The one and only Conor McGregor might still be the biggest name in all of mixed martial arts, but can the self proclaimed “Notorious” get back to the top of the game as he gets set for Poirier vs. McGregor 3?
Apparently, the oddsmakers think so. The 32-year-old former UFC welterweight champion is an identical UFC betting odds pick in the BetUS online sportsbook as reigning champ Dustin Poirier to win the third and final fight in what has been a thrill-a-minute matchup.
Let’s take a look back at McGregor’s one-of-a-kind MMA career.
Poirier vs. McGregor 3 Odds
Dustin Poirier -115
Conor McGregor -115
Conor ‘Notorious’ McGregor (22-5-0)
- Height: 5′ 9″
- Weight: 155 pounds
- Reach: 74″
- STANCE: Southpaw
- DOB: Jul 14, 1988
- SLpM: 5.32
- Str. Acc.: 49%
- SApM: 4.54
- Str. Def: 54%
- TD Avg.: 0.70
- TD Acc.: 55%
- TD Def.: 67%
- Sub. Avg.: 0.0
SLpM – Significant Strikes Landed per Minute
Str. Acc. – Significant Striking Accuracy
SApM – Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute
Str. Def. – Significant Strike Defence (the % of opponents strikes that did not land)
TD Avg. – Average Takedowns Landed per 15 minutes
TD Acc. – Takedown Accuracy
TD Def. – Takedown Defense (the % of opponents TD attempts that did not land)
Sub. Avg. – Average Submissions Attempted per 15 minutes
McGregor began his career as a featherweight in his native Dublin, Ireland, with a pair of wins before losing his third career MMA fight against Artemij Steinkov via first-round submission (kneebar).
McGregor then won a pair of fights in Dublin and Derry, Northern Ireland, before losing for the second time in his career in Cork, Ireland, to Joseph Duffy by way of a first-round submission (arm-triangle choke). A modest 4-2 after six career fights, McGregor won eight straight bouts while alternating between featherweight and lightweight, including six fights in Ireland before joining the UFC in April 2013.
In his first career UFC bout at UFC on Fuel TV in Stockholm, Sweden, McGregor recorded a first-round TKO win over Marcus Brimage on the Mousasi vs. Latifi undercard. The braggadocious Irishman then recorded the biggest win of his career to that point by getting past former UFC featherweight champion Max Holloway in August 2013, via unanimous decision at UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Sonnen.
McGregor then got past the unheralded Diego Brandão by way of first-round TKO (punches) before beating Poirier via first-round TKO (punches) in September 2014. McGregor subsequently won two more fights, including the interim UFC featherweight title via second-round TKO (punches) over Chad Mendes at UFC 189 in July 2015. McGregor then beat Jose Aldo at UFC 194 in December 2015 to claim the UFC featherweight crown.
A cocky McGregor got put in his place by way of a second-round submission (rear-naked choke) against Nate Diaz at UFC 196 in March 2016 before getting past Diaz via majority decision at UFC 202 the following August. McGregor then beat the hell out of Eddie Alvarez to claim the UFC lightweight title at UFC 205 in November 2016 before taking on Floyd Mayweather Jr. in August 2017 in a boxing match that Mayweather finished via 10th-round TKO.
McGregor returned to the UFC by losing to widely recognized and unbeaten pound-for-pound lightweight king Khabib Nurmagomedov via fourth-round submission at UFC 229 in October 2018. On March 26, 2019, McGregor announced his retirement on social media, but ultimately returned to beat the stuffing out of an overmatched Donald “Cowboy” Cerrone via first-round TKO (head kick and punches) at UFC 246 in January 2020.
McGregor’s success was short-lived as he got soundly beaten via second-round TKO (punches) in his rematch against Poirier at UFC 257 in January. Now, having lost two of his last three fights and three of six overall, McGregor will look to take the third and final leg of his trilogy against Poirier.
Betting by the Numbers
McGregor failed to cash in against Poirier as a -130 favorite the last time out and failed to get it done against Nurmagomedov as a +130 underdog. McGregor lost to Diaz as a whopping -585 favorite before getting his revenge as a -155 favorite in their rematch. McGregor currently has identical odds as Poirier heading into their rematch, but the vast majority of oddsmakers have installed the Irishman as the favorite for online betting.
While I’m not necessarily making a pick on their upcoming bout, I have a hard time seeing McGregor coming out on top the way he was dominated by Poirier in their last meeting and suddenly looks like the far lesser fighter of the two.