Speaker 1:
Where the game begins.
Speaker 1:
(music)
Danny:
The BetUS college crew takes you bowling on this addition of the show. The ball season kicks off on Friday, December 17th, with some minor games that provide major opportunities for betters. The school with the biggest name at playing will be BYU, which faces UAB in the independence bowl. There are some double digit spreads out there. The only game expected to tie it is Appalachian state and Western Kentucky in the Boca Raton Bowl. If teams are playing, that gives everyone an opportunity to get on the action in BetUS.
Gary Segars:
Welcome in to the BetUS College football show. We are talking bowls. That’s right. Part one, we have six bowl shows that we’re going to do, and we’re following the same schedule that we have done thus far through the season. Wednesdays 5:00 PM, Eastern time, Thursdays at 12:00 PM Eastern time. If anything changes, we will be sure and let you know. That is a very good reason why you should be following us on Twitter. I’ll go ahead and tell you, I am your host, Gary Segars. You can follow me on Twitter at Gary WCE. And let me go ahead and introduce our BetUS experts today. On the left side of your screen, we’ve got Parker Fleming, I call him the numerical guru. He’s our analyst, our stats guy, our numbers guy, whatever you would like to call him. He’s one of the smartest guys in the room. You can follow him on Twitter @statsofwar. Parker, bowl season. I am ready to rock and roll with this thing and it starts very, very quickly this year it feels like. How about you?
Parker Fleming:
Yeah, first games are coming up this weekend. So very excited for it. And again, bowl season the last two years, I’ve done pretty well. I like to go high volume here so I’m excited to talk about some of these matchups, look at some of these non-con games and also, have some picks, have some winners here as we end the season.
Gary Segars:
You have got that right. On the right side of your screen and the joke that I always make, he is almost always on the right side of his bets. We have got Kyle Hunter, you can follow him on Twitter @kylehunterpicks. Kyle, our award-winning professional handicapper. I know that you are dealing with some voice stuff, so we’re not going to make you talk for long, but I know you’re about bowl season, right?
Kyle Hunter:
Oh yeah. It’s slowly coming back so I’m crossing my fingers as I’m talking right now. Yeah, no guys, I’m looking forward to it. I’ve been looking forward to these bowl previews here for a while, and it was nice to have the army Navy game last weekend. I like to standalone. That was a fun game, but now we get to tons of the action and always love lots of action.
Gary Segars:
You have certainly got that right, especially in standalone spots, right? These no overlapping games for the most part, but there will be a ton of action, a ton of games that we can bet online. The fun part of course will be trying to figure out who is actually playing in which games, et cetera. And that’s what we’re here for. We’re going to help discern some of that and go through these numbers. So before we do anything else, let me go ahead and tell you. You need to check out betus.com, BetUS where the game begins. Incredible sportsbook. There is a link in the description, go ahead and click that link and get yourself signed up over there, along with that since you’re here anyway. We see several people watching right now, go ahead and click that like button for us and make sure that you are subscribed to the channel.
Gary Segars:
We will be having a ton of continuous content so make sure that you stay right here and hit the notification bell. It’s going to let you know when we go live, the schedule, again, Wednesdays at 5:00 PM Eastern time, Thursdays, 12:00 PM Eastern time. If any of that changes, you can always follow us on Twitter. That’s why I give out the handles, right? I am @garywce, Parker’s @statsofwar. And of course, Kyle @kylehunterpicks, very easy to do. And the links for all of the different BetUS accounts are also down in the description. Now, before we get rolling, I believe that Danny has got some information about our school’s out bowl contest so we’ll let Danny take it away.
Danny:
It’s December, school is finally out and we’re on that holiday spirit, and that means free content prizes, baby. Our school’s out contest will be open this December 17th and all you got to do is simply pick the winners for every college football game and guess the score for the championship game. The top three players with the most winners will get a free play. It’s that simple, first place gets $2,000. Second, $1,000 and third, $500. Now who doesn’t like some extra cash on the holidays. Pick the most bowl winners and come out on the top, head over to betus.com to get full details.
Gary Segars:
All right, now we certainly appreciate that. Let’s go ahead and talk about our recap for the season thus far. We gave it to you last week. None of us had any bets, so we’re not going to worry about a graphic here. I’m just going to go ahead and tell you on the season I am sitting at 50 wins, 44 losses and four pushes, Kyle 37 wins and 31 losses, and Parker at 49 wins at 59 losses and three pushes. If you toss in the futures there, which I like to do, because it makes us sound better, we are 161, 151 and seven. So not too shabby. Let’s go ahead and dive into the games. That is what we’re here for. We appreciate all of you, by the way, for taking some time out of national signing day, at least the early signing day, to come over here and actually talk about real football, not the hope and the hype, but the actual games that will be played in December and January.
Gary Segars:
We’re going to start off with a game from this Friday, The Bahamas Bowl, and we have got middle Tennessee state against Toledo, Toledo, a 10 point favorite juiced at minus 115. The total is 50 and a half MTSU, four and two against the spread in their last six, Toledo, four and one against the spread in their last five, two teams that got hot towards the end of the season. MTSU sophomore quarterback, Mike DiLiello, I’m hoping I say that correctly, he took over in the fourth quarter against FAU, scored 17 points in that quarter loan just to make it to this bowl game. Toledo also moved to a different quarterback, Dequan Finn after Carter Stanley didn’t work out and it has worked out better for both teams it seems like. MTSU, number 82 and net points per drive, Toledo, number 23 in that regard.
Gary Segars:
Now that is a full season stat. I’ve got so many questions, guys. Kyle, I want to start off with you on this. It’s tough to handicap certain advanced metric features, right? Advanced stats, predictive stats, stuff like that. Toledo is number 129 in penalty yards per game. MTSU is number 85, is different stats like that worth anything when you are measuring up for a bowl game? How do you look at this game?
Kyle Hunter:
Well, bowl handicapping in and of itself is a lot different than regular season handicapping certainly. So motivation means far more. I think the conference by stats can be unique too because some of these conferences they just call more penalties than other conferences. So it’s a bit tricky just to look at that number straight up and take too much from it. So that’s why we always have to give you the numbers and then try to analyze them properly. I want to start off here guys with a bit of a history lesson here. I bet Western Kentucky minus two and a half in 2014 in The Bahamas Bowl, probably the worst bad beat I’ve ever had in my life. This was a Christmas Eve game. I remember this one really well, myself, a friend of mine, both had this and it was 49, seven in the fourth quarter and Western Kentucky with the lead, certainly looks like an easy cover of minus two and a half.
Kyle Hunter:
They end up winning 49, 48, just a terrible beat. In 2018, I tried The Bahamas Bowl again. It didn’t go well that time, either Toledo and FIU under 66, the total dropped a bunch, got all kinds of closing line value, 29 points in the fourth quarter, it scored 67 points, it goes over by one, a 43 yard touchdown pass with two seconds left. Just a brutal way to go. I hate this game with a passion and I feel uniquely unqualified to talk about this game. So I’m going to keep this one very brief. I’m going to let Gary and Parker give you the good insight because guys I’m afraid if I go with something on this one, I might jinx you guys.
Kyle Hunter:
So in a more generic sense, I did want to say that motivation is the most important thing obviously in bowl season, who wants to be there? Who doesn’t want to be there? 60% of the bets here on Toledo, 85% of the money on Toledo, Rick Stockstill’s teams are two and six ATS and bowl games. So far, he’s been one of the worst bowl coaches. I do think numbers like that matter a lot this time of the year. I wouldn’t want to bet MTSU. I’m a little bit nervous about laying this many points with the Toledo team that’s been very inconsistent, so I’m going to let you guys go with this one.
Gary Segars:
Most certainly. Parker since week seven, MTSU is number six in defensive success rate allowed, but they are number 118 in explosiveness allowed, Toledo number nine in offensive explosiveness, that’s number 25 passing, but only number 114 passing defense for MTSU. This is not a good matchup at all for MTSU. As Kyle just talked about Rick Stockstill, not a great bowl coach. A lot of that has to do with the matchups that they end up getting in these bowl games. Typically you would never put Middle Tennessee and Toledo on the same field thinking that they are equal participants and yet we have them here in a bowl game in The Bahamas. I like Toledo here quite a bit. Obviously the numbers say so, 85% of whatever it was that Kyle said, well over 80% of the money and the tickets on Toledo here, but I still like it. Typically, I like to fade the public, but crazy things can happen. What do you see in this one?
Parker Fleming:
Yeah, Toledo is seven and five and two of their losses I think actually aged really, really well. They lost by three at Notre Dame in the second game of the season and then they lost versus a Colorado State team who certainly trailed off at the end of things. But at the beginning of the season gave Iowa a bunch of trouble was really feisty on defense early on. So a pretty solid team, they’d been able to put up big points against bad teams, 45 points against UMass earlier in the season, 49 against Bowling Green, 49 against Akron. Those two are in the last three weeks of the season. And so I like Toledo here. Obviously something we’ll keep an eye on is opt outs, coaching changes, everything. And this game weirdly enough seems to not be affected by that on either side. I will say Middle Tennessee, I’m really down on. They got bowl eligibility by scoring a bunch of late points against a Florida Atlantic team that is just in absolute shambles.
Parker Fleming:
And if you look at the wins that MTSU has on the season down the stretch, FAU, FIU, Southern Miss, UConn, Middle Tennessee State might be the 125th worst team in the conference in FBS and they beat four teams that were worse than them. Their schedule just really lined up for them to have some really bad wins. So the other thing I really like here for Toledo is this matchup of what they like to do on offense. Toledo has a really bad passing offense and they don’t pass a ton. They’re 109th in EPA per pass, but they’re second in EPA per rush, very efficient ground game. And where Middle Tennessee has had some a backbone, even, you got to count for opponent obviously, but their 30th in EPA per pass.
Parker Fleming:
Again, I guess the bad slate, but they’re 68th in EPA per rush. So I really expect Toledo to be able to rush. Toledo is 21st in points per quality possession, and again, against the better slate than MTSU so I expect them to finish with touchdowns often when they get those drives. On the flip side, MTSU’s offense. Brett Diamonds there, but they’re really, really struggling even having the RPO godfather, 82nd EPA per pass, 122nd EPA per rush and Toledo’s defense has been really stout sixth in EPA pass. So complementary football here, the body of work and the resume all signs for me point to Toledo. I have them by about 14 points so a comfortable pad on this 10 point spread.
Gary Segars:
That’s exactly how I feel. This should be about two touchdowns, but as we know, bowl games, anything can happen. I think both of these teams will be very glad to be in The Bahamas on Friday when this thing kicks off. Let’s make it official, Parker and myself, both riding Toledo and the 10 points. 10 points doesn’t seem like enough here. So Toledo minus 10 for both of us, that moves us over to the Cure Bowl, Northern Illinois and Coastal Carolina. And I get to talk about the Huskies one more time. Coastal Carolina favored by 10 and a half here. The total is 63 and a half, Coastal Carolina quarterback, Grayson McCall, he did play the last two games of the season. He is going to play in this game. Looks like Northern Illinois, wide receiver, Tyrice Richie, who missed the last four games for them could be back and he is quite the weapon.
Gary Segars:
NIU five and two against the spread and straight up in their last seven as an underdog, coastal, one and five against the spread in their last six as a favorite. Coastal Carolina has played the number 130 ranked schedule per ESPN. That is dead last. NIU, the number 75 strength of schedule in the country. Got a lot of questions here Parker, I want to start off with you. The coastal rushing attack should have a lot of success against NIU, but we’ve seen Northern Illinois do some crazy things this season that we did not expect. Coastal is number 99 in defensive explosiveness allowed since week seven. Coastal is number 45 in that metric on offense. Give me your thoughts on this from Parker.
Parker Fleming:
Yeah, so obviously Coastal has been playing without Grayson McCall and it does look like he is going to play. It does look like he might be auditioning for a transfer spot in this bowl game and so I do expect a big game out of him. Before I get in the wrong numbers, I think there’s two things to look at here; one, Northern Illinois obviously likes to play the pace game, right? They want long slow drives. They want a few possessions. They want high variance. Coastal Carolina actually does that pretty well. They manage opponents pretty well and they’ve been flexible in scaling their pace to their opponents. And so I don’t know that that strategy is going to necessarily work against an offense that has such a theoretical explosive ceiling like Coastal Carolina does. The other thing is that offense for Coastal Carolina is not something that you see every day.
Parker Fleming:
It’s not like anything that NIU has seen in the Mac and preparing for it, especially when they have a month to game for you as well. I do think there’s a coaching advantage for Coastal Carolina. So you have quarterback talent, you have coaching advantage, you have a month to prepare and then you start getting in the numbers and you say, “Yeah, Coastal Carolina since week five, number one in EPA per pass, 13th in EPA per rush, Northern Illinois is 128th on defense in EPA per rush, 94th in EPA per pass.” The problem is that no one has been able to really exploit what they’ve been able to do. And then on the flip side, Northern Illinois has been pretty good about bowing up and scoring opportunities, but Coastal Carolina, ninth in quality possession rate, third in points per quality possession. This offense is going to score at will.
Parker Fleming:
On the flip side, Northern Illinois is good at rushing, they’re 11th in EPA per rush, again, that’s not opponent adjusted. Coastal Carolina is 57th in EPA per rush, but they’re actually pretty bad against the past so teams haven’t been rushing a lot against them. I do think that Northern Illinois hasn’t really faced a defense like this. When you look at the defenses that they’ve faced, Bowling Green is 67th, central Michigan’s 92nd, Western is 82nd, Kent is 114th, Ball State is 89th, Buffalo is 110th and coastal is 75th. So Coastal is a much better, at least analogous to the good defenses that Northern Illinois has played.
Parker Fleming:
But in terms of offenses, Coastal is so much better than anyone that they’ve played. Northern Illinois has not beat a team that is complete in that having a good offense and a good defense. And so I think that all the signs for me here point to a big win for Coastal Carolina, I have this close to 12 points. And so I’m going to ride with the shot clears, even though I took them on the under and they pushed the season. I think they’ll win in ball season.
Gary Segars:
I can see where you’re coming from with this. Kyle, do you have any thoughts on this? Coastal number one, an offensive success rate on the season, NIU is number 121 in that metric. It does look like a mismatch, but we’ve been down this road before, right?
Kyle Hunter:
Yeah, I want to start with Coastal Carolina’s 148th strength of schedule, according to [inaudible 00:17:33], which means there’s quite a few FCS teams that have played tougher schedules than they have, certainly a negative on Coastal, Northern Illinois is 94th there. Thomas Hammock, we’ve gone back and forth about Thomas Hammock this year. I think we have to at least give him credit. He’s done a really good job coaching this team this year because Northern Illinois was not expected to be at this point. And even with their shortcomings here they are. I love this quote from Hammock, and you guys have probably seen this too. He said, “I hope they get their commercials in quick because this is going to be a brief game.” So he wants a repeat of the game plan from their win against Kent State, right? Because that game was really quick, they were just keeping the ball away from Dustin Crum and the Kent State offense.
Kyle Hunter:
It worked. They were able to do it. The Mac is 31 and 43 against the spread in bowl games since 2005 so not good. The Sunbelt is 26 and 25 for what it’s worth. There’s some bowl angles that I’ll like to mention as we go. I know some people find some good value and there’s one that supports Coastal Carolina here is low ATS teams, teams that have not covered well in the regular season. In general, note in general, that that’s been a good angle. It’s just backing teams that haven’t covered the spread because most people want to bet publicly the teams that have done really well over the course of the season and usually you want to be against the public more than anything else in bowl season, but the team, it was covered less than 50% of their games and also allows less yards per play on defense than their opposition, 57 and 25 against the spread in the last 82 bowl games.
Kyle Hunter:
So that fits Coastal here. Their defense is certainly better. And guys, I never mention names here, but I wanted to say real quick that I heard a podcast this week say Grayson McCall might give Coastal Carolina a tiny edge of quarterback against Rocky Lombardi. I don’t want to a dunk on anybody but Grayson McCall a tiny edge over Rocky Lombardi, you’re never going to hear any of us say that obviously. Coastal Carolina plus two and a half yards per play this year really impressive.
Kyle Hunter:
They’ve been very good. NIU, negative 0.7 yards per play. And I’ve tried several times to talk against NIU and all of us have done this from time to time. I don’t want to bet against them too much here. My lean here, if I were betting this game would be Coastal Carolina over on the team total. But my concern there is the pace of the game. It’s just Coastal Carolina is 123rd and tempo and I use 103rd. I think Coastal’s going to score the question. 37 is a lot of points for that pace. So that’s my lean for this game if I had to bet it but I’m going to pass.
Gary Segars:
I totally see where you’re coming from. Grayson McCall, definitely an advantage at quarterback. He right now has the lead in quarterback efficiency for a full season. I believe if it’s QBR, the ESPN measure, whatever it is, Mac Jones set the record last year, it was set before that by Joe Burrow. It was never anywhere close to those numbers prior to that. But if he continues the pace, he will set an all time record and that’ll be a huge thing for a school like Coastal Carolina, but I ain’t getting got again. I am going to go with Northern Illinois. I’m going with the team that was five and two against the spread as an underdog and straight up as an underdog because their wins this season have made no sense. I don’t why I would go against it in this regard, but Coastal, a fantastic team, but again, I understand where you’re coming from with that trend Kyle, but I will have to see it.
Gary Segars:
I’m going to put my money where my mouth is, and I’m going to take the underdog here at plus 10 and a half with Northern Illinois. But Parker, we’ll make this official, I’m taking NIU plus 10 half. I’m going against Parker, he’s going Coastal, minus 10 and a half. Nothing that NIU has done this season has made sense. So there is no metric that I can give you that will justify me taking the Huskies, but there is no metric that I can give you that would’ve justified them winning as many games as they did and winning a Mac championship. So with that said, I’m going to go against my better judgment and I’m going to take the Huskies. Parker is going to ride with the [inaudible 00:21:52]. And I like it. I like Jamey Chadwell. I like Grayson McCall, all that good stuff but I’m going to take Thomas Hammock. I’m on your side this time, guys.
Gary Segars:
See, I can get off. So let me go ahead and remind everybody, jump into the chat if you would like to, not really a lot of room for Q&A and whatnot in bowl season, because we’re going to go over every bowl anyway. But you guys jump in if you have any questions about things that you want an opinion on or some knowledge that we may know that we did not divulge for whatever reason, go ahead and jump into the chat, make sure and like the video for us. And again, subscribe to the channel. Let’s jump into Saturday’s action. And we are going to the Boca Raton Bowl with Western Kentucky and Appalachian State, App State a three point favorite here total of 67 and a half. Now Western Kentucky has guys transferring but it looks like all will be available.
Gary Segars:
The OC took the Texas tech job but he has said that he will coach in the bowl game. Bailey Zappe has a chance to break Joe Burrow’s single season touchdown record. He’s got a chance to break the all time yardage record for a season. Along with that, App Statewide receiver, Corey Sutton is going to miss this game after having surgery, just certain things to watch out for here. Western Kentucky, two and one against the spread as a dog this season, they were five and one against the number in their last six games. They did not cover in that conference USA championship game, App State four and two against the spread in their last six.
Gary Segars:
All of those were as a favorite. Didn’t look great against Louisiana but a lot of teams don’t look great against Louisiana. Kyle, I want to start off with you. The things that Western Kentucky is good at on offense, App State is good at defending. App State number 11 in passing success rate, just a ton of numbers here that would lead you towards App State. But Western Kentucky has been really, really feisty this season and if they’ve got all of their guys and they are motivated in this game, it’s tough to bet against them. So what do you think about this game?
Kyle Hunter:
This is a tough one because Western Kentucky has all these guys in the transfer portal and it’s like, Tensley, Bishop, Mason Brooks, but they’re playing here so how motivated are they going to be? It seems odd to me, you’re in the transfer portal but then you’re going to come back for the bowl game. I don’t know what to make of that. It’s an unknown to me, really interesting dynamic. Corey Sutton out with an injury for App State is a big injury, definitely their best squad receiver. Totals of 53 points are higher in bowl season. 53.3% to the under. Who wants to bet an under in this game? I don’t want to bet an under in this game, that’s for sure. Western Kentucky is eighth in the country in yards per play margin, App State is 19th.
Kyle Hunter:
This is a really solid early bowl game guys. This is a fun game I’m looking forward to. Certainly like Gary said, Zappe with a chance to break Joe Burrow’s record. What a season for him and the Hilltoppers. They’ve been very good. If it weren’t for their negative two turnover margin in that last game, it would’ve been an interesting, it could have ended differently against UTSA. They got that big, they came back, made it interesting certainly. App State’s coverage grade at PFF is 27th, App State better and run defense in my estimation, but that doesn’t really matter here, Western Kentucky’s not going to run anyways. So with Kayley leaving after the gear, all the Western Kentucky guys in the portal, how does that change? The handicap? It’s hard to gauge something like this. I would lean App State here in this game because of that. Western Kentucky forced 27 turnovers this year though, and Chase Brice guys, he still worries me. I don’t know what I’m going to get from Chase Brice. Is it going to be good Chase Brice? Bad Chase Brice? I’m going to lean App State, but stay away from this one.
Gary Segars:
I like what you were talking about with betting the under. Nobody really wants to bet the under here. Sean Clark, by the way, did just get a big new contract extension with App State. But total plays per game is something that I like to look at for these. Western Kentucky is number three in the country in that at 152 plays per game, App State is number 82, only 134.62 plays per game. That is 18 less on average. Typically that goes with the team that is trying to slow things down. If they are able to slow things down for Western Kentucky, maybe under 67 and a half, we’ll see. But down in Boca Raton, nobody wants to be betting and under. I can totally understand that. Parker, how strange is it that the offensive coordinator gets hired by Texas Tech and they’re totally fine with him just staying at Western Kentucky to coach the bowl game in a game that for the most part doesn’t really matter. Is that a little weird to you?
Parker Fleming:
Well, the game’s the first week in a bowl season and national signing day was today and their turnaround was pretty quick after the championship. So I’m not even sure he would have his desk cleaned out by this weekend anyway. So that to me doesn’t seem too crazy. I will say, motivation and where your head’s at, certainly a factor. I won’t reiterate what Kyle said but I agree with it. I’m going to ask a crazy question and one that I don’t love, is Chase Brice the best quarterback that Western Kentucky has faced in the last eight weeks since they lost at Michigan State? I think he might be. Maybe there’s an argument for Max B at Florida International, but I think that’s just a dream that I wanted to believe in. So I do think that App State is considerably better than a UTSA team that’s foiled Western Kentucky twice and better than any of the teams that they’ve played here.
Parker Fleming:
Again, I’m just reading off [inaudible 00:27:40] teams and this feels mean, but Old Dominion, FIU, Charlotte, Middle Tennessee, Florida, Atlantic Marshall. Not exactly a murderers row for Western Kentucky, as they have been putting up points, that’s very impressive, obviously. But I do think the App State’s the most complete team they faced, on defense App State is 13th and passing EPA seventh and success rate on defense, and 20th EPA passing on offense. So I do think that App State has the punch counter punch that most teams that Western Kentucky has been able to beat do not have. And I will say that App State is only lost to Louisiana and Miami and they haven’t lost to anybody else this season. They’ve been really, really solid. I think this is a mismatch. I think there’s a coaching advantage for App State here.
Parker Fleming:
I will say I’m very nervous about this one. Again, I like to go high volume in bowls, but Western Kentucky is so dangerous. We saw they had what, like 20 points at the halftime of the championship game. And they could just let it sling and they’re honestly a little bit better when they get out of their way. What’ll be interesting to watch is how Western Kentucky’s offensive line holds up against an App State front been pretty disruptive, especially against mediocre units this year. So I’m going to go with App State two and a half. I’m going to be crossing my fingers and sweating, this one’s a little bit close.
Parker Fleming:
I have this about four. And given what Western Kentucky can do, I’m a little bit nervous, but I’m going to take App State here and I’m going to go the over as well. Well, I’m not going to take it, I’m going to lean the over. I think that would be my inclination just as a shout out to Kyle there, because again, I think Western Kentucky could score, but I think App State will be able to match pace with them.
Gary Segars:
That totally makes sense. Let’s make it official. Parker is going to ride with App State on this. A little tricky number that it’s not really predictive. You can’t really toss it in the metric because a lot of it has to do with luck and whatnot, but Western Kentucky, number 22 and turnover margin and App State is number 94. If something goes crazy in this game, that would be something to pay attention to, right?
Parker Fleming:
Do you have those up right there? Because I wonder what that is in games, not against Louisiana. In every other game except for two games at Louisiana because didn’t Chase Brice have, I think he had four turnovers in that first one and then I think he had two or three in the second matchup. And so I wonder outside, in every other game what their turnover margin is, but that’s a good point. That was just a key curiosity. Yeah.
Gary Segars:
I’m not certain but if anybody wants to tweet us about that, I will certainly go and do the research so go ahead and toss in on that but you’re going to ride with App State. Yeah, I don’t know that Western Kentucky. I will say this, I’ve got giveaways per game. Actually read that number off wrong. Sorry, turnover margin App State is number 72, giveaways per game, App State is number 94, takeaways per game Western Kentucky is number eight in the country, but at the same side giveaways per game, Western Kentucky is number 86 and App State is number 34 in takeaways. I don’t know, it’s something to pay attention to. If it goes a little wonky, if it doesn’t go the way that you would assume, that’s going to be a metric to look at.
Gary Segars:
So turnovers always an equalizer for sure. Let’s move on further into Saturday, going over to the New Mexico Bowl, and this one’s going to be fun to try and handicap. Fresno State against UTEP. UTEP looking for their first bowl win since I believe of 1967. The minors are an 11 and a half point underdog here, total of 51, the Fresno coach Kalen DeBoer and the offensive coordinator Grubb left for Washington already. Look, Lee Marks, the running backs coach is going to be the interim coach, wide receiver coach Kirby Moore, who is Kellen Moore’s brother, the offensive coordinator for the Dallas Cowboys, he will call the plays and it appears that Jake Haener is staying on for the bowl game. Now I had seen that he was coming back for the bowl game, but I initially saw that he was going to Washington. Apparently his waiver was denied.
Gary Segars:
He was going to have to set out a year because he’s already done his transfer, blah, blah, blah, blah. He’s coming back. We talk about motivation. We talk about trying to figure these teams out. What is Fresno looking at? What do they want out of this game? It’s a lot of points. Just a lot of questions around the bulldogs right now, Jeff Tedford is coming back as head coach. He won’t be there for the bull game, but Kyle, will want to start off with you on this. Fresno four and two against the spread of their last six as a favorite. Again, a little bit different circumstance here, UTEP three and four against the spread as a dog this season, they are O and three against the number in their last three in that role. UTEP, when they play great teams that get whipped, they were one and four straight up to end the season but I don’t know what to make of Fresno right now. What are your thoughts on this?
Kyle Hunter:
I have a lot of thoughts. I don’t know how much clarity there is as far as this, Jake Haener’s leaving, Jake Haener’s coming back. Then he says, “I’ll see you in 2022.” I don’t know if that was supposed to mean, he’s just coming back next season. Some were reading into that, he won’t play in this game. The coaching staff making it sound like up to three quarterbacks could play in this game. Haener’s our best quarterbacks so I don’t know what to make of that.
Gary Segars:
Isn’t that weird by the way? If he’s going to come back so that he can play next season, why wouldn’t he play in the ball game? There was no injury. None of it makes sense to me. Anyway, go ahead. Go ahead.
Kyle Hunter:
No, there wouldn’t be a good reason for that at all. And UTEP, UTEP has to be fired up to be in this game. Why would they not be excited to be in this game? So if you’re looking at any motivational factors, there’s no way you could say there’s not a motivational wedge for UTEP in this game. The question is, what do the Xs and Os look like, the numbers. If I thought Fresno State was fully motivated, they had all their coaches, I take Fresno minus 11 and a half in this game. I’d have to lay the points, but with the questionable motivation level and UTEP being up for this game, certainly, I would lean UTEP in this game. UTEP Jacob Cowing, the guy needs a little bit more respect. PFF grades him second highest of any receiver and the country with 100 targets or more, 19.9 yards per catch. That’s really impressive.
Kyle Hunter:
A home run hitter, UTEP third in the nation and explosiveness on offense. So quietly they’re capable of big things, at least in the passing game. The question is, can UTEP stop Fresno State? That’s where, is Jake Haener playing? Is Jake Haener excited to be here? What’s going on with Fresno’s offenses, it’s kind of is murky, but UTEP’s 34th and yards per play out in the country, but that’s clearly resolved the offenses they’ve played against, UGSA put up 44 points on them, UAB put up 42 on them. I think if Fresno is engaged, UTEP can give up quite a few points in a game like this. So on a motivational fact, I’m going to lean UTEP. And I also lean pretty strongly to the over in this one as well.
Gary Segars:
I feel where you’re coming from. Parker on this one, you mentioned with Middle Tennessee. I like to look at this site called team rankings. They do a power rating for every team in the country. UTEP has not beaten the team that was ranked above number 105 all season, and yet they made it to a bowl game, which is astounding. Their strength of schedule this year was number 126 out of 130. Now Fresno, not significantly better overall, they’re number 94. But when you look at that, Fresno is number 56 in that ranking. There’s a massive, massive talent advantage for Fresno State. The question here is whether or not they’re going to be up for this game. It’s closer to UTEP. I think the Ute fans are going to travel. What are your thoughts on it?
Parker Fleming:
Yeah, I will say I’m always so skeptical of the strength of schedule disparities, because I’m just not sure that the 75th worst strength of schedule is actually 30 spots better than the 105th worst strength of schedule. Maybe that’s peak off season, that’s in my brain. But it’s my suspicion that that’s an average and so Fresno played Oregon and that skews way, way up what their strength of schedule was. Anyway, it is an important consideration. Again, the [inaudible 00:36:17] not very strong, especially outside of top couple of teams. And UTSA, or UTEP, excuse me, has struggled down the stretch, but against good teams. They lost to Florida Atlantic before Florida Atlantic fully began their death spiral.
Parker Fleming:
Yeah, I was trying to be diploma there. Yeah, just lost it. Then they lost to a really good UTSA team, North Texas started playing really, really well at the end of the season. They took care of Brice and then of course UAB has some really explosive passing. Fresno did put up 30 points on San Diego State who is one of the best defenses in the nation. And so again, I think that Fresno should be able to handle them. Again, I don’t know if Haener is playing. There is the motivation factor. UTEP is fifth in EPA per pass. They do have the ability to chuck one deep and break off a big play, which is your best chance when you’re out talented and the defense is better.
Parker Fleming:
On the flip side, UTEP’s defense has been pretty good, and especially when you can pair those conference games only and avoid those big asymmetries like when Fresno is playing Oregon or UCLA. UTEP is 42nd EPA per pass on defense, 14th in EPA per rush. Fresno’s only 44th in EPA per pass. They’re high volume but low explosiveness in the passing game. And so I expect this game to be a little bit slow and this just seems, double digit seems way too many points here. So I’m going to take UTEP to cover this. I have this closer to an eight point spread. I’m not confident that UTEP’s going to win or have any delusions that I would take a money line there. But in terms of the spread, I think that Utes going to be able to keep this close and then you start counting for, well, maybe Haener doesn’t play, they switch coaches. Maybe things are weird. I think this is a great spot for UTEP.
Gary Segars:
Totally makes sense. The total here of 51 would lead to about a 31 to 20 game. If that is the case, we’ve got 11 and a half, you’d win that by the hook. So I can totally see where you’re coming from. Kyle leaned that direction with you. So we’ll make it official for Parker. He’s going to roll UTEP plus 11 and a half on this one. Again, let me remind everybody, like the video, subscribe to the channel, hit the notification bell. Wednesday is 5:00 PM Eastern time. Thursday is 12:00 PM Eastern time. We will be back again tomorrow with the bowl preview part two. So make sure that you dive in here and get involved with all of these weekend bowl games and whatnot, all the bowl games that will take place before we get back next Wednesday. Let’s dive into the Independence Bowl.
Gary Segars:
We’ve got UAB facing off against BYU. Now BYU, it seems a little strange that they would be in Shreveport here. So they’re getting to play UAB, a good team. They are favored by seven. BYU is juiced at minus 105 here. UAB is three and one against the spread as, oh, excuse me, the total is 55 on this one in case anybody would like to know. UAB is three and one against the spread as a dog, BYU is two and four against the spread, their last six as a favorite. I brought up strength of schedule. There’s no real difference here. UAB surprisingly has a better strength of schedule per ESPN number 58, to BYU number 74. We got some questions regarding UAB. Leading rusher is DeWayne McBride has suffered an injury late. He might be out. The third leading receiver Johnson Sanders in the transfer portal, he’s going to be out. There is question about whether or not their stud defensive end, Alex Wright is going to opt out of this game.
Gary Segars:
I haven’t seen anything about BYU regarding anybody’s sitting out or any injuries or anything like that. It looks like they’re going to be full go trying to get their 11th win of the season. We do know that Kalani Sitake is not taking another job. He got a contract extension. He is going to stay in Provo. So Kyle, I want to start off with you on this. Since week seven, UAB, number 25 offensive success rate in the country, BYU number 118 defensive success rate allowed. This BYU defense has been kind of putrid, if that’s the best way to put it. UAB number one and points per scoring opportunity, BYU number 110 on the defensive side of that. Give me your thoughts here, because this looks like two pretty good offenses and then UABs just got a better defense. What do you think?
Kyle Hunter:
So I think for this game, it’s a fascinating game, one that I’m really looking forward to. Bill Clark, one of my favorite coaches. I know I’ve said that here before. He’s excellent. He’s stayed there through all the rough times, obviously, while they didn’t even have a programs to talk, he’s a really good coach as well. So I think there’s a good coaching matchup. I would think both teams would be ready to play in this game. I don’t think there’s a big motivational edge to one side or the other. It’s interesting. Gary, you said you were talking about the strength of schedule thing. Did you say ESPN had UAB with the tougher strength of schedule?
Gary Segars:
Yes.
Kyle Hunter:
Okay. That’s interesting. Which goes to the point that Parker was making.
Gary Segars:
Yeah, heavily weighted with Georgia. That’s got to be.
Kyle Hunter:
Yeah. Because [inaudible 00:41:28] strength of schedule, UAB is 114th and BYU is 65th. So some pretty big differences in strength of schedule, which is a discussion for another day but it’s certainly interesting. UAB is 14th and yards per play margin on the season. Very good. BYU, 28. Guys I really think that BYU, a couple of their wins, at least a couple of them, we need to put a little bit of an asterisk by because Utah wasn’t the same team early in the season. And this is not me saying that that wasn’t a good win for BYU, that’s a great win in the holy war game, certainly. But Utah was much better later in the season. And then Virginia, Virginia was about to score 75 points on him and Brennan Armstrong gets hurt and then BYU outscores some 21 and nothing in the fourth quarter to win the game.
Kyle Hunter:
Who knows what would happen if Armstrong was healthy the rest of the way? The thing that really stands out to me when I break this game down, UABs passing attack is way better than most people would think. Very explosive. They’re second in the nation guys and 30 plus yards place so far this year with 40 of them. I just can’t believe it. When I was looking at the biggest plays, I would’ve never dreamed that UAB would be second in the country, especially given-
Gary Segars:
Yeah, it doesn’t seem like the Bill Clark. Yeah, Bill Clark offense.
Kyle Hunter:
Right. Especially given their tempo, which means that at the tempo they’re playing, getting this many big plays it’s fantastic. That’s amazing stuff. And BYU has been terrible at defending tight ends so far this year. In fact, BYU has allowed 52 yards or more in four of their seven games against power five opponents to the opposing tight end. So UAB top notch, tight end, tremendous tight end, Garrett Prince is very good averaging 20.5 yards per catch so far this year. BYU is 87th PFF and tackling grade as well. So it wouldn’t surprise me if UABs receivers and tight end break some tackles in the open field here. On the other side, BYU is very good offensively, eighth with 35 plays of 30 yards or more. And UAB defense is good, but they’ve played against some pretty bad offenses there in conference USA. Tempo wise, a slow game but I think these teams can be efficient. There’ll be a lot of explosive plays in this one. I like the over here. I’m going to take over 55.
Gary Segars:
I can totally see where you’re going with that. The only part that scares me about it is the total plays per game. It’s 121 for UAB and number 76 for BYU. But you talked about how efficient these two teams are on offense and the defenses may not really be able to catch up with those offenses there, so I’m seeing where you’re coming from. Looking at… Parker, I like to look at the penalty stuff, right? UAB is number 130 in penalty yards per game. This is going to be interesting to see because BYU is number 31. BYU, very disciplined. UAB, typically very disciplined but they’ve been incredibly aggressive this season and it’s cost them big time. They’re averaging over 90 yards per game in penalty yards. Those hidden yards are important. We just talked about it being a slower paced game. Does that lead you more towards UAB on this?
Parker Fleming:
I want to go look at the penalties because UABs past defense has actually been pretty bad relative to what their rush defense has been, their 54th and EPA per pass. I wonder how much defensive pass interference they’ve got, because they’ve gotten beat or they’re struggling or something and they’ve gotten caught up. That’s just interesting. I think that UABs offense is good. It is boom and bust and I do like the point about the tight end. I really don’t feel like UAB really has a playmaker that can totally exploit this BYU defense. I do think that they will get some big plays. They’re 70th in EPA per pass. They’re sixth in EPA per rush. And so the numbers here, again, these are not adjusted for opponent and who they’ve played down the stretch, but BYU is 105th in EPA per rush, but they are 106 and third and fourth down success.
Parker Fleming:
And so what that tells me is, largely where they’re getting beat is in those third downs, not on those early downs, and because UAB is not as good being successful, they’re more explosive, I don’t know that those third downs are going to factor in a whole lot. And so that’s just something to look at in terms of how these teams compliment each other, UAB is 76th in percent of first downs on first and second down. They’re going to find themselves in third and long often, and so that I think bodes well for BYU. In terms of the offense, I do think a little bit about a boat race here, not in the sense that UAB is a lot worse than BYU, but in the sense that UAB plays slow and they have to rely on big plays and BYU will score often, they’re fourth in offensive EPA per play, they’re fifth in success rate.
Parker Fleming:
And I really do think that BYU will be able to score a lot. We’ve seen [inaudible 00:46:36] against USC. For instance, they were able to stay ahead and as the game grows in possessions, I do think that the first couple of drives where UAB doesn’t get that big play, if they falter, BYU will be able to pull out to a bigger lead. So I’m going to go with BYU to cover here. Yeah, I’m going to go with BYU to cover and I’m going to rest on the back of Kalani Sitake being happy about his contract and them getting a big win here in bowl season.
Gary Segars:
Gotcha. All right. So we need to switch that up on our spreadsheet. You had UAB down.
Parker Fleming:
No, no. That’s totally great. What I did… no, no, no, no. I want UAB. I’m so sorry. I’m a crazy person. On our spreadsheet I was looking at the line and that’s why I stumbled because I was like, “Wait, I don’t like this. What am I talking to myself into? I’ve got my model right here, UAB.” Good Lord. It’s a long day. The power just went out. We got a lot going on over here. UAB I want to cover because I don’t think it’s going to get enough possessions.
Gary Segars:
Okay.
Parker Fleming:
Move on. Take UAB. Go look at my preview on Twitter. I posted it.
Gary Segars:
I’m sure think you could see my face going, wait, why is he talking to himself into this? We’ve already…
Parker Fleming:
I don’t know. I saw it on the screen. I was like, “That doesn’t feel right. I don’t think I like this.” Great, wonderful.
Gary Segars:
This works out well though. Okay.
Parker Fleming:
This is like a couple weeks ago when I took Marshall and North Texas, I said both of them the same thing. I can’t lose, man. I can’t lose.
Gary Segars:
Can’t lose if you pick both sides, right? You got that right. My question here before we make it official is, is BYU in the trenches built more like Georgia or are they built more like UTSA? Which one are they closer to? Because UAB, we have seen them have issues, especially against Liberty earlier in the season. They can run up against some teams that can just overwhelm them. Is BYU a team that can overwhelm UAB. And I don’t know if that’s the case in this situation. Parker, what do you think about that?
Parker Fleming:
Yeah, I think the issue that I would look at to put stats on this is looking at, BYU is 61st in early downs rush rates so they’re pretty balanced. They’re not like, “Hey, we’re going to line up in 22 personnel and shove it down your throat.” They really don’t try to do that as much. And so I do think the physicality is probably closer to UTEP. Certainly BYU believes that they’re closer to Georgia, but UAB in itself isn’t, I don’t think they’re that much of a talent disadvantage here and I don’t think that BYU will be able to do that. Tyler [inaudible 00:49:18] is a really, really good running back. They’re going to have to tackle him, but I really do think that the offensive line isn’t that big of a deal, it’s more of the running back.
Gary Segars:
It totally makes sense. So let’s make it official. We do have two plays on this one. Kyle is going to go with the over 55 and Parker is riding UAB, The Blazers plus seven on this one. So that is going to take us to our last game of the day. We’ve got six today. We got six more tomorrow. Last game here, the LendingTree Bowl is Liberty against Eastern Michigan. Now Liberty did not exactly end the season in a great way, but it does look Malik Willis, the quarterback is going to play in this game and that is nothing but a positive for Liberty. Liberty two and O straight up and against the spread in bowl games, Eastern Michigan three and O against the spread in bowl games, but they are O in three straight up in those. Now, if we look at this season, Liberty two and five against the spread as a favorite in their last seven, Eastern Michigan, three and three against the spread as a dog this year. They are three and two straight up in the last five in that role. Eastern Michigan, number one, fewest penalty yards per game.
Gary Segars:
Y’all know I like to look at that. Liberty is number 107. Turnovers, I always like to talk about these. Liberty number 125 and turnover margin Eastern Michigan is number 44 so a little bit of a discrepancy between these two. Kyle, I want to start off with you. It’s been a little bit since we’ve heard from you, the Liberty rushing attack, it feels like should have no issues at all with this Eastern Michigan defense. Since week seven, Liberty number 15 in rushing success rate, Eastern Michigan, number 121 in defensive rushing success rate allowed. How are you looking at this ball game?
Kyle Hunter:
Well, Eastern Michigan won a bunch of these coin flip games so really close games to go down to the wire. They have 4.9 second order win so far this year so it’s interesting what they come in. Obviously they got fortunate on some of these, at least the stats would think so. Eastern Michigan three wins with a 28% or lower post-game win and expectancy. That’s hard to do and they managed to do it. Liberty 8.2 second order wins, guys which Malik Wills is going to show up because Willis has been pretty bad here late in the season. Let’s be honest. Willis has really hurt his NFL draft stock. And I know some people said, “Why would Malik Willis play in a game like this?” I think Malik Willis needs to play in a game like this.
Gary Segars:
Yes.
Kyle Hunter:
He’s playing against a bad defense so here’s his chance to run it up against a team that’s not good defensively. Eastern Michigan, 117th defense overall. It played a really weak schedule this year. How are they going to stop Liberty? The only thing that Eastern Michigan has done very good at is rushing the passer. Liberty is allowed 50 sacks this year. And I don’t have specific stats on this but I do know that Malik Willis holds the ball a long time, tries to make things happen. I would think that Eastern Michigan’s best chance is to force some turnovers to get pressure on him there, because PFF grades Liberty offensive line at 53rd in the country. So really not that bad in past blocking to have 50 sacks so I think that tells us quite a bit about Willis. I want to see what scheme Liberty has on offense here.
Kyle Hunter:
And guys, I wanted to give you some numbers on this one ATS, we got dualing angles on this one, Chris Creighton as an underdog at Eastern Michigan, it’s been money in the bank. 38 and 25 against the spread, three and Os a dog in bowl games. Hugh Freeze been money in the bank all the time, and five and one in bowl games, 66 and 42 all time as a head coach, that’s 61% ATS. So it’d be easy to argue either side of that and have the numbers supporting you obviously. I think you saw Michigan’s very reliant on passing. They have nonexistent run game, Liberty, 14th and PFF pass rush grade, Eastern Michigan’s 50th and pass blocking, which offensive line holds up under pressure is the key to this game in my opinion. I lean Liberty in this game and that’s what I would bet here. But creating a solid as a coach and Willis has been shaky here at the end. I would also lean under if I had to bet the total in this one.
Gary Segars:
That totally makes sense that you brought up that passing game for Eastern Michigan. Ben Bryant I believe is the quarterback there, number 10 passing success rate offense since week seven, could have some success against that Liberty defense. But again, you talk about the overall numbers with Hugh Freeze and Chris Creighton, two really, really good coaches, both of them perform pretty well in bowl games. It’s going to be an interesting matchup for certain. I think the talent advantage certainly goes towards Liberty. Parker, give me your thoughts on that one because it looks like Liberty could overwhelm Eastern Michigan much the way that they have done other teams such as UAB, et cetera earlier in the season.
Parker Fleming:
Yeah, UAB, excuse me, Liberty’s losses this season, especially down the stretch have been pretty defensible. That Syracuse game, they dug a whole early. Syracuse was playing pretty decently there and had some good offensive line play that disrupted things. And then, obviously they lost the old miss by 13 in Oxford, which I think is huge. And then Louisiana and army are both pretty physical teams. I don’t know that Eastern Michigan is going to be able to exploit Liberty like any of the teams they’ve lost to have. And one thing that really really was an issue with, Liberty lost the ULM. That was just a stupid game. I think they had four trips into the 20, or at least in the red zone and came away with zero points on those four.
Parker Fleming:
Absolutely should have won that game. Eastern Michigan is allowing 99th echo rate on defense. 56.1% of the time they’re giving up a quality possession and they’re allowing 4.25 points per possession, that’s 68th. So that’s not really a strength of Eastern Michigan stopping you when you get a quality possession. Liberty’s rushing efficiency is super explosive. Obviously a lot of that comes through Malik Will’s legs, they’re third in EPA per rush. Eastern Michigan is 109th. And now granted, maybe there’s some mismatch there because they haven’t seen a lot of scrambling quarterbacks, but that would also lead me to think, if they’re this bad against the rush and they’re 88th and passing, if you throw in that third dimension of a scrambling quarterback, that’s only going to spread out Eastern Michigan there. They’re passing 14th most on early downs. Eastern Michigan is an offense and they’re 41st in EPA per pass.
Parker Fleming:
So again, high volume passing and high EPA passing is good, but Liberty’s defense when they’ve gotten beat has been in the run game. They’re 36th in EPA per pass. They are 22nd in passing success rate allowed. So I think that everything here just on the margin goes towards, Liberty’s a little bit better at what Eastern mission wants to be good at. And the things that Eastern Michigan theoretically is good at, passing success rate, for instance, Liberty’s just better there too. So that plus again, you go to the motivation, you go to Hugh Freeze with a month to repair, look at what he did to Coastal Carolina last year in a game where he was obviously a less talented team. He was one of the first teams to stop that offense and they did in the first half. And so with a month to prepare with Malik Willis auditioning for an NFL draft spot here, I see no reason that Liberty shouldn’t put up big numbers against this Eastern Michigan team so I’m going to ride with Liberty.
Gary Segars:
With the flames. Let’s make it [crosstalk 00:56:49].
Parker Fleming:
I said flames, but isn’t it Eagles? Didn’t they switch something? I don’t know. ESPN did a weird thing. That’s a whole nother-
Gary Segars:
I don’t think so. You know what? We’ll research it. Tweet us.
Parker Fleming:
Yeah.
Gary Segars:
We’ll figure it out. But I thought it was the Liberty Flames so maybe I’m wrong. Maybe I’m wrong.
Parker Fleming:
It is. Yeah.
Gary Segars:
Let’s make it official. Parker’s going to ride with Liberty minus nine, riding the fighting Hugh Freeze’s and I can agree with that. I like it. I’m not going to put my hard earned money on Hugh Freeze again this season because I’ve done it too many times and it has bitten me, but I can see where you’re going with that. So let’s make it official. Let’s go ahead and, well, do we have any questions in the Q&A? I have not seen any but, here we go. Any thoughts on the Jackson State game? Has anybody looked at that by chance? I know that they got a huge recruit today. It’s got nothing to do with the actual game, but there is a lot of momentum around Jackson State. I got no thoughts on that one.
Gary Segars:
So Jeffrey, I apologize, but we have not exactly looked into any of the FCS stuff. Going back through the comments, I don’t see, a lot of guys agreeing with our picks, et cetera. That is certainly nice. Jeffrey jumped in asking about wins in The Bahamas Bowl. Kyle, there’s always wins in The Bahamas Bowl, right? It hasn’t seemed to affected a whole lot, I don’t believe. Let’s see, questions about ODU and Tulsa, et cetera. That’s going to be on tomorrow’s show. I don’t see many questions. Gentlemen, was there anything else that you’ve guys wanted to hit before we do a recap? Not so much.
Kyle Hunter:
I’m good.
Gary Segars:
Okay. Let’s go ahead and round this thing out. We did this in about an hour, that’s not bad for six games. Now I know that we to talk. So let’s do our recap for the day. Parker, you’ve got a lot of them. I’m going to let you go ahead and read yours off.
Parker Fleming:
I love it man. High volume in the bowls and it’s good that we’re going to get to all these games. Yeah. So I like Toledo to cover Coastal and App State as favorites. I’ll take UTEP as the underdog along with UAB as the underdog and then like I just said, Liberty to cover as a favorite.
Gary Segars:
All right. And I have got two of them. I’m going to take Toledo minus 10 in that Bahamas Bowl against Middle Tennessee. And I like Northern Illinois plus 10 and a half because the numbers don’t make sense but Thomas Hammock has made me look a full all season, not again, not doing it again. I’m going to ride with the Huskies on that. Kyle, what have you got for us today?
Kyle Hunter:
So I’m going to stay off the Toledo one, you’re welcome guys, I’m going to stay away from The Bahamas game.
Gary Segars:
Thank you. Thank you.
Kyle Hunter:
I’m only going to take UAB and BYU over 55 today. I will have a couple of plays tomorrow so looking forward to that one as well.
Gary Segars:
Absolutely. All right, let me go ahead and remind everybody, make sure and like the channel and of course hit the notification bell once you have subscribed. That is the most important thing. Subscribe, like, hit the notification bell so that you know when we go live. Again, we are doing six bull previews. This was only part one so we got a lot of room to go. But yes, we will be back tomorrow, Thursday, 12:00 PM, Eastern time and we will do this again every Wednesday and Thursday through December leading up to the national championship game, which will be in January.
Gary Segars:
So make sure you are subscribed. Jump into the chat, jump into the comments. We want to know what your picks are on these games for certain. Jump in, knock it all out. And of course, check out these schools out contest over at BetUS and make sure that you are signed up at betus.com. It is where the game begins. We will be back again tomorrow. It’s going to be a fun ride. We got a lot of games to discuss. We’re going to hit every single bowl game and we certainly appreciate all you guys that were in the chat, Kenneth and Eric and Jeffrey, et cetera. You guys are the lifeblood of the show. We certainly appreciate you for being here. Hopefully you will be with us again tomorrow. With that said, we’re BetUS, where the game begins. We will see you again on Thursday.
Gary Segars:
(music)
