. That’s why I say, “Hey, we can just give our opinions, give our thoughts or whenever. And if people want to you know rip us for making picks…”
TC Martin:
I mean, not to make excuses or anything, but again, this is just the nature of the business. And anybody that really understands sports gambling and handicapping, you’re going to understand that it’s imperfect. And in this situation, we got to make plays basically a day in advance. Mark, you got any quick thoughts on that before you move to the games?
Mark Borchard:
Yeah, no. I mean, for me personally, it’s turned out better to put the chart out earlier the day before. The line tends to move towards the Basewinner line about a 72% clip. But I mean, you do lose that, especially when you’re trying to handicap bullpens. And a team like the Brewers, for instance, where the Devin Williams and the Josh Hader component of that Brewers team is super important. You miss that. So it’s kind of a give and take. You get ahead of the line movement, but you lose some of that precision that you could have, you could get if you wait. And that’s why I think it’s really good that we do this show at 9:00, for people that follow me personally, because you’ll be able to get the numbers early in the day, the day before. And then I can talk about what the market’s done. So that’s why I think it’s a cool time for me to about the games at 9:00, personally.
TC Martin:
All right. Perfect.
Mark Borchard:
Or 9:00, West Coast time.
TC Martin:
West Coast, yeah. That’s you and I are on the same thing. Exactly. All right guys, we are not going to look at nine games today. We are going to look at four games today. So let’s dive into that. And of course, if anyone has any questions, we will hopefully give you some answers and some thoughts on that as well too. So hit us in the chat room here at BetUS TV in the MLB show. And remember like, and subscribe the show, click the bell that’ll notify you when we are going live and you can get all of those notifications here. And remember we’re here Monday through Friday, 12 noon Eastern, 9:00 Pacific. Friday is always a fun start for most of these series or the first day of the weekend series. Some of these games, of course, game number two that start on Thursday. We’ll dive into it. We’re going to give you the best ones that we feel that we like for today.
TC Martin:
Let’s start with Seattle and Miami. Matt Brash is going for Seattle and then you’ve got Hernandez going for Miami. Virtually, a picking game here, guys. Mariners -110 on the road. The total here, seven and a half. Slightly shaded to the under seven and a half, -115 to the under, in this game. Basewinner. Start us off here after your load management day, restocked, ready to fire, go.
Mark Borchard:
Well, I’m going to make a Brash call here with the Seattle Mariners and I’ve been high-
TC Martin:
[crosstalk 00:11:47] with that. Nice.Mark Borchard:
… You knew I was going to say that. But I’ve been high on Brash. I’ve played them a couple times already this year and it’s worked out well for me. The guy’s got the second best stuff plus on the board today, 95 percentile stuff plus. The guy who’s the closest to him is Yu Darvish at 93%. Excited about that stuff. Plus metric my model has it priced -129, the current line is -110, so value there. And really the way it breaks down is I think we’re getting a significant edge offensively here. And I’ve been high on the Seattle Mariners offense from the start. If you go over to basewinner.com and take a look at my expected standing board, you look at the top team in baseball, weighted runs created plus are the Angels. The second team is the Mets. And guess who the third team is Jeff?
Jeff Nadu:
I guess, Seattle.
Mark Borchard:
You’re Seattle Mariners. So I think that corresponds really well with the number that I have in the model that 114, which is fifth against side of pitching. And if you look at their expected wOBA based on hard hit metrics, their fifth in baseball. A lot of good things to like from a metric standpoint with that Seattle offense. And then if you take a look at the bullpen, I think we get an edge here with the Seattle bullpen. I’d like this bullpen better than the Marlins. I think it bears out in the advanced metrics, swinging strike rate, hard hit per nine and expected walk rate metrics where you have Seattle rank seventh. And then you’ve got to go all the way down to 16th to see the Marlins. I think we get a significant advantage in the bullpen, significant advantage offensively and a little edge. I do like Hernandez as a pitcher, but I still think with Brash and his stuff, we get an edge there as well. For all those reasons, I’m going to go with the Mariners and lay the -110 today, TC.
TC Martin:
All right. Jeff, your thoughts.
Jeff Nadu:
Yeah. I think this is like a coin flip. I don’t have much interest in it. As far as Hernandez out of all the Miami starters, I’m not running the back him. They’re offense baters at times, as we know, I’m not a big Brash guy. He’s been okay. He’s been average, not really interested in laying it with him. I’m not a big Mariner guys, I’ve talked about. It’s a pass for me. I wish Mark luck in it though.
TC Martin:
You know Brash is a good strikeout guy, but here’s the problem. He’s not going to go deep into game. This guy hasn’t been past the sixth inning yet. Hernandez is better at home than he is away. But here his bottom line, I mean, both teams struggle offensively. I mean, outside of [Todd France 00:14:32], I don’t see really anybody else in that Seattle lineup that is really putting anything together here. I mean, he’s the only one that’s hitting. I mean, both these teams have trouble scoring runs. It’s going to be probably a low scoring game. Maybe this is something that you look at the under, especially if you like Brash and you know that Hernandez is better at home. Maybe that makes a little bit more sense to me.
TC Martin:
But it’s hard for me to back either one of these teams and I hear where you’re going with everything there, Mark. And Seattle can be okay, but for me, this game is a pick game. I think that’s why… I mean, Miami played pretty well, again, in Washington, I think, where they swept the Nats. But they didn’t score any runs doing it as well, too. We’ll lock Basewinner in and root him on. And [crosstalk 00:15:21]-
Mark Borchard:
I’m going to disagree with you on the efficacy of the Seattle bats because you got Murphy way to runs created +251, France, 215, J.P Crawford 206, Suarez 160, Dylan Moore 146. So those five guys are significantly above league average. I think you will see some regression to be fair, but so far they’ve hit really well. I think we’re going to see some positive regression for Jesse Winker as well. But Seattle’s really worked well for me this year. And occasionally as a better you get those teams that you roll with and it works for you. So hopefully it’ll work out tonight, TC.
TC Martin:
Yeah, no and again, I’m with you with that. All right. Next game on the docket, the Houston Astros and the Toronto Blue Jays. The Astros had a great game yesterday with Justin Verlander and they got that series win against the Rangers yesterday. Kyle Tucker comes off the bench, great pitch. Hitting call by Dusty Baker, yesterday. Tucker comes in, hits the bomb, gives the Astros the win. They go with a little momentum now to Toronto. Toronto, a $1.14 favorite. A total eight and a half in this game, -122 the under in this game. Jeff, Astros, Blue Jays, hit it.
Jeff Nadu:
Yeah, I’m going to get away with Houston here. They’ve won four or five. I like their starter just a little bit more than I like Kikuchi. The truth is, and I think Mark’s talked about this. We’re not either big fans of his. This is a Houston team that’s been good on the road so far. They’ve won 8 of 13. As I said, they’re playing well recently. You look at the bullpen, one of the best in baseball. And Urquidy, I don’t mind him. He has had one bad start, but I lump it in and say, “It’s just one of those starts.” I mean, against the Angels and last time out against Toronto, I thought he was pretty effective. He went five at two thirds. Need him to go a little bit longer. But as I mentioned that bullpen, I think is where we’re going to make some money in this game.
Jeff Nadu:
And that’s where I think they’ve been able to make their money over the last couple of nights. They didn’t score a ton of runs against teams like Texas, but they were able to win the game because of their bullpen and not giving and blowing up leads. It is concerning. Look, they don’t have Altuve. This isn’t their strongest lineup they’re going to throw out there, but they’re playing well. They’re getting some timely hitting. It is concerning they hit 181 against lefties. But as we talked about, Kikuchi’s not real effective. And about 170 at bats, this team has pretty good numbers against Kikuchi. I’m going to rock with Houston here, plus money price. I’m getting a good price plus I’m getting a team that long term I respect and like, and they have a great pen. I’m going to rock with Houston here to get the job done here against Toronto.
TC Martin:
Yeah, I like Urquidy, but again, he can be inconsistent and he is not going to go deep into games. Watch the game very closely. Last time out, he lost to Toronto, give up two runs. Six hits, went five and a third in that game. They lost the game three to two, another low scoring game. I’m with you. Kikuchi, not Kikuchi at all. The Astros got to him. He was terrible on Sunday, had five walks in that game. Houston won the game and Kikuchi is only one in five against Houston. Actually, it’s the team that he’s faced the most. The Astros are used to him. Again, big series really. I know it’s early on, but these two teams and you talk to both managers, they all say the same thing. I mean, this is a big series because both these teams are going to be at the end.
TC Martin:
And you look at the end, you look at tiebreakers and that sort of thing. This is going to be a heck of a series. It was a great series in Houston last weekend, now they’re in Toronto here. I know the Astros would love to jump on this. So hopefully they’ll get the job done. Let’s go to Basewinner. Basewinner, your thoughts on the Astros and Toronto.
Mark Borchard:
Well, my thoughts are, I’m going to enjoy watching the game. I’m not going to play it. And the reason is I have a price at -108. I think it’s price where it needs to be. And if you look component wise, things are pretty equal. I mean, I have, Urquidy at 4% better than the average pitcher. I’ve got Kikuchi, and this is going to be controversial to baseball hipsters, at 92, which is 8% better than average. And the relief, I have one team at ninth in baseball, one team at 12th offensively. 112 weighted runs created plus for the Astros, 114 for the Blue Jays. And then if you look at the stuff plus Urquidy has a little bit better stuff plus than Kikuchi, 66 percentile, Kikuchi at the 57th percentile. I think I’m comfortable with my pricing on this game, which agrees with the book maker. In fact, there’s a lot of games on the card where the pricing does agree today. So a tight card overall. I’m going to pass on this. I’m going to enjoy watching it though. Two good teams and they’ll definitely be around when the postseasons starts.
Jeff Nadu:
Keep in mind here, folks. When you look at this Houston lineup, Alvarez, Bregman, Diaz, McCormick. I mean, all these guys have solid numbers against Mr. Kikuchi. Let’s hope that comes to roost today. And they put up that normal five runs they were putting up a game last year.
TC Martin:
Jeff, I’m glad that you joined me on the Astros bandwagon, my friend. Thank you very much.
Jeff Nadu:
Hey, listen, TC, I know you weren’t here when we did it. But I’ve told everyone, I thought the Houston Astros is going to win the world series. So-
TC Martin:
There you go.
Mark Borchard:
I think TC is going to-
TC Martin:
[crosstalk 00:20:40] my future ticket look good.Mark Borchard:
…. be happy about that. He loves the Astros, so.
Jeff Nadu:
Yeah. Well, mark, listen-
TC Martin:
I’m personally invested so there’s [crosstalk 00:20:48]-
Mark Borchard:
No. I’m happy you’re on this show because I think that gives us a tremendous edge that you have connections to Houston. So if there’s like a bullpen injury or there’s a guy… We talked about Verlander and you were dead on right. I was like, “Well, I’m concerned it’s a second start back, what’s going to happen with this guy?” And you were spot on. You said, “Hey, I’ve out connections over there. I know the trainer and he’s fine. He’s good to go.” And he threw a gem. So that’s really good information to get. I really appreciate that you are so close to the Houston team, TC.
TC Martin:
… Yeah. And you will see me bet on the Astros. Again, like I said, you won’t see me really betting on Odorizzi much at all, but I’ll bet on the Astros probably more than any of the team. And again, it’s teams that you follow, that you know and you’ve got some inside, I don’t want to say inside information because that’s wrong to say. But just when you’re close to the situation around the team, again, and you have friends in the organization it helps. It definitely helps. But I can’t [crosstalk 00:21:45]-
Mark Borchard:
Yeah, no, I think that’s a good way to put it. Close to the team. But that’s good information when you’re talking about like injury problems.
TC Martin:
… One of your best friends is the manager of the team, that helps.
Mark Borchard:
Yeah. I think that does.
TC Martin:
But I want to be clear, we do not exchange information regarding [crosstalk 00:22:00]-
Jeff Nadu:
Wait, Hold on a second.
Mark Borchard:
Don’t get in trouble there. Don’t get in trouble.
Jeff Nadu:
Wait, hold on a second. You’re telling me your friends with the Astros manager?
TC Martin:
Yes. We go way back. Yeah.
Jeff Nadu:
Oh what?
TC Martin:
Most people know that follow me. So yeah.
Jeff Nadu:
Dusty Baker, really?
TC Martin:
Yeah.
Jeff Nadu:
Get out. That’s pretty cool.
TC Martin:
There you go, Jeff. Go to my Sacramento sports hall of fame website and you can see all of our Sacramento guys there how tight we are.
Jeff Nadu:
Man, I would love to talk to you sometime about Peja Stojakovic, Vlade Divac, those guys, man.
TC Martin:
Yeah, those were [crosstalk 00:22:38]-
Jeff Nadu:
I used to love them, T.
TC Martin:
There were some great times in Sacramento covering the Kings and being there. But man, that’s the last time that team was relevant, man. 16 straight years without a playoff appearance. It’s been dreadful.
Jeff Nadu:
Hey, TC, one of my favorite players ever was White Chocolate, man. He was when I was a kid, man, him and AI were my favorites, man.
TC Martin:
Jason Williams. I could tell you some stories with that off air. Yeah, definitely. [crosstalk 00:23:01]-
Jeff Nadu:
What an incredible player he was, man.
TC Martin:
… Yeah. Good stuff. All right. We’re locking Jeff in man. I’m rooting you on Jeff +104 with the Astros today. Let’s go to the next game. Cleveland and Oakland on the docket. We’ve got Aaron Civale going for Cleveland, Frankie Montas for Oakland and the A’s are a $1.45 favorite. Back at the Oakland-Alameda, the County Coliseum or whatever in the heck they’re calling it now. Who knows what? I know they call it Rickey Henderson field. So that’s stayed the same in the last few years. Look at this total guys, six and a half for, I was going to say an American league game because we used to say that. Because the American league had the DH and the National league didn’t but now everyone of course has the DH, still a very low total at six and a half.
TC Martin:
Let’s take a look at this game and I’ll kick it off. I do like the A’s in this spot. Montas, Frankie’s been very solid. 25 strikeouts so far on the year, only four walks. I like to use the term and I used it yesterday. I like getting a guy who’s a hard luck loser coming off his last start, where he pitches well enough to win, but the bats didn’t back him or there’s an error or something like that. And that’s what happened to montages last time out against Texas. He went seven strong innings against the Rangers. Only gave up two runs, gave up three hits, had eight strikeouts in that game only walked one. He was very sharp. And for the most part, Montas has been rock solid all year. He hasn’t given up more than two earned runs in a start yet to date.
TC Martin:
On the other side with Cleveland, I mean their pitcher, his ERA is 9.58. I mean forget about it. He was disastrous last outing. Giving up six earned, seven hits in only three innings. Let’s remember, Cleveland’s lost eight in a row. It’s scary for me, I know. I don’t like to go against the team. Okay. Because they got to win sometime. But this team is bad. They’re on this 10 game road trip right now. And think about this guys, we talk about the A’s and people went crazy about the A’s. They took the Giants two out of three, and two of those games were shutouts. Two shutout victories by the Oakland Athletics in this game in San Francisco. So this team is always undervalued because they trade away their best players, but they have one of the best farm systems in baseball. They’re always seem to be there in the hunt. Year in, year out, no matter the lack of star power that they have. But I do like the A’s in this spot here. Jeff?
Jeff Nadu:
Yeah. I’m glad you came to me first. I’m going to tell you what man, you made a very compelling case. I may add this one. I hear you. This Guardians seems a little seven in a row. And Mark and TC, it seems like they are coming back to earth and have come back to earth completely. I remember when we started this show, they were on fire. They’re hitting like crazy. They’re winning a ton of games. You look at all of a sudden, I mean, they’re back towards the mid tier of baseball and run scored. Look, I think you’re right on Oakland, man. I watched them a couple of games against Baltimore teams like that. I was impressed with some of bullpen, man. They don’t have a ton of big names. They’ve got a lot of journeymen kind of guys, but they’ve done a nice job overall.
Jeff Nadu:
I like Montas. This is a major advantage in the matchup here. It’s not like Cleveland’s offense is any good. And for anyone that wants to say, “Well, Oakland’s offense sucks.” I mean, it’s not terrible. I mean, they score about four runs a game. Obviously, hope you score a few more here. But Montas, as you said, hard luck loser last time out. Pretty solid pitcher. They’re at home here. Not that matters, but this Guardians team has been a complete mess.
TC Martin:
Basewinner.
Mark Borchard:
Well, I think it’s priced exactly where it needs to be. I’ve got it at -137. And you’ve got to think, well, if Oakland’s favored, why? And the reason is, and you made some really good points about Montas and he’s been very good, 82 percentile stuff plus. I have a 19th out of 150 pitchers. And in that 3M chart, that charts pitchers back from June, I guess it’s 29th now. He is 18th in baseball out of 211 guys. Where if you look at Civale, he’s at 164 out 211. I think that’s why they’re favored. Having said that, I can’t back this Oakland offense. It’s the worst in baseball. And you just got to-
Jeff Nadu:
No, it isn’t.
TC Martin:
No, it’s not.
Mark Borchard:
… It’s terrible. Okay, well, so who’s good on this offense?
Jeff Nadu:
It doesn’t matter. Their numbers they’re not even bottom 10, Mark.
Mark Borchard:
So all these guys are projected lower than average. The only guy that I have-
TC Martin:
That’s Projected, Mark. And you know why they’re projected because they were-
Mark Borchard:
Why?
TC Martin:
… young guys at the beginning of the season. This is what the A’s do, like I said. I mean, you got guys like Pinder and Piscotty. I mean, these guys can hit.
Jeff Nadu:
Mark, Patrick-
TC Martin:
You got to look at what they’ve done lately not the projections.
Jeff Nadu:
Mark, Patrick Mahomes was projected to not be a good NFL player, but he ended up being pretty damn good one. I mean, a lot of these guys are projected to do a lot of things. And look, Mark, the numbers are true, they’re just not that bad.
Mark Borchard:
Yeah. Well, I disagree with you guys. I’m not going to put money on Sheldon Neuse, Piscotty, McKinney, Cristian Pache and he’s been around. These guys have been around for a while. I can see where you’re going with well, they’re young and they’re not going to rate high because they’re young. But like these guys have been in the game for, well… Tony Kemp, this guy’s, I don’t know why he’s still in the game. But he’s been in the game for a long time. I don’t know. Maybe it’s just-
TC Martin:
He’s not everyday player. Tony Kemp will play twice a week.
Mark Borchard:
… I have him in the lineup today. He’s in that default lineup.
TC Martin:
[crosstalk 00:28:45] defensively as well.Jeff Nadu:
Also keep in mind, Sheldon Neuse is hitting 304.
TC Martin:
Right. I was just [crosstalk 00:28:50]-
Mark Borchard:
Yeah. And you have a long term projection on the guy of 20% worse than average. Hey look, the projections aren’t right all the time, but I think they give you a good guide as to which teams are probably going to end up either at the top or at the bottom. I don’t like this Oakland offense and I’m not going to play. I like Montas. I’m not saying that it’s a bad play. I’m just saying that I think the line maker made the correct price on this one. And that’s pretty much the main reason is [crosstalk 00:29:24].
Jeff Nadu:
This continued negative assault on Oakland. I mean, it’s amazing with this guy, TC. I mean he hates Paul Blackburn. Paul Blackburn just keeps pitching well. He hates Oakland’s lineup. They just keep doing the thing. But you know what? I’m probably the same way with Seattle. So it is what it is. One thing to back up this TC and Mark, this line is going continued up. It’s rare we see Oakland laying this kind of price. It seems like this makes a ton of sense. It seems like everyone’s in belief that that’s true. This Cleveland team’s going the wrong way.
Mark Borchard:
You got to say that Oakland’s hit well, but they’re 87 weighted runs created plus is 22nd in baseball. So like, okay, well, they’re not worst, but they’re certainly at the bottom.
Jeff Nadu:
Yeah, but Mark, you said they’re the worst offense in baseball.
Mark Borchard:
I think they are. Yeah, I do. And-
TC Martin:
No, I mean, if you look of the rankings. No, they’re not. I mean that would be Washington and we can go right down the list. Here’s the thing to go guys, when you’re handicapping this, okay, the A’s play… And I said this the other day, they play a lot of low scoring games, but they’re winning these low scoring games because of their pitching and their bullpen. When you’re handicapping baseball like any sport, it’s matchups. This is a matchup against Civale, who’s horrendous. The Guardians are on the road, 10 game road trip. They’ve dumped eight in a row. This is a great matchup for Montas in Oakland. It’s a matchup. That’s all there is to it. If they’re playing somebody else-
Mark Borchard:
Would you consider just-
TC Martin:
… then I wouldn’t [crosstalk 00:30:51]. If they’re playing Toronto or somebody else, I’m going to be on Toronto. When they play the Astros, both of the time, if the pitching matchup is going in the Astros favor, I’m going to go with the Astros. But the A’s against Cleveland in this situations, Civale, Montas, we’re going with them with a matchup with the A’s.
Mark Borchard:
… Okay. So let me just ask you this, as far as the bullpen comparison. Would you say that Oakland’s bullpen is better than Cleveland’s bullpen?
TC Martin:
I don’t know if they’re better, but again, I’m not betting the bullpen. I’m betting on Montas.
Mark Borchard:
But you just said, you said you’re betting pitching, you betting-
TC Martin:
I’m betting Montas to get into at least the seventh. And then [crosstalk 00:31:27]-
Mark Borchard:
Okay. Let me be a pain in the ass [crosstalk 00:31:30]-
TC Martin:
… six or nine out, if the game is close.
Mark Borchard:
… Why wouldn’t you just be it on the first five then? Because I think that might be a better way to put [crosstalk 00:31:37]-
Jeff Nadu:
Yeah, but Mark again, and when you’re looking at the team pitching staff numbers, Cleveland’s numbers are particularly worse than Oakland’s. He’s right. I mean, you have to admit, Mark. I mean, it’s not like Cleveland has some amazing bullpen. I mean-
Mark Borchard:
Just the ranking, the way I rank it with the three metrics is Cleveland’s eight and Oakland’s 22nd. I don’t know. I mean, I don’t see this Oakland bullpen being-
TC Martin:
[crosstalk 00:32:07] momentum the way guys are playing currently and that sort of thing. And the A’s had a rough start early on, but they’re getting outstanding pitching. These guys are getting some timely hitting right now. And again, they’re at home, they’re rested and Cleveland’s on the road. Cleveland’s been struggling. I mean, they’re struggling right now. And again, who knows? I mean, Cleveland may win this game. They’re going to snap this streak eventually. I mean, just like the White Sox did, but what happened? White Sox went back and lost again yesterday. Again, the best case scenario, we look at Oakland, I think it’s a good matchup. It’s a good price. I don’t care who’s betting it. If it goes up, it goes down. It’s not going to sway me. Yeah. Lock me into this.Mark Borchard:
It’s a good pitch. You’re right. You’re right about this starting pitching matchup really favors the A’s. He’s good. Montas is a good pitcher.
TC Martin:
Yeah. All right. I’ll take the A’s with that. Jeff, you going to join me on this? We have some rooting interest to [crosstalk 00:33:02]-
Jeff Nadu:
Yeah. I’m going to join you. Absolutely. And listen, I’ll say this [Mile Highson 00:33:06], the Dbaks are the worst. Yeah. Dbacks suck and Baltimore, Washington and Cincinnati. Mark, come on. Oakland’s better than all those teams. I mean-
Mark Borchard:
I don’t see it but whatever. I rate things a certain way, long term, and I think Oakland’s offense is just off. It’s one of the worst I’ve seen.
Jeff Nadu:
[crosstalk 00:33:26] you know what I would love to see? I don’t know if do your numbers, the way you look at things, would it translate into other… Is only sports that these numbers make sense on? Or could you look at another group of people and could you rate them as well?Mark Borchard:
You’re asking me if I could rate analytically rate people or rate other sports?
Jeff Nadu:
No. All the time I get crap on YouTube channels and stuff, because on my podcast about the mafia, I rate them as in terms of athletes. And which one is the most effective at what they do. I’d be fascinated to know what you think about certain people that I look at. Because-
Mark Borchard:
I think it’s cool though to. So you’re ranking mobsters-
Jeff Nadu:
Yeah.
Mark Borchard:
… Well, I think that’s cool. I think that’s really cool.
Jeff Nadu:
We’ll do like list. Do like who is the most violent? Who is the biggest earner? What they did here to do that?
TC Martin:
Jeff, why don’t you set this up where you get Basswinner on your mob podcast and put him to the test.
Jeff Nadu:
No, I thought about it. I think it’d be interesting to… Because I’m curious, I don’t know if he’s a data scientist in the terms of just sports or… I’m big into an anthropological stuff like the study of people and how and why they are, how they are. I was watching a documentary about iron workers, right? Iron workers from New York city literally built the Skyline. And a lot of them were from Queens and Brooklyn. And then I look at a documentary that had the same time period of people and one became this esteemed iron worker that literally is a hero in this country. And then the other person right down the street became this killer. How did they become what they became? It’s fascinating to think about it. And that’s what I wanted to hear with Mark. Does that board into analytical things? But-
Mark Borchard:
Well, I can-
TC Martin:
[crosstalk 00:35:18] about a week so we can load up all of his data into the system. [crosstalk 00:35:22]-Mark Borchard:
I think there would be a lot of data for mob guys, because you’d have to somehow try to figure out how many people the person killed. And how do you score the violence of a crime? Is it based on blood spatter? Is it based on-
Jeff Nadu:
It’s-
Mark Borchard:
… How would you do that?
Jeff Nadu:
… I guess, there’s body count. I mean, there’s a lot of guys where there are guys I’ve studied that have killed on record 30, 40 people. Again, I want to make it clear. I’m not glorifying these folks. I’m just trying to tell a story of someone and people that ran this country at certain points. But it’s interesting to think about… I would be curious from a science standpoint about how they got to where they got.
TC Martin:
Jeff, do you [crosstalk 00:36:05]-
Mark Borchard:
Lets do it on the off season.
TC Martin:
… You’re asking him to get a bloodshed in the 94th percentile.
Jeff Nadu:
Right.
Mark Borchard:
Yeah. You rank these guys on a percentile base in it’s based on, I guess, their shot to kill ratio. I don’t know. The guy had 200 shots and he’s got 20 kills. Man, what percentile is in?
TC Martin:
The guy had a bad month at the track or something like that. Then I say that’s in the 96 percentile.
Mark Borchard:
Oh man. That could be a project for the off season. But honestly, Jeff, I’ve got all these numbers that I’m doing for baseball. I’ve got myself pretty busy working on these.
Jeff Nadu:
There You go. Well, maybe someday.
Mark Borchard:
Interesting though. Yeah.
TC Martin:
Moving on to baseball. There we go. Let’s go back to some baseball.
Jeff Nadu:
Finally.
TC Martin:
The Detroit Tigers are taking on the Dodgers tonight. Chavez, Ravine, Dodgers are back at home.
Jeff Nadu:
Wonder where you are going here.
TC Martin:
We got the battle of Tyler’s in this game. Tyler Alexander, Tyler Anderson, none really great. Dodgers heavy favorite -230. Total in this game, eight and a half shaded to the under -120 to the under. Basewinner, talk to us about the Dodgers.
Mark Borchard:
Oh gosh, I really like this match up. This Dodgers offense versus Tyler Alexander, who I have 139th out of 150 pitchers. And then it is battle of Tyler’s. Tyler Anderson, I’m not like down on him, but I only have him 4% better than the average pitcher. The bottom line for me is I’m going to play this game over. The model has it priced at 10 runs. You could still get it at eight and a half. Well, another thing that’s interesting about this game is the stuff plus numbers for Tyler Alexander, 6%, which is second worst on the board today. And then Tyler Anderson only in the 26 percentile. We get an advantage there. And then I was lucky today when I opened the weather page up on my site, and this is something where you can get backdoored. I put this play out last night and maybe if the wind’s blowing in at Dodger Stadium or they seem to have some kind of cloud cover, you could get backdoored with the weather.
Mark Borchard:
But in this case, all systems go with you over. I’ve got runs being scored 12% better than average with this compared with the stadium games like this at Dodger Stadium with these particular weather patterns. And then the BBK is up at 16% better than average, which is a good offensive number as well. You throw it in the mixer and I’m going to bang you over here. I think this is the Apple Plus game of the night. Excited about Apple Plus too. I liked what they’ve done with the graphics and the video qualities. It’s just tremendous. So this will be an exciting game to watch and to root for a lot of runs to come in.
TC Martin:
All right, Jeff, you got the analytical mixer there. Go ahead.
Jeff Nadu:
Yeah. I always love when things go into the mixer, you got to love that. Whenever you hear the mixer-
TC Martin:
What’s better, a mixer or blender? I wonder.
Jeff Nadu:
Yeah. I don’t know for body parts. I would say the mixer probably for on that conversation still. But yes, I love the mixer. I like this play actually, it’s hard to bet overs right now in baseball, but I’ve spotted a couple. I had one in Phillies over last week that came in. I like this one. I think it’s a great play by hit, Mark. I would’ve some interest in maybe even a first five over just to focus on these two pitchers. Because we obviously know Mr. Alexander’s not going to get many people out. This Dodger offense is the best in baseball. I don’t think it really close. We also have to just give some respect to the Tigers against left-handed pitching. You looking in 150 at bats combined. They’re 41 for 150, 709 OPS against lefties. I think they could get to Tyler Anderson a little bit here as well.
Jeff Nadu:
I guess the concern on only a full game over if I had one would just be, you hope the Dodgers bullpen doesn’t come in. And this is like five, two in the seventh inning and they just come in and shut the door completely. But also I think a Dodger team total, team total’s four and a half at BetUS all we need is a Dodger average tonight against an awful pitcher and a pretty bad bullpen. Yeah, I think Mark is onto something here. You’re going to get good weather out in LA. Yeah, I like this play good for him.
TC Martin:
Yeah. You’re not going to get either picture. That’s going to go deep. I mean, Anderson hasn’t given it more than two runs this year in any start, but Dave Roberts does not like to go deep with him for some reason. I was shocked that he actually went with Buehler and he went the distance the other day. That was outstanding to see, but shocking for Roberts. But with Anderson, he’s a Las Vegas kid. He’s always on a leash for some reason. And you look at Alexander, I’m not crazy about him. And he’s coming off a really bad outing where he gave up five earned runs, eight hits in three and a third. Remember, here’s another team, Detroit has lost five in a row. Now I understand for you’re over betting mark, I like the fact that the Tigers have been hitting a little bit, but they’ve been stranding runners.
TC Martin:
They stranded up 12 runners on base yesterday. One of the reasons why they’ve lost five in a row. But Dodgers have lost two in a row. So it goes back to my play. I’m not going to be involved in the total here. I never like overs at Dodger Stadium. Especially when the sun goes down and just that ball does, it’s a big difference from day baseball. Even from the seven o’clock hour to about 7:45 PM local time, I mean, it gets a little chill and the ball does not carry. I’m always afraid to play night game overs at Dodger stadium. But to my play, Dodgers are lost two in a row. They’re not going to lose three in a row. What is the best remedy here? The Tigers are coming town. I’m laying it with the Dodgers and banking on that offense, really bangs Alexander around. Lock Basewinner in for the over in this game. Jeff, I’m not sure if you’re going to jump in [crosstalk 00:42:04]-
Jeff Nadu:
I’m going to play a team total, personally. But I’m just going to [crosstalk 00:42:09]-
TC Martin:
… Eight and a half guys is a big number for Dodgers stadium. And Mark, that’s exactly why you’re getting even money here, which you’re getting good value. But eight and a half is a dicey number for Dodger stadium. 230, I’m going to lay with the Dodgers they’re winning tonight.
Jeff Nadu:
But again, TC, here’s the thing. I mean, let’s just think about this with both plays. I mean, the Dodgers probably score five or six runs. I mean, this is not a good picture for Detroit. This is not a good bullpen. And as I said, I mean, I’d hope they could score three or four Detroit. They’re good against left-handed pitching. I guess that, like I said, is the reason I would, if I had to play this game, I would look towards the first five and just… I want to take the Dodgers bullpen out of this just because I don’t think they’re going to give any runs up. I want this match if I’m Detroit against Tyler Anderson because I think they can hit him. But yeah. I mean, I hear you, but-
TC Martin:
Jeff, you bring up a really good point. I’m not going to change it for the show, but I think I might go to the window today and I rarely do this with team totals, but I think the Dodgers offense explodes today. And I was even tempted to play the run line in this game as well too. I’m not crazy as you guys know about run lines, but in a situation like this, I just think this is… The Dodgers they’re not going to lose three in a row. I really don’t believe that. I think they’re going to explode. I mean, again, that we’ve talked about this lineup. I mean, Mark’s talked about it, I’ve talked about it, we’ve all talked about it. I mean, they’re stacked. I mean, they’re stacked one through seven, one through eight. This might be a good… I’m going to take a page from your book, Jeff, about betting the Dodgers over the team total.
Jeff Nadu:
Again, the good thing about team totals is, I mean, they could lose 11 five here and you’d still win.
TC Martin:
Good point.
Jeff Nadu:
That’s the great thing about team total.
TC Martin:
That’s it. Yeah.
Mark Borchard:
TC, I think that’s a good idea. What of the things that my model does as far as the total calculation goes, is it takes into account the fact that the Dodgers will probably be winning in the ninth inning. They’re going in to get eight at bats. Having said that it still projects 5.89 runs. And I’m showing it four and a half. I would totally agree with you on the Dodgers team total. I think that’s a decent way to go.
TC Martin:
It might be actually the better way to play it, but all right. We’re locked in here. Let’s go to the questions guys. Mark wants to know if we like any under games today. I think I gave out one earlier when we were talking about Miami and Seattle, I liked that a little bit to the under. Any other total games from the underside guys you like, Basewinner?
Mark Borchard:
I think the Padres, Pirates. And I think take a look at the weather there. It’s been really cold there, but I have that projected at 7.4 runs, but I really like Darvish. I have him at a 93% stuff plus. It’s really tough to play these totals as a rule. And I know I just gave out an over, so you’re like, “What are you talking about Basewinner.” But for me, what major league baseball’s done with the balls over the last, I don’t know, maybe three years. Really since 2015, I kind of got to take a pause before I bet a lot of totals. I would just like that’s the one maybe that I would take a flyer on Padres, Pirates under.
TC Martin:
All right, Mark also has a question regarding your line on Darvish. What is your Basewinner line on Darvish?
Mark Borchard:
I have it at -154 for the Padres and I don’t necessarily like it. I’m not that down on Zach Thompson, so I’m not going to play the pirates on the other side. I like Darvish. I like his stuff. I’ve always liked Darvish, he’s got good stuff. It’s a matter if he can control it. But the line would show a little bit of value, at least, I guess, if you’re playing a die line on the Pirates. But I’d stay away from that game. If you have to play it, I think the under would be probably the way to go there.
TC Martin:
Okay. So Scott has a question, interesting question. He’s asking who are our top three teams? I think what Scott is asking us just as far as that we’d like to back on a regular basis, or-
Jeff Nadu:
I think he’s saying in baseball.
TC Martin:
… the three best teams in Major League Baseball are. Was that Jeff?
Jeff Nadu:
I think that’s what he’s saying, best [crosstalk 00:46:34]-
TC Martin:
We’ll start with you.
Jeff Nadu:
… Well, I’ll go in no particular order. I’ll just say the Dodgers. I mean, I like the Mets. I think the Mets are elite. I’m very high on them. Look, I think ultimately the Yankees will probably be right there. Toronto’s very good. I think obviously the giants seem to always have something to say about. But I’ll go Dodgers, Mets and Yankees.
TC Martin:
Yeah, I’ll go Dodgers, Toronto and Houston. And again, this is where we’re at right now. Again, I think the Astros are starting to kick it up a notch right now. Altuve will be back actually tomorrow maybe even tonight. Again, they’re… Verlander not going anywhere. They’re playing great. And then I think Toronto, that offensive is fine. Actually, they’re getting better production outside of Kikuchi from their pitching as well, too. Off the top of my head and I do like the Yankees as well too. [crosstalk 00:47:33]-
Jeff Nadu:
Well, let me say this. For mark, it’ll be, Mark will say, well, TC, I’m going to go Seattle. I Gary watch, look.
TC Martin:
Okay. And now let’s go [crosstalk 00:47:42]-
Mark Borchard:
You’re totally wrong about that. Jeff it’s Oakland, Oakland, [crosstalk 00:47:47]-
Jeff Nadu:
Blackburn.
Mark Borchard:
… and Paul Blackburn. No. So in this order, Yankees, Dodgers, Blue Jays that’s the serious.
TC Martin:
No Mets?
Jeff Nadu:
No Mets?
Mark Borchard:
The Mets are up there, but you know that Yankees’ got you-
TC Martin:
It’s just still hard for us to believe in the Mets, that’s it. They’re playing-
Jeff Nadu:
Oh yeah. I know they’re doing it without deGrom. They’re still killing it.
TC Martin:
Right.
Mark Borchard:
Yeah.
TC Martin:
Good stuff.
Mark Borchard:
There’s some good teams. All four of those teams are good teams. How about the Braves? I mean, the Braves got Acuna back and TC Martins on the Kyle Wright resurgence. I think he was probably doing some pitching coaching with the Vanderbilt guy out there. And-
TC Martin:
Hey, remember, Mark, it’s Kyle Wright and Max Fried. There you go.
Mark Borchard:
… That’s right.
TC Martin:
Like them both.
Mark Borchard:
Now they have Olson in the lineup. That’s a good addition as well. So-
Jeff Nadu:
Oh yeah.
Mark Borchard:
… Yeah. So you have some good teams in baseball. You’ve got some really crappy teams in baseball too.
Jeff Nadu:
That’s [crosstalk 00:48:46]-
Mark Borchard:
Starting with the A’s, but that’s okay.
TC Martin:
All right, guys, we go against to Reds every day here until they prove us wrong or what’s the deal? A Mile High has that question.
Mark Borchard:
I like Hunter Greene, but it’s going to be a tough spot for him. Now, he is 93% percentile from a stuff plus standpoint, but I think that’s going to be nullified in Colorado. Senzatela, I’ve never been really high on. I think the only person high on Senzatela is people who make plays on his name and say an Antonio Sensimilia. But for me, it’s a no play. I’ve got a -119. I’m going to pass on this game.
TC Martin:
All right. Jeff, any thoughts on that?
Jeff Nadu:
Yeah. I mean, Senzatela was a complete mess last year. Betting him in Coors is concerning. And look, Hunter Greene going into Coors is the old me going into-
TC Martin:
That’s a fall city. Get ahold of that 98 mile an hour fastball goodbye, possibly. So, yeah.
Jeff Nadu:
… Yeah. It’s like when I go into like a bar, all the women, they just come right to me. That’s the ball going to the bats tonight for Hunter Greene. I will say someone says about the Texas and the Braves, Gary Richards is still pitching. It seems like he’s been in the league for like 20 years. What’s he been in the bullpen? I think you’re going to throw him into the starting role. That’s a little concerning for Texas.
TC Martin:
Yeah. Any thoughts on that Basewinner? Braves and Rangers tonight?
Mark Borchard:
Yeah. I’ve got it priced at -120. I think it’s where it needs to be. Ian Anderson, 3 percentile stuff plus. So it’s hard to back him.
TC Martin:
Yeah. Hard to back the Rangers at times as well too. All right guys, great stuff. Let’s look at our best bets as we get ready for this Friday evening of action. Jeff is going to go with the Houston Astros at +104. Urquidy on the mound here tonight. And again, more of a play against Kikuchi going for Toronto. Basewinner has got the Seattle Mariners at -110, and then he’s going Tigers, Dodgers over eight and a half getting even money on that one. I’m going with the A’s laying a $1.45 against those lowly Cleveland Guardians tonight. Frankie Montas on the hill there. And then I’m going with the Dodgers as well too. I do like the Dodgers and the team total too, which I rarely play the team totals. But if it’s over four and a half, that makes sense as well.
TC Martin:
But I’m going to lay it with the Dodgers again. I think they’re going to get off the schneid coming back home and the offense gets cranking here tonight and against Tyler Alexander. All right, good strong plays here. Good logic, great stuff, guys. Appreciate it as always. And we look forward to a good and profitable weekend and we appreciate everyone for joining us here on BetUS TV, the MLB show. Remember to like, and subscribe to the channel, click that bell, let it go, ding. And then you’ll get those notifications when we go live and we’ll be back at it again on Monday. All right. Jeff, Basswinner, you guys have a great weekend, man. Enjoy. Any plans real quick, Jeff?
Jeff Nadu:
I just look forward to the NFL draft tonight and tomorrow. I’m a big fan of this. I enjoy these second, third, fourth, fifth rounds. I’m big on just scouting a lot of these guys and mock drafts and things like that. I think the drafts are to… The NBA draft for that matter. I am the NBA draft king, by the way. There’s nobody better at marketing and looking up these college players than me. I’m looking forward to all this stuff, but I love the NFL draft, looking forward.
TC Martin:
Yeah. Busy day for me again here in Vegas with day two of the draft. So looking forward to that. Trying to get my voice back still as well too. But Basewinner, I know you’re not going to be watching the draft, you’re going to be dealing with dogs and some other stuff.
Mark Borchard:
Yeah. Hang in there, TC, with your schedule. No I got a new LG OLED TV and it can stream Apple Plus. I’m really excited about streaming Apple Plus, the two games tonight. That’s really exciting. You guys enjoy the weekend and thanks for listening to this show. Really appreciate it. It’s so fun working with these and talking baseball and I’m glad you guys are along for the ride.
TC Martin:
Appreciate it. Yeah. Again, tell your friends, again, follow all of us on Twitter as well, too. And then, again, Monday through Friday, again, you’ll get some baseball, you’ll get some food, you’ll get some mob stories. You’ll get it all here. So we have a lot of fun. Guys, have a great weekend. Good stuff.
Mark Borchard:
Thanks [inaudible 00:53:10].
TC Martin:
And we’ll see everybody on Monday.
