
Nuggets vs Heat Game 4 NBA Finals Picks [June 9th] NBA Predictions & Basketball Betting Odds
Jay Money:
What up my guys? Welcome to another show, man. It’s Friday, game four, NBA picks here. NBA Show from BetUS TV. We are america’s favorite sportsbook. I’m your host Jay Money. That’s our guy Josh aka Punt Schoo. That’s our guy Alex, aka Noops as well, man. We’re here to break you guys down with our bets, NBA betting for this game four of the NBA finals, guys. Hearing a little feedback in my ear. If you guys don’t mind muting over there, man, but Josh, how you doing over there, my guy? Everything cool with you?
Josh C:
I’m doing good, man. I’m doing good. Things all right this side of the world. I’m hoping this isn’t the last time I jump on the show with you gentlemen, but we’ll see how the rest of this series pans out. We’ll start with tonight’s game, of course, and we’ll go from there.

Jay Money:
What about you Alex? Everything cool with you, my guy?
Alex Christenson:
It’s a beautiful day in the neighborhood, man. We’re down to the last few basketball games. I don’t know how many more we’re going to get. I think probably two, maybe three, fingers crossed. But it’s been a fun series and it’s been interesting introducing my friends to Nikola Jokić. I don’t know why it’s taken so long for this guy to become famous. I guess maybe big goofy looking dudes from Denver just aren’t what you see on sneaker commercials and whatnot. I guess he hasn’t done a Netflix series about him or anything, but it’s fun. All my friends want to know who this guy is, where he’s been for all this time. How he suddenly became so good, but you’re watching somebody, I forget today, I heard some stat. In the NBA finals history, there’s been four games of 30, 10 and 10, Jokić has three of them.
Jay Money:
Yeah, nah, that’s a fact right there, man. Somebody help me out man. Y’all help me out. All right, we cool, we cool, my guys. Nah, we all good for the show. Nah, Jokić has been here. Jokić has been here. It’s unfortunate for the people that didn’t know but that’s why he’s in the finals, right? To let everybody know that he’s here. It looks like it’ll be a good, it’ll end up well for the Nuggets, seems like. It’s not over yet, anything can happen but I’d be surprised the Nuggets didn’t get it done in this one guys. But let’s take a look at that best bet record in this one, guys. I believe we at least came up one game since the last show. Take a look at that best bet record for the season in this one.
937 total picks, 483 wins, 437 losses. That’s good for 46 games over 500 and 19 pushes as well, guys. Let’s try to finish the season strong. Let’s try to get over 50 games over 500. There will be a great defeat, especially after we started the season, right? But let’s go ahead and get it to game four of this NBA finals. That’s what you guys are here for. We’re not here to waste your time guys.
Let’s head over here to the streets of Miami where we have the Miami Heat here getting three and a half points at the house versus the Denver Nuggets in this one, laying three and a half on the road. If you’d like to go the moneyline route, the Denver Nuggets are laying minus 160 on the moneyline or you can get back plus 140 with the Miami Heat, if you think they can tie this series up tonight. Over and under sitting at 211 in this one, guys. We’ve seen a couple, the last game we saw it was really slow paced down in Miami. Obviously the Heat, they hit some threes but they weren’t doing so well outside of there, right? They couldn’t stop Jokić and Murray pick and roll in this one. Josh, how do you think this game four is going to play out? Do you think the Heat have any chance at tying this game up tonight?
Josh C:
I think they do. I don’t know if I can necessarily see it coming to fruition. I lean towards Denver still. I do think that this is kind of the bounce back spot for Miami, traditionally. I just think that Denver’s got too much firepower offensively. What Miami does defensively is obviously going to be immensely important. I think they’re at the point now though where they kind of just have to commit to that two man game of Jokić and Murray and stopping that. It’s obviously going to come at the expense of giving up a lot of open looks elsewhere, but they kind of just have to swallow that pill at this point and just be like if they’re going to get beaten by the likes of Caldwell-Pope or Michael Porter Jr, if he’s going to see the floor enough then so be it. They cannot afford to be allowing Jokić and Murray to be dropping 30 plus points each on them.
It’ll be interesting to see exactly what the approach is from the get go in this one. I don’t have a strong lean towards Denver. That’s kind of just the way it is for me at the minute, but I do kind of lean towards the under. It has obviously been adjusted pretty heavily, but I have played a first half under in this one. I got under 107. Like I said, I just think that from the get go we’re going to have to see some sort of response from Miami defensively. They looked a little bit sluggish to me in game three. Whether that was adjusting coming out of altitude, I don’t know whether it’s the fact that playing all that seven game series last time around is finally catching up with them.
We can, I guess, sort of theorize as to why that is, but I do think we get a little bit more engagement from them in this game, especially the defensive end of the floor and like I said, I think they’re going to have to be a little bit creative and a little bit more sort of in tune with how they’re going to slow down Jokić and Murray, specifically in this one. I’m anticipating at least from them a response defensively and a bit more effort at that end of the floor, in which case that first half under looks a little bit more appealing to me. I do still like the full game under but like I said, we are getting to the point where it’s adjusted basically close to my number so it’s hard to necessarily find a strong edge there. So, under 107 was what I played first half, under 106 and a half is fine for me as well. I think that for me is still the best bet on the board at the moment for this game.
Jay Money:
Yeah, that’s a great point and I’ll tell you one thing that if I was the coach, I mean he’s a smart guy but if you saw the likes of guys like Landry Shamet picking up Murray full court and being physical with him, I think that’s how you do your best to try to take Nuggets out of their offense. It’s going to mess up the, like when you’re picking up a guy full court and he has to work just to get past the half court line, that’s going to throw your whole offense out. Obviously, it’s going to be tiring, but this is a must-win spot for the Miami Heat. I definitely expect them at least to start the game, to have a lot better game plan, as far as the Jokić and Murray pick and roll.
Obviously, Murray’s left hand has a real deep burn, floor burn on it as well so he may not be a hundred percent there. It could be something that could at least might maybe mess with him for one game. I’ll take the Heat in the first half in this one. This is a go with your gut spot in this one. It’s a put up or shut up spot for the Miami Heat. The last game, Josh, the reason why I feel like they came out so sluggish was because they were gone from the house for eight days. They were two and five against the spread after being gone away from the house for seven or more days. That’s why, in my opinion, why they came out flat.
Now this is the bounce back spot for the Heat here. I definitely expect them to come out with something early in this absolute muscle wind spot and if they don’t Alex then it’s going to be 1, 2, 3, Cancun or they could just head right there down to South Beach. They don’t have to go too far to go to vacation over there, man. But some tells me the Heat come out here and they might be getting a little help from the refs in this one as well. Alex, how you looking at this game, brother?
Alex Christenson:
I’ve always wondered why everyone just goes to Cancun. They’re a lot nicer places to go in Mexico. Miami is way better. Nobody wants to go to Europe, nobody wants to go to Hawaii or Tokyo. Anyway, I digress. I like the optimism and I can’t believe that I’m about to say about Erik Spoelstra, who I believe to be the best coach in the NBA. One of the few coaches that makes a difference not only in the postseason but the regular season, at halftime and game to game. There’s no adjustment. I don’t know what adjustment there is. There’s nothing, nothing they could do to stop this Murray Jokić pick and roll. Again, maybe Murray’s hand is all chewed up and he really struggles here. But if I’m Spoelstra, I think we’re going to see kind of what we saw in game two and really this series. I think what he realizes is, the way Miami wins this series is through high variance basketball, which means really low possessions and fill those possessions with threes, right?
The less possessions there are, the more threes there are. If those start to fall, then you really start to see the momentum there. Coming to this series, I thought Denver was the better team, they’ve been the better team except for game two where there was a lot of interesting things going on there that I’ll digress about. But what Miami’s really been missing is those other guys, we saw Caleb Martin really carry them in the last playoff series. Caleb Martin was good the series before that. Gabe Vincent has had a couple big games in all those previous series. Strus was pretty solid there in game two and without one or two of those guys really pitching in a handful of threes, there’s just not enough points here. Again, you could see they continue to find ways to keep Denver from putting up a ton of points.
They’ve held Denver to 104, 108, 109. Keeping the pace really slow and kind of corralling things. The efficiency’s been great. 114, 124, 120, Denver’s basically getting a good look on every possession here. But if they can keep that pace slow and somehow find a way again to make 48% on 36, 37 three point attempts, they’ve got a chance. You’re just asking so much at this point. This Denver team’s really been incredible, so a lot of these numbers look pretty good to me. I think the market has adjusted the total down, really much to my frustration. I thought this would be kind of an over series given the efficiency here but it’s just been so slow so that makes sense. I think the line looks pretty good so I’ve got a little further down the board and I agree Jay we’ll see a little better effort here out of Miami, but they’ve been a rough first quarter, first half team all year, all postseason and so I was looking for a way to bet Denver here in the first half and because it’s the finals they get a lot of kind of fun alternate markets.
You could bet Denver to win the race to 50 points in the first half, basically first team to score 50 in the first half minus 120. I think that if they get to 50 that’s just as good as kind of the moneyline there given the way the pace goes. Then looking further down the board at a player prop one that I bet basically every game, I’ve been playing Jokić PRA over, I think they finally have that number set where it’s supposed to be at 53 and a half. They’ve finally got it up that high, but the Bam number is still too low to me. We’re looking at 35 and a half points, rebounds and assist. Outside of the one game where he only had seven or eight rebounds, he’s blown this number away time and time again. I went a little further down the board and give me a first half prop, the Denver Nuggets to be the first team to 50 points in the first half. There again, maybe nobody makes it to 50, but I think Denver gets there and they do it first.
Jay Money:
Yeah, I was-
Alex Christenson:
Then Bam, just keep it going.
Jay Money:
It’s crazy that you say that. I was going to ask you, so on the race to 50, what happens if neither team gets to 50? Is it a push or is it a loss?
Alex Christenson:
It’s a loss, yeah. There’s a neither bet and a nice plus number.
Jay Money:
So somebody has to get to 50. They have to get to 50 and before the half. Even with it they have to get okay. They makes sense. I was asking for myself because one, there’s been one time when I was a rookie I made a bet and I didn’t fully understand. It was like, it wasn’t the halftime fulltime, it was like the double result bet and for that you have to win the first half and you have to win the second half.
Alex Christenson:
Yeah.
Jay Money:
I didn’t know, I didn’t know that. I’m like man, so-
Alex Christenson:
You got tied.
Jay Money:
Yeah, we always trying to learn, man. Some of those little bets like that, you kind of had derivative bets, you kind of have to know exactly what your bets are. I just really want to know for myself and to explain to the people that’s riding with you exactly what’s up with them. But hopefully number gets to 50 and then the Heat come back and hit like a three at the end or something, you know what I’m saying? Like 51 50 at the first half. But yeah, I need Heat in the first half.
Alex Christenson:
Gabe Vincent, three at the buzzer, 52 50 Miami, lock it up.
Jay Money:
Hey, it could be a half court shot. I wouldn’t give a damn. I just need them to have the lead. I probably should just take the moneyline but if they’re going to give me points, obviously if it’s a tight game, if it’s 50 50, you cash with the plus one, plus one and a half as well for the first half. I’d be very surprised, even if the Heat don’t win the game, I mean this is Heat culture here. This is the bounce back game at the house. Nuggets, day off in Miami. I don’t know if you guys ever been in Miami but there’s plenty of distractions down there. Let’s just put it that way, knowing man.
I just feel like the Heat going to come out here with desperation, bring the defense. I feel like they might get a few more calls as well in this game. We know this is the NBA finals, they would like to see it go as far as possible. I don’t think we see three one here today, man. I couldn’t talk you off Heat full game, but I am going to take Heat first half plus the one and a half for the show. Josh, any other thoughts on this game before we get to some questions, my brother?
Josh C:
Yeah, the only other thing I’ve bet is a prop as well. I took Caldwell-Pope points over is at seven and a half. I think that’s getting down too low. I think they’re over adjusting and quite a few of the role players, Michael Porter Jr’s down to 10 and a half. Obviously, it comes down to how many minutes do you think he’s going to play but it’s not asking a lot for him to get 10 and a half points. You don’t exactly need the strongest bounce back game in the world for him to clear that.
But like I said, I took KCP, he has six his last two games. He’s shot terribly, 25% in both those games, one for four. Again, it’s not really asking a lot of him to necessarily clear this number and like I said, if Miami’s going to sort of over commit and over help in trying to stop that two man game, we should see a lot more opportunity for those role players. That’s the only other one I’ve looked at. I also completely agree with Noops. I’ve been riding Bam personally quite a fair bit this series, this is his series. I think it continues again today.
Jay Money:
Nah, that’s a fact. Bam definitely has a great matchup. There is Jok, it’s great as Jokić is on the offensive end, you can have success attacking him at the defensive end, guys. That’s my only knock towards Jokić. Maybe work on that foot speed a little bit, maybe you know what I’m saying? Do some bench jumps or something and try to be able to jump over a curb or something. But any other thoughts on this game, Noops, before we, are you official on the show with that Bam prop or just something you’re saying that you’re betting personally?
Alex Christenson:
No, I got both of them there. They’ve been flipping them back and forth but-
Jay Money:
Oh, okay.
Alex Christenson:
Yeah, Jay you mentioned, who knows what’s going to happen? The ghost of David Stern, if he has anything to say about this, we’ll be heading back to Denver two two. I do hate talking about that but we sure saw a little bit of his influence in game two, I would imagine there. And the Jokić thing, I was talking a little bit about this with a few people. I almost think that he’s trying to move out of the way. If you take a step back and think like you’re Jokić, you’re this big unathletic guy, what’s the best thing I can do? I’m going to try to swipe at the ball, I’m going to try to not generate fouls. If you look at this Nuggets team, all year they’ve been great at it.
You watch him sometimes and he doesn’t quite move out of the way but he definitely just stands, puts his arm up, waits for you to come to put the ball down. If you do, he’ll swipe at it. He gets a lot of steals but otherwise you just sort of have to move around and we decided Jay, that he was more like a view obstructing column, if you will, defensively. You just got to take the work to walk around it or get a slightly better seat but I think he’s been a little better defensive than people give him credit for it. Maybe you have to think about it differently, but it should be an interesting game assuming everybody comes out here and plays their best. I do hope we get to see a close game but I think that we’re going home to Denver with a three to one lead.
Jay Money:
Yeah, no, I’ll be perfectly honest with you guys. I don’t think we see the Nuggets best effort tonight whether it’s on them, whether it’s because of the refs or whether it’s because of the Heat. I don’t think we see their best effort for whatever reason this team, I kind of figured this team out. They play their best when they get smacked in the mouth so if they do happen to lose this one, they’ll blow the Heat out in game five. But I don’t want the Nuggets, especially off a blowout win, they kind of get fat and happy. They kind of start thinking things are easy, that the series is over. Then what do you know? You can’t overlook the Heat because when these guys get to knocking down threes and the way that they play defense, they can build a double-digit lead on you quick, guys.
The official plays for this game, for this game four of the NBA finals, our guy Josh rocking with the first half under 106 and a half, give me the Heat, the Heatles in this one, plus the one and a half in the first half and Noops says he’s going with Bam Adebayo over 35 and a half PRA and also the Nuggets race to 50 in the first half as well, guys. Let’s try to get this cash in this one. We’ve got some great questions in the chat. Let’s go head over to some Q and A in this one and see what they’re talking about, chatting about in the chat, guys. First question up in this one. Man, we got a lot of them. F Urka, Butler PRA under 39 and a half. Is he going to show up tonight, Josh? You know what Josh? I was kind of seeing that, I was kind of hearing that his ankle might not really be a hundred percent. That’s why he’s, he’s not been hustling-
Alex Christenson:
He didn’t look right.
Jay Money:
…and shit like that on defensive end. What do you think Josh? Under 39, PRA 39 and a half PRA for Butler?
Josh C:
Yeah, I’d only be looking at unders for Butler for that exact reason. He doesn’t look right at all. He does not look a hundred percent. He doesn’t look himself offensively, he seems a little bit limited in what he’s doing. He can score in and around the basket when he is able to get to within sort of six to 12 feet. But his jump shot looks way, way off of what it has been all playoffs so far and the activity levels, like you said, defensively and on the boards just aren’t there for me. I would only look at an under for Butler, personally.
Jay Money:
Yeah, I’m right there with you. Even though I like the Heat in this one and I feel like they do have a lot of different people that they’re relying on. Duncan Robinson, Gabe Vincent, Strus, you still got Bam as well, who really has the best matchup here. When Aaron Gordon, it doesn’t matter if Butler was a hundred percent, Gordon is so big, see what I’m saying, that he can and he’s quick enough with his foot speed that he’s really one of those perfect type of defenders for Butler. Then you throw in his ankle not being a hundred percent, I think 39 and half is a great play there. Alex, what do you think?
Alex Christenson:
Yeah, as someone that’s sprained his ankle a lot and tried to play with it and has watched other people do it, you watch the way he moves. He’s really flatfooted. He’s not up on his toes, he’s not… I agree Jay, Gordon’s big enough but I don’t know if he’s fast enough. I think if you take Butler from the first couple rounds, he’s really attacking the basket more against somebody like Gordon. When he has the smaller guys against him, he’s not really taking KCP down deep and really trying to bully him too much. Neither of the Browns really, kind of what we saw, and again, I don’t know if that’s a game plan thing, they want him to be a little less physical but it does not look like the same Jimmy Butler. That number is, it’s really much too high. I don’t even know, if he scores 30 points, that’s looking pretty good there but still it’s going to be tough given what they ask him to do and then how slow the pace is going to be tonight. He just doesn’t look right so it’s a pass or an under for me.
Jay Money:
Yeah, no I actually like that under 39 and a half PRA. I know he can score 28 last time but now I would only look towards under F Urka. No. Next question up Mr. Valentino, which of Miami’s role players do you expect to do the best, Josh? I kind of feel like that’s a roulette type of question. We’d just be guessing, Josh.
Josh C:
Pretty much. Yeah, one of them’s going to do it. I don’t know which one. I don’t know how you work out which one is going to be either. I would kind of lean towards Gabe Vincent being that guy, I think. He’s kind of going to have a little bit higher usage. He’s going to be a little bit more defined in his role. Max Strus can be extremely hot and cold. Caleb Martin does not look like the Caleb Martin that basically got this team this far. So yeah, Vincent kind of makes the most sense to me but like you said, we’re kind of just guessing numbers here at this point.
Jay Money:
That’s a fact. No, I think Caleb Martin for at least for one game, I think he shows up here tonight in game four in this one. Alex, what do you think? What would be your guess for one Miami role player to show up here tonight? Maybe Kyle Lowry?
Alex Christenson:
It’s exactly what I was thinking. I have three names that I’m staring at here. Kyle Lowry, Duncan Robinson and Kevin Love. I just think Kevin Love or Duncan Robinson, one of those two guys is going to hit four threes tonight. I don’t know why I feel that way, I just do. One of those guys going to hit a bunch of threes and Kyle Lowry is going to do Jay, all that stuff that you hate watching him do.
Jay Money:
Oh my god.
Alex Christenson:
He’s going to fall over, he’s going to get people to step on him, he’s going to draw lots of fouls. He’s going to like, he’s going to get Jokić a technical foul somehow. It’s all, it’s all on tonight. Kyle Lowry is going to do all the Kyle Lowery things. The problem is I don’t know if books track old man nonsense. I haven’t seen that in a box score so you can’t really bet on that but I do. I think either Duncan Robinson or Kevin Love here, Miami’s going to be chucking three. When those two guys get minutes, I mean you saw Kevin Love, the little minutes he’s played, the ball is up any chance he gets. Maybe look at Love or Robinson and again the angle I would look there is at threes, I don’t know if we can count on these guys to have points, rebounds, assists. We don’t know what their role’s going to look like other than chucking threes. So yeah, go through, pick kind of your favorite name, play some all three point overs and honestly it probably won’t be too bad.
Jay Money:
I’ll tell you when I’m betting on the Heat, I want to see Lowry do whatever it takes to win but just a regular basketball fan, that shit makes my skin crawl, man. I can’t stand watching this fucking guy play. And then they got Gabe Vincent, now him and Butler then taught Gabe Vincent how to flop and stuff, man. Barely touch him on the back, he fall down then you throw your-
Alex Christenson:
Heat culture.
Jay Money:
What happened? What he saying, man?
Alex Christenson:
Heat culture.
Jay Money:
He just threw his form at me, man. Come on. I ain’t got barely breathed on you, man. They [inaudible 00:20:31]
Alex Christenson:
Screens all game.
Jay Money:
You know what’s crazy. They don’t do that in the WNBA. Like, it’s crazy. The women don’t even flop. It’s crazy, man. So I don’t know, don’t even give me started on a rant, man. Next question. Kintorious London, first quarter over 54 points. Josh, what do you think? Josh said, “Man, I’m looking towards some unders.” I don’t want to see no first quarter go over that 54 where. That’s an easy question for you Josh, what do you think?
Josh C:
Yep, the answer is nope, I don’t want to see it. I don’t think it’s going to happen. I want the first half under but like I said, ultimately it just comes down to I think that the Heat defensively need to be a little bit more engaged with a bit more effort that end of the floor and like Alex said, it’s in their best interest to slow this thing down as much as possible like game two. The less possessions the better for them and I think that if they’re the ones that control pace then it’s going to be pretty hard to go over the overs no matter how efficient they are.
Jay Money:
Nah, that’s a great point. It’s a great point there. Over 54, Heat first quarter before I take that. Alex, what do you think? You liking the Nuggets, I’m liking the Heat. Alex, what do you think about first quarter over? You want the Nuggets to get to 50 in the first quarter, that’s what you want.
Alex Christenson:
I think one of these teams goes over their first quarter team total, but I have no clue which it is. It’s a really good number. They’ve done a nice job and they finally kind of worked this stuff out. 54, I had it at 53 and a half. So lean towards the under. No play for me but again just kind of gut feeling here. I expect Denver to come out play well they look like they kind of adjusted nicely in that third game and I do, I think one of these teams scores maybe 25, 26 in the first quarter but the other teams looking at 19, 20 and you’re going to feel like a goof so I’m happy to leave that one alone.
Jay Money:
Hey you heard it there, right there for Alex. Heat 26 Nuggets 19 at the end of the first quarter. That’s going to segue into the next question. Dmoneyy in the chat. I’m Jay Money, he’s Dmoneyy, Heat first quarter. I like it. I can’t bet any more first quarters, first quarters have been kicking my ass. I’m talking about to the point where it’s like I don’t even want to bet a first quarter ever again. At one point I was hitting them like crazy but then something flipped and it’s just like it doesn’t matter what happens, can’t catch a first quarter, man, but I would bet Heat in the first quarter. I do think that that’s the most, the theory with me behind betting the first quarters is that’s the spot, that’s the turn up spot for you to get the game started off right, for you to get the confidence.
If you don’t come out hot in these type of games, in these must win type of situations, you can’t be playing from behind. Especially with the much better offensive team like the Nuggets. If you’re Heat, you definitely want to come out to throw the first punch and you definitely want to be the aggressor to start the game. So I could only look towards the Heat in this bounce back spot in the first quarter, even the first half, full game as well. Josh, what do you think about possibly Heat in the first quarter in this desperation spot?
Josh C:
Yeah, makes perfect sense. I wouldn’t necessarily try and talk you the other way even though I still think it’s probably Denver full game, but the early stages, first quarter, first half Miami makes perfect sense to me. I think that’s, if they’re not in control of the game in these sort of first 12 or 24 minutes, I find it very hard for them to wrestle back momentum down the stretch.
Jay Money:
That’s exactly what I was saying there. Alex, what do you think about Heat possibly being the team that scores the 26 points in that first quarter, Alex?
Alex Christenson:
As long, I’m trying to think of the math here. As long as the Nuggets score like the next 31 or something, I’m not going to do all that nonsense. But exactly what you guys are saying here, if Miami’s going to do anything tonight, it starts early. If, again I like Denver, right, I’m just going to stick with that. But if you’re going to make this bet, play a little bit on this and see if you can find some combos, something like Heat first quarter, first half. Heat, first quarter, full game, something goofy like that. Try to spread that out a bit because you guys are right, if the game is going to be a Miami game, it’s going to start with Miami and it’s just going to sort of proliferate that way. I don’t think that it’s going to really be that close. If that’s your angle and that’s how you’re going to play it, I think you take it, you try to diversify a little bit, play some other angles and spread out because you’re right, I think everything from Miami tonight is tied into that first quarter.
Jay Money:
All right, that’s a fact there. First half is will, man. The last question up our guy Patrick Deal says bounce back spot for Gabe Vincent? We did kind of already talk about this Josh, but you did say that you think Vincent was probably the most likely one. He’s obviously the point guard, he has the ball in his hands a lot. What do you think about a bounce back spot for Gabe Vincent over there for the Miami Heat?
Josh C:
Yeah, just kind of makes sense for him to be the one that kind of steps up the most I think outside of, obviously, Adebayo or Butler being the main two for Miami. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a big night for him. But like you said, it’s also just trying to pick random numbers out of a hat almost to figure out exactly which Miami player it is that’s going to step up in a pretty big and meaningful way. If his shot’s falling, his shot’s falling. If it’s not then he can be pretty inefficient himself with a basketball.
Jay Money:
Yeah, no that’s a fact there, man. As a Heat backer tonight I’ll… To be honest, I don’t like this team but hopefully Vincent bounce back. I’m just a fan of money. I kind of go with my gut and I do feel like this is a zigzag series at least up to this point. I hope if the Nuggets do lose this one, I hope they win the next two. But I don’t like this Heat team but I bet with, you know what I’m saying, we trying to win here. Alex, what do you think about? I said all that to say I hope it is a bounce back spot for Gabe Vincent. Alex, what do you think, my guy?
Alex Christenson:
I’m just thinking about the shirt I’m going to design for you that says I like money. It’s just, is that exactly what you said? I don’t, oh God it’s, hold sorry, give me a second here. What I will say about Gabe Vincent is if you are going to play Miami Heat role player roulette, he’s a good pick because he gets shots up. For better or for worse, Denver seems to be comfortable with him being the guy that Porter Jr’s on, which means he’s going to have open looks. One of the Browns if they’re not guarding somebody this particular is kind of helping off of him. So, you look at it 14, 12 and 10 field goal attempts the last three games, at least six three point attempts in all those games. The opportunity’s going to be there and like Josh said, if the shots fall, the numbers are going in and he’s actually going to put some shots up.
I would expect them to do better. Like you said Jay, it is a phenomenon we talked about a lot in the regular season. Coming back home off a long road trip is always a bad spot for your team. Just think about it, you personally, right? You’ve been away from home for a long time. You’re not only adjusted, everybody that’s missed you is now upset with you. You’ve got to go home and your significant others, I’ve been here for two weeks dealing all this crap while you’re out doing that. You got that, the kids need you to spend time with them and all that stuff and all that’s very important but a lot of distractions of basketball. So maybe it’ll be a little better tonight, but I think if you’re doing anything with Gabe Vincent, it’s overs.
Jay Money:
That’s an absolute fact there. That’s why I feel like it was such a horrible spot for the Heat in game three. It worked out well, now they’re a little bit acclimated and on the other side Nuggets, day off in Miami. It’s not necessarily the recipe for success or at least for the Nuggets side, know it, man. Let’s see what happens. Maybe like you said, maybe David Stern, maybe you know what I’m saying? He put Adam Silver onto something like we need at least six games here, Adam. You see what I’m saying? But let’s get out of here, man. Let’s recap the picks of this game four of the NBA finals, guys. Can’t wait for the game. It’s going to be a great one, man. It’s got WNBA going on tonight, everything guys.
Our guy Josh, come with the Nuggets Heat, first half under 106 and a half. Give me the Heat in the first half, it’s the one and a half. I think they going to be covering it. I think they going to win the first half and our guy Alex says to give him Bam Adebayo over 35 and a half PRA. He’s also taking the Nuggets, first half race to 50. In knowing guys, let’s get some cash tonight, man. We appreciate everybody for tuning into the show. I’m your host Jay Money. That’s our guy, for our guy Josh, for our guy Alex as well, man. Let’s try to get some cash tonight. Let’s take these bookies to smack city. See what I’m saying? We will win.
Alex Christenson:
We like money.
Jay Money:
Everybody. We like money. Everybody does. That’s the next shirt, Alex. I like money, people going to see that shirt. I do too. What are we doing here, man? So let’s do it. Let’s do it today guys. I hope everybody has a great day, great night, great weekend. We will see you guys back on Monday, guys.