Jay Money:
Exactly, man. Let’s try to get to some cash today guys. Let’s go ahead and take a look at our best bet record for the season. It wasn’t really a good day yesterday. We probably should have just took the Nuggets, Josh, instead of trying to mess around with their team total. Which I think they should have cashed, that was the main thing that pissed me off. They had five or six minutes where they didn’t score a single point, they just got… I kind of worry about the Nuggets sometimes, they don’t really have that killer instinct.
But anyway, total of 929 picks. We have 478 wins, 432 losses as well. That’s good for 46 games over 500… 19 pushes as well, guys. But let’s go ahead and get over to game one… In game two in this one. We have the Denver Nuggets land eight and a half points at the house versus the Miami Heat and this one catching eight and a half on the road. If you’d like to go the moneyline route, the Denver Nuggets are laying minus 385 on the moneyline or you can get that plus 305 if you’d like to go with the Miami Heat to even this series up on the road and take over home court advantage. Over and under sitting at 214 and a half points.
We see a nice little adjustment there, Josh coming down from the 219 of the first game, I still think you could have went over. I think the Nuggets could have put up 125 if they wanted to. They just didn’t want to and that’s what bothers me about go ahead and blow a team out, send a message. You don’t have to have these offensive rules coming right out of the third quarter. No, after halftime they didn’t score for two straight minutes, right? Let the Heat go on a little run. After the third quarter they’re up 21 points. Man, they didn’t score for the first three minutes of the fourth quarter, let these guys go on a 11-0 run and the game was basically closed from there out. The Nuggets really could have rested their guys the last six minutes if they went ahead and tried to ball in their fourth quarter at least to start.
Jokić was out there and everything. Josh, there’s no excuse for that. It simply put, they got comfortable. That’s the Nuggets though Josh, but what do you think happens in this game two? Let’s talk about the side first. Say if you had to play the side on game two, would you be laying with the Nuggets or would you be looking towards taking the points with the Heat for a much closer game?
Josh C:
Yeah, I think I’d still be laying it with the Nuggets. Like I said, I just don’t know how much changed after game one. Everything kind of to an extent played out as we thought it would. I mean I was obviously on the Nuggets team total over like you said, I still think that it could have got there, but at the same time this was a bad spot for Miami that sort of came to the forefront. We got the regression from Miami shooters in a pretty heavy big way. I don’t think that’s necessarily going to keep happening through the rest of this series either. But for them it’s a matter of adjusting off court as it is on court. Hopefully they’re a little bit more accustomed to the altitude for game two. That’ll help with the shooters getting into rhythm a little bit more and I guess diminishing some of that fatigue that would’ve built up after those seven games against the Celtics.
The Nuggets offense, I mean I think they got basically everything that they wanted to get and they’re going to continue to do so. I still don’t know how Miami can really defend Jokić and that’s kind of the key to everything because that’s the first domino. And if he is able to get the ball where he wants on the inside, every time they tried to double he found the open man out on the perimeter, when they didn’t try to double he’s simply just too big for Adebayo to try and contain on his own. So that’s something that’s just going to continue I think in every single game. As a result, I think we’re going to consistently get games where Denver’s offense creates these high quality looks, their shot quality super high, their projected points are going to be very high as a result. The only thing I expect, like I said, is just a better shooting night from Miami and if they do that then yeah, this total has been over adjusted in a pretty big way I think.
So I grabbed the full game over, I grabbed the first half over. I think you see, especially in the first half I think we see Miami try and play that pace and space that was been so successful for them against Milwaukee and against Boston. That ultimately is going to be the only recipe for them I think to try and steal one on the road, which is to try and outscore Denver and to do that they have to be a lot more effective and efficient from beyond the arc but at the same time as well, I think they need a lot more from Jimmy Butler. He’ll recognize that as well. Not nearly as aggressive with the basketball, 14 field goal attempts is just not enough for him. If he’s able to really implement himself early in the game, that’s also just going to open up the space on the perimeter for those shooters as well to get much better looks especially from the corner.
So like I said, played the over full game, played the over halftime, think the over adjustments too much here. I think we actually get a faster paced game than what we did in game one coupled with some more efficiency as well from both teams shooting the basketball.
Jay Money:
Yeah, no I’m right there with you man. I feel like if the Heat… They have to try to push the pace a little bit more. They only shot two free throws in their game Alex, we definitely… I wish we could take the over free throws for the Heat. We know it’s going to be… They might have 20 this next time around. We know Jimmy’s going to get down there, he’s going to bait some vows. I was kind of looking for them in game one. I was wondering if he was actually playing in the game. Him and Caleb Martin out there. But only two free throws for the Heat in the whole game, that’s definitely not going to happen.
I think the Heat probably do enough to get over their team total and that’s going to propel the Nuggets to probably not take their foot off the gas and have to keep scoring as well. I actually think both teams go over their team total and obviously that means I like the full game over as well. Alex, if you had to bet a side in this game two, what do you think happens? The Nuggets did open up at minus nine, it’s come down to eight and a half, do you think that’s the right move?
Josh C:
I do. I think it’s just in general, it’s hard to make lines to this Miami team because you have these really wide variances in performances and a lot of that’s based off how they shoot threes and the number of threes they shoot. And that game went to me in a lot of ways looked like that classic. We just came in off game seven, we’ve been in on the altitude only for a couple of days. Jay, you’ve been living in Denver now, you know how long it takes to get accustomed to that and they were just exhausted. Now the Nuggets, like you guys said, played three great quarters. If you look at it, it sort of all falls apart in the fourth. Again, I want to go back and watch that to see if it was simply they just took out Jokić maybe a little too early.
The other guys really weren’t ready for that moment but it did seem like Denver could kind of do whatever they want but slowed up a little bit at the end. Again, I don’t expect that, I expect a better game for Miami. Like you said Jay, they’re not getting to the free throw line at all, points in the paint again for them. That was shocking to me, the two free throws but they were still able to have 38 points in the paint so I’m not quite sure what’s going on there. Maybe they get a few more whistles and things like that or just find again some ways to generate those easy points because they need to do that but they still shot 39 threes. I haven’t had a chance to take a look at what the quality of those threes were yet, but it’s kind of their game plan.
I think again, if they can come back in this second game, maybe be a little more adjusted, hopefully a little fresher. Erik Spoelstra’s going to figure something out. I’m curious to see what happens with the [inaudible 00:09:01] minutes. He was kind of interesting, somehow one way or the other, but at the first it’s going to be the first time Spoelstra has another coach that’s also thinking, so Malone’s going to change some stuff too here. If Porter Jr and Murray can be that good, Jokić does his thing and maybe Nuggets cleaned up a little bit and like you said Jay, make sure that they’re keeping their foot on the gas at the end of the game. It’s a little bit scary here and maybe that’s… Hopefully that’s a lesson that they’ve learned as opposed to something they’re going to try to do again. So I do, I like Miami inside the spread.
It’s just in general I show value on them when numbers this big, given what they can do. But I’m with you guys and instead of just overs, I’m just going to take Nuggets team total overs. I don’t know why all these numbers dropped like two, three points. The full game team total was 114 and a half. It was 111 and a half. I didn’t see the first half total but it should have been something like 58, 59. I’m looking at 57 and a half. The efficiency was there, they were doing whatever they wanted. The shooting was good but not spectacular and again the pace really bottomed out there at the end. So I took a first half and a full game team total over. I think both teams scored a bunch of points but definitely Denver.
Jay Money:
Yeah, I like it. I like it. Yeah, the Heat has some wide open threes that they missed. Well no, I mean getting used to the altitude, it’s not really just running up and down and you’re breathing as well. Your shooting is going to be a little different because your legs aren’t the same. So we saw a lot of those threes go off the front rim for the Heat there. I mean, even for the Nuggets as well, they were missing some threes as well. It’s almost like both teams were getting… So the Heat coming off the game seven but the Nuggets, they kind of seemed like they got a little tired because they hadn’t played a real basketball game in nine days. So both teams I think will be a little bit more acclimated in this game two of this series. And this one I think we see a little bit more running and gunning. And if you’re the Heat, you don’t want to keep playing.
I mean, your half court offense isn’t the best, you want to run and gun, try to get some paints, try to get to the paint, get some easy buckets before Jokić and Gordon get down there, which they’re not the best paint protectors in my opinion. So if I’m the Heat, I’ll try to push the pace and you’re going to get some wide open threes as well by doing it. So you got to at least push the pace a little bit more. Walking the ball up the floor, it’s not going to be great for a team that’s not the best half court offensive team in my opinion. We know the Heat are going to bring a defense but I mean the Nuggets, I just feel like they could do whatever they want to if they’re locked in this one. So that’s why I kind of just wanted to take both teams combined total over in this one.
But I’ll be honest, I do lean to the Heat. I do think that Spoelstra’s going to have something up their sleeves, they only have two full days off and already in the altitude, already play the game. Now you have two full days to practice and get ready for the Nuggets. So I think it’s going to come up with his sleeve. I think it’s going to have to be more offensively though in my opinion because defense, I mean it’s just not a ton you can do unless you’re going to start Bam and Zeller at the same time and then your offense is going to be ass.
Alex Christenson:
Worse.
Jay Money:
Yeah, so you can’t, but I’m saying it would be good for them defensively but it would be a lot worse of [inaudible 00:11:49]. My lady said last night, who’s that old guy out there? I already knew what she was talking about. She was talking about Cody Zeller. Just go ball my guy. Just go ball, man.
Alex Christenson:
Just sit, just sit down.
Jay Money:
But Josh, any other thoughts on this game my brother? What do you think? You liking some props or something or anything else? So you say you think the Nuggets here win by double digits. Once again, I personally, I feel like the Nuggets should… The line should be closer to six and a half. I said that in the first game, I did have a little some in the Nuggets but that was the spot where it’s going to be a blowout. You see what I’m saying? I don’t know if they should necessarily be laying eight and a half. We’ve seen the Nuggets just take their foot off the gas too many times. They could be up 15 going into the fourth quarter and you’re going to have to worry about them winning by nine or 10 points in my opinion. I give a slight edge to the Heat here in this game two, plus the boatload of points here Josh.
Josh C:
Yeah, I think ultimately it just comes down to, I would still have Denver, I think it’s between sort of four and a half, five on a neutral court. So I still think that their home court’s probably worth more than most and so eight and a half to nine makes perfect sense for me. In terms of lines I wouldn’t adjust too much there. For props, I mean the only thing I would continue to say is as much as it pains me, I still think it’s a Bam Adebayo series for Miami. I know we saw in game one how effective he was and for Miami to waste such a productive game from him is never a good thing because you don’t know how often they’re going to come around. But at the same time I just think he’s got the most favorable matchup. Like you said, this is the one matchup where he doesn’t have to worry about a true rim presence.
On the opposite side, he’s dealt with [inaudible 00:13:23] and Rob Williams, he’s dealt with Mitchell Robinson and Isaiah Hartenstein, he’s dealt with Brook Lopez and Giannis Antetokounmpo for a certain extent in that first series as well. So this is the one where I think he can sort of implement what he wants to do offensively without as much resistance as what he’s had to deal with in the playoffs so far. So for me, I think you just expect good games from him. I think his points total and then his points rebounds assist total as a result, his usage is going to be a little bit higher, his involvement’s going to be a little bit higher in the offense. So that’s probably the one player I’d really keep attacking in terms of player props with this series.
Jay Money:
Yeah, Bam has an advantage. So the way that Jokić can… The way Bam can’t guard Jokić, Jokić really can’t guard Bam. I mean I tell people, they don’t like to hear it but Jokić is not the best defender. He’s not the fastest at moving his feet, which is the main thing you need for defense. So he’s an absolutely great, probably the best offensive, definitely the best offensive [inaudible 00:14:17] that we have in the league. But defense, I do think that there’s points to be had. We saw Bam kind of cooking them time and time again. I definitely think they could have some success there.
Alex, any props you’d like? You thinking maybe Aaron Gordon continues to assert his dominance [inaudible 00:14:33] or maybe Bam Adebayo. We know that Jimmy’s coming next game, I’ll tell you that right now. My guy’s going to make sure he shoots at least 14 free throws. So I don’t think Jimmy Butler is a bad look as far as points in game two to be honest with you. Alex, any thoughts on any props or anything else that you’d like to say on this game two?
Josh C:
Talking about Bam, it’s the 0.3 [inaudible 00:14:54] assist for him. I just play that every single game to the over. And you’re right Jay, it’s a combination of not only Jokić not being a great defender, but him acknowledging it. You watch him, he moves out of the way sometimes. He’ll take a swipe at the ball as you’re going by, maybe try to tip it when it’s in the air, but he never really bodies anybody up. He’s not trying to take charges or anything like that and that’s great for Bam, that’s where he thrives. He’s really fast, he’s just going to keep getting a lot of production. What I thought was interesting and it seemed like a choice by Denver, they really are trying to get the ball out of Butler’s hand. Gordon was up on top of him, saw them not really quite doubling but shading towards him.
I mean as you look down here and it’s odd to say this, Gabe Vincent, I thought he looked a little gun shy early. He shot the ball 14 times, he shot 10 threes and there was a couple more that honestly I thought he should have gotten up. You look at Strus, oh for nine from three. Duncan Robinson a tough game, for whatever reason Robinson seems to be in these games where all of a sudden he’s in the way and he’s always the one standing there getting some sort of ticky tack stuff. It’s very odd what seems to happen to him, but either way one of those guys is going to be a little bit better. So honestly I would start to look at some of these Heat secondary players. I know generally they do better once they get back home, but again coming off that game seven, not having enough time to adjust.
I don’t know what lines they normally hang say for Strus, normally hang for say Caleb Martin, but I would look to maybe play their PARs over, at least their points or threes over some stuff like that. And I agree Jay, I would look at Butler but just look at his alts like give me some really big numbers, whatever 35, 40 is stack it up like that because either he goes way over or Denver again comes out, gets the ball out of his hands some more and we see some of these secondary guys pop. So yeah, I’m looking for secondary guys on the Heats three pointers overs and things like that. But Bam PRA is probably the easiest bet you’ll make every game.
Jay Money:
Yeah, that’s a great point. Hey I’m just saying, I did say that Caleb Martin on his points yesterday on the show, this fucker went out there had three points. He only played 24 minutes because [inaudible 00:16:47] basically like, this ain’t his game right here but they locked him up man. I said it. The Celtics were disrespecting him. The Nuggets are watching like okay we got to make sure this guy is not the third best player. We got to make sure he’s not going off for 20, 25 points and getting comfort in this one. They took him out of the game all the way but I’d like to see what they hang Highsmith’s numbers at. I feel like he’s going to be the Caleb Martin possibly this series.
Alex Christenson:
[inaudible 00:17:12] Highsmith’s numbers.
Jay Money:
They probably won’t because… I don’t know though. You never know and let me get six and a half points or something with Highsmith and I’m taking that shit. I’m taking that right now. Let me get…
Alex Christenson:
Some 10 plus.
Jay Money:
Let me get something on that man. But yeah, with the Jimmy, yeah I think it’s points that over 27 and a half I just take that and I always say I know it’s good value when you’re getting up there on your laddering but I like to just kind of say I just need them to cash that bet. I’ll put enough on it to where it’s… You know what I’m saying? To where, hey, it is like plus money, do you know what I’m saying? But all right, Josh rocking with the over in this one, over 214 and a half, he’s also taking the first half over as well. When the undertaker is taking the overs, you better take no guys. Josh taking first half over, what is it? 110 and a half and he is also taking the full game over 214 and a half.
Give me the over 214 and a half as well. I think both teams go over their team total so that means that equals are over right there. I think we see a lot more foul calls for the Heat and I’ll be honest, I mean a few of those plays the fouls probably could have went either way. Bam, getting knocked around and stuff. The few fouls on Duncan Robinson were kind of touched fouls so I do think that the ref was kind of one sided in game one and they still only won the game by 11 points. I think the Heat might shoot 20 free throws in this game two. And our guy Alex is rocking with the… What are you on Alex? First half team total over for the Nuggets and full game over team total for the Nuggets as well. Guys, pop those graphics up guys. We’re recapping the NBA picks right now. Josh on the over. I’m on the over. Okay and then Alex on the first half and the full game over in [inaudible 00:18:46] guys.
Let’s get to some questions in this one. We always have great questions in the chat in this one. Our first question up. Aaron Rise says, hey guys, do you like Murray for 37 and a half PRA? Not if Highsmith is on him. Josh, what do you think about Jamal Murray possibly going over his PRA in game two?
Josh C:
Yeah, I mean he was another one who kind of had his way in game one. I actually like to look at his assist total again, he had 10 in the first game. I think he’s going to pretty much average probably seven to eight I think this series, just looking at how they’re running that offense and the success that Jokić is going to have as a scorer, not just as a playmaker as well. So those pick and rolls are going to be very successful for them all series. I think it was five and a half his assists for game one. I imagine it’s probably going to be the same again for game two. Maybe it’s a little bit more juice but you could probably play some alts there as well because like I said, I probably anticipate him to have some very high assists numbers throughout this one. So wouldn’t be against this PRA but particularly his assist numbers as stand out to me.
Jay Money:
That’s a great point. Hey, the Nugget’s going to need Jokić or Murray to go off in my opinion. [inaudible 00:19:51] and Alex, what do you think about Jamal Murray possibly going over his 37 and a half points on rebounds, or assists?
Alex Christenson:
Yeah, I think Murray overs are a nice be for this series. The Heat and again, unless Highsmith comes out and looks amazing again for some reason I just don’t really seem to have a guy that can slow him down for whatever reason. So whether it be points, I like what Josh is saying in terms of assist. I was surprised given how much the Heat seemed to be trying to force the ball out of Jokić’s hands that Murray was still able to get assist but that team just moves the ball so stinking well that Jokić, I would love to know what his [inaudible 00:20:23] assist number was because it seems like it’s just bing bang open three over and over and over again.
And Porter Junior had 14 points and somehow it was only two for 11 from three. That’s going to get better. There should be honestly more opportunities for Murray to assist. So I like what Josh said, I think if you look at points and assist or just the assist, play six plus, play eight plus, you can do 10 plus in some places. Just get fun with it and you’ll get some big numbers a couple nights.
Jay Money:
Yeah, that was a great point. Yeah, MPJ definitely missed some kind of wide open threes. I definitely expect… If he’s going to continue to take 10 of the same shot quality or the same quality shots that he had, he’s going to be making four or five of those for sure man. But I say, it was both teams that was kind of a bad spot. That’s why it was such a funky game, why the Heat came off game seven, the Nuggets had been off and just basically practicing against themselves for the last nine days. So it was a little bit of adjustment period for them. We kind of see them somewhat kind of run out of gas in the fourth quarter of knowing as well. I just want to keep that in mind for everybody. I think game two both teams will look a lot better offensively. You probably won’t see that many clinks as we did but I still feel like Nuggets should have got over their team total if it wasn’t for them not scoring. [inaudible 00:21:33] scored 20 points in the fourth quarter. So there was some BS right there man.
But next question up, Julian Marin says, what’s up guys? Thoughts on Miami first quarter moneyline plus 160? Josh, what do you think? You think the Heat would be a little bit more acclimated to the… Josh’s like I don’t know if I like that man, but do you think they’ll be a little bit more acclimated to the altitude and things like that and possibly to come out here with a lot better effort like the Lakers did in game two?
Josh C:
They will but I think one thing that we’ve kind of all echoed throughout this show is just the fact that Denver’s just going to keep getting theirs. I think I just don’t see a way where Miami’s able to generate enough stops. So as good as Miami might be offensively and as improved as they may be scoring the basketball, it’s just a really big ask for them on the road to try and stop this Denver team. So I don’t have any interest in taking Miami in any which way on the road at the moment. This Denver team hasn’t lost a single home game these playoffs, I don’t think it’s going to happen in game two. So for me that price isn’t particularly appealing and I just think that they’d be better spots and situations to back Miami, maybe with some alts back at home versus what they’re going to have to deal with on the road.
Jay Money:
I’ll be honest, I wouldn’t be surprised if the Heat did come out with something here. I wouldn’t be surprised. I would probably lean more towards the first half in my opinion but I would be taking the points. I know it looks like good value but we talked about this yesterday on the show. Value can look good all day long. If it doesn’t win you’re not getting back that value. You see what I’m saying? So I hope that makes sense. You need the ROI to come through for you for the value to actually matter, just because you’re taking a play pregame and saying it’s valuable, if it doesn’t win, it wasn’t good value because you still lost your money there.
So me personally, if I’m taking the first quarter I’d go ahead and take the points. If it’s a tie you cash, if it’s one or two right, you get the cash there. So I mean if they lose the first quarter by one you’re going to be pissed, I’m telling you. Personally my advice would be if they’re giving you points, always take them just for the insurance. Alex, what’s your thoughts on possibly the Heat? [inaudible 00:23:38] cover the first quarter plus 160 in game two in Denver?
Alex Christenson:
Well I will say just in general you hear a lot of people throw on the term value anytime there’s a plus number in front of something. Just because it’s a plus money doesn’t mean it’s value. There are tons and tons and an endless amount of bad bets that you can make it better than even odds. So just make sure that you’re thinking about it always in terms of probabilities and not just pluses or minuses. It can get a little confusing. But to make this even easier, I’m not touching Miami in the first quarter. You’re looking at one of the best first quarter teams all season, one of the best first quarter teams in the playoffs, one of the best first quarter teams at home against one of the worst first quarter teams, regular season, postseason. We’ve seen time and time again.
Even in these games when Miami plays well, there is a period of warming up if you will and then I don’t know what it is, maybe it’s because it’s an older team, maybe it’s because they’re kind of lying in weight and a lot of the value that the Heat have, what Spoelstra can do in terms of adjustments mid-game and things like that that you don’t… It just doesn’t really translate to first quarter success.
So I wouldn’t touch Miami in the first quarter here. I think especially given how Denver kind of had a sluggish finish to the fourth quarter there. If you’re Malone, you’re putting up that on the bulletin board, they’re going to come out and start hot again. You saw how that arena got so unless maybe you’re watching, it looks like Miami is moving well and the threes are dropping, you have a chance to scoop it live. It’s Denver pass for me in the first quarter honestly.
Jay Money:
Yeah, I’ll tell you one part, I do have a problem with Malone. I know that he said that they kind of lit up but I mean they still won that game by 11 points. I’ll tell you right now the type of coach that Malone is, the fact that they won that game by double digits, he’s not making a ton of adjustments and I don’t think he’s the best motivator of his team as well. Obviously this is probably one of the best overall teams in the NBA. I’m still not… I mean he’s not nowhere near as bad as Missoula but Malone doesn’t really make adjustments like that and coming off a win I can kind of see them doing the same thing, just kind of go with your matchup advantages. I mean they have the better overall team. It’s basically just picking which player is going to have that night.
But as far as the coach motivating the team or telling them, hey look, we have to come out a lot better, so I don’t think Malone is that guy. I think they’re going to come out and play the exact same type of game. And in saying that, that’s why I think I am giving the Heat a small chance to possibly cover this game and it could be early to where… Because like I said game two, first the Lakers, what happened? Game one they were up, the Nuggets were up heavy, they came back, made it super close. The Lakers came out there and if I’m not mistaken they had to lead at the end of the first quarter and the first half as well and then the Nuggets basically had to come back and steal the game. I could almost see the exact same thing coming back here in my opinion, as long as the Heat come in this game locked in defensively and we got to talk about them making shots.
Like you said Alex, if they’re knocking down threes early, I wouldn’t be surprised if they had the lead early in this game. It’s one of those where the Nuggets over the course of the full game, that’s when they really use the altitude to their advantage and knowing where teams can kind of run out of gas. So I mean personally Julian, I would just take the points if you do like the Heat in the first quarter, but I am leaning towards first half and full game for the Heat first quarter. I’m off of a lot of variance in first quarter but that’s probably why he’s saying I’ll just take a shot with that plus 160 because any team could get hot in the first quarter but mainly the main point, I definitely don’t expect the Heat to be a deer in the headlights as far as Gordon going off. I think he was like six for six maybe six for six in that first quarter.
That’s not happening. I mean they came out there, Vincent was on the island there guys, so I just do think that we don’t see the Heat being in that horrible of a spot game two. I couldn’t talk you off of it my guy, but always take the points. If they’re going to give me three points in the first quarter, whole three pointer, I’m taking it all day long if I think that they can win the first quarter my guy, that’s how I would look at it man. But anything else Josh that you’ll be looking at? Doesn’t look like we have any more questions. Anything else you’re looking at? You ready to go ahead and recap the best bet, my brother?
Josh C:
Yeah, nothing else for me. Like I said, there’s not a lot I don’t think I learned in game one so it’s hard to anticipate too much different from game two. I think this will probably be the game that tells us a little bit more about the series and what game one did.
Jay Money:
Exactly. That’s a fact there. Alex, any other thoughts on you on game two of the NBA finals?
Alex Christenson:
Yeah, just maybe to wrap in general. I think there’s a lot of stuff that we agreed on. Game two looks like an over full game. If you’re going to play props, lean towards overs, if you’re going to play props, look for alt overs and things like that. It does feel like the pace is going to be a little bit better than even what we saw in that first game. And if Denver can again keep their foot on the gas of that fourth quarter, Miami is going to make more shots. There’s going to be more points in these games. It feels like an over series and I think we’re just going to get lucky here and I’ll have better numbers in game two thanks to game one.
Jay Money:
Exactly. That’s usually what happens, man. The zigzag sometimes it works on the total and it works on the spread as well. So we’ve seen it time and time again. Like in game one versus the Lakers, the first game flew over the total, then they over adjusted and then the second one went way under. I kind of feel like we’re going to get the opposite in this one. We just kind of love how that happens. The game went way under. Okay, let’s bring the total down five points. I don’t agree with that guys.
Let’s go over here and recap the best bets and let us let you know why we don’t agree with it. We’re rocking with the overs in this one. Josh said, I’m no undertaker today, don’t call me that today. Give me the Heat/ Nuggets over 214 and a half. He’s also taking the first half over 110 half. I’m going over taker as well today. Give the over. I think both teams go over their team total. I think we see a little bit more pace, a lot more free throws, especially on the Heat side. Going to push this game probably over 220 points and our guy, Alex says he’s liking some overs as well man. We’re going to overtime in this one. Our guy Alex, Nuggets team total over 111 and a half for the full game and he’s also taken the first half Nuggets team total over 58 as well. Let’s get this cash. If it’s a nice day, if it’s a overlooking game, we’re going to be well over the 50 game win mark for the season.
Guys, let’s try to close out. You know what? Now we got to set the bar to 60. Now we got to end the season on 60 wins. We’re never getting too comfortable. We’re trying to get some cash for ourselves, for you guys as well. Guys, I’m your host Jay Money. That’s our guy Josh. That’s our guy Alex as well, man. We’re here Monday through Friday breaking you guys off with our best NBA bets and also go check out the Bet US sportsbook as well.
They had a nice odds boost yesterday for [inaudible 00:29:45] to get a triple double plus the win. They boosted it from plus 120 to plus 170. That one cashed. I hope you guys got in on it. I’m sure we got plenty of other odds boosts as well man. Go check us out. Make sure you guys are following us on Twitter as well. We will be back on Monday or Tuesday. One of those. We’ll be back next week guys. Check it out. We will be back. Let’s get some cash. Have a great day, great weekend, all that good stuff. We will win guys. Let’s go.
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