Flash:
Welcome to the BetUS Soccer Channel. I’m Flash and it’s the Premier League show and it’s match day 10. We’ve got five more before the break, and that means we’ll be off to Qatar for the World Cup. Now we’re America’s favorite sportsbook, so I’d like to invite you to subscribe. Also, I’d like you to ring the bell, and that means we’ll notify you and you’ll never miss any content again. And there’s so much content to come your way because we’ve got the NFL, we’ve got NBA starting in two weeks, the playoffs in MLB, and obviously you’ve got college football as well amongst all the other competitions like Champions League and the top European soccer leagues. Also, if you’re on social media, then please follow @BetUSTV and you will not miss a thing. They’re getting so active. All day long they are pumping out information for you.
If you press the link in description, that’ll take you over to your chance to win a shirt. I’ll be sending some shirts in the next couple of days for this month’s winners. Also you’ve got to make sure that you stick very, very close to us because the games are coming thick and fast, and in a couple of weeks we’re going to have a midweek card as well. Now, let’s introduce my experts because I tell you what, without them I would be up the creek without a paddle. I’ve got a award-winning owner from the UK in Mark O’Haire, and also I’ve got European odds compile list and digger of proper value in Mark Stinchcombe. And if it is your first time, he’ll be called Stinch because I don’t want two Marks. Mark O’Haire last week, honestly, I needed a tin helmet, I needed a bulletproof vest, because nearly every game I got involved with, my team ended up with a red card.
Mark O’Haire:
Yeah. It was a difficult weekend, shall we say, for the show. None of us came out of it with any flying colors. And yeah, you were very unfortunate. But that’s football for you and that’s football betting for you as well. Anything can happen in this game. Ultimately it’s a low scoring sport, and fine margins can decide games such as red cards, effective strikes, own goals, penalties or whatever else. So there’s a lot of variables that go into a football game, and unfortunately sometimes lady luck can smile or not smile in your direction and things can go a little bit amiss, but that’s life and that’s just part of the betting journey. And I’m sure we’ll bounce back at some point soon, hopefully this weekend.
Flash:
Oh, got to bounce back. I’ll tell you what I am normally, Stinch, emotional balance is everything for me. I don’t get out my pram at all, but last week it was red card after red card. Red card and then a couple of robots turn up and score hat tricks in a game that I thought would be tight.
Mark Stinchcombe:
Yeah, for sure. Last week on the show I had five bets, and all five bets lost. I think it was probably, racking my brains, one of my worst weekends ever betting, which over the course of the last 15 years, that’s quite a big statement. But I’ve racked my brain, I looked at the videos, watched the highlights, looked at the data, nothing I would change. So just unfortunately have to accept that’s the way it goes sometimes. In Spurs game, we had a red card go against us and a poor piece of goalkeeping. Red card for Leeds early on which [inaudible 00:03:10] them from an attacking point of view. I backed Southampton to score over 1.5 goals against Everton. Everton shoot 22 shots but only conceded the one goal. Those sorts of things just aren’t sustainable and you just can’t account for. So, have to wipe ourselves down, dust ourselves off and go again this weekend.
Flash:
Yeah, excuses. That’s all they are, because obviously we wouldn’t bring them up if we had won. The other one is, while we’re throwing excuses on, obviously Fulham at home, going down to 10 men and getting absolutely battered by a Newcastle side who goes from strength to strength. There was some positives though. Make sure you get yourselves in the chat because I’ll tell you what, it’s a team game and if we are not happy then you shouldn’t be either. So make sure you get all your information in there. There’ll be a Q and A at the end. Let’s have a quick look at this record, and when I mean quick, I want it to be very quick because your presenter, look at that, 8.65, I’m down and the total for this show is at minus 3.35. Been so, so tough but we’ve got to turn that around very, very quickly.
Well done. I’m liking that producer. Get it off. Get that negativity right out the window very early on. Okay, so that’s that done list. Listen, we’ve got seven games for you. Make sure you get yourselves in the chat and throw any full process into us. Let’s go with a first game because I think there’s some positives here. Okay, so Bournemouth, they’ve got a new manager from what they started with at the start of the season, Gary O’Neil, but Bournemouth are at +250, Leicester at +110. Leicester scored four this week and kept a clean sheet, and showed green shoots of Leicester being like the old Leicester. Very confident, very attacking, and I tell you what, that +110 is either a trap or it’s a gift, and I’m happy to go with the latter, over two and a half goals, is at -120. The [inaudible 00:04:54] at +260. Mark O’Haire, I’m coming to you. I like the away side, but Bournemouth have been a little bit stingy at home, apart from when they hosted Arsenal.
Mark O’Haire:
Yeah, they have. They held Brentford last weekend to a nil-nil. They are unbeaten under Gary O’Neil, but that was the second nil-nil where you had that mad 3-2 win when they came from behind to win at Forest, and a 1-1 draw at Newcastle as well. Score board journalism will say things are going pretty well, they’re somehow one point behind Liverpool at this stage, which is crazy really, but I haven’t changed my opinion on them. I still think they’re the worst team in the division. They will look to pack the midfield, defend deep and limit the clear cut opportunities they give away. But in those four games they’ve drawn nil-nil they’ve conceded 59 shots. True, the average expected goal per shot has decreased quite dramatically from Scott Parker’s reign. But the opposition, or the standard of opposition has been pretty average by Premier League standards and Bournemouth continue to offer little if anything up front really. They’re yet to record an expected goals tally greater than one since promotion.
Their average XG from open play this season is 0.27 per game, which is below dreadful, and they’re currently rock bottom of the expected points table by quite some distance, failing to score five times, and yet somehow they’ve managed to keep their sheets clean on three occasions at home so far this season. So my head hurt trying to analyze them because I can’t really work this team out. They’re atrocious going forward but they seem to be getting results somehow, some way. Yeah, I wanted to be pro Leicester. I wasn’t really sure how to go about it. On Tuesday I looked at the prices that we can get, +100 on Leicester to score over one and a half goals, which for me felt like the best way into this game, but that price has been clipped now, it’s minus money, and I think just Bournemouth being Bournemouth has just immediately turned me off.
I’m backing a minus price involved in this game, so I’ve left it alone, but if you do want to go ahead and back it, Leicester has scored twice or more in five of their eight Premier League games this season. They scored twice or more in three of their four away days, Arsenal, Spurs and Brighton and they really could and should have scored at least two goals away at Chelsea as well. As you say, they’ll be much more confident after that win against Forest on Monday. They have been quite clinical compared to the chances that they’ve created. They are second bottom in terms of shots in the box attempted. Bournemouth obviously being bottom of that list as well. Yeah, there was enough warning signs, I think if I did get involved at minus money and it didn’t come off I’d rue it myself so I’ve decided to just leave it alone, but I’m quite happy to cheer you guys on because I know you’ve got two different bets from different angles, which I could certainly get behind.
Flash:
Yeah, I was impressed with Leicester the other night, not just because they were playing dead wood in Forest, but because they went and scored four, could have scored eight. Looked very, very good, Stinch. I like the +110. Not going to complicate it. I think they scored two so you can go over to -105, they scored two, surely they win.
Mark Stinchcombe:
Yeah, I’ve got a few bets written down here and I was trying to work out which ones are the best to go for. Obviously when Leicester are involved you immediately look at the goal line and quite happy to get involved with the goal line over two and a half, I think. You know have to start being creative when that goal line’s at three, for example. We did that last week when we bet Leicester, and for us to be over 2.5 on both teams [inaudible 00:08:15] I think we were a little bit unlucky on that occasion. The other one I had written down was Leicester team total because just not sure I can trust them at the opposite end of the pitch. It’s already conceded 22 goals in eight games, and away from home there’s a definite sieve effect going on. Just one clean sheet in the last 30 away games.
I wouldn’t want to trust them at the +110 but I wouldn’t be too unhappy at backing them at -105 to score over 1.5 goals. So yeah in the end I settled on the over two and a half as the best bet. We know regularly that their matches contain lots of goals. 15 of the last 20 have seen over two and a half goals and away from home, that’s 18 of the last 25. But yeah you have to be worried about obviously Bournemouth, where they’re going to contribute to the score line. But I think that’s the beauty of backing overs in Leicester games.
They’re capable of doing it themselves as we saw on Monday night, but they’re also capable of conceding, in terms of goals. I actually went to Bournemouth a couple of years ago when Bournemouth got relegated in [inaudible 00:09:19] four. So I think that’s the beauty of getting involved with overs and not worrying about whether both teams do score, but Bournemouth have only scored six in their eight matches. They’re only managing 6.4 shots per game, which is by far the lowest in the division. The next lowest is Fulham with 10.5 so you can see how far they are off just the second worst team.
But yeah, I just think with the line set as it is, I don’t think you want to be taking unders, so I’m happy to take overs and yeah, I wanted to try and get Leicester on side somehow so I’ve been a bit greedy and almost combine them winning and them scoring two goals for a much juicier price. I’ve gone for James Maddison to score at +300. He’s been the one shining light, I would say, from them in a consistent basis this season. He’s got nine goals in his last 11 games, 16 in the last 27 overall, and you’re coming up against the third worst defense in the division that’s shipped 19 goals in their eight games and they’re conceding boom of 16 shots per game, and Maddison himself is averaging well over three a match, and he gets himself in some good positions.
Mark mentioned about their shots in the box being low, but Maddison himself is averaging over one shot per game in the penalty area, so is he getting himself into good positions and his finishing is just superb. So yeah, two bets for me here. Overs and Maddison to score anytime.
Flash:
Yeah and you’ve got to follow the likes of Maddison, obviously whenever there’s a World Cup there’s always one or two players who absolutely shine maybe six weeks and they’re the late ones to get on the plane. I like the fact they’ve got goals in them, Leicester, home or away, and it’s the first time this season I’ve actually said okay maybe now you’ve off the bottom of the league, you can now start to climb upwards, and if you could pick one side to travel to, it would be Bournemouth. Let’s have a little look at the official Soccer picks because I know that I’ve got a little Leicester money, not complicating it +110, over two and a half goals at -120 for Stinch, and Maddison to score at any time. But +300, remember he’s deadly around the edge of the box on free kicks.
And also he doesn’t mind pulling the trigger, so he can bring in a little deflection. We’re pro Leicester, and over two and a half is at -120. Let’s move on to game number two of seven. It’s Chelsea versus Wolves. Now Chelsea under new management. Wolves sacked their manager. Chelsea -250, Wolves at +750, still looking for goals. Wolves are the drawers at +390, Chelsea minus one and half at +120, off of a 3-0 midweek [inaudible 00:11:55] of Milan who are very, very strong. Stinch, Chelsea, Wolves, it looks like home win because Wolves don’t score. You can get -110 on Wolves to continue nought.
Mark Stinchcombe:
Yeah, I’m looking down that route and I think that’s the most sensible and obvious route to start. I think the first thing is just to analyze Chelsea’s start under Graham Potter just to see whether they’re on the right track. He’s had three games in charge, which is a reasonable enough sample size to get an idea of how they’re performing, and to be fair, they’ve had three, I’d say, not difficult tests, but certain certainly tests, I think, is the right way to call them. RB Salzburg, Crystal Palace away and AC Milan home. That’s not an easy start for Potter, but two wins and a draw and I would describe their performances as dominant, to be honest. They’ve had 40 shots across those three games. They conceded just 11, and if you look at the expected goals, in terms of creating chances and conceding chances, they’ve got a differential of over three.
So they’re creating good chances and they’re doing very good job at restricting the opposition. So I would say it’s probably the perfect opposition up next, in terms of Wolves, who just aren’t scoring any goals and creating very much at all. They’ve scored just three goals in their eight games. A great bet from yourself last week on them not scoring away at Westham, a very chunky +165. And it’s no surprise when they’ve got so many strikers out injured, Raul Jimenez, Kalajdzic, the signing in the summer from Stuttgart, Hwang. So it meant last week they started with Goncarlo Guedes up front. He hasn’t scored his last 17 club games. The confidence there must be low. And then they brought on Diego Costa for the remaining half an hour. That was his first match in 10 months. So yeah, fitness and form are definitely letting Wolves down. So it’s, how do we make this Chelsea price pay and I decided that the best way about it was to could have backed Chelsea win to nil.
But Chelsea have had an issue defensively at Stamford Bridge for a while in terms of keeping clean sheets. But again we have only got two games under Potter to know what’s going on there, and Wolves obviously sacked there manager this week, so we might see something a bit random. That always can be the case when somebody else is in charge. So I decided to go with Chelsea to win under three and a half goals at -110. So increasing that -250 and increasing the goal line that we’ve got here by an extra goal for a bit of safety.
It does feel to me like a 2-nil win, maybe 3-nil or 2-1 at most. Of all the negative stuff about Wolves, we know defensively they are reasonably solid and they’ve conceded just nine in their eight games this season, which is the third best defense in the league, and that’s remembering that they let Conor Coady go in the summer as well. So clearly the sum of all parts is stronger, but ultimately they’ve now failed to win 14 of their last 15 matches, so it’s understandable why they did let the manager go in the end.
Flash:
Yeah, I mean I think I personally thought it was a little bit too early because of the amount of injuries that obviously Wolves have had, but Mark O’Haire there’s two different conundrums I don’t like here. It’s Chelsea at home and I want a little bit more data, I want a little bit more eye candy, and from Wolves, maybe someone with fresh ideas are going to come in, but you can’t dress it up. Wolves are not scoring goals. I see in the chat, Mitch is saying, Chelsea win two nil, up +125. Can definitely see a two nil and jog onto the next leg of the Champions League.
Mark O’Haire:
Yeah, I found this game tricky. I’d probably be verging on Stinch’s side. I think it’s not a bad angle. Nice increase on the -250 of Chelsea to win. Although I just want a bit more evidence, really, on this Chelsea team, because they’ve played those three games, admittedly, against a reasonably tough opposition. Midweek was probably their best performance of the season, in fairness. But Milan had a great opportunity which Krunic fluffed as well, but they were in complete control, for the most part. It’s basically the switching in systems. So they went with a back three to start with against Salzburg, went to a four man defense last weekend, back to a three man. Fofana’s now injured as well. So if they go to a four man defense this weekend, it’ll probably be Koulibaly and Thiago Silva. Thiago Silva playing twice a week.
It’s quite a lot for a guy of his age. Cucurella is back as well, Azpilicueta can slot in as well. So there is options, of course, but yeah, last weekend, particularly in the first half against Palace they looked shaky. Silva should have been sent off, fofana made a mistake that led to the opening goal as well. As you say, sometimes they do seem to be lacking a little bit in creativity. In terms of Stamford Bridge their [inaudible 00:16:38] percentage at home, since the start of last season in the Premier League, is just 50%. You’d expect it to be a lot higher than that, and they scored more than two goals in just five of those 22 games, which is really poor for a team with not just top six ambitions but title ambitions. So couple of warning signs there, but Wolves, it’s been done to death really the issues going forward, which really shouldn’t be a problem because they have got players of invention and creativity.
Guedes, Podence, Neto, all capable, but conversion is an issue and pragmatism has been an issue throughout Bruno Lages’ reign. So yeah there might be a reaction here, but we talk about them being pretty strong defensively. They’re going into this game without Collins who’s still suspended, ruben Neves who filled in at center half last week when they switched back to a three man defense alongside Jonny and Kilman. Neves is suspended so you’re basically missing… Kilman now is the only available center half. So I’ve no idea what they’re going to do defensively, possibly go back to a back four, back three, who knows?
But yeah I guess just the new manager, bounce, if there is one, is something that probably holds me back and just probably appreciation for the individuals in this Wolves team, particularly the forward areas are better than what we’ve seen. So I’m still waiting for them to catch fire and show us what they’re capable of. And I guess with question marks over both teams, I’ve decided to just leave it alone, but if I had to I’d probably get involved with the same bet that Stinch is on.
Flash:
Yeah, Stinch, did you say that that was a +110 or -110?
Mark Stinchcombe:
-110.
Flash:
I’m going to say, because otherwise you could add in the [inaudible 00:18:08] and go Chelsea in under four and a half. The other one is I’m surprised Stinch, is I didn’t hear, let’s ride that train because Wolves have got a handful of goals all season and they are -110 not to score. Chelsea went 2-nil at +125. But it’s amazing how results cloud our judgment because they only won last week and then the 95th minute. If they go and draw Salzburg, they draw at Paris and then they win. Are we then looking at it a little bit differently? To me, I had to leave it alone but I fancy Chelsea do win 2-nil and if I’m going-
Mark O’Haire:
All’s true. All’s true too at Stamford Bridge last season as well, which is-
Flash:
Yeah. Well everyone had a great time, as you just said, 50% of the teams avoided defeat by going to Stamford Bridge since last season. That’s been their Achilles Heel, to be honest. But I think we’ve all agreed that we want to see it a little bit more from Chelsea to be able to say yes they’re definitely on the up, and there’s a little bit more urgency because that Brighton side under [inaudible 00:19:08] in the end they were exceptional in their self-belief and also in their teamwork. Maybe he will bring in some players that were on the fringes. Let’s have a little look at the official picks because I think we were all wanting to go with Chelsea but just couldn’t quite press the button, because Chelsea in under three and up is our only selection as a team, -110 from Stinch, even though there is a massive +125 on Chelsea to win 2-nil, and it’s -110 on Wolves not to score but I don’t fancy it’s nil-nil so you go the other way.
Let’s go to game number three because last year we got this game bang on, I’m hoping we get it bang on again. It’s the mighty highland [inaudible 00:19:47] in the skies of Man City versus Southampton. Now Man City -725, Southampton at +1600. Last year is exactly the same. It was minus two and a half for city, this year at -110. Under over four goals. Well if we see four goals and I fancy that two and a half is a definite for Man City. The draw for me is redundant this year at +900. Stinch, I want to come to you first because Man City at home against this Southampton side, they don’t attack in the same vigor and they’re not together at the back. I see Man City scoring three or four, so +135 for over three and a half is a possible runner but the minus two and a half, I see them winning minimum 3-nil.
Mark Stinchcombe:
Yeah firstly like last season I think me and Mark were way off with the result. You got it absolutely spot on backing Southampton, plus two and a half and finished nil-nil. So quite interesting that you’ve gone full circle and now looking at Man City to win comfortably. I don’t want to sound like a broken record but I find trying to calculate or estimate the amount Man City are going to score impossible, and it’s been even harder this season with, for example, on Champions League, Wednesday night, he took off Haaland at halftime. That’s going to have a huge effect on Man City’s overall number of goals that they’re scoring if their main striker is going to be subbed at halftime.
So I find that really tricky. So here just going to briefly mention this potential for Southampton to score because Man City have got a few injuries in defense. Kyle Walker’s out injured, John Stones is out injured, and it looks like Nathan Ake will come in again, and City have actually been conceding quite a few goals in the Premier League this season. Three against United last weekend. Three away at Newcastle. They conceded multiple goals in other games as well. I wouldn’t want to back that Southampton -110 because if you mentioned, I think with this Southampton side, because it’s very youthful, that means that the volatility and performances is quite high, but I’d be tempted by Man City to win and both teams to score at plus money. I think that could potentially be the way to go if you didn’t want a back Man City on the handicap.
Flash:
Yeah, my problem here Mark O’Haire is Southampton, no Oriol Romeu, who used to just sit there and make sure that everyone was disciplined. Southampton, now in midfield, they’re a bit too far apart and defensively they can’t keep clean sheets. So I started this game with Man City three to Southampton score. Well it is a tip of a coin. It’s -110 for them to score one, but -120 that they don’t even bother scoring. So I had to go with a minus two and a half at -110 because I see Man City could be three up at half time.
Mark O’Haire:
Yeah, Man City games, it’s always difficult to try and find an angle to really hang your hat on, it’s so lopsided. The word was this week that Ralph Hasenhüttl was on the verge of the sack at Southampton. So we’re talking now Thursday afternoon, UK time. It looks unlikely not to happen now before the match at the weekend, which, I guess, is a slight positive from a Saint’s perspective. There’s not going to be as much disruption, they can go again and look, Saints are probably going to get smashed up and that might be his last game in charge. But yeah if he is there in City on Saturday I think that’s a positive. But the minute I guess it doesn’t really matter, City are just mauling teams for fun at the minute and particularly at the Etihad, and the fact that Haaland was brought off at halftime, to me, suggests he’s going to play or at least start again this weekend.
City, at the Etihad, in the Premier league this season, has scored goal totals of six, six, four and four. In three of those four fixtures they’ve scored three or more goals before halftime, which is quite a scary prospect really. So taking that, I was looking at Man City to score over one and a half first half goals at +115. I quite like that actually and it was very close to being included, but I’m probably just going to mull it over because I just need to wait to see what’s going on with the Hasenhüttl situation and as well I like to see the City team sheet. They rest De Bruyne and Foden midweek as well so they could well be at full strength against Southampton, considering they only have to go to Copenhagen next midweek in the Champions League, which should be a bit of a walkover again. So yeah, the signs aren’t good for Saints, everything seems to be aligning for Man City in this match, and it could be game over by half time.
Flash:
Yeah I just see that it’s going to be one of those backs to the wall but they don’t Mark, the defense of Southampton, they sit there in a block, they don’t put pressure on the ball, they don’t stop balls coming into the box and also they don’t follow runners. So for me everything you’d want as a Man City player or a Man City fan to see, I think Southampton are turning up completely the opposite to how they were last year, when they were completely together, they were hard to break down, and this year, I can’t remember last time they kept a clean sheet against one of the big guns. So I’m happy to go with them to lose by three goals to be honest. And I do like that over one and a half Man City goals, so Man City just scored twice in the first half at plus money.
I think I’m going to have a little bit of that as well. So let’s have a little look at the official picks. Yeah Man City, minus two and a half at -110. But I do like Man City to score twice in the first half +115. Let’s move on to game number four because there’s some teams that are polarizing and this time it’s the visitors, Brighton up +180, Spurs at +155. The draw’s a real runner here I believe at +245. The under over is set at two and a half with it being at -110. Spurs to score twice is at +140. Mark O’Haire, I had Spurs to score twice last week. I think it would’ve cashed if they had stayed with 11 men on the field. But with Brighton, who knows, because I tell you what, they went to Anfield, rolled their sleeves up and they were not overawed at any stage.
Mark O’Haire:
No they weren’t. They were very, very impressive the way they actually went about their business and yeah this is a tough game for Tottenham, Brighton are fourth in the Premier League table in terms of points earned but also fourth on the expected points table which suggests that there’s been no over performance absolutely there on merit so far. There’s a team who have had a full week on the training paddock with Roberto De Zerbi, whereas Spurs coming off that disappointing North London Derby defeat then had to go to Frankfurt to play out a nil-nil. I thought they played pretty well for the most part. Quite unfortunate enough to get a goal in that game but that’s two tough, mentally tough and emotionally and physically tough away days in the space of a week, and now they’ve got to go to Brighton as well and Conte has not been doing a huge amount of resting or rotating to his team so far, and I wonder whether their fatigue could catch up on them at some point soon.
So I wouldn’t be wary about back wary about backing Spurs. They’ve won once away from home so far this season and that was at Nottingham Forest across six games in the Premier League and Champions League. So that would be my worries about Spurs. The only thing, I guess, which is pulled me off doing something pro Brighton, is it’s still very early in the De Zerbi era. Want us to see how things settle down there. He’s a riskier tactician than Graham Potter. He likes to be quite adventurous, utilizes the flanks, overloads the fullback regions, and yeah I just wonder whether his tactical approach might lend itself to something pro Spurs here because, as we know, Conte and Spurs tend to be quite counter attacking and working in transitions. Brighton will be quite proactive in this game, so perhaps they might play into Tottenham’s hands. We’ll have to wait and see.
So in the end I decided just to leave the match odds and the handicaps alone and instead focus on goals because I do think what we saw last week, Anfield will be something similar to how Brighton will approach most matches under DeZerbi. They will be front foot, they, as we know, have plenty of quality and forward areas, can’t often always be relied upon to score but they will create, and I think, Tottenham right now defensively, there’s a question mark against them. So I guess the flip side is, I say every week, but that Tottenham forward line, I would back them to score against any team on the planet, regardless.
They’ve scored at Anfield, they scored at Etihad, they can absolutely score at Brighton, of course they can, and both teams will score as being the correct selection of six of their eight Premier League games already of this season. So short of a normal but -140 on both teams scoring, I thought was a decent play purely because De Zerbi is not going to just sit back and allow Spurs onto him. He’s going to approach this game and believe they can do something similar. They scored three goals at Anfield, why can’t they score against Spurs at home?
Flash:
What’s the price for both teams scoring over because surely that’s the way to go. Do you think both teams are going to score? Are we not thinking it’s going to be around the -105 on a -110 both, teams scoring over, Mark?
Mark O’Haire:
Yeah, I did look at it, I can’t remember what price it is. Give me one second. I’ll tell you what it is.
Flash:
Well over two and a half alone is at -110, so we might be pushing +100.
Mark O’Haire:
It’s +125.
Flash:
Massive, isn’t it? Stinch, is it not massive Brighton spurs both teams scoring over don’t carry wins?
Mark Stinchcombe:
It is from the -110 increase, for sure. I don’t think any of us thinking that either team, if there’s going to be three goals, either team ultimately keeps a clean sheet. So yeah, if I was forced into a bet, I’d definitely go down that route. Just a bit similar to Mark, I just want to see a few more games from Brighton to get an idea of how they’re likely to play and how they’re likely to set up. For example, last weekend he moved Trossard from left wing back to a number 10 role and absolutely flourished with a hat trick. Tottenham have got some reservations regarding them going forward away from home. They’ve gone a long while other than Harry Kane scoring from open play. I know they were a bit unlucky the other night, but as Mark points out, they’ve been conceding a lot of shots, Tottenham, and playing in this sort of counter attacking style, which ultimately is not going to breed success when you’re being a reactive team compared to being a proactive team.
And Brighton they’ve only lost one of the last 12 games and that includes going to Old Trafford and winning, going to Spurs and winning, going to Arsenal and winning and holding Liverpool at Anfield. So underestimate this Brighton side at your peril, I would say. But yeah, I think ultimately if we’re going to see more of what we saw last week with Brighton, so that means more attacking an approach, which ultimately should lead to them creating more chances and then we don’t have to worry about how clinical they are, because they will score just through the sheer amount of chances they create. Then yeah maybe Brighton are going to be sort of the new [inaudible 00:30:53] if you like, of the Premier League.
Flash:
Yeah, you’ve got Irish John in the chair he says over two and a half, but there again let’s not get carried away because Jack Simpson says under. The problem I have with Spurs, especially at the moment, is from back to front it’s like a mile, they’re miles away, which then means they’re reliant on individual quality or individual match ups, and just go and get on it because you’ve got Dier who’s sitting five yards outside his own box and you’ve got Kane who’s shooting on the edge of the other box. If it breaks down this Brighton inside will pick you off in triangles and spring you. So I’m liking that +125, not enough to press the button because I’ve got other selections. But I think that is a game if everything’s going well, but I think that boat team’s scoring over is massive and not worry who wins.
Mark O’Haire:
Can I upgrade my BTTS?
Flash:
Yeah of course.
Mark O’Haire:
Over two and a half [inaudible 00:31:44] BTTS.
Flash:
Yeah we want all the winners we can. Yeah, listen Jim A’s saying I’m leaning both teams to score an over or why not just Kane anytime scorer, I think that’s around the… Is that around +140 as well. So again you could do that but I’m definitely not seeing nil-nil. Remember Trosssard’s is an international player for a team that have 20 of Europe’s best players. So listen, he’s mixing it with the best just because he’s not an household name. He’s been very, very good for a very, very long while. Okay, let’s have a little look at the official picks. So this both teams to score at -140, that’s just going to be upgraded to both teams to score and over two and a half goals at +125, and don’t care who wins and myself and Stinch, we’re fully behind MarK O’Haire like that.
Go on, go on. We’re standing behind you though and then if it doesn’t win we’re like whoa, why did you go for that? But no I don’t think we go anywhere near the money line here because +180 for the homeside is probably too big, and if Spurs are going win 2-1 then again the +155 looks big as well. Let’s move on to game number five of seven. Listen this is trap of a capital T unless you are me and I just jumped all over it. Crystal Palace +115, Leeds +250. The draw’s at +250. Palace absolutely mauled Leeds in this fixture last year. I think Palace are stronger this year. I think Leeds have not quite got to where they want to be, wanted to be with them last week went down to 10 men but Palace more than matched Chelsea. So if we are pro Chelsea we’ve got to be pro Palace, especially at home. Palace are +115. Stinch, I didn’t look any further, and the over two and a half is at -115.
Mark Stinchcombe:
Yeah. Yeah, happy to cheer you on here. I think I said it a few times, I still want to see a little bit more palace in these spots against these similar sorts of teams. Yes, against the bigger teams, your Chelseas and your Arsenals and your Liverpools. It suits them to sit back and try and keep things tight and maybe nick a point or something. Whereas these games, where they are expected to come out and attack, I just want to see a few more examples of their process before deciding ultimately whether I’m pro Palace or against them. They went to Newcastle, they drew nil-nil, they’re home to Brentford, they drew 1-1. They did beat Aston Villa 3-1, but again that’s just three matches there. So I just want to see a little bit more before I jump a jump in and do so pro Palace. But we’ve spoken a lot about Patrick Vieira.
The number I really liked here was the over two and a half because it’s a match involving Leeds United. I’ve gone for it and I’m not reacting to last week because I backed it and it lost. It’s just ultimately I think Palace are very good at containing the opposition and I think that’s something that we could see here because the games they’ve actually played against Leeds I think must be a record for Leeds in terms of the lowest number of goals outputted when they’ve come across another opposition. So it was nil-nil here last season and then Elland Road Leeds won 1/nil and 2/nil, very low scoring games. But having said that-
Flash:
What did you say? I thought Palace won this game 4-1 last year.
Mark Stinchcombe:
No it was two seasons ago. Palace won 4-1.
Flash:
Oh my god. Time flies when you’re having fun then doesn’t it?
Mark Stinchcombe:
But the last three are very tight and cagey so that’s just the only thing that put me off, because 12 of Leeds’ last 15 away games have seen over 2.5, and honestly I still stand by what I said last week. I do think any match involving Leeds where you’ve got the goal line of over 2.5 and it’s a competitive number, so -115, -120, -125 I think is almost an auto bet. I just think this palace team are capable of containing a Leeds side. So again we’re still fairly early in the Jesse Marsch reign so he did preside over the match here in April which finished nil-nil. So yeah, just enough to put me off but I was very, very close pulling the trigger on the overs.
Flash:
Yeah I’m loving Jack Simpson. He’s gone all technical analysis on us, basically, let me read this because he says, I want to be pro Palace here. I think that Palace’s technical ball carriers will give Leeds nightmares, which I’ve got to agree with. I think that in the individual match ups they’re far more athletic, far stronger, and I think they’ve got more goals in them, Mark O’Haire.
Mark O’Haire:
Yeah, I’m probably more on the line of Stinch in terms of I was going to be looking towards goals rather than either team. And the reason why I probably wouldn’t be getting with Palace, even though they are probably the most likely winners there is, their home record is not quite as strong as we might expect. Going to find where I’ve put it in my notes, but they’ve only won eight Premier League home games under Patrick Vieira since the start of last season, eight from 23, which is a lower tally than you expect and there’s been murmurings of discontent from fans after last weekend’s defeat.
I know it’s quite a tough one to take in the last minute but I feel that’s really premature and quite harsh really because they’ve had to place four big six opponents already this season. It’s been really a tough schedule. They’ve lost to Arsenal, City and Chelsea but earn points in every other game which I think is probably par for Palace as you say, Olise, Eze, Zaha, dangerous ball players, dangerous creators, converters, however you like to package them, and they should be giving this Leeds team plenty of problems.
A Leeds team I always find a bit more reliable. Elland Road, a Leeds team whose discipline and emotional control has been questioned in recent weeks, but they’re not quite as chaotic as they were under Bielsa. But I still think they do pack a bit of a punch in terms of their athleticism. So you look at the starting 11 or the squad available to Leeds coming into this weekend, Sinisterra is now suspended but Stuart Dallas is basically the only major absentee. Patrick Bamford is there or thereabouts. Again, I fancy Leeds to at least get on the score sheet year.
They’ve scored in six of nine away games under Jesse Marsch but they’ve only kept two clean sheets on the road since the start of last season. Palace has scored in 18 of 23 at home, but as I say, they’ve only converted those goals on [inaudible 00:38:22] occasions. So this term alone, the two teams are scored in [inaudible 00:38:27] So yeah, I fancy goals in this game but clearly the historic head to head to suggest maybe not. So if I was going to get involved I would be doing over two and half goals. But yeah, this is the kind of game where any score line, any result would not surprise me. I think they’re relatively well matched but Palace by being the slightly better team as the marker suggests.
Flash:
I think if Palace score first they’ll go on and win comfortably, and I’ve even done a parlay of Crystal Palace at +115 and Leicester at +115 and it pays so well. So yeah listen I’m on Palace all the way just because I think they’re too strong, and Leeds off the back of that 10 man performance for… Listen, they dug in, they battered really well, but remember they were playing Aston Villa. Palace more than matched the Chelsea side and only got beat in the dying seconds of the game. Maybe even Palace to win and Leeds to score. But I just see Palace to win a +115 is one of them where I’m not going to look back, and if I do look back then it’s because it didn’t work out. Okay, let’s have a little look at the official picks.
I do believe I’m on my own even though both the lads they agree with me wholeheartedly. Palace a money line at +115, and remember I’ve done that in a parlay with Leicester as well that pays very, very well. Biggest game, maybe one of the biggest games in Europe this weekend is game number six of seven. So if we can have a little look at that one please. Arsenal versus Liverpool. Who would’ve thought Arsenal would’ve been top of the league. They’ve scored 20 goals but just nine behind second place Man City. So it’s Arsenal versus Liverpool. Arsenal massive +155. Liverpool a massive +165. Whenever I think of this game, I think of Philippe Coutinho, I think of Sadio Mané, and I think of Liverpool having their own way. Not sure it’s going to be that way because Arsenal are looking very good, but you don’t go against Liverpool unless you’re completely bonkers. Draw is at +270, which must be a runner Mark O’Haire, and the under over is at three at -105. I cannot fade Liverpool here.
Mark O’Haire:
Yeah, Arsenal’s been playing really well, particularly at the Emirates and the way in which they came through the North London Derby sort of emotionally and mentally the way in which they approached it and the way they carried out their performance, I think, was a huge positive and there’s a real sort of momentum building around them as a club right now. Supporters are very much in tune with the head coach and the squad right now. They’re a very likable squad, young, exuberant, plenty of potential there too, but I still think they might be getting a little bit ahead of themselves. If you look at the North London Derby, they were the better team before the Red card but Lloris’s era and the red card did turn the game in their favor as well. But I did like the way in which they targeted Emerson from the start. I think they’ll try and do something similar against Trent this weekend. Even if Trent is being vilified by social media.
Flash:
Well do we know if Robinson’s going to play left back?
Mark O’Haire:
He is supposed to be back this weekend but whether he will start or not, it was talked about that this was the game he’d be returning for and it would be massive. But I think this game’s going to be a little bit different to what we saw last weekend, because Spurs were passive and quite conservative at the Emirates. Liverpool won’t be. It’s not their style and ultimately there are 11 points behind Arsenal with a game in hand and they really need to win this game if they’re going to have realizations of having a title challenge. That’s a big total to be trying to reel in already. So I expect Liverpool to be front foot. I know they changed system midweek. At times they did a 4-2-4 against Rangers. Plenty of attacking quality on the pitch and I expect Liverpool to cause Arsenal problems to score a goal.
I think it’s decent run of games now, not just this season but running on last season. But Arsenal have failed to keep a clean sheet at the Emirates so I fully expect Liverpool to score, but likewise I think Arsenal will too. They’re fizzing in forward areas. Gabriel Jesus looks like a man on the mission to get into Brazilian squad for the World Cup, and all the players in forward areas seem to be clicking at the minute, particularly Martinelli Saka, Odegaard and Gabriel Jesus. Liverpool, Trent’s being scapegoated for the Liverpool defense so far this season. But Virgil van Dijk needs to have a look at himself as well. Individually, none of that back four is functioning right now. So with Liverpool coming here to play to come and attack and try and win the game, I think it’s all set up for a bit of a shootout. So more than happy to get +100 on over to enough goals and both teams scoring.
Flash:
Yeah, I don’t blame you. To be honest, I’ve wrote here, very, very open game. I can’t go against Liverpool but there again I can’t go against Arsenal because every test that you put in front of Arsenal at the moment, they are passing with flying colors. And listen, everyone knows I was on Spurs last week maybe just to score twice. Arsenal were the better side even though there was a mistake from the keeper and it was a red card. But this Liverpool side, when you think that he could play Luis, Jota, Firmino and Salah, then you can only be looking at goals, Stinch.
Mark Stinchcombe:
Yeah I think the Mark has already factored that in with the goal line of three. So as Mark is doing, getting a bit creative, but we have seen when Liverpool takes on the likes of City, the goal line is set three and a half. So maybe that’s where Arsenal are heading, towards that upper echelon of being a team that is going to be involved regularly in high scoring matches. I think the money line’s really interesting. It’s not often that Liverpool go off as underdogs unless Man City are involved, so that’s quite fascinating in my mind.
They’ve only lost one of the last 26 Premier League games so kudos to anybody that’s backing Arsenal. I guess it just comes down to probably personal opinion of where you see both teams right now. I think Arsenal very settled, obviously playing well, obviously scoring goals. Liverpool been off to slow starts too regularly to trust, but then again you probably don’t want to be back in, I would say, the low odds on the team total is near +105 for Arsenal to score two, +110 for Liverpool to score two. I’d say both of those are quite short, so yeah, probably if you wanted to get behind goals, definitely worth going down Mark’s route. If we get three goals it’ll be unlikely.
I would think that either team’s keeping their clean sheets. So yeah, I like the approach here because Liverpool haven’t been keeping clean sheets, the defense looks unhinged and Arsenal are playing often with unorthodox full backs, and I think that youthfulness is still coming through the team. That was a bad error, in my mind, to give away the penalty last week from 1-nil up. So I still don’t think this team are maybe quite mature enough to see 1-nil victories [inaudible 00:45:43] maybe back in the Tony Adams days. So yeah, I think the recipe for goals is all there. It’s a Sunday afternoon kickoff in England so I think the atmosphere’s going to be-
Flash:
What time is a kickoff in England?
Mark Stinchcombe:
5:30 I believe.
Mark O’Haire:
7PM UK time.
Flash:
UK?
Mark O’Haire:
Yep.
Flash:
On a Sunday.
Mark O’Haire:
Yep.
Flash:
What’s all that about then?
Mark O’Haire:
It was scheduled for 12:30 on Saturday but because United are in Europa League action, they’ve moved it and that was the slot given for some reason.
Flash:
So listen, let’s break down this game a little bit more because am I right in thinking both teams-
Mark O’Haire:
Oh hang on. Sorry, I’ve got Everton/United on the head. No, it’s 4:30 UK time. Sorry, Everton/United is at 7:00 PM on Sunday.
Flash:
There’s another game at 7:00 PM on Sunday? Listen, let’s break this game down more because it’s the biggest game there is. Arsenal versus Liverpool. Both teams are scoring over, could be in the first 20, 25 minutes and you’re telling me it’s around +100, Mark O’Haire.
Mark O’Haire:
Yeah.
Flash:
Surely that’s got to be like the banker of this show, isn’t it? Because Liverpool could be 2-1 up within 25 minutes as much as Arsenal.
Mark O’Haire:
Yeah, I agree.
Flash:
Again, does anybody think that this is going to be one of those games they look back and going, oh nil-nil. Even 2-2, I love a 2-2. It’s +1100 and it’s, okay, why would you have Liverpool score twice at +110? Arsenal to score twice at +105? Maybe have a little bit on the 2-2 but then just go with the +100 of both teams scoring over. I’m going to be betting this anyway, but obviously for the official purposes, I’ll leave it to Mark O’Haire. But they both have goals. I mean Jesus, Martinelli’s coming in to form, Saka, I mean Xhaka has never been more on the front foot in the six or seven years I’ve seen him. He’s just been a dead ball merchant, now he’s ghosting into the box and getting… Both these teams love to get players in the box. I see it end to end and yes surely we’ve got to go with both teams score and over at +100. Yeah, really, really looking forward to this game now.
Mark Stinchcombe:
Jesus is +175 to score, Flash, which looks a lot more attractive than Arsenal to score two more goals at +105. I think if Arsenal score two or more…
Flash:
Yeah, that’s another angle. But what’s Firmino, because honestly, he’s the type of player that’s going to get on the end of something in this game as well. You’re obviously looking at obviously Salah and Luis, but Firmino he’s really an unsung hero of this Liverpool side. You say that Liverpool are 10 points behind Arsenal with a game in hand? They win this game, they win the game in hand, all of a sudden it’s four points and you’ve got to be thinking that Liverpool finish above Arsenal at the end of the season or Arsenal just put a massive now in the Liverpool title coffin, well it’s already dead anyway, I fancy, but what a game we’ve got here-
Mark Stinchcombe:
Yeah, Firmino +275 any time. He’s got a good record against Arsenal as well. Nine goals in 13.
Flash:
Yeah and he scored goals last week and he looks like he’s scoring goals even when he is not, because he’s getting himself in the right areas. So again, Jesus, +175 and you’ve got Firmino at +275. Dare I say, they’re quite alike in the way that they play. Let’s have a little look at the official pick because what a game this is. Over two and a half and both teams to score at +100 that could cash in the first 20, 25 minutes. I just fancy they’re both going to come out of the traps, because Liverpool are no good sitting back, Arsenal are no good sitting back. So let’s just go for it. Let’s go hell for leather.
Okay, let’s go to the last game, which I’m now being told is half past 11 on Sunday night. We’re off to the northwest. It’s Everton versus Manchester United. Everton at +275 off the back of an away win and scoring twice. Wow. You would’ve got great odds on there against a Man United side who score three away from home and lose by three, 6-3. But Man United are at +100. Now that looks so, so tasty. Draw is at +270. What gives here, Stinch, because the under over is at two and a half -115. Everton and have matched some of the bigger guns at home, but it’s still Everton versus Man United and I think Man United bounce back here.
Mark Stinchcombe:
Well I think if I could oppose both teams I would, because I don’t rate-
Flash:
The draw’s +270.
Mark Stinchcombe:
Yeah, Yeah, if it’s a low scoring game, the draw draw automatically comes into it. And given the way Everton are likely to set up, they’ll probably sit deep and try to restrict the chances for United, then yeah, the +270 is of interest. I got a quick quiz question for you, Flash. Do you know in the Premier League who’s got the best defense record so far?
Flash:
I’ve got to say obviously Everton because… No, no Man United kept seven clean sheets, didn’t they, before they let in six last week?
Mark Stinchcombe:
Out of the whole Premier League, including Man City including Arsenal Liverpool, et cetera, Everton have got the best defensive record so far. It’s incredible but it’s a huge overachievement. You look at the basic statistics, they’re conceding nearly 17 shots a match, which is the second most in the league after Nottingham Forest. It’s just completely unsustainable. Jordan Pickford’s in the form of his life ahead of the World Cup. So yeah, I think with Everton, I’d say they will settle deep, sit back. They’ve got defenders that aren’t used to going over the halfway line in the likes of Conor Coady and Tarkowski.
They’ve got warriors in central midfield, I think, in Onana, Iwobi and Doucoure. We saw Man United last weekend. I don’t think this team, they’re not up for a fight. I don’t think. The likes of Bruno Fernandes, very petulant. Even Scott McTominay. Not sure why Casemiro can’t seem to get a game. He costs a lot of money. So yeah, I think this is an absolute horrible game to try and pick apart. But yeah, I thought, now you’ve mentioned it, the draw price does appeal given the fact I do think it’ll be low scoring because of the way Everton will approach the game.
Flash:
Yeah, Mark O’Haire, you could easily see this Everton, nil, Man United, two. Man United have got the players going forward, but I have Man United down as the same as Leipzig. When everything’s going their way, they look really good, they look like they’re on their front foot, but as soon as someone puts a fight into them, they all go a little bit sheepish.
Mark O’Haire:
Sorry it was on mute. Yeah, I think Stinch has covered it really well already. They’ve over performed massively this season. If you look at the expected points table, they’re second bottom, they’ve lost the expected goals count in seven of their eight games. They’ve conceded seven goals, Expected goals suggest they should have conceded 13. So Jordan Pickford’s been playing and blinder between the sticks. I do like what they’ve done in terms of the defensive foundations, but ultimately there’s not a huge amount going forward, and I think this will be a tough game for United. I don’t think it’s going to be a walk over win by any stretch of the imagination. I know they won narrowly away at Leicester and Southampton recently, but they weren’t particularly dominant or impressive in those performances. And I just think after the embarrassment of what happened at the Etihad, they might do something similar in terms of trying to batton down the hatches, make sure they’re solid and stable.
They have got there, as you say, the quality and forward areas to win tight matches. But Gooderson Park tends to be one of the traditional tough places to go, at least for big six teams. And if you look last season, Everton went 3,1, 2 hosting big six opposition. Only one of those two defeats was by at least two goals. This season they’ve held Liverpool already, they lost narrowly to Chelsea in the opening day. So I do think there’s an opportunity here for Everton to get something out of the game. But in terms of the prices, I thought, rather than backing anything pro Everton, I know you are pro United but to be pro Everton, I looked at the price and thought actually if Everton or United are going to do anything this game, it’s probably going to be a low scoring one. I think we are all probably assuming that.
So six of Everton’s eight games have gone unders, none of their eight games have featured four or more goals. We’ve mentioned United’s performances away at Leicester and Southampton, both ending 1-nil. I Think a lot here points towards quite a low scoring game and you can get under two and half goals there, a reasonable price. You can even push it to under two and three quarter goals for a bit more protection against exactly three goals in this game.
Therefore it doesn’t really matter who gets the win or if it is a draw or a nil-nil or a 1-1, you’ve got a range of correct scores on your side there, nil-nil, 1-1,1- nil or 2-nil for either team, and you’re getting paid out, and if there is exactly three, you don’t use half your stake if you’re back under two and three quarters. So I think I’d rather do the goals route rather than siding with either team, and if I had to, I couldn’t really put my weight behind United at that price personally. But yeah, it comes down to it, it’s going to be an ugly game and one I’m not really looking forward to from a sort of betting perspective. Happy to leave it alone.
Flash:
After what happened last week with Man United, I thought Everton wouldn’t score in this game, and that’s at +180. But then I just thought, okay listen, either Man United, they score. You can’t go Man United and over, you can’t go Man United and under. But for me the favorite score here is probably Everton, nil, Man United, one. Man United, maybe win 2-nil, I do not see Everton scoring. So I wouldn’t put anyone off of that +180. The card total is gone up from maybe Man United plus one and a half cards to maybe now two and a half. Man United have got to respond. I think he’s got to put out the, we used to call them bad pitch players, the players that are going to have a battle, the players that are going to put their foot in and obviously at the other end of the pitch they have got a little bit of quality, and when it comes down to the quality, I think Man United are +100
I might just give them a little bit. Listen, if they go and put in a Brentford performance or a Man City performance again, then that’s it. They’re beyond the naughty step. Let’s have a little look at the official pick and I might even just put these in with Leicester and Palace as like a get rich quick parlay. Man United money line +100, although I do like Everton, +180 not to score because I do believe the nil-nil for large parts, unless Man United get off to a great start.
Now that’s the seven games. Now if you’ve got a question, we’ll try and find the answers. While you type, I’ll remind you and ask you to subscribe and also ring the bell means we’ll notify you, you’ll never miss any content. Again if you’re on social media then please follow @betUSTV, and if you press a link in the description, go over there, join, get your bonuses and then the bigger bonus is that I’ll put you in a draw and maybe send you a shirt of your choice from one of the four leagues. And remember we got the Champions League show coming up as well today. We’ve got Serie A, La Liga and tomorrow will be Bundesliga. Okay, what are you expecting in a Newcastle match? Yeah, Newcastle did look good, but there again, Fulham didn’t, Stinch, and Fulham were down to 10 men.
Mark Stinchcombe:
Yeah, all credit to Newcastle for taking advantage. Fulham down to 10 men but you still got to put the ball in the net and being without new signing Isak, without Saint-Maximin as well. So I think all credit to Newcastle for doing it. I do think that’s reflected in the price though this weekend -125, home to Brentford, they didn’t play that well, worst team in the League [inaudible 00:57:35] of last week. I think overs is wrongly priced on this. Overs is the favorite here. I’m not sure if that’ll be how the game plays out, but it was 3-3 between these two teams last season. I think maybe Newcastle over 1.5 team goals -120. It’s the same price as Newcastle to win. I think that’s probably probably the way to go. I think Brentford only know where one way of playing that’s to play on the front foot. I think they might give Newcastle chances on the break to capitalize.
Flash:
Yeah, I thought both teams to score over was probably the way to go there. Mark O’Haire, where did you find Arsenal, Liverpool both team scoring over at +100?
Mark O’Haire:
Where did I find?
Flash:
Yeah, where did you get that price, Jim saying?
Mark O’Haire:
BetUS.
Flash:
Exactly. Look where it says behind me, Jim. Stay off the drugs man. You know what I mean? What am I going to say? I’ll go like I’m going to advertise other people’s prices. Come on Jim. Okay, last one. Westham, Fulham. I just thought Westham was too strong, Mark O’Haire.
Mark O’Haire:
Yeah, a lot relies on Mitrovic who is a massive injury doubt, I think, from a Fulham perspective. So yeah, if he’s missing then obviously Fulham’s chances evaporate quite significantly. So team news check.
Flash:
Yeah and James who’s been captain negative this morning, even though he might turn out to be right in a few of his predictions, Newcastle couldn’t beat Bournemouth at home. No, but they could beat Man City, you know what I mean? It’s just one of those. I know that they scored against Man City. So many. What was the score in that game? Was it like three all or something?
Mark Stinchcombe:
Yeah, three all.
Flash:
That’s like two wins. Anyway, let’s have a little look at all the official picks because we’ve got so many and we’re upgrading one as well. So let’s go to Mark O’Haire’s because Arsenal Liverpool over two and a half at both teams to score is at +100, Bright and Spurs both teams score and over two an half. It’s not -140 now, it’s now +125. Flash, I’ve just gone with don’t complicate the money lines here at Leicester at +110, Palace +115, Man United at +100. I’ve put all three of them together in a parlay also. Palace and Leicester, I’ve put in a parlay Man City. I think they win by three goals at home to Southampton at -110. Stinch, Bournemouth Leicester over two and half at -120. I hope that’s a 3-nil away win.
Maddison anytime goal scorer at +300, Chelsea at under three and a half at -110. And a little bit more me on your bone for the Arsenal Liverpool game. You got Jesus at +175, ATS anytime scorer, and Firmino at +275. So from everybody at betUS, from Mark O’Haire and from Stinch, from everyone in the chat, please press your thumbs up on the way out. We need a good weekend. I fancy we’ve got some really good value. Keep it coming and remember to follow at betUSTV because there will be updates there. And remember, if Mitrovic is not playing for Fulham, maybe both teams to score no or Westham win 2-nil. So from Mark, from Mark and from me who’s not Mark, you take care.
