Flash:
Okay. And on the other side, the Batman to his Robin, or the Robin to his Batman, is [Marchin Com 00:01:52] who’s a European odds compiler. He loves to be pragmatic. He loves to find value. And I love it when someone puts up under or over two goals because he just FES on it. [Stinge 00:02:03] welcome, and good luck for the rest of the season.
Speaker 3:
Thanks, flash. Looking forward to it. No two goal lines this opening weekend, as far as I can see, but not surprising. Normally, beginning of the season, everybody’s very positive and the crowds are excited to be back. Generally leads to more open games, which I think is reflected in the prices. But I still think we’ve got plenty of decent bets that we’ve scoured. So look forward to discussing those.
Flash:
Yeah, we’ve got more bets than I expected, normally we say first four or five weeks just tread carefully, but we look to have gone right at the deep end week one. This is the order of the show, we’re going to show you seven games. We’re going to talk about them. There’s going to be a prop of the week. There’ll be a prop of the week on most shows. Then it’s the Q and A. Then it’ll be obviously the best bets.
Get yourselves in the chat, because we know that you’re knowledgeable. If there’s something during a game or a segment that you want to know about, then make sure you’re not shy. And don’t leave it right to the end that we’ve got to then backtrack, but you do have a Q and A for general questions. Listen, let’s just kick straight off. We’re going to go Friday night. We’re going to south London, tricky game. Neither of these two won in the first game of last season, neither of these two scored on the first week, last year.
So we’re going to go with Crystal Palace versus Arsenal. The handicap is set at half, which basically just favors the away side, the money line, plus 355 for Palace. A lot of people will be interested in that. Maybe even withdraw, no bet. Minus 125, fancy Arsenal or minus 125 away from home. First game of the season. The total is set again at two and a half. And again, it’s a flip. Team total do Arsenal score twice, but I tell you what, they’re saying. The Palace definitely score. The draw is at plus 265. Tough, tough away trip here for Arsenal on match day one. Marco O’Hare?
Speaker 2:
Very much is, yeah. I think if you go back 12 months, Arsenal started the season the way at Brentford. They were well beaten on that occasion. And [inaudible 00:04:03] went straight to the top of the next manager to leave market and things didn’t recover for quite some time really. But I think things are a little bit different this time around. Last year, Arsenal really didn’t have a squad together, at least at the start of the seasons. A bit of a scratch team put together. So they’ll be in better shape this time around. But yeah, you look at that price of minus 125, tricky opening day game away at Palace, does not interest me whatsoever. Sure, Arsenal excelled in their preseason games, particularly against Severe last weekend with the strong 11. Gabriel Jesus looked very sharp as well.
There’s no doubt in terms of personnel coming into the club. They’re probably stronger for it and they should continue to make incremental progress under our TETA. But there’s always a [inaudible 00:04:46] really when it comes to Arsenal, particularly away from home and they lost five times at bottom half teams last season, including that three nil [inaudible 00:04:54] at Crystal Palace, which was as recently as April on that occasion, they went offers a plus money almost plus 110 were beaten three nil. So have they changed enough in that time to be warranting at the backing at one minus 125? Certainly not for me really. There’s also issues defensively too. So [Tommy 00:05:14] is looking very likely to be missing out. And that means that William Saliba who’s come back into the club after his own period in France. Partnered Gabriel at center half.
And for all reports have done very, very well together, but it does mean that Ben white has to shift across to the right hand side of defense, which is not his natural position. And that would worry me from an Arsenal perspective, particularly up against Wilfried Zaha and Tyrick Mitchell as well, coming down that left hand side.
So there’s reasons to be positive there for Palace, I know they’ve got Conor Gallagher, but I think the addition of [inaudible 00:05:44] is really quite exciting. [Esay 00:05:46] is fit and available from the start of the season, which is a big boost. And they’ve also got plenty of attacking and exciting tacks and forward areas. For instance, Zaha, Mateta, Edouard as well. And this is a team who ranked six best in terms of XG process last season two. So in theory, what they achieved on the field was actually kind of slightly… They kind of underperformed based on their actual performances, which is quite surprising. But the only other thing I’d mentioned too is their equity. It’s the big teams. [inaudible 00:06:13] is very strong.
They held Man City here. They beat Arsenal, they beat Spurs, they beat United. And Chelsea only one by one goal when it went to Crystal Palace as well. So traditionally we know it’s a tough place to go. I’d be running a mile from those minus money quotes on Arsenal. So for me, it’s a case of backing Palace, not just plus a half, but you can get plus three quarters that’s plus a half and plus one. Which means that if they do lose by exactly one goal, we only lose half of our stake, but if they win or draw, we get paid out at the price.
Flash:
And listen, I can’t believe that anyone would want to go near Arsenal match day one at minus odds. I think that if you steer clear of Arsenal, away from home at minus money, you are already going to be in front. Yes, they will win away games, but can you trust them? Palace is big and strong [Stinge 00:06:59] against on Arsenal side, this has all the ingredients of being a really, really good game. And one of the props I was looking at is a penalty in the game. Both sides have got players that can go down in the box and they keep the ball close to their feet. I like this game. And I tell you what, I wouldn’t put anyone off of Palace, especially with the alpha goal of plus 105.
Speaker 3:
Yeah. I mean, Palace were fantastic in both of these games last season. Marc mentioned the three no victory in April, but I remember the Monday night game way back in October where it needed 94 minute Lacazette equalizer to rescue Arsenal from potential two one defeat. So yeah, very confident in Palace. Patrick Vieira, obviously ex-Arsenal, we’re doing fan a fantastic job there last season. And I think we spoke a number of times of how impressed we were.
The only real question marked over Palace is there is the replacement of Conor Gallagher, but with a fully fit [Esay 00:07:57], more game time for Michael Elise feeding Zaha who hit double figures for goals last season, which is much higher than he’s done in previous seasons. You’ve got strikers in Edouard, Benteke, Mateta. Very, very dangerous to be opposed in Palace here, I think. I couldn’t really disagree with anything Marc said to us, just as a side note, maybe I thought over two and a half goals was a reasonably big price here at minus 105 as the outsider. Nine of the last 11 meetings between the two teams have seen over 2.5 goals. And I think Friday night, a sellers part, the atmosphere is going to be absolutely-
Flash:
I’m glad you said that [Stinge 00:08:36]. That’s the biggest one for me. Going to sellers, opening down season, and it’s a night game. I’ll tell you whoever sorted out these fixtures, must have a Palace scarf on. And you do not want to go to Palace at the best of time. And then you throw in a night game, and then you throw in it’s the league opener. Arsenal is going to be up against it first 25 minutes. I think that we see over two and a half goals here. If Arsenal goes and wins, all credits to them. But I tell you what, I fancy see that both teams score and over, but if you’re going to get good odds on both teams to score, I think that is the way to go. I think all three of us have just said what a good game. We expect this to be what a great curtain razor.
But Arsenal did open up the season last year with a duck egg, two nil away at Brentford, but they’re against Palace opened up with a duck egg. So one of them’s going to get off to a better start. Then they did last season. Let’s have a little look at the official Soccer picks, please.
I had to leave it alone because I can’t be going anywhere near Arsal. They don’t want to watch both these sides, but I’m going to be pro Palace I believe at some stages this year. Palace plus nort 0.5, plus 1.1, that’s plus nort 0.75 at minus one 30. [Stinge 00:09:44] you did leave it, although you are leaning and thinking that minus 105, over two and a half is a good angle.
Speaker 3:
If I was forced to have a bet, I would go there. But I got better bets I think in this weekend’s coupon. So just kind of happy to sit back and watch it to be honest.
Flash:
I love the fact that when we leave one alone, it’s because we’ve got better bets, which is a bonus. Because you don’t want to come here and go, “I’ve left that alone because I’ve got worse bets to have a bet on.” And listen, our records need to be improved from last year and we’ll start at nort.
Okay. So Marco O’Hare got off to a win nice little one nil Palace or no, two one Palace because it brings in both teams to score and over. Let’s go to just across the water, just across the old battle sea bridge, across the river tens because Fulham got a nice draw at home first night. And if you’re going to catch probably one of the best teams in the world, you want them on night or day one. It’s Fulham Versus Liverpool. Thanks for that.
Handicaps are one and a half. So we expect Liverpool to win by a minimum of two goals and that’s minus 125 money line plus 900 for Fulham. No need to get rich on Liverpool minus 340 unless you’re going to put it in a parlay. The totals are free, which I was quite shocked about really, because I could see this game being two nil. Team total again, two and a half for Liverpool. Liverpool score free. I’m not so sure. You get under two and half on Liverpool at minus 130. So really I think they score a minimum of two. [Stinge 00:11:13], I’m not sure of Fulham’s score here. I’m going to get plus 485 for the draw. I think that’s redundant.
Speaker 3:
Yeah. I think maybe this could be a case. It’s sadly lunchtime, so early kickoff. I think generally the early kickoffs don’t tend to see as much action in terms of goals. So wouldn’t be surprised really to see a sort of professional Liverpool victory. We saw on opening day last season, Liverpool went to Norwich who came up as champions the same as Fulham. And Liverpool won three nil. I think it’s fairly comfortable. So I wouldn’t be surprised it’d be something similar. Maybe you could go for Liverpool and under 3.5 or something like that. I mean, I don’t think you want to oppose Liverpool other than Allison, they should have a fully fit first choice team. Obviously [inaudible 00:12:01] but I think we talked about him at length last week. You’ve got four others to choose, to slot in instead of Diaz, Firmino, [inaudible 00:12:10], Nunez.
And obviously Nunez got off the mark last week. So I think he’ll be full of confidence. Liverpool won 16 of the last 18 premier league games. So I don’t think you’ve been looking to oppose Liverpool. And you wonder if Fulham, they’ve been yoyoing between the divisions, the last few seasons and you just wonder if they still got a bit of a hangover essentially from the last time they were in the premier league. They lost the last six premier league home games last time they were here. And you wonder if they feel a bit of a pressure playing in front of their home fans.
And the big question Marc for me is can Mitrovich finally make the step up from championship to premier league? And will he get the chances essentially? I mean it’s a lot easier obviously in the championship. I think the disparity between the premier league and certainly the bottom half of the championship is one of the biggest in a while. So it’s really, can cut against these better quality teams? So yeah, I think a professional Liverpool victory. But again, it wasn’t something where I felt the odds were sort of too good to place a bet on.
Flash:
This is the one Marco O’Hare I thought, Liverpool winter nil. But if you want to go under free, I think the worst case scenario, then it’s free nil and it’s a push. I don’t see Fulham scoring. So surely Liverpool winter nil is the way to go.
Speaker 2:
Yeah, possibly. I’ve gone Liverpool minus one and a half because I think there’s potential for this to get quite ugly for Fulham since already talked about the three nil result Liverpool inflicted on Norwhich who arguably came up in a better statement Fulham this time around 12 months ago, Norwich obviously with champions of the championship. And they got absolutely stuffed by Liverpool. Was quite impressed with Liverpool’s performance last weekend in the community shield. I know it’s not necessarily a competitive game, but it’s a decent warmup against top class opposition. They’ve won 13 of 16 away games last season against teams outside of the top three, they covered this line of four or five trips to the bottom five. And in those five games, they scored 16 goals. Across the whole of their away count of those 19 matches, the average 2.37 goals per game. I think they definitely scored two goals here.
And then yeah, it’s obviously whether Fulham can get in on the action or if Liverpool can inflict more damage on them. And it wouldn’t surprise me if they did inflict more damage on them because Marco Silva sounds incredibly frustrated and disgruntled by the lack of transfer business behind the scenes. He said he only had three outfield senior players on the bench for their final pre-season friendly against Villarreal last weekend. He said nobody can compete at this level with only 16 senior players. Just two of those that sent to half. And one of which is Tim Ream, who is not primarily class, never was and certainly isn’t these days. So that would be a real concern from a Fulham perspective. I think Liverpool, obviously we know are just blessed with attacking options and if they want to, they can really put fFulham to the sword here. So yeah, I think it’s going to be a routine and come to a iverpool win.
Flash:
Yeah. I mean, I’ve got a couple of different thoughts on this game, I’m thinking Fulham is going to be carnival atmosphere. We’re back in the premier league. They’re going to have the whole crowd and everyone’s enthusiasm for the first 20, 25 minutes. So did Liverpool take to stinger out the game and then just keep them quiet and show them and keep the ball and give them the run around. And then that brings in the draw halftime Liverpool full-time because Liverpool will obviously find their… or did Liverpool just go and stamp over them early [Stinge 00:15:17] and it’s a Liverpool halftime, Liverpool full time.
Speaker 3:
Yeah. I mean, Liverpool tend to get out the blocks quite fast. So wouldn’t be surprised to see the runner muck. I don’t think there’s any midweek fixtures or anything. So I don’t think there’s any reason for them to take the foot off the pedal. And we haven’t really spoke about it much, but maybe the five substitute effects will make a difference, because if you think Liverpool have got a strong squad, and they will make the most of those substitutions, then the guys coming on are going to be fresher and they want to make an impression. So yeah, arguably they could just continue to add to the tally. And as Marc says, could actually get quite ugly for Fulham.
Speaker 2:
Same thing as well. Allison is available and one of Fulham’s best players last season is now a Liverpool player in [inaudible 00:16:02] value. So they’ve almost weakened Fulham before they even kicked off.
Flash:
It’s plus 110, by the way Liverpool winter nil if you fancy that. I mean, I was going to be thinking that I don’t really want to be going anywhere near winter nils with [inaudible 00:16:16] and the way that Fulham do actually get ahead of steam up. But this is against one of the best sides in the whole of Europe, if not the world. So I might just come back to that. Jonathan Nelson saying Liverpool and over 2.5 is your banker. Then you might as well just go Liverpool minus one and a half at minus 125. Let’s have a little look. And by the way, do we think Nunez scores? Anytime scorer for one another newcomer.
Speaker 2:
Depends where he starts.
Speaker 3:
Yeah.
Flash:
You think? Are you boys a fan of Nunez? You think it’s a good signing?
Speaker 2:
You want to go [Stinge 00:16:54]?
Speaker 3:
I haven’t seen enough of them to be fair. So I can’t really comment.
Flash:
Okay. You sit on the fence, make sure they-
Speaker 2:
I like him a lot. I really like him, but it’s a change in style. It’s definitely a shift in what they’re looking for from the central and it’s similar with Man City. You’ve got with [inaudible 00:17:08] really. So he’s certainly not the same type of player as [inaudible 00:17:12], but I guess they’ve already signed that in Lewis Diaz and [inaudible 00:17:15] previously. So he’s physical, he’s strong, he’s very good in the air. He’s technically good as well. Obviously where he’s from in south America, it kind of comes as a prerequisite really. But yeah, I’m really excited to see how we’re doing the premier league.
Flash:
Okay.
Speaker 3:
If you think about Liverpool style of play with Robertson and Trent Alexander-Arnold, they put hundreds of crosses into the box, don’t they? Salah, Firmino, Diaz, they don’t really get on the end of it with their head. Mane, Jota, very, very good players in the air. Obviously Mane’s left, so you’re just kind of left with Jota there. So Nunez is perhaps that focal point. You now when teams are going to sit back as they will do majority of the time against Liverpool. Nunezss could be that Robby Fowler, that Fox in the box, that poacher that just gets on the end of these tap-in’s and likes to stay in around the keeper. You think some of the Liverpool’s forwards will want to come deep to retrieve the ball or be out wide. But I think Nunez could be that predator down the middle. Very similar to maybe what [inaudible 00:18:12] have done with the [inaudible 00:18:14].
Flash:
Yeah, fancy Fulham are going to get into Liverpool. I’ve actually wrote, fancier red card in this game, Danny Lopez, he’s just gone one step further and said he fancies his cards in this game and Fulham cards at that. So let’s have a little look at the official picks because I have left it alone, but I do fancy Liverpool winter nil at the moment. If I do change, remember you are following @BetUSTV or @BetUSSoccer. And any updates or any adds will be on there. Liverpool minus one at minus 125, that’s moved against you a little bit because it was minus 120 yesterday. [Stinge 00:18:47] has left it alone, but we cannot see Fulham’s scoring and we see Liverpool winning this comfortably. And rightfully so, but it’s all about three points on the opening day.
Let’s go from two games in London to the furthest north we can go in England. We’re going to Newcastle and the feel good factor is they’re going to win the league. They’re going to qualify for Europe. And they host Forest to a new side in the premier league. And I tell you what, they deserve it. They beat premier league opposition in cup competition last year, they have a real spirit about them and I’m sure they’re going to take points. Will they take points on the opening day though? Because the handicap is plus one at minus 140 for Forest. Money line plus 465 for Forest. Minus 155 for Newcastle. You’re a bit risky there. Totals under or over two and a half at minus 120 team total. Forest to score is that minus 150. So we expect goals. Draw is that plus 280. Marco O’Hare, do we expect the newcomers to get something out of this? Because I think we’re over egging to pudding by thinking that Newcastle, this is a walk in the park.
Speaker 2:
Yeah, for sure. I think we’re all pretty bullish about noting in Forest’s prospects. Staying up this season, and to me, that wasn’t all down to their transfer business at all, which I have been impressed by. But I think after they won promotion, I penciled them straight in as possible survivors, just as my faith in Steve Cooper as a head coach, really. The new additions will obviously help that in the long run. He’s added some real quality, or the club has at least to help him. My slight concern coming into this match is are they trying to change too much too soon? Certainly on the opening day, if you look at the perspective 11 that they might feel, there’s a lot of debutants potentially being involved then. And that’s always my concern on match day one, is how quickly can these players adapt to the system or adapt into a new team bed in and put together a collectively strong display.
Knowing Cooper, probably it’ll be immediately. He did it when he came into Forest originally, but I just kind of prefer to take a bit of a watching brief in these kind of situations. I normally tend to trust more settled squads on the opening day. And I think you do have to respect Newcastle, but they’d ask who short of those prices for sure. The record under [inaudible 00:20:58] obviously speaks for itself and any teams to depart St. James’s park. Under him with a win on Man City and Liverpool, only twice. They can see two goals or more in that 14 game sample at home [inaudible 00:21:10] so they’ll be stronger too for the Botman signing a really strong defender.
Just the major negative relief for Newcastle is just a lack of goals and a lack of goals for us. So if they can’t score more than a couple of goals themselves, then clearly they’re not going to be worthwhile backing at minus 155. I know [inaudible 00:21:26] made a wonderful impact after January. He’s a great player. But just to watch him brief here for me more so on Forest, but I wouldn’t be back in Newcastle prices, but I think [Stinge 00:21:35] is a bit more confident.
Flash:
[Stinge 00:21:37], over two and half at plus 100. I can see this being draw half time though, eventually both teams may score first off, but I definitely see both teams to score and over.
Speaker 3:
I think both teams are very defensively solid. That’s probably reflected in the odds with unders being favorite Forests conceded the fewest goals in the championship after Steve Cooper took over. And Marco already mentioned the record that Newcastle had under Eddie Howe defensively to agenda last season. So I think this could be a little bit of a chess match to be honest. But I just think the odds that minus 155, it sticks out like a sore thumb. It’s a horrendous price in my opinion.
Flash:
There’s a trap. They may win it, but it’s a trap. You got to be kneeing your head tested. If you go near Newcastle, [inaudible 00:22:24] season against a newcomer. And I always say this, that when Charlton first got into league one or division one, which is now obviously now the premier league. We had Manchester United away. We went there and won one nil. I say I was an apprentice, but we went there and won one nil. With current day odds, we would’ve been like plus 1400.
Speaker 3:
Yeah, for sure. I mean, I think Newcastle last season when they played against teams outside of the big six, their average judge was plus 130. You can’t go from plus 130 to minus 155 of just signing one center back. And consider the fact that when they played Norwich, they were minus 120. When they played Watford, they were minus 110. Forest is definitely in that category, if not better. So there’s no way they can be minus 155 in my opinion. Newcastle won 13 games under Eddie Howe, but nine of those will buy a single goal, which just goes to show the five margins in football. And if Forests were to lose by a single goal here, you’d get your money back. So the only way that bet would lose if Newcastle win by two or more, and that’s something that they did in just four of 27 games under Eddie Howe. Very, very happy to side with Forest on the opening weekend.
Flash:
Listen. We know that Newcastle will get very nervous when they go in front and they’ll get very nervous if they don’t score in the first 20 minutes. A quick one to you, those things you’re talking about Forest having such a good defensive block, is that a mistake going in and trying to defend your way in the premier league when you’ve got to score goals?
Speaker 3:
No, I don’t think so. I think because football is such a low scoring game, you can get away with nicking games, one nil and two ones. I don’t think you can’t get away with conceding two and then trying to win three two on a regular occasion. I mean, they always say that good defenses win titles. And we’ve seen teams in world cups and European championships, which of course will come into November. You’ve seen Italy win the euros, the biggest competition of late with built on a very good defense. So yeah, I mean, worth mentioning that Forests of Dean Henderson on loan is their main goalkeeper this season. Who was at chef with United, and when chef with United came up in their first season, they finished in the top half. And for me, he’s a fantastic goalkeeper. And if he was playing regular, he’d be challenging for England number one.
So Forest lost Brice Samba, who is quite key to them getting promotion. He made some good penalty saves in the semifinal playoffs. But I think they made an upgrade with Dean Henderson and the captain Joe Warall at the back, I think he’s a great leader and a very good organizer. Forests tends they were [inaudible 00:25:02]. So yeah, I think Newcastle will find them a very tough nut to crack.
Flash:
Okay. Maybe draw half time, it is a way to go if you want to get involved, but obviously one of us three have gone for this game. Let’s have a little look because the official picks are… I don’t blame you Marco O’Hare, to be honest. Forest plus one at minus 140. How many times a Newcastle win by the odd goal, that means you’re going to get a push. But having Forest, and the draw, and obviously getting a push if you just get beat 211 nil 32. I fancy this could be a bit of a bonkers game. Draw half time would be my lean. Let’s go on to game number four, because this is a game… It’s not going to polarize many people, but the stats go against you. It’s Everton. A lot of people’s favorites to be relegated or definitely be in the relegation dog fight, not been impressive during preseason against Chelsea.
Now Chelsea need to bounce back. They’ve brought in big, big money players. They’ve lost a big, big money player, which I think is a massive benefit. Let’s have a little look at a handicap. Minus one at plus 115 for Chelsea. I mean, that’s a push. Worst case scenario, money line at minus 160. There’s a pile piece. Or if you’re big, you can go single. The total under two and a half is at minus 115. Team total Chelsea to score twice at minus 125, the draw plus 305, not for me. Marco O’Hare, I’m going to come to you because Everton and Chelsea, I’m going to save [Stinge 00:26:27] because he’s got facts on this game, but it’s one way for me and it’s a way win.
Speaker 2:
Yeah. I’m really interested in this match because Everton were obviously a bit of a rebel for the most part of last season. And it was quite similar in preseason as well. Not that I read too much into it, but Lampard was already sort of passing the buck after some desperate performances in the US, including a four nil. Thrashing by Minnesota I think it was. I can see why many people are putting them up for allegation yet again, if the name wasn’t Everton and this squad was filled it out with Frank Lampard as coach, you probably would consider them in serious danger. Now they come into this match with [inaudible 00:27:04] having left, Calvert-Lewin injured and Salomon Rondon is suspended. So they’ve basically got no strikers and it sounds like Andre Gray might be leading the line in it as sort of false nine position, which is obviously quite concerning. Seamus Coleman-
Flash:
Yeah, I was going to say is that Demari Gray?
Speaker 2:
Demari Gray.
Flash:
There’s no Andre Gray. Andre Gray plays like in league too and he’s an upgrade on Demari Gray playing up front.
Speaker 2:
It’s my QPR head thinking.
Yeah. So Seamus Coleman is also missing as well, but I guess the only positives I can give for Everton right now is the seige mentality, but the supporters kind of built around Goodison park during the final few months last season. When they won 13 points from six games at home, which effectively kept them up. And it’s also easy to forget the last season, despite being absolutely desperate, they did beat Chelsea they did beat Arsenal, and Man United all at Goodison park. And they held Man City.
Flash:
Is that because they were desperate, like you said? They were a desperate. They were in a dog fight. It meant more.
Speaker 2:
Basically, but the gaming of Chelsea in may was fascinating really because Chelsea dominated the ball, dominated the majority of the chances, but they really struggled against the intensity of Everton sort of in that sort of defensive block. And I think Lampard will try and revisit that in terms of what he does with his game plan. This time around, particularly with the lack of strikers, it’s just wherever they can get to those levels or fitness or match day one that will probably prove the most difficult task. But if Everton can reach those levels, then they can make this quite difficult because Chelsea haven’t had the most seamless of summers themselves. I still think they’re missing a guaranteed goal scorer. [inaudible 00:28:39] Sterling a sets of start here. But I think defensively, they’re still a little bit dodgy. [inaudible 00:28:44] was a year older playing as part of the back three, coming into this match two, considering some of the departures as well.
So I do favor Chelsea. Obviously they are a better team. They’ve got desires of finishing the top four yet again and possibly beyond, but there’s a way in which you can sort of get a better price on Chelsea and that’s to add in your unders,, because I think it’s going to be back to the wall from Everton defense against attack. And only three of Thomas [inaudible 00:29:08] 28 away premier league games with Chelsea have featured five goals or more. And if you look at Everton’s matches under Frank Lampard, before they secured survival, they’re all really, really tight. There’s a sort of style in which they tried to play. So I’m expecting something similar to what we saw back in may, but Chelsea should come out and top. So if I had to, I’d back Chelsea to win and under four and a half goals, but I’m going to pass this over to you guys.
Flash:
Yeah. I mean, I see Chelsea scoring two straight away. I mean sure. [inaudible 00:29:34] Do you want to be on match day one saying, “I’m passing on this wondering where Chelsea goals are going to come from?” Well I mean, they’ve got goals in abundance. I mean, I think that they’re unbelievable getting Sterling. He could be up there with 20, habits, midfield runners, set pieces. Everton, they were an absolute joke at set pieces last week at Blackpool. So for me, Chelsea win this game [Stinge 00:29:59] and they scored two. So I’m looking at Chelsea in over one and a half and I’m looking at team total over 1.5 at minus 125.
Speaker 3:
Yeah. I think this is a really, really easy bet this week because it’s going to be one way traffic. Everton have got so many absentee and injury problems. They’re going to be about Calver-Lewin, Rondon, Richarlison, Andros Townsend, Seamus Coleman. [inaudible 00:30:25] probably a doubt as well. And when I looked to this match yesterday, Chelsea won with minus 145. So they’re really into minus 160, which just tells you that what everybody else is thinking as well. Calver, and Rondon, and Richarlison scored 16 of Everton’s goals last season. They have another stroker, Lewis Dubin. They’ve just learned to [inaudible 00:30:44] him, not sure why that’s happened. Calver-Lewin looks like he might be out for three months as well. So Everton could be a bet for [inaudible 00:30:50] because Richarlison was the only reason that they got the results in the big games that Marc’s talking about earlier.
He scored in this fixture last season to get one nil. But I think it’s just basically, as Marc said, it’s going to be a backs against the wall job. And can Chelsea eventually break them down. And I think Chelsea are used to this match up because when they played each other at Stanford bridge, Everton had tons of players missing due to COVID, I believe. And Chelsea monopolized possession had 68%. And in terms of chances created, they created 3.54 expected goals to Everton’s nort 0.64. Now in reality, the true result of the game should have been sort of three nil or four nil. And the game actually finished one, one. So Everton we’re very, very lucky in that situation. So it’s basically how can we get Chelsea on side? How can we profit from a Chelsea victory?
And I’m going to go for Chelsea and under 3.5 goals, plus 130. Because minus 160 plus 130 I think is a huge leap. And because I think Everton will have that low block. I think it will be hard for Chelsea to ultimately blow them away, score four or five. So I think one nil, two nil, three nil, you’ve got all those score lines on your side and I think it’s going to be something like that. It’s literally going to be a [inaudible 00:32:10] defense for 90 minutes. And are Everton capable of keeping out quality players like Havertz, Sterling, Mason Mount, Pulisic, et cetera.
Flash:
The list is endless.
Speaker 3:
Yeah, essentially.
Flash:
Okay. Let’s have a little look at the official picks. And also remember that Chelsea were in the midst of absolute turmoil when they went to Goodison. Obviously the diplomatic situation was bad. Then obviously all the talk about the chairman or the owner. And then put on top of that, they weren’t playing very well neither. And they still dominated the game, but only drew one, one. For me, it’s Chelsea and over 1.5 at plus 100. I think they score two, they win the game. Chelsea and under 3.5 for a 30 cent upgrade. At plus 130 for [Stinge 00:32:56]. I told you. He sniffs out the value, got to agree with that. My only problem is if it ends three, one, and I was just thinking, would they get an eighth, ninth minute consolation from a set piece? But again, I think you can’t go against Chelsea. I trust them a lot more at the prices than I do Arsenal on the opening night.
Okay. Let’s move on because I knew this game was going to be on my list, and I knew who was going to be going for it, because we’re off to the king power. It’s Lester versus Brentford. Brentford very good last year, but will they suffer like leads fate, struggle in year two? Because everyone knows what they’re going to get. And remember, no Christian Eriksen and Lester for me, I just want them not to do as well as a lot of people.
Handicap, minus half of the home side at plus 100. Money line that tells you straight away, you’re getting even money at Lester. They were odds on during the week. So the money is going against Lester, total over two and a half at minus 130, we’re expecting goals. Team total over one and a half goals. So Lester to score two is at minus 115, but to score under two is all also minus 115. Brentford normally score, and that’s why they’re minus 230 to score really. Because they think they’re going to score one. So it’s a two, one maybe home win, draw plus 270. This could be a draw. Marco O’Hare.
Speaker 2:
It could be, I would rather not pick the match result though. My sort of pre-season optimism in Lester has dwindled massively since we last spoke on the future show.
Flash:
Good.
Speaker 2:
That’s not because Kasper Schmeichel’s gone. I think that’s actually an upgrade for Lester in terms of potentially promoting Daniel [inaudible 00:34:39] to the number one Jersey. Whether he’ll get the gloves or not, I’m not sure, but he’s a quality young goalkeeper who’s really proven himself in the championship over the last couple of years. Been one of the best goalkeepers in the second tier. So I think that will be a good thing, but it’s more the worrying reports for [inaudible 00:34:54] looks like he’s on his way. Chelsea putting in some serious muscle work there to try and sign him. And Madison’s obviously being courted by Newcastle. Not so bothered by that because I think Harvey Barnes is probably a more key player in sort of the-
Flash:
Do you think Newcastle will get their man?
Speaker 2:
It’s up to them really. They got the money. So I think at the moment they’re trying to sort of incrementally improve that squad. So I don’t think there’s any reason for them to sort of go to the price of short, which is what Lester is after. But I think there’s probably better value options elsewhere. Maybe not in the UK, but on the continent at least. So we’ll see.
But yeah, I mean for farmers availability was one of the big reasons why I was quite positive about Lester this season. He’s returned to fitness. So if he is missing or if he’s on his way, that’s a massive, massive, low for Lester. And look, if you like these kind of things, he’s removed Lester from his Twitter by fans tend to read quite a lot into that, which suggests he might be on his way. Whether he plays or not, I’m not sure. Roger’s comments last week suggest he’ll be available, but is his head going to be on the job or not? Probably unlikely if that interest is actually firmed up.
So yeah, for me, it’s just a case of taking a rinse and repeat job with Lester as what we’ve done last season. And that’s backing over to enough goals, but chucking in both teams to score as well, which gets you the lovely plus 100 shot. Obviously the total there is over two and a half goals at minus 130, but just including BTTS gets you to plus 100. Over two and half goals landed in 66% of Lestrer’s time games over the last two seasons, they’ve scored in 30 of those 38. I mentioned the likelihood of potentially not being 100% for this. We also talked endlessly last year about their issues defending set pieces. And certainly if you go by preseason, those issues still remain too. And that’ll be a concern coming up against a Brentford team who scored the fourth, most goals from set pieces in the premier league last season behind City, Liverpool, and Arsenal.
Now I know Eriksen has gone from Brentford, but I really like the additions, particularly Lewis Potter, Hickey as well. But Brentford came here without their two first choice defenders, and Christopher and Ethan Pinnock as well. So probably dampens the opportunity for an upset, but it certainly increases the argument for goals. If both teams are certainly not the full strength defensively. And in terms of the overs, 13 of Brentford, 19 away last week, last year went overs 12. Saw BTTs, they scored in 13 of those 19 and kept only two clean sheets. And last season’s two meetings both ended two, one. So I think something similar could be on the cards. I think it’s got a great making of being quite a great entertaining game. And I think the price is very decent plus 100.
Flash:
I agree. I agree. Both teams to score and over for me, I think Brentford definitely score, the way they play the way they keep the ball. I think this is a game where there’ll be no clean sheet [Stinge 00:37:40].
Speaker 3:
Yeah. Maybe on my reservations regarding Brentford are the departure of Christian Erickson. Essentially we know their goal at output thoroughly improved. Before he was there, they relied, I think quite heavily on keeping things tight at the back and nicking goals at the other end. But then they came up against better quality opposition and it’s huge just a case of how many they were going to lose by. I think before Eriksen’s arrival, they lost 13 of their previous 21 games. So in my mind, I was looking to try and bat Lester in some way, but Marc’s mentioned the issues that they have not very good noises coming out of the club. They’ve got financial fair play problems. It seems like players will depart. And obviously that’s going to affect team selection, especially if they’re first choice players. I think Harvey Barnes might be absent for this game as well and who’s like a very good guy creating goals and scoring themself.
And we see the total there, the over 2.5 minus 130. Not a lot of value there in my mind. So essentially,. How do you try and make some value then? Probably both teams scoring over 2.5, but yeah, I’m just not confident in either team. Either team fluidity essentially, because I think they struggle with the void that some of these players being absent leaves. So I’m kind of happy to leave it this week. I think that the odds all kind of telling us what we should be back in. And I just think the prices are maybe a little bit tight.
Flash:
Brentford draw double chance that minus 120, the only downside is like I said before I started the show. There was no draws last season on match day one. So I think Brentford may get something out of the game. I definitely think they score.
Okay. The official picks in this game are over two and a half goals in both teams are score at plus 100. It’s a pass from me. It’s a pass from [Stinge 00:39:38]. Remember tread carefully, but make sure you watch these games. Watch as many of them as you can. And just knowledge, it is knowledge. So the week four or five, we should have a great handle, but we don’t want to be running into week 4 or 5, 7, 8, 9, 10 units down because then obviously we’re chasing. Okay, let’s move on to the next game because if ever there was an upset and a pin in someone’s balloon, it’s going to be this game.
We’re off to old Trafford, new manager, players went away, fans want players away. Man United minus one at plus 105 tells me that Brighton and that plus one at minus 125. Brighton on a tough side. I see goals here. I cannot believe by the way [Stinge 00:40:20], and you can talk over me if you want, that this goal line is not set at free. Over two and a half at minus 105. I’m so close to adding this. Money line plus 500, Brighton, I can see Brighton going here and doing a job, but there again, I can see Man United maybe scoring a couple as well. Draw is at plus 310 [Stingee 00:40:42] Man United Brighton absolutely stinks.
Speaker 3:
Yeah, I think it’s probably two teams where their performance is last season or over recent seasons really, are very volatile. So you can do all the research you want in the world and place your bet. And then all of a sudden they throw in a stinker or they’re amazing. I went to Brighton at the back end of last season, Brighton beaten four nil. Yeah. That’s not reflected in the odds one bit.
When you look at sort of underlying performance, Brighton finished ahead of Man United based on expected points, which is a very good indicator of abilities to create chances and ultimately that’s how you score goals. I think this Man United price, it stinks really. Yesterday were minus 190. So already the money’s going against them at up to minus 175 in this fixture last two seasons, they were minus 135 and minus 150. And in my mind, I know they brought a new manager in, but things aren’t going to change overnight at United. So I don’t see a reason why they should be lured as a result. So I think I’m going to be back in Brighton and plus one, took it at minus 110. But I wouldn’t put anyone off taking a minus 125. Couldn’t even put anyone back in, Brighton plus 500 or even maybe Brighton braw on a bat, something like that.
Flash:
That, or draw double chance plus half it’s going to be plus 110.
Speaker 3:
Yeah. If you take bright and plus one, that bet would’ve lost in just three of your United last 17 matches at old chap. And as you mentioned before, I think there is an issue playing in front of the fans. I mean, Ferguson left in what, 2013. That’s nearly a decade of under performance essentially. And they’re just refusing to stand for it. And I think these players, the likes of Harry McGuire, the likes of you, Luke shore.
Flash:
Is he still playing?
Speaker 3:
They literally just go into their shows, I think. And you just can’t guarantee that United will play up to the odds that they’re being pitched up against. They’re pitched up in this particular game. So you just have to oppose them at these odds.
Flash:
Yeah. I mean, this is probably the one side in the premier league that you must watch this weekend. Marco O’Hare because I don’t care about the defense or the midfield. Oh, sorry. Add the strikers. It’s the midfield. There’s no creativity there. The only way they score is either a penal or an under 10 ball over the top with pace.
Speaker 2:
Yeah. I mean, this is a big, big task for [inaudible 00:43:12] and it’s a very difficult opening day game to play as well. So they’re going through a bit of an overhaul, massive transformation. They clearly have the players of ability and experience to prosper, but it’s going to take time. [inaudible 00:43:24] likes to play a position style of football, and that can leave quite vulnerable and defensive transitions. And I think you need better central midfielders available than the north United currently have at their disposal in terms of creativity. I think Christian Eriksen does give you a lot going forward, but he’s not going to solve those issues defensively in midfield. So yeah, there’s an element of transition about United. And that means to me that they’re very easily avoided in this match, but Brighton, they’ve lost Suma, which is a big blow [inaudible 00:43:53] on his way as well.
That’s a big, big blow as well. But unlike United, I do believe Brighton have a plan. They’re a very smart club and I’m confident that they know what direction they’re heading in. And I’m confident that they’ll find the players required to continue their own incremental improvements in the premiere league. And also Brighton are very decent away from home last season, much better than at the Amex and nearly lost four games on their travels. They held Liverpool and Chelsea away. They want to ask [inaudible 00:44:18] they did lose old traffic, but that day they were plus 400 and now plus 500, which kind of goes to show where they were rated and where United were rated last season. But is there that much of a difference between the two teams compared to that meeting?
Flash:
It’s only the manager, isn’t it? It’s only the manager that’s bringing in. He don’t play.
Speaker 2:
One thing I would point out as well is Graham. Potter’s got a bit of a history of starting his teams, pretty smartly and pretty swiftly as well. So Brighton started last year of four wins from five and lost new two of their first 11 games. And also it’s worth bearing in mind. Brighton has a six game losing streak in mid-February to mid-March. If you take those six games out of their season, they lost just five times in the other 32 premier league games, which is a remarkable record for a mid table club. So they’re more than good enough to be competitive and be that kind of bogie team on the opening day at United, probably don’t want to be playing at all in as much easier opponents out in the league to be playing. So yeah, I’d agree with [Stinge 00:45:15]. I think plus one is the way to go on Brighton. It was minus 110. It’s now minus 125, the market’s moving with us and it’s no real surprise really.
Flash:
Right across the ball. They have pace and energy [Stinge 00:45:27].
Speaker 3:
Yeah. I was going to say Anthony Matrial has been ruled out and that might be one of the reasons that the price is moving because Renaldo most people I think are aware hasn’t been involved that much in preseason. I think he’s played maybe just a half perhaps, but if he’s played more, it’s still not up to fitness. And it’s difficult to see if he fits into this 10 hour plan. So yeah, I think they’ve been playing most of preseasons with Matrial as that central striker. So immediately [inaudible 00:45:53] will have to sort of rip up his plan A if you like. So yeah. I just think we can oppose Man United at these odds and we will make a profit long term.
Flash:
The big thing I want to say is that [inaudible 00:46:04] come in with this great reputation. And some people will say, “Oh, he is this. He is that.” Did he not see any tape of man United before he took the job? And is he not seen them once he got in the job? He left the captaincy with McGuire. What sort of message is that sending? That probably my worst player in my squad, I’m going to have him your leader. That’s like going into battle when it’s like a little geezer, with a little knife. No, get him out and then start from the back. That’s why I can’t with Man United because I can’t trust them to keep a clean sheet. Brighton pass the ball. They’re pass some new little… I see the midfield of Man United being on the toes of their own defenders. And it’s going to be a big gap between the Man United midfield and the Man United strikers.
But again, Man United are Man United and they have to put last season to rest very, very quickly. And the one team I wouldn’t want to be playing is probably Brighton and at home who can hit you on the counter. So yeah. Good luck. If you’re anywhere near Man United on this mismatch, they won. Let’s have a little look at the official picks Brighton and plus one minus 120. If you look at that, great minds think alike. If you’re going that way, I would say go Brighton to plus half, so you get the draw double chance. But this one is just little bit more insurance. Imagine you could get beat here, lose my one goal, and you don’t lose a penny. So it’s Brighton or nothing. I’m not seeing many people in the chat by the way. And by the way, 125 watching is a new record.
And plus there’s only 45 thumbs up. Whoa. Have I got people watching it haven’t got thumbs? Put the thumbs up. Press the thumbs up. Let’s get that to a hundred. Okay, let’s go to our final game. And this is an absolute cracker. Some sicko was doing these fixtures by the way, because we’re going to east London. It’s West Ham versus Man City, Man City, best side in the world, fancy them for European glory.
Finally, this season handicap plus a minus one and a half. I think it’s a little bit insulting to be honest to West Ham who are very, very tough at home minus 120. So you can actually get beat and still make money. If you go to West Ham money line plus 700, again, quite insulting. Mans City minus 270 is a bit risky on the money line. So you’re going to have to get a bit creative here. Total over free at minus 110. I think it’s a minimum of free goals team total. They’re saying that West Ham’s score. They’re saying that Man City are going to score two. So there’s your score line. And we start at two one, Man City draw a plus 425. [Stinge 00:48:42], take us away because I see goals, but I do see the cream rising.
Speaker 3:
Yeah. Agree with everything you said. Basically, how can we meet City minus 270 pay and City. They’re not missing anyone. They’ve got fully fit offense to choose from. Perfect opportunity for Holland to get off the mark with [inaudible 00:49:04] maybe feeding him from that inside right channel. Jack Grealish occupying number of defense.
Flash:
I’m not having Jack Grealish. I’m not having him. Does he score 10 goals this year boys?
Speaker 3:
Probably not, but his-
Flash:
Well, then hundred million. It’s a disgrace. I wouldn’t have bought him. And I certainly wouldn’t have got rid of Sterling. I’m disagreeing with that sort of move. Sorry to interrupt you [Stinge 00:49:25].
Speaker 3:
No. I agree with you. I wouldn’t have got rid of Sterling either, but Grealish, he does this underlying data. He does cause a lot of problems. The amount of touches he has in the opposition box, the amount of players, he commits, the amount of dribbles. He makes this all takes out opposition players and leaves space for other people to take advantage essentially. So you might not see greenish up in the stats for goals, for assists, but everything else that he’s doing is allowing others to be high in those metrics. So depends how you rate a hundred million investment, but they did win the league as a result of that. They were minutes away from making the champions league final, very, very, very fine margins. But in terms of this game, I think Man City fantastic going forward. I say, they’ve got all their players available, but there’s no LA port in defense.
And I think it’s, he is a big, big, big miss when you consider the fact that they got rid of his in [inaudible 00:50:17] as well. So probably will be [inaudible 00:50:19] at left back Al be he is a quality player, but maybe Nathan Ake is going to step into that Senate back spot. And I’m not convinced by him at all. I think there is a downgrade when Citi don’t have their first choice defense out and you look at the odds there. I mean, they’re there on the screen. West end score is minus 140 and City to win is minus 270. If you were to kind of combine those two figures together, you’d get plus 138. Yet you can actually back City to win and both teams of score at plus 185. Which for me, I think is fantastic because West Ham of score in the last four meetings with Citi, which I think is so impressive when you mentioned that Man City are the best team in the world.
And we can unequivocally say that because their favorites to win every single football match that they play in. So the fact that West Ham have managed to breach that defense is very impressive and they won’t be scared at all. The atmosphere will be good at the London stadium, but ultimately we know Man City of, as you say, I’ve got a hundred million pound players. So they should ultimately create the better chances and that leads, which will lead them to winning the game. And I think to go from minus two 70 to plus 185 to win with without keeping their clean sheet is a good bet.
Flash:
Yeah. Mark O’Hare let’s throw a case for the home side because they’re more than decent. When a big team comes, they’re strong and they’ve made good additions by the way. So listen, I don’t see clean sheets here and I won’t be surprised if this is a live bet for some people when they see that West Ham may go one their up.
Speaker 2:
Yeah. I’m glad you sort of came to me with that sort of lead because I had a feeling that I might be a bit of a lone Wolf, but no, I think West Ham are being underrated here. And I think there is a potential of an upset, maybe not a victory for the hammers, but I think they can certainly run City close. Now the London stadiums been a bit of a bogie ground for City. Recently, the last three meetings between the two teams have ended all square at West Ham. A last season, West Ham also turned over Liverpool, Chelsea and taught them at home and they lost by one gold margins when they welcomed Arsenal and Man United. Even away from home, West Ham lost by a solitary goal at the [inaudible 00:52:19] had they lost by a solitary goal, afield Stanford bridge and [inaudible 00:52:24] David Mo’s team are not a team that often ends up on the wrong end of a hiding.
They be consistent with two consecutive, top seven finishes. They do have the tools to unsettle most teams, quite an exciting forward line. There’s plenty of variety about their play, a midfield that will battle and destroy, but can play a bit as well. Just the energy that they’ve got around the park as well, being at home on the opening day as massive underdogs be the fans are going to be wet up for one too. So look, I’m not expecting City to have a cakewalk here.
I think they certainly deserve to be firm favorites, but at minus 270, I think that’s being slightly disrespectful to West Ham and playing City early on is certainly not a bad thing. If you look over the last three seasons City, sorry City you beat is on the opening weekend. Last year, I shouldn’t remember against tot them. They were hammered five two at Lester on match day two, the previous season. And actually they’ve won the title in four of the last five seasons. But in all five of those seasons City have dropped at least one dropped points, at least once in their opening three games and all five occasions. I’ve stuttered a bit through there. So I’ll just go through it again, basically in the last five seasons.
Flash:
Yeah, don’t take as long this time, right?
Speaker 2:
In the last five seasons City have dropped points at least once in the first three games, put it that way. And this looks like it could be a bit of an out of skin look, City could easily blow west Amway. We know that, but I just think plus one and a half on the handicap was a little bit insulting. I looked at City’s record away against top half finishes since 2017. When obviously they’ve been dominating the league, it’s a 38 win percent ratio for City winning by two or more goals. And if you look at the handicap price there, plus 100, it suggests it’s a 50% chance. So yeah, I think there’s a bit of a difference there. And backing West Ham and this one in some way or form, if I was getting involved.
Flash:
I think this could be looking back maybe in sort of 15, 16 weeks time that west end plus one and half minus one 20 might be one of the best bets that we would’ve seen, even if we left it alone. And the plus 700 that were, I don’t see west end being plus 700 away from home against anyone in this league other than maybe Man City. It’s crazy. You’re getting plus 700 at home for a side that went deep into Europe and have no respect for any of the big boys. But we’re talking about Man City and we’re talking about the weapons and the goals. So let’s have a little look at the official picks because again, great minds, think alike. And you know me, I love a bit of value, a Man’s City to win and both teams to score it. Plus 180.
The same as stench is only because of the value. And I can see this being two one, if it’s free one, because they’ve got a breakaway goal and there’s been no disrespect to west am because they’ll be pushing. They won’t stop. They will keep going. But offensely that West Ham are going to more than match Man City by just fancy the plus 180 5, just press my greed a factor.
Okay. So get yourselves ready for the Q and A, but before we get to a Q and A, we have a prop of the week now, but our proper week we did go into depth about it. It is Everton versus Chelsea and it’s going to be, if you have a little look, you’re going to flick it up. It’s Chelsea to score twice at minus 125. That’s moved against us because it was minus 120 yesterday, but now it’s minus 125.
So we expect Chelsea to score twice. That is our prop of the week in the premier league. And we hope to have them throughout all of our league shows. Remember we’ve got two future shows coming up today. Sierra we are and Bundesliga leaguer. Tomorrow is one you’re not going to want to miss because I’m really excited that I’m going to be able to announce something that most football fans, soccer fans around the world and it will be for anyone around the world to get involved in. So make sure you join us on the Bundesliga league show tomorrow, live 10 o’clock Eastern with Alex and Kevin. And there’s something you do not want to miss. Okay. Let’s have a little look at the Q and A. What have we got? Dina says team toe is a prop. Yes, it’s a prop. If you go over to betus.com, press soccer, go premier league, go down, press prop, and there it is. Okay. You can take this one Marco over Villa win?
Speaker 2:
Yeah, they should be expected to just because I talked about full and being ill prepared and it equipped for the start of the new season. Balmouth probably more so. And it’s a view that’s been shared by their own manager, Scott Parker, who said last weekend after the final preseason friendly, but they’re way short of where they need to be. He actually quoted himself as saying this score is much weaker than it was two months ago and one promotion. And that’s because in central defense they’ve only got three defenders on the books, captain Lloyd Kelly, Chris [inaudible 00:57:11] and James Hill MEK played the eight times that sent a bat last season in the championship and hill plays two minutes.
So hugely concerning and parkers insistent on playing three at the back a 352. So basically gave Vira a good opportunity to look at his first 11 last week against so dad and I really fear for them this season, but even more so on the opening day because Vira have signed really well in camera and Diego Carlos, just giving them a bit more grit and battle and ability and defensive areas by all accounts that when di and Leon Bailey looked really lively in preseason and there’s no major injuries or issues surrounding the squad as well.
So yeah, Vira are a nice price, but I think they’re around plus one 50 to win and under four and a half goals because I think Parker is primarily quite a pragmatic head coach. And I think with the issues that they’re facing probably will try and sit in there and try and make life difficult for Villa and see if they can break them down. So I’m not expecting a high scoring match, but certainly S to come out on talk.
Flash:
Okay. [Stinge 00:58:11] no, I agree with you though marco. I think Villa might just be a little bit too street wise for them boys, but again, you’re going away from home to an side, just got promoted and it’s just one of them, two out the free sides that were promoted last year, they won, they picked up three points from home games in week one [Stinge 00:58:29], Question. Harlan or [inaudible 00:58:31] for the young player of the year. Harlan’s too old for a young player of the year, isn’t he?
Speaker 3:
No, I think Harlan qualifies. I think Harlan’s younger than [inaudible 00:58:40].
Flash:
But you say that, but I saw [inaudible 00:58:41] favorite of plus 330.
Speaker 3:
I wouldn’t back either. I think both are too short, but I would want to have one of them on site. So I wouldn’t really try elsewhere for somebody else. Lastly, it tends to get one by someone from the big boys, Phil Foden. I think’s one of the last two years. So yeah, it probably will be one of them, but I don’t think them is good value because I think with Harlan, you don’t know how many times he’s going to appear in the premier league. That’s my only issue. And I don’t thinks is anywhere near his Harlan’s level. And I think somebody else could come out. But yeah, at the prices, I wouldn’t would avoid both.
Flash:
Okay. Here’s a question I’ve got for everyone in the chat, and Marco O’Hare, and [Stinge 00:59:26]. And it is, who scores this weekend? Holland, newcomer, Nunez… Sorry, which is the best bet? Holland to score, Nunez to score, Jesus to score, or McGuire to get a yellow card?
Speaker 2:
Well, Nunez didn’t start last weekend. So I’m presuming that he’s not first choice. So I guess it’s between Holland and Jesus. So I’d say Holland.
Flash:
Holland would you?
Speaker 2:
Yeah.
Flash:
[Stinge 01:00:00]?
Speaker 3:
If Nunez starts, I’d bat Nunez, I think-
Flash:
Oh yeah. I forgot to announce. Sorry. I forgot to announce. So [Stinge 01:00:08] is a massive Liverpool fan. And if there was a market for [inaudible 01:00:13] to score or anyone that’s been associated with Liverpool over the last 40 years, even though he is only like 28 himself, then Liverpool. Okay? It’s always Liverpool.
Speaker 3:
Flash, I mean, Arsenal playing Palace. Man City playing West Ham. Liverpool playing the mighty Fulham like, sure-
Flash:
But he is not even going to play.
Speaker 3:
I said if he starts. I don’t see why he might not.
Flash:
So why would you not just go to the safe option of McGuire yellow card?
Speaker 3:
I don’t think he might start. They brought-
Flash:
They [inaudible 01:00:47] United.
Speaker 3:
Okay. I mean, it’s he’s still got odds, right? At the end of the day.
Flash:
Yeah, exactly. McGuire they’re saying is plus 240. Oh my gosh.
Speaker 3:
Premier league cards compared to [inaudible 01:00:56] a lot lower. You won’t get much value-
Flash:
You say that, but what about the movement? The movement of the Brighton boys. He would not find them if they were in a phone box together. Do you know what I mean? No, listen, let’s get onto the best bets because otherwise I’ll digress and we’ve been here long enough already. Let’s have a look at all the bets. Come on then, week one, Palace. To pick something up against Arsenal minus 130. [Stinge 01:01:26], he’s fancy in the newcomer Forest away at Newcastle. Even if they get beat by one, he’s going to not lose anything for me. It’s all about Chelsea winning at plus 100, as long as there’s a minimum of two goals in the Man City, both team scores all about the money. 185, got that being 2131 but think West Ham will not be embarrassed. Brighton plus one at minus 125. Probably a minus 125, probably be a plus 100 draw, double chance at plus nort 0.5. Brighton and plus one listeners. And the prop of the week, Chelsea team total over 1.5 at minus 125.
So remember, Bundesliga tomorrow. It is week one, match day one in Germany. We have got Sierra coming up in a few hours with Matt ice who was number one soccer Kappa last year if you take away your presenter. And maybe be with the lovely [inaudible 01:02:24], and then we’ve got the two La Liga boys this afternoon, both future shows, but tomorrow it will be the Bundesliga. Marc O’Hare, good luck to you this season. We’re going to try and get for 50 to 100 units as a team. And remember we will be having the parlays, and we will be having the prop of the week. [Stinge 01:02:40], good luck mate.
Speaker 3:
Cheers flash.
Flash:
Everyone in the chat, record, live viewers, really appreciate you all. Get yourselves in the chat and are going to have something really, really special tomorrow on the Bundesliga league show. You take care.
