Alex:
Happy Monday everybody and welcome back to the BetUS NBA show. I’m your host Alex “Noops” Christenson and joining me as always, two of the very best basketball handicappers you’ll find in the Twitterverse. We’ve got Skee Profit on one side, Chris Farley, Bets Farley on the other. Gentlemen, the NBA season is chugging along. Great week for the show last week. We were 25 and 14. Love to see that. As the year goes along, I’ll start with you this time, Skee. Do you find that as the year goes along you do better? Do things maybe level out a little bit? What is kind of the general feel for you as the NBA seasons goes along?
Skee:
Yeah, this is a easy question for me. It’s been the same way for as long as I can remember, but I’ve always been a slow starter in the year. It’s like the first month or two were the toughest and I’m having a hard time and then, once it turns to January, it’s like a whole new ballgame. January, February, March, it’s like a goldmine. So that’s what I’m waiting for. We kind of know who these teams are at that point. I’m kind of starting to feel that way already. So, yeah. Looking forward to NBA.
Alex:
Yeah, it makes sense. The longer you go, the more data you have, the more serious the games get. Now Chris, you have another thing, and Skee, not that you just bet NBA, but Chris, I know you’re pretty heavy to the NFL and all the other stuff that’s going on this time of year, so is this a tough time of the year for the NBA? You’re just trying to get through football season. What is the flow of your NBA year like?
Chris Farley:
Yeah, it’s a great question and I kind of echo what Skee said. January through March has been historically my best months in the NBA and usually in the past, I think I’ve navigated this time of the season better than I have this year. The problem with this season for me, I mean, I’m doing well, but not as well as I used to in previous seasons, is I started off really hot the first week or two and I was like, “Oh, I’m really good at this.” Right from the onset and I didn’t express the same caution that I usually do at the start of the year.
So that’s kind of settled down a little bit, but January through March for me too and I do think a big part of that is because football season’s over, can solely focus on the hardwood, so to speak. So anxiously awaiting the turn of the calendar year, but I think maybe things will start to settle down a little bit now too, because last week in the NBA for me, that great record we had on the show, it wasn’t because of me folks, it was all these other guys winning a lot last week. So hopefully, I’m back on that train.
Alex:
They say the NBA season doesn’t start until Christmas and that’s good news because as always, let’s start the show today, we’ll take a look at the show’s record. We’re just below .500 and as you heard those guys just mention, things are only going to get better from here again. 25 and 14 last week. So we’ve already started to turn things around a bit. Most of us with a winning record here, the rest of us trying as hard as we can to get above .500. Things are going to get better and it’s only up and on from there. Let’s get into our first game today. We’ll start with the Miami Heat. They visit the Indiana Pacers tonight. The Pacers, three point underdogs at home. The total is 228. The Pacers on the moneyline, plus 130 if you like the home dog and I do. I think this is a great spot for Indiana.
This Miami team has really struggled this season, not only on the court but off the court with all these injury issues. Yes, I know that Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler and Tyler Herro will be playing, but just about everybody else is either out or nicked up here. Just a really tough spot. You go back and look the last three games, the Miami Heat lost to the Detroit Pistons and the San Antonio Spurs. Something just isn’t right down in South Beach and this team really struggles. My model had the Pacers here as a short favorite. Tyrese Haliburton is back at this point, still no Chris Duarte, but as long as Haliburton, Myles Turner are healthy along with some of these other guys, I really struggle to see how the Pacers aren’t at least a small favorite here at home. So I’m going to take the three points. Chris, what did you think of this game?
Chris Farley:
Yeah, I think you’re onto something here, Alex. I don’t want to play the game only because the Heat are a team right now that I’m just not betting their games because of some of the inconsistency I’m seeing and it’s interesting, they’re sitting at 12 and 15. This is a team that I think at the start of the season, a lot of people said, “Well, they’re going to regress this year. They’re not going to have as good of a overall performance, not as consistent this year.” And we’ve kind of seen that. They’re usually kind of road warriors, too. They do better on the road. They’re three and nine away from Miami this year and this is the type of team that gives them trouble, right? Smaller teams who like to run the floor, very proficient on offense. Sometimes Miami just looks on the court to me almost like a Lakers team.
It’s just the same figures there year in and year out, kind of getting old, seeing the same old thing over there, whereas a team like the Pacers are kind of exciting, fast. Halliburton back certainly is a big difference for them and the Pacers already beat them in a game earlier in November, I believe and they didn’t even shoot the ball that exceptionally well. They just shot it better than Miami and they were the better team on that day. So this is a good spot for Indiana at home. I would have to lean in your direction Al, just not playing Heat games right now.
Alex:
Yeah, it makes perfect sense to me. And Skee, maybe what do you think of this game and just the Heat in general, too? You look at a team, was in the Eastern conference finals last year, could have easily been a finals team and comes into this season again, age comes for everybody and maybe that’s kind of the simple explanation, but what do you think of this game and Miami in general?
Skee:
Well, when I first looked at this game, Al, I was thinking like you here and I wanted to find reasons to try and back Indiana. I know Miami is 3-9 straight up on the road, so laying points with them doesn’t seem like a smart idea and the Pacers 8-5 straight up and against the spread at the house. So when I look at it black and white like that and I remember the stretch where Pacers were just playing bad was this super long road trip. Before that, all those games at the house, they were really good. So I look at that and I want to bet the Pacers, but I’m like, “Why are the heat still a favorite here?”
Something about that to seemed fishy to me. So I was typing in queries to see what I came up with and it just makes me think maybe this Heat team is finally going to come to play tonight. I mean, they’re 12-15, they need to start winning some games and the query that I chugged in there was home dogs that have a greater win percentage than their opponent and their opponent is off of a loss. They are 40.7% against the spread, that says fade the Pacers tonight. So I just didn’t get involved, but I really was trying my hardest to back the Pacers.
Alex:
Well, I didn’t like that last part, but the rest of it, I couldn’t agree more with. It does seem like a nice spot for Indiana, so let’s update buck that trend. I guess the only other fly in the ointment, not the best rest spot for Indiana. They are at home. But it’s a three and four, it’s also a six and nine, but again, still have the Pacers a small favorite. So just one play for the team here. I’m going to take the three points, give me the Pacers plus three and take some money and put it on the moneyline. I played the plus 130 as well. Again, have to when I have favorites. I love that plus money, it’s always fun. Let’s jump into the next game, the Brooklyn Nets visit the Washington Wizards. The Nets pretty solid favorites here. Their line is six.
I’ve been taking a little bit of money, opened up at four and a half, five. Seem like they’ve settled a little bit here at six. I’ll check in a second to see if that’s moved any more. The total at 227 and that’s the angle I like here. Have played quite a few wizards unders here on the show the last couple weeks and I’m going to continue. The Wizards have been a great under team without Bradley Beal this year. The offense changes, the pace really slows down. Kristaps Porzingis, while still an efficient player on offense, does not drive a lot of pace, does not drive a lot of offensive rebounds. Things that you’re looking for in terms of overs and much to my surprise, the Nets, even with Kyrie Irving, continue to be one of the slower paced teams in the NBA the last couple of weeks. I think part of it is maybe just from a game planning perspective, the Nets acknowledging how bad they’ve been in transition and trying to quell that a little bit, but everything points to me towards a much slower pace than I think this line is indicating here. What do you think of this game, Skee?
Skee:
Yeah, maybe it’s a good thing that I stayed off here if you like the under, because when I was capping this morning, I was thinking the other way and my reason was because you have the second worst and third worst three point defenses and both of these teams kind of middle of the pack as far as pace. I just was looking at the last two weeks, what they’ve been producing, road and home. Now, the Nets only played one road game and I think it might have been an overtime game and Washington played three, but they’re 4-0 to the over and those games combined to average around 257.7 points. So it gets us well over what we’re looking at tonight, but I don’t know. I just felt a little iffy about this one too and I didn’t get it in and I see the numbers creeping down now, so maybe it’s for good reason.
Alex:
Yeah, I think what you were talking about, that was the one thing that maybe scared me just a little bit. If those three point shots start to fall, especially early, things could get a little funky, but again, like the under here. Chris, what do you think of this game?
Chris Farley:
Yeah, a few things going on here. Wizard’s obviously a tough team to trust right now. They lost the last six games, nine out of their last 10 games. Some of that is Bradley Beal being out of the mix. I don’t think the wizards are at their best when it’s Kuzma and Porzingis that are leading their scoring ability. Some of the points that you already mentioned, Alex. I think it kind of throws off their rhythm a little bit, more of a rhythm based team. We’ve seen that from the Wizards a lot in the past, how fast they like to run. It’s not composed the same way now, the roster, but I still think Beal brings back some of that efficiency that we remember from games past and the Nets defense has kind of regressed a little bit for me, allowing too many point totals.
So, I mean, I would have to lean to the Nets here, but I guess it’s slightly better spot for the Wizards at home off of all these losses and the Wizards have yet to beat the Nets this year, right? This is going to be their third game, so maybe they play a little bit harder in this one. So nothing on this game for me, but I can’t fault you on the under, especially when you talk about tempo. Tempo, these teams are going to have to be very efficient I think to hit that over tonight. So I think probabilities are definitely on your side in this one, Alex.
Alex:
I saw Rah Rah share a stat of the chat there. That’s kind of an interesting… But wondering if you’re honing in on a little too… Either a long of a timeframe or too exact spot if you guys didn’t see that. Overs look pretty good for the Wizards when they’re at home as underdogs between five and 10. So maybe a little more specific than I’d want to be in some of those queries, but again, a good reason maybe not to be too excited either way. I’m still going to take the under. Hope we see a slow pace game tonight and not too many made three pointers. 227 or higher, give me the under there. Atlanta, Memphis, our third game up here. The Hawks visit the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies, eight point favorites. The total of 227 and a half. Atlanta still without Dejounte Murray. Again, Grizzlies eight point favorites. The total sits at 227 and a half. We’ll start with you, Chris. What was your angle on this game?
Chris Farley:
Yeah, so I liked the over in this one and then, it ticked down a little bit, so that’s a little spooky, but looks like the Atlanta Hawks finally released their injury report, which I’ve been waiting on all day. That just came out at 2:30. And so, we still have Dejounte Murray out, John Collins is still out. Trae Young is questionable but Collins and Dejounte Murray especially, right? Two important defensive players for this team. They played last night, they played on Sunday, they got a win there at the very end. Did that game go into overtime or is that just a late fourth quarter experience? I forget, but it was a tough, hard fought game until the end. So the Hawks are coming off a back to back. Usually there’s less defense in a game like that and we’ve seen what this Memphis Grizzlies team can do when they’re at home without some of their key stars.
Ja Morant is questionable. We’ll see if he plays in this game. Desmond Bane obviously out, but this group at home is not a team to be messed with. They run the floor fast, they have a lot of chemistry. So I think this is an obvious overplay. We’ve seen that from Grizzlies before at home, especially when they’re without some of their stars and Atlanta’s defense, I don’t think it’s going to be that crisp, but Atlanta’s been flailing a little bit recently, so they’re going to want to win this game but they’re going to want to win it with offense. So I think this goes into the 230s. I have it at 234, so I will gladly take the over.
Alex:
Yeah, I like that over. There should be a good chance for a lot of points tonight. Think I would rather Trae Young be playing, but I think even if he’s out, you’ll see the pace that you need tonight. Now, the Atlanta Hawks on the road, so I think we know what Skee’s going to do. Skee, why don’t you tell us?
Skee:
Yeah, I keep picking on these Atlanta Hawks. I think majority of people, just like you guys, probably know which direction I’m looking. So we’ve talked about the drama going on with these guys, with the teammates not liking each other, with the coaching and Trae Young, et cetera, but this is just a really tough spot for Atlanta. I think it’s, what? The third game in four nights here, coming off of an overtime game and that’s why you see the injury report like it is. They’re going to be ruling some of these guys out. I know Bogdan has gotten ruled out and Chris, that’s why the total’s dropping because everybody’s on the injury report. Trae Young, questionable. Capella, questionable. So if those guys don’t go, I mean, Atlanta’s already not a deep team. I don’t know how many of those guys on the bench that I trust compared to a Memphis team where it’s kind of the opposite.
I know they lost a couple guys this off-season, but they’re still deep. I wasn’t really worried if Ja didn’t play. I know he’s game-time decision, but you can go back to last season, when they’re at the house, specifically without Ja Morant, they’re 11-3 straight up and 1-0 this season. In all of them, they won by more than the seven points that I was capping this morning. I see now, it’s moved all the way up to nine and a half here but I just think it’s an advantageous spot for the Grizzlies. At the house so far this season, they are 10-3 against the spread, winning by about a little bit over 10 points per game and the last two weeks at the house, think they’re 4-0 straight up and against the spread, winning by 12 points per game.
So I like what I’m seeing from Memphis. I don’t like Atlanta. Don’t like the spot for them. You have to rock with Memphis tonight on the full game in my opinion and you have to like them early. I mean, Atlanta so far 3-10 if I’m not mistaken in the first half on the road with around a minus 1.5 or 1.6 margin and for the Grizzlies, they’re the opposite. They’re 9-3-1 in the first half against the spread at the house with a plus 7.3 margin. So Grizzlies early and often is the move for tonight and I do think with the spot that Atlanta’s in, they probably have more advantage the longer the game goes on.
Alex:
Yeah, thanks Joe in the chat. We agree, will not get you started on the Hawks. In fact, we’re going to go the other way. Skee’s going to play Memphis here. Lay the points, first half and full game. It makes perfect sense. Atlanta’s 11-16 against the spread this year, just 5-8 on the road. Chris is going to take the over, 227 and a half. Again, some of these numbers have moved, but take a look. It’s Grizzlies in the over tonight, that’s what we like. Let’s jump into the next game. The Cleveland Cavaliers visit the San Antonio Spurs. The Cavaliers, of course, big favorites here. Seven and a half, minus 300 on the moneyline. The total is at 219 and Spurs, beat down season is on and I don’t mean the Spurs winning by a lot, I mean the Spurs getting beat by a lot. Despite those last couple wins there, really tough spots for their opponents.
San Antonio was able to somehow snooker the Houston Rockets, who again, aren’t terribly good and maybe not trying as well and they did beat the aforementioned disappointing Miami Heat, but you go back and look before then, continued to lose over and over and over again. None of these games have been close. The injury report for San Antonio continues to get better every single night. I have absolutely all the faith in the world in this Cleveland team. Looks like Donovan Mitchell might play. Whether he plays or not, I’m happy to lend the points to the Cavaliers. Continue to be one of the best teams in the NBA as long as they have Mobley, Allen and one of those two big star guards. So, I’m going the points. Give me the Cavs minus seven and a half. Now Skee, you have kind of another anti-San Antonio angle but it’s a little different. What do you think?
Skee:
Yeah. Well, I have to rock with… And this is another one that’s been moving. So the same way I told Alex and Chris before the show, I’ve been up since 12:30 AM capping and betting these games and these numbers continue to move up to the minute till the show is starting. So this one, I made two bets. The first one is San Antonio team total under and it was 109. I think it’s down to about maybe… What is it? 106 now. And I still think I like it at that number there, just because you’re looking at what Cleveland’s been allowing the last two weeks. It’s only 97.1 points per game and all eight of those games have stayed under. So I’m looking at what… My bad. I’m looking at San Antonio.
Alex:
You have the Spurs team total under, then the full game under.
Chris Farley:
I think Skee left us.
Alex:
We may have just lost Skee there. Let’s give him a second to try to snap back in. Okay, Skee likes the unders here, the full game under and then, the Spurs team total under. Chris, did you have any thoughts here?
Chris Farley:
Well, I might look at Jarett Allen props. I know that’s really not my shtick on the show, but without Jakob Poetl in there and in a game where maybe Donovan Mitchell misses this contest, might be more of an onus for points on Jared Allen. And we’ve seen since he’s come back healthy, this guy might be the most important piece for the Cavaliers game to game, just for what he does with them on defense, obviously. Interior scoring as well. So I’m probably going to look at Jarett Allen props. I think probably Cleveland over and San Antonio under looks are pretty good looks as well. Can’t argue with anything that you guys said. The other night when the Spurs won, I think some of that had to do with a certain coach, a legendary coach in the NBA, celebrating some kind of historic landmark in his career and I’m not sure what it is off the top of my head, but the Spurs had a reason to rally in that game.
They’re not going to have a lot of reasons to rally here moving forward, so can’t blame either of you for this pick. Last night, I was capping this too and I completely forget why I love the Cavs and then, I talked myself out of it. And to be honest with you guys, because this is a life of a capper, you heard Skee was up at 12:30 this morning, sometimes that’s what happens. We’re just constantly looking at these games. I forget why I’m not on it, but can’t blame you guys for being on the Cavs.
Alex:
It’s tough. You’re up at the late hours. This NBA handicapping stuff is rough. It should be more like the NFL with a week off in between games. I digress. I’m going to take the Cavaliers here, minus seven and a half. Skee having some technological issues. Might be back, might not before the end of the show. He likes the unders here. Full game under and then, the Spurs team total under. Let’s jump into the last game here on our rundown and of course, if you have questions about anything else, dump them in the chat. We love the Q and A segment. That’ll be up next. The Boston Celtics visit the Los Angeles Clippers. Celtics, three and a half point favorites here, minus 160 on the moneyline. The total sitting at 224 and a half. It’s always been tough with this Clippers team, but it looks like we’re going to have Kawhi Leonard and Paul George tonight. The Celtics injury report looks pretty clean. Should be a pretty fun game here tonight. No NBA picks for me in this one, but let’s start with you, Chris. What are the sides you like?
Chris Farley:
I’m going to play on the Celtics off that response from Saturday’s poor performance. I mean, I guess it wasn’t a poor performance all around, but let’s talk a little bit about Jayson Tatum. Listen, Jayson Tatum’s a good dude. His son is really cute. I want the guy to succeed but it’s like, you got to step up in those big game situations in a huge spot against a team like the Warriors in a revenge game and he just did not do that, so I would actually look at some Tatum props tonight. I know he’s facing a Clippers team that’s now healthier than usual but Kawhi Leonard’s not fully back to health. He’s playing some more minutes in these games but he is really not producing at the level that he has before. It’s a tougher spot for the Clippers because they’re off a very long road trip and now, they’re back home, right at that first game and sometimes, that is just a very sleepy spot.
And the Celtics are going to want to respond after that game, right? That was a nationally televised game, a key game for all of us to watch, a NBA finals matchup and they really didn’t step up. I mean, the Warriors, who have not looked like a great team this year, dominated that game really from start to finish. So the Celtics, they’re going to want to get right on the West Coast. They’ve been on the West Coast. I don’t think this is as bad of a spot for them. So at a short line, this is still a story about a really great team against a Clippers team that isn’t quite there yet and Kawhi working his way into the rotation. I think this is going to have to be a crazy Paul George performance tonight for the Clippers to even have a shot, as long as the Celtics play at their full ability like they usually do. So I’m going Celtics minus three and a half.
Alex:
Yeah, the Celtics seem to be the best team basketball as long as they’re not playing the Golden State Warriors and thankfully, they are not tonight. Skee, it’s nice to see you back. You got your laptop plugged in. We all good to go?
Skee:
Yeah, my bad. I saw it dying out and it distracted me. That’s my bad, you guys.
Chris Farley:
That’s hat happens when you’re up all night capping, Skee. So, yeah.
Alex:
Laptop gets tired too. So, Chris likes the Celtics here minus three and a half, it sounds like you do as well, on top of another angle. Why don’t you break it down for us here real quick?
Skee:
Yeah, well he said you’d like them to respond after that loss, but also a thing to like is they lost to this Clippers team the last couple times they faced them, so a little bit of a double revenge spot. Just couple that with them bouncing back from a regular loss and just a query here, road favorites off of a loss versus opponents off of a win. Very simple. I think this one goes back to about 2012. I have them at 61.9% against the spread. So it seems like the ideal spot for Celtics. It does usually worry me when I see teams play the next day, which the Celtics do, but I was just looking it up so far this season, road favorites with a game the next day, they’ve won seven of their last nine and covered those seven, so I’m not going to let it bother me here. Celtics are the better team. Top five defensive rated team in that span. Better offensive team. So, I’ll rock with them versus a Clippers team who, like I said, could be satisfied with their win.
It’s their fourth game in six days, if I’m not mistaken. I think fifth game in eight days and because of that, I wouldn’t be surprised to see one of these guys like Paul George or Kawhi sit out. So I do like the Celtics as a side and for total, I bet this one as well. Like I said earlier, all these lines keep moving. I know I bet earlier this morning at 226. I mean, I think it shouldn’t be really over 220, looking at what both of these teams have been doing, home and road. I’ll start right there for this one again. Combined 22-5 to the under, Boston on the road, Clippers at home and those games average about 218.6.
And if you’re looking at the last two weeks, same scenario, home and road, 6-0 to the under with those games averaging 217 and a half. So, I like that Boston’s playing at 23rd pace over the last five games. I like that. Everything’s just spelling out unders for me. And road teams with a game on deck the following day, so far this season, they are 65.9% to the under, with a 54-28-1 record. So give me the Celtics and give me the under and if I have some time later, I’ll make up for me cutting out on another game earlier.
Alex:
All good. Lots of picks here on this one. Both Chris and Skee like the Celtics here, minus three and a half. Skee is also going to take the under, 224 and a half. That’s the last game we have here on our rundown. Let’s jump into some questions. Now we get this question a lot, but always safety first kids. Rick Wright wants to know, “Are there any two team money line parlays we like?” And always a disclosure, parlays are for fun. Try to have fun doing this. It’s generally not a good idea. If you take one bad bet and 10 good ones and you parlay them together, you now have 11 bad bets. That’s what happens. The one bad one upsets the whole bunch. Now, I like to have a little fun here. I’m going to go three teams. Give me the Celtics, the Cavaliers and the Pacers moneyline all together. You could just do the Celtics and the Cavs. It gives you a little bit better than even money, but if you toss the Pacers in there, we’re almost four to one. Any complaints, Christopher?
Chris Farley:
Well, I’m going to cross sport platforms here for this parlay, but I like that Alex. I like that a lot. Having a good week in the NFL, so let me capitalize on that too. Why don’t you put a few of the Monday night legs we mentioned on this show with the New England Patriots tonight. You got Bill Belichick against Cliff Kingsbury. There’s not a bigger coaching disparity probably in the world, so unless the Cardinals have the game of their life against that defense, Patriots are probably going to win that game. So how about Patriots and Boston? A Boston parlay there. Throw in Memphis as well because how are the Hawks going to beat the Grizzlies at Memphis?
Alex:
I like that. We’ll toss the Hawks in there. Skee, anything else we can toss into our parlay pile?
Skee:
Well, I’ll just give the one play that I skipped out on and that’s the under in the Cleveland and San Antonio game. Same way I looked at the last two weeks, home and road for the Celtics, we’ll look at it for Cleveland and San Antonio and they’re 6-0 combined to the under, with those games averaging 204.6 points per game and the Cavs have went under every single game the last two weeks. So I like the under. Cavs, slowest pace in the league last five and the worst and second worst offensive rated team last five games. So Cavs and Spurs under should be part of your parlay.
Alex:
Mark Holmes asked, “What is up with Al Horford?” For those of you who don’t know, Horford has been out a couple games as part of COVID protocols. Apparently, he has now passed those protocols, but will be out tonight for personal reasons. I have no idea what those personal reasons are. It always seems a little fishy when it’s personal reasons right after a COVID thing, but Al Horford’s not playing tonight. Skee, have you heard anything either way about this?
Skee:
No, but it just makes me think, how many times has Al Horford had COVID so far? That sucks.
Alex:
It does suck. Doesn’t it, Chris?
Chris Farley:
I’m sorry, I missed that. What was the last thing that was said?
Alex:
Having COVID sucks. Anything to add?
Chris Farley:
Oh, I thought… Yeah, we haven’t moved on from Al Horford. Having COVID sucks. Yeah, give yourself some extra rest, for sure.
Alex:
Indeed. Hopefully, Mr. Horford is fine. And now, a prop question. Noah, thank you very much. We always appreciate when you ask about the prop that you actually put the number in there. What do you guys think about Dame Lillard above 25 points? Skee, I’ll start with you. I’m sure that’s one of the games and one of the props you looked at since, about 14 hours ago.
Skee:
Surprisingly, I don’t love a whole lot of props today, but Damian Lillard has been playing pretty well. He just scored what? 40 the other night against a Minnesota Defense that’s extremely soft. Lillard likes to shoot the three and Minnesota is the fourth worst team defending it. I could see him having success here. I can’t talk to anybody off Lillard points. I’d probably also look, off top of my head, at Ja Morant rebounds plus assists. I know it’s not out yet, but once it comes out, if it’s 14 and a half again, you have to play it over and if it’s 15 and a half, I still might consider it, because he’s just crushing it at the house so far this season.
Alex:
I like it. I think we had one more question here at the buzzer. Would you go Jaylen Brown rebounds over? Again, it looks like Horford’s out tonight. Not quite sure what that number is. Skee, did you happen to look at that one?
Skee:
No, I haven’t been playing too many Celtics props at all this year. So, sorry. I don’t like to just tell people anything. I mean, I would expect Tatum or Brown, but I don’t have a reason to pick one or the other.
Alex:
Yeah, it’s hard to figure out, but you’re barking up the right tree, Noah. Go ahead, try to pull up maybe some lineup tools or look at some on/off statistics, which you should be able to find. I think you’re definitely barking up the right tree. No Al Horford should be more rebounds for Tatum or Brown.
Skee:
Sorry, I just had a thought, but why don’t you look at the Clippers rebounds? Why don’t you look at Zubac? I mean, we’ve seen a couple performances where it was Zu Chamberlain over there and Boston’s not going to have… They don’t have Robert Williams, they don’t have Horford. What bigs do they have? You’re going to be fighting with Blake Griffin all night. I would prefer probably Zubac rebounds over anybody else?
Chris Farley:
Yeah, I can add some- [inaudible 00:29:03]
Alex:
Anyway, sorry.
Chris Farley:
I can add something to that, too. Rebounds are kind of like defense, right? It’s an effort stat, especially if you’re a guard. So maybe this is a Jayson Tatum over rebounds game. It’s kind of like a response, go after the rim sort of thing, right? So, I mean, his has to be pretty low too, like four and a half or something, so… And maybe he makes up for some of that ground.
Alex:
I like that. Again Noah, you’re really barking up the right tree. I wish we could be a little more help, but yeah. Go do a little more work on that. You should be able to figure that out. Thanks again everybody for all the questions. Rick, Mark, Noah again. We always appreciate that and while you’re in the comments, give us a thumbs up and click that little bell to subscribe. Let’s get to the moment I’m sure you’ve all been waiting for, our recap of our best bets for the evening. Of course, if you need a place to bet these, there’s no better spot than BetUS, where the game begins. Two plays for Chris here, Hawks-Grizzlies, over 227 and a half and the Celtics, minus three and a half. I’m going to take the Pacers plus three, Nets-Wizards under 227 and the Cavaliers minus seven and a half, really anything minus eight or better.
Skee likes the Grizzlies, first half, minus four and a half and full game, minus eight. Cavaliers-Spurs, under 219, as well as the Spurs team total under 106. Skee also likes the Celtics minus three and a half as well as under 224 and a half in that game. That’s it for us. I’m pretty sure we covered everything. I’m not even sure we skipped a game today. Maybe one, who knows? But we appreciate you watching. Make sure you check out our sportsbook website and follow all of us on Twitter The BetUS account. Myself @_Noops, Skee @SkeeProfit and Chris @FarleyBets. We’ll be back soon. I’ve got the day off tomorrow, but make sure you check out tomorrow’s show for more talk and more NBA action. Best of luck until then.
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